Indonesia Renewables Report

Published 28 May 2015

  • 38 pages
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  • Includes 3 free updated quarterly reports
$1,295.00
Indonesia Renewables Report

BMI View: We have maintained Indonesia's non-hydro renewables forecasts this quarter as our underlying assumptions of the industry remain relevant. We expect strong growth across the renewables sector, primarily in the geothermal segment - driven by vast natural resources, the government's strong commitment to diversifying the power mix, and growing electricity demand across the country (particularly in remote, off-grid areas).

Growth will occur across the spectrum of renewable energy technologies in 2015, with opportunities for project developers and equipment manufacturers in solar, geothermal, wind and biomass energy. Our long-term outlook for the Indonesian renewable energy sector remains bullish as we continue to see solid fundamentals for growth. We expect non-hydropower renewable generation to grow by an annual average of 8.1% between 2015 and 2024, reaching nearly 24 terawatt hours by the end of our forecast period. In terms of renewables capacity, we forecast annual average growth rates of 7.5% over the same period, with an installed capacity base of over 4 gigawatts by 2024.

Key T rends And Developments

  • In May 2015, the UK expressed an interest in investing a combined USD4bn in Indonesia's renewable energy sector, with a focus on solar and tidal power generation.

  • It was announced in February 2015 that the Indonesian government is planning to tender, through the Energy and Mineral Resources Ministry, USD55mn-worth of renewable energy projects, with a focus on solar facilities in remote areas of the country.

  • French firm Alstom signed a EUR61mn deal with Indonesian state-owned oil and gas company Pertamina's subsidiary, Pertamina Geothermal Energy, to build a 30 megawatt (MW) geothermal power plant in Karaha, western Java, in February 2015. The turnkey facility forms part of the subsidiary's plans for eight geothermal projects in the country, with a combined capacity of 655MW. Alstom will design, supply, install and commission the project,...

BMI Industry View
5
SWOT
7
Industry Forecast
9
Indonesia Renewables Forecast Scenario
9
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Indonesia 2013-2018)
9
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Indonesia 2019-2024)
10
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Indonesia 2013-2018)
12
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Indonesia 2019-2024)
13
Indonesia Renewables Projects Database
18
Table: Indonesia Major Projects - Renewables
18
Industry Risk Reward Index
23
Indonesia Renewables Risk/Reward Index
23
Rewards
23
Risks
24
Market Overview
25
Sustainable Energy Policy And Infrastructure
25
Targets (Renewables And Emissions)
25
Subsidies
25
Table: Renewable Feed-In Tariffs In Indonesia, 2013
26
Infrastructure
27
Competitive Landscape
29
Perusahaan Listrik Negara (PLN)
29
Chevron
30
Origin Energy
30
Tata Power
30
Glossary
31
Table: Glossary Of Terms
31
Methodology
32
Methodology And Sources
32
Industry Forecast Methodology
32
Sources
34
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
34
Table: Renewables Risk/Reward Index Indicators
36
Table: Weighting Indicators
37

The Indonesia Renewables Report researched at source contains BMI Research's assessment of the current renewables market in Indonesia. The report also contains historical data together with forecasts to end-2018 covering electricity generation (TWh) and electricity capacity (MW).

The renewables sectors covered in the report include Wind, Solar, Geothermal, Tidal and Wave, and Biomass (See Table of Contents for exact coverage). The report also features details on government green energy agendas and funding opportunities, as well as presenting a detailed list of key renewables projects currently being planned or undertaken in Indonesia, their capacity, the timeframe of construction and their current status.

The report discusses the various energy policies currently in force, including targets, subsidies and the relevant infrastructure developments or limitations which might impact on renewables growth, analysing the potential effects of regulatory changes in conjunction with the background macroeconomic outlook. Finally, there is a general overview of the competitive landscape in Indonesia, together with a detailed summary of the main utilities and manufacturers present and their business operations.

BMI's Indonesia Renewables Report provides industry professionals and strategists, sector analysts, investors, trade associations and regulatory bodies with unique independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the Indonesia renewables industry.

Key Benefits

  • Benchmark BMI's independent renewables industry forecasts for Indonesia to test other views - a key input for successful budgeting and planning in the renewables market.
  • Target business opportunities and risks in the Indonesia renewables sector through our reviews of latest industry trends, regulatory changes and major deals, projects and investments in the country.

Coverage

BMI Industry View

Summary of BMI's key industry forecasts, views and trend analysis covering the renewables market in Indonesia, regulatory changes, major investments and projects and significant multinational and national company developments.

Industry SWOT Analysis

Analysis of the major Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats within the renewables sector and within the broader political, economic and business environment.

BMI Industry Forecasts

Historic data series (2010-2012) and forecasts to end-2018 for electricity generation (TWh) and electricity generating capacity (MW) for each individual renewables sector present in the country.

These in turn are broken down into:

Electricity Generation: Overall capacity (TWh), growth % change year-on-year, KWh per capita, % of Total Non-Hydropower renewables generation, % of total electricity generation.

Electricity Capacity: Overall capacity (MW), growth % change year-on-year, % of non-hydroelectric renewables capacity and % of total capacity.

These forecasts are in turn supported by explicit assumptions, in conjunction with analysis of the key risks to the main forecast.

Business Environment Rankings

BMI's Renewables Business Environment Rankings provide fully comparable Risk-Reward Rankings aimed at investors in the regional renewables market.

The rankings methodology makes sophisticated use of various industry, economic and demographic data point.

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