India Shipping Report

Published 16 December 2014

  • 139 pages
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$1,295.00
India Shipping Report

BMI View: The primary issue in Indian shipping continues to be the state of the nation's ports. Investment in the 12 major state-run facilities has not kept up with the demand engendered by rapid economic growth experienced in India over the past decade. This is leading to repeated issues of congestion at port s. I nvestment is now starting to be made, but t his may be a case of too little too late. Further more , plans to push ahead with the privatisation of the state-run facilities will likely see mass strikes in the sector in 2015. Although we believe the move is necessary in order to compete in the long-run, in the short term the privatisation will likely see throughput lost to private ports.

Headline Industry Data

  • 2015/16 (ending March 2016) port of Kandla tonnage throughput forecast to grow by 1.8%. Over the medium-term forecast period to 2019/20, growth will average 2.3%.

  • 2015/16 port of Jawaharlal Nehru container throughput forecast to grow by 7.0%. Growth to average 4.8% per annum to 2019/20.

  • 2015/16 trade real growth forecast at 9.2%, and to average 8.6% to 2019/20.

Key Industry Trends

Pushing Ahead With Privatisation: At the time of writing in February 2015, the Indian government appeared determined to push ahead with plans to corporatise the 12 major state-run ports. The plan will see them transmute from the current trustee model under which they operate into companies. It is hoped that this privatisation will enable the ports to compete more effectively with the raft of new ports that have been developed by private operators in recent years, and which have grown at a faster rate than the state-run facilities. Pipavav is a case in point.

However, the plan is coming up against stiff opposition from the unions, which fear that moving from a trustee model will result in a loss of jobs, and harm pension interests. The unions argue that more flexibility can be introduced to the ports' operations through amending the Major Ports...

Table of Contents

BMI Industry View
7
SWOT
9
Shipping
9
Political
11
Economic
13
Business Environment
15
Industry Forecast
17
Jawaharlal Nehru Port Trust Throughput
17
Port Of Chennai Throughput
22
Table: Major Ports Data (India 2012-2018)
26
Table: Trade Overview (India 2011-2018)
30
Table: Key Trade Indicators (India 2011-2018)
30
Table: India's Main Import Partners, 2004-2012 (USDmn)
32
Table: India's Main Export Destinations, 2004-2012 (USDmn)
33
Market Overview
34
India Container Shipping Market Overview
34
Industry Trends And Developments
44
Company Profile
50
Shipping Corporation of India (SCI)
50
Mercator Lines
54
Varun Shipping
57
Great Eastern Shipping (GE Shipping)
61
Shipping - Global Industry View
65
Container Demand:
65
Container Supply:
73
Container Rates:
79
Global Company Strategy
82
Maersk Line
82
Mediterranean Shipping Company (MSC)
92
CMA CGM
99
Evergreen Line
110
COSCO Container Lines Company (COSCON)
117
Macroeconomic Forecasts
124
Downgrade Due To Significant Pull-Back In Capital Spending
125
Waning Private Consumption Growth Poses Further Downside Risks
125
Not All Gloom: Data Could Boost BJP's Position
126
Table: India - Economic Activity
127
Demographic Forecast
128
Table: India's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 ('000)
129
Table: India's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of total)
130
Table: India's Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020
131
Table: India's Rural And Urban Population, 1990-2020
131

The India Shipping Report has been researched at source and features latest-available data and BMI Research's independent forecasting, critically analysing international transport of dry bulk and containers. The report evaluates the global commodities and trade backdrop, alongside in-depth country-specific analysis of trade prospects. The report also contains company profiles covering leading multinational and national shipping companies and analysis of latest industry news, trends and regulatory developments in India.

BMI's India Shipping Report provides industry professionals and strategists, sector analysts, business investors, trade associations and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the shipping industry in India.

Key Benefits

  • Benchmark BMI's independent shipping industry forecasts for India to test other views - a key input for successful budgeting and strategic business planning in the Indian shipping market.
  • Target business opportunities and risks in India through our reviews of latest industry trends, regulatory changes and major deals, projects and investments.
  • Exploit the latest competitive intelligence and company SWOTS on your competitors and peers including multinational and national companies.

Coverage

BMI Industry View

Summary of BMI's key industry forecasts, views and trend analysis covering shipping, major investments and projects and significant multinational and national company developments.

SWOT Analysis

SWOT (Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats) analysis of the state's shipping sector, which carefully evaluates the short- and medium-term issues facing the industry.

Market Overview

Analysis of the capacity, terminals and planned development of the major ports in each country, including data on throughput and total tonnage.

Industry Forecast Scenario

Historic data series (2008-2012) and forecasts to end-2018 for all key industry and macroeconomic indicators (see list below), supported by explicit assumptions, plus analysis of key downside risks to the main forecast, including:

Major port freight throughput (tonnes/teu); overall freight throughput (teu); total imports (US$bn) and exports (US$bn).

Company Profiles

Company profiles include business activities, leading products and services, company strategy, trends and developments and economic performance analysis.

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Testimonials

'An essential, multi-faceted research tool. BMI’s thorough understanding of the major market players enables an informed – and informative – review of the sector’s actual performance, together with useful insights into current industry issues, which are topped-off with detailed and invaluable forecasts of industry and macroeconomic trends.’

Senior Research Analyst, ABC International Bank plc