India Real Estate Report

Providing expert analysis, independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the real estate industry.

Report includes: BMI Industry View, Industry SWOT Analysis, Industry Forecasts, BMI's Real Estate Risk Reward Index, Economic Forecasts, Company Profiles and Global, Regional and Country Industry Overviews.

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  • Understand the threats to your operations and investments and protect your company against future risks
  • Gain insight on emerging trends that could support, strengthen or disrupt your activities in the market
  • Get a full view of the competitive landscape to assess your market position
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India Real Estate Report
Product Price
$1,295.00

BMI View: The government's reform agenda will lead to an improvement in India's business and investment environments. This includes this includes funding for key infrastructure developments and allowing greater levels of foreign direct investment (FDI). We believe that these developments will present opportunities for growth in the commercial real estate market in the long term. However, external challenges and slowing headline growth will limit the scope for sector growth in 2016.

Slowing global demand is dampening growth in the Indian economy. This is exacerbated by domestic issues including the slow progress of economic reforms, high interest rates and a struggling agricultural sector. India's real GDP growth decelerated to 7.3% y-o-y in the third quarter (ending December 2015) of the 2015/16 financial year, from 7.7% the previous quarter. However, we do expect the services and manufacturing industries to perform well in 2016, which bodes well for continued demand for office and industrial space.

Overall we see rental rates remaining stable in the office real estate industry in 2016. The steady growth of India's IT and business process outsourcing (BPO) industries, as well as the local pharmaceutical industry, has led to good demand for grade A office space, putting upward pressure on rental rates in the premium segment. Meanwhile, government reforms are conducive to small company start-ups, which could see demand rise for lower grade property in less central locations.

In the retail segment, changes in regulation of foreign direct investment (FDI) should lead to an increase in interest from foreign retailers, and thus a rise in demand for space. This offers good long-term potential for the real estate industry, but in the short term the pipeline of new supply will slow on the back of lower absorption rates. We see rental levels remaining stable in 2016, although demand will be strong for premium space.

In the industrial real estate sub-sector demand is set to be driven by India's strong manufacturing industry, as well as its rapidly growing retail, particularly e-commerce, sector. The autos industry is a major driver of demand, and is performing well. Demand for premium logistics and warehouse space is good, although there is ample space available, which is limiting the scope for rental rate rises.

The Indian economy has been resilient in the face of slowing global economic growth, boosted by rising local demand. Along with the government's structural economic reforms, this should lead to continued investment in Indian commercial real estate.

BMI Industry View
7
SWOT
8
Political
10
Economic
12
Operational Risk
14
Industry Forecast
16
Office Forecast
16
Table: Office Rental Rates, 2011-2016 (per square metre per month)
19
Table: Office Yields, 2011-2020 (%)
21
Retail Forecast
23
Table: Retail Rental Rates, 2011-2016 (per square metre per month)
26
Table: Retail Yields, 2011-2020 (%)
28
Industrial Forecast
30
Table: Industrial Rental Rates, 2011-2016 (per square metre per month)
33
Table: Industrial Yields, 2011-2020 (%)
35
Residential/Non-Residential Construction - Outlook And Overview
36
Latest Updates
36
Table: 10-Year Forecast Scenario 2015-2025
36
Special Focus: 100 Smart Cities
38
Social Infrastructure: Highlighting The Project Pipeline
40
Table: Major Projects - Residential & Non-Residential Sector
41
Macroeconomic Forecasts
42
GDP By Expenditure
42
Table: Manufacturing And Utilities Powering Ahead
44
Industry Risk Reward Ratings
48
Industry Risk/Reward Index
48
Table: Asia Real Estate Risk/Reward Index
48
Rewards
48
Risks
49
Market Overview
50
Office
50
Retail
51
Industrial
51
Competitive Landscape
52
Property Developers
52
Property Managers
53
Demographic Forecast
55
Table: Population Headline Indicators (India 1990-2025)
56
Table: Key Population Ratios (India 1990-2025)
56
Table: Urban/Rural Population And Life Expectancy (India 1990-2025)
57
Table: Population By Age Group (India 1990-2025)
57
Table: Population By Age Group % (India 1990-2025)
58
Methodology
60
Industry Forecast Methodology
60
Sources
61
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
62
Table: Real Estate Risk/Reward Index Indicators
63
Table: Weighting Of Indicators
64

The India Real Estate Report features BMI Research's market assessment and independent forecasts of major construction projects in the residential and commercial markets, plus rental prices and yields in major cities. The report critically analyses the prospects for real estate within the broader economic and financial context - both domestic and global - via our econometrically-modelled and clearly explained banking and economic forecasts and follows this through to evaluate the implications for REITs.

BMI's India Real Estate Report provides industry professionals and strategists, sector analysts, business investors, trade associations and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the real estate industry in India.

Key Benefits

  • Benchmark BMI's independent real estate industry forecasts for India to test other views - a key input for successful budgeting and strategic business planning in the Indian real estate market.
  • Target business opportunities and risks in India through our reviews of latest industry trends, regulatory changes and major deals, projects and investments.
  • Assess the activities, strategy and market position of your competitors, partners and clients via our company profiles (inc. SWOTs, KPIs and latest activity).

Coverage

BMI Industry View

Summary of BMI’s key industry forecasts, views and trend analysis covering real estate and construction, regulatory changes, major investments and projects and significant national and multinational company developments.

Industry SWOT Analysis

Analysis of the major Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats within the real estate sector and within the broader political, financial, economic and business environment.

Industry Forecasts Outlook

Historic data series (2010-2013) and forecasts to end-2019 for the domestic real estate industry and for the local and global finance industry.

Indicators Include:

  • Real Estate: Office, retail and industrial real estate yields for all major cities (%); short term forecasts on minimum and maximum real estate rental prices by sub-sector (USD per square metre and local currency per square metre).
  • Construction: Industry value (USDbn); contribution to GDP (%); employment (‘000); real growth (%).
  • economy: Economic growth (%); nominal GDP (USDbn); unemployment (%); interest rates (%); exchange rate (against USD).

BMI’s Real Estate Risk Reward Index

BMI’s Risk Reward Indices provide investors (real estate vendors, construction companies and financial investors) looking for opportunities in the region with a clear country comparative assessment of a market’s risks and potential rewards. Each of the country markets are scored using a sophisticated model that includes more than 40 industry, economic and demographic data points to provide an indices of highest to lowest appeal to investors, with each position explained.

Market Overview

Overview of the real estate sector, including analysis of existing/planned real estate developments and emerging industry trends in the office, industrial and commercial sectors

Market Analysis

Features detailed city-level data and analysis on rental prices, yields, contract terms and real estate availability with separate chapters covering the office, retail and industrial sub-sectors.

Company Profiles*

Examines the competitive positioning and short- to medium-term business strategies of key industry players. Strategy is examined within the context of BMI’s industry forecasts, our macroeconomic views and our understanding of the wider competitive landscape to generate Company SWOT analyses. The latest financial and operating statistics and key company developments are also incorporated within the company profiles, enabling a full evaluation of recent company performance and future growth prospects.

*Company profiles are not available for every country. Those reports instead contain information on the current activities of prominent companies operating in the market.