Indonesia Telecommunications Report

Providing expert analysis, independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the telecommunications industry.

Report includes: BMI Industry View, Industry SWOT Analysis, BMI Industry Forecast Scenario, Telecommunications Risk Reward Index, Market Overview, Regulatory Environment, Company Profiles and Competitive

Why you should buy this report

  • Benefit from the latest market opportunities
  • Understand the threats to your operations and investments and protect your company against future risks
  • Gain insight on emerging trends that could support, strengthen or disrupt your activities in the market
  • Get a full view of the competitive landscape to assess your market position.
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Indonesia Telecommunications Report
Product Price
$1,295.00

BMI View: We maintain our generally positive outlook for the Indonesian telecommunications market in our latest Q4 2016 report update. Current and ongoing investments will help improve the national broadband infrastructure. Nevertheless, the geographical barriers to Indonesia's archipelagic nature and high development costs will pose a downside risk to the government's plan to develop the national fixed infrastructure. By engaging in 4G network and infrastructure sharing arrangements, Indonesia ' s mobile networks operators will benefit from efficiencies that will not only boost LTE rollout speeds, but also help the operators reduce costs. The proliferation of 4G mobile connections could have a dampening effect on demand for fixed broadband services. H owever, we envisage downside risks to 4G service uptake, as the new minimum local content requirements on LTE-enabled devices could have the effect of increasing production costs and, consequently, the price of smartphones .

Latest Updates & Industry Developments

  • Total subscriptions in the mobile sector grew to 337.5mn at the end of Q1 2016, for a penetration of 130.5%. Amid market saturation, mobile operators will aim to reverse downward trending ARPUs by migrating subscribers on to post-paid plans and higher-value services.

  • We estimate strong growth in the 3G/4G mobile sector as heavy investments by operators continue to push technological uptake forward.

  • Fixed broadband subscribers will grow by 18.3% in 2016 to reach 9.00mn, and this number is expected to rise to 15.76mn in 2020. However, penetration will still remain low under 6.0% as costs and topological factors limit expansion speed.

Fixed Broadband to Grow, 3G/4G set to Boost
2015-2020
National Sources/BMI
BMI Industry View
7
SWOT
9
Telecoms
9
Industry Forecast
11
Latest Updates
11
Structural Trends
11
Table: Telecoms Sector - Historical Data & Forecasts (Indonesia 2013-2020)
14
Industry Risk Reward Index
16
Industry Risk Reward Ratings
16
Table: Asia Pacific Telecoms Risk/Reward Index, Q316
18
Indonesia Risk/Reward Index
19
Market Overview
21
Market Drivers & Trends
21
Mobile
22
Table: Indonesia Prepaid And Postpaid ARPU By Operator (IDR)
26
Wireline Voice & Broadband
28
Table: Telkom Key Submarine Cable Developments
32
Pay TV
32
Regulatory Development
34
Regulatory Overview
34
Table: Division Of Regulatory Responsibilities In Canada
34
Regulatory Developments
35
Competitive Landscape
38
Table: Key Operator Revenues (USDmn)
38
Table: Spectrum Holdings For Top 5 Cellular Operators, 2015
38
Table: Mobile Market Overview
38
Table: Indonesian Mobile Operator Minutes Of Use (MOU per Subscriber)
39
Table: Telkomsel
39
Table: Indosat
40
Table: XL Axiata
41
Company Profile
44
Indosat
44
Telkom
49
Telkomsel
55
XL Axiata
59
Demographic Forecast
64
Demographic Outlook
64
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Indonesia 1990-2025)
65
Table: Key Population Ratios (Indonesia 1990-2025)
65
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Indonesia 1990-2025)
66
Table: Population By Age Group (Indonesia 1990-2025)
66
Table: Population By Age Group % (Indonesia 1990-2025)
67
Glossary
69
Table: Glossary Of Terms
69
Methodology
71
Industry Forecast Methodology
71
Sources
73
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
73
Table: Risk/Reward Index Indicators
74
Table: Weighting Of Indicators
75

The Indonesia Telecommunications Report features BMI Research's independent industry forecasts on the future strength of Indonesia's ICT market, covering the fixed-line, mobile and internet segments and analyses latest regulatory developments and corporate news, including investment activity, mergers and acquisitions, joint ventures and partnerships. Leading operators and manufacturers are fully profiled, highlighting their quarterly financial performance, capital expenditure plans and latest contracts.

BMI's Indonesia Telecommunications Report provides industry professionals and researchers, operators, equipment suppliers and vendors, corporate and financial services analysts and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the telecoms industry in Indonesia.

Key Benefits

  • Benchmark BMI's independent telecoms industry forecasts for Indonesia to test other views - a key input for successful budgeting and strategic business planning in the Indonesian telecoms market.
  • Target business opportunities and risks in Indonesia's telecoms sector through our reviews of latest industry trends, regulatory changes and major deals, projects and investments in Indonesia.
  • Assess the activities, strategy and market position of your competitors, partners and clients via our Company Profiles (inc. SWOTs, KPIs and latest activity).

Coverage

BMI Industry View

Summary of BMI’s key industry forecasts and views, covering the ARPU, fixed-line, mobile (including 3G & 4G), internet and broadband markets.

Industry SWOT Analysis

Analysis of the major Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats within the wireline and wireless sectors and within the broader political, economic and business environment.

BMI Industry Forecast Scenario

Historic data series (2010-2013) and forecasts to end-2019 for all key industry indicators, supported by explicit assumptions, plus analysis of key downside risks to the main forecast.

  • Fixed-line Telephony – Telephone lines (‘000); telephone lines/100 inhabitants.
  • Cellular Telephony – Mobile phone subscribers (‘000); mobile phone subscribers/100 inhabitants; and where available, 3G & 4G subscribers (‘000); 3G & 4G subscribers/100 inhabitants; 3G & 4G subscribers as a percentage of overall mobile market.
  • Internet Markets – Internet users (‘000); internet users/100 inhabitants; broadband internet subscribers (‘000); broadband internet subscribers/100 inhabitants.

BMI’s Telecommunications Risk Reward Index

BMI’s Risk Reward Indices provide investors (vendors, operators and suppliers) looking for opportunities in the region with a clear country comparative assessment of a market’s risks and potential rewards. Each of the country markets are scored using a sophisticated model that includes more than 40 industry, economic and demographic data points to provide an Indices of highest to lowest appeal to investors, with each position explained.

Market Data Analysis

Detailed market analysis of the mobile, mobile content, fixed-line and internet segments, broken down into:

  • Market Data – Analysis of market size, operator shares, dominant trends, competitive landscape and key quarterly data.
  • Technology/Service Rollout – Analysis of rollout/adoption of new technology, such as 3G & 4G, WiMAX, IPTV, pay-TV, LTE and valueadded handset services (gaming, music, video, apps etc.).
  • Mobile Content – The latest trends in content and services available and being introduced by mobile operators, including a timeline of all the latest major mobile content developments.
    Company Database – A comprehensive breakdown of KPIs of the leading mobile operators, including subscriber figures by type (pre-paid and post-paid); 3G & 4G subscriber figures; net additions; market share; ARPU; churn rates; minutes of use; voice and non-voice revenue; financial figures (including operating revenues, net profits and EBITDA).

Regulatory Environment

Details of the regulatory bodies and their responsibilities, as well as a special focus on the rules surrounding competition and interconnection. Also covers the latest updates in the market’s development and regulatory rulings.

Company Profiles*

Examines the competitive positioning and short- to medium-term business strategies of key industry players. Strategy is examined within the context of BMI’s industry forecasts, our macroeconomic views and our understanding of the wider competitive landscape to generate Company SWOT analyses. The latest financial and operating statistics and key company developments are also incorporated within the company profiles, enabling a full evaluation of recent company performance and future growth prospects.

Sources

The Telecommunications Reports draw on an extensive network of primary sources, such as multilateral organisations, government departments, industry associations, chambers and company reports.

*Company profiles are not available for every country. Those reports instead contain information on the current activities of prominent companies operating in the market.