Indonesia Country Risk Report

Providing comprehensive data and in-depth analysis of political, financial and economic risk.

Report includes: BMI's Core Views, 10-year Forecasts, BMI's Economic Risk Index, Political Stability and Risk Index, Long-term Political Outlook, Operational Risk Index, SWOT Analysis and Structural Economic Sections

Why you should buy this report

  • Understand and measure the political, business environment and operational risks to your company
  • Gain insight on emerging trends that could support, strengthen or disrupt your activities in the market
  • Benefit from 10-year macroeconomic forecasts and insight into the structural characteristics of the economy
  • Get the long-term political outlook and explore possible scenarios for change
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Indonesia Country Risk Report
Product Price
$1,245.00

Assess your risk exposure in Indonesia with our 100% independent forecasts assessing the pace and stability of this key market. Backed by trusted data from BMI Research's 52 million data point economic forecast model, this report will allow you to measure political, economic, business environment and operational risks in Indonesia with confidence.

Your subscription service includes:

  • Delivery of the report in print and PDF
  • Online access for 12 months
  • The functionality to translate your online report into your choice of 10 languages - Arabic, Chinese, French, German, Italian, Japanese, Korean, Portuguese, Russian and Spanish
  • The ability to export data and graphs from the online report directly into your workflow
  • The support of a dedicated Account Manager to answer any questions you might have about your subscription
  • Access to our team of leading analysts who will be happy to answer any questions you might have about the data and forecasts included in this report
Executive Summary
5
Core Views
5
Major Forecast Changes
5
Key Risks
5
Chapter 1: Economic Outlook
7
SWOT Analysis
7
BMI Economic Risk Index
7
Economic Growth Outlook
8
Strong Government Initiatives To Bolster Full-Year Growth
8
TABLE: REAL GDP GROWTH BY EXPENDITURE
8
GDP By Expenditure Outlook
9
TABLE: GDP GROWTH FORECASTS
9
TABLE: PRIVATE CONSUMPTION FORECASTS
10
TABLE: GOVERNMENT CONSUMPTION FORECASTS
10
TABLE: FIXED INVESTMENT FORECASTS
10
TABLE: NET EXPORTS FORECASTS
10
Fiscal Policy And Public Debt Outlook
11
Growth Recovery At Risk From Fiscal Downgrade
11
TABLE: KEY BUDGET INDICATORS
11
Structural Fiscal Position
12
TABLE: MAIN REVENUE AND EXPENDITURE CATEGORIES
13
TABLE: FISCAL AND PUBLIC DEBT FORECASTS
13
External Trade And Investment Outlook
14
Not Yet Ready For The TPP
14
TABLE: EXISTING AND PLANNED FTAS
14
Outlook On External Position
16
TABLE: MAIN EXPORT AND IMPORT PARTNERS
16
TABLE: MAIN EXPORTS AND IMPORTS
17
TABLE: CAPITAL & FINANCIAL ACCOUNT BALANCE
17
TABLE: CURRENT ACCOUNT BALANCE FORECASTS
17
Monetary Policy
18
BI To Step Up Stimulus Measures Over Coming Months
18
TABLE: INTEREST RATE STRUCTURE
18
Monetary Policy Framework
19
TABLE: MONETARY POLICY FORECASTS
19
Currency Forecast
20
Lower Fed Hike Expectations To Temper Rupiah's Depreciatory Bias
20
Chapter 2: 10-Year Forecast
23
TABLE: BMI CURRENCY FORECAST
20
The Indonesian Economy To 2025
23
A Bullish Long-Term Growth Story
23
TABLE: LONG-TERM MACROECONOMIC FORECASTS
23
Chapter 3: Political Outlook
25
SWOT Analysis
25
BMI Political Risk Index
25
Consolidation Of Political Position A Positive For Policy Enactment
26
TABLE: POLITICAL OVERVIEW
26
TABLE: SEATS AT HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES
27
TABLE: TAX AMNESTY BILL: KEY TAKEAWAYS
27
TABLE: ECONOMIC STIMULUS PACKAGE - KEY TAKEAWAYS
27
Long-Term Political Outlook
28
Outlook Improved, But Uncertainty Lingers
28
Chapter 4: Operational Risk
31
SWOT Analysis
31
Operational Risk Index
31
Operational Risk
32
TABLE: OPERATIONAL RISK
32
Market Size And Utilities Analysis
33
TABLE: ASIA - MARKET SIZE AND UTILITIES RISK
34
Labour Costs
37
TABLE: LABOUR REGULATIONS GOVERNING FLEXIBILITY OF WORKFORCE
38
Chapter 5: BMI Global Macro Outlook
41
Global Macro Outlook
41
Brexit Risk Casts A Long Shadow
41
TABLE: GLOBAL ASSUMPTIONS
41
TABLE: DEVELOPED STATES, REAL GDP GROWTH, %
42
TABLE: EMERGING MARKETS, REAL GDP GROWTH, %
43
TABLE: MACROECONOMIC DATA & FORECASTS
45