Indonesia Telecommunications Report

Providing expert analysis, independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the telecommunications industry.

Report includes: BMI Industry View, Industry SWOT Analysis, BMI Industry Forecast Scenario, Telecommunications Risk Reward Index, Market Overview, Regulatory Environment, Company Profiles and Competitive

Why you should buy this report

  • Benefit from the latest market opportunities
  • Understand the threats to your operations and investments and protect your company against future risks
  • Gain insight on emerging trends that could support, strengthen or disrupt your activities in the market
  • Get a full view of the competitive landscape to assess your market position.
×

Sign up to download the Indonesia Telecommunications Report

By submitting this form you are acknowledging that you have read and understood our Privacy Policy.

Thank you for your interest

You will shortly receive your free executive summary by email.

Indonesia Telecommunications Report
Product Price
$1,295.00

BMI View: The government's announcement that it will focus on developing fixed broadband networks in 2016 with the aim to become ASEAN's second largest IT market by 2019 will lead to improved fixed broadband infrastructure. However, geographical barriers due to Indonesia's archipelagic nature and high rollout costs will pose downside risks to this. Efficiencies in 4G will be gained through network and infrastructure sharing that will boost LTE rollout speeds and reduce costs. However, we foresee downside risks to take-up as the new minimum local content requirements on LTE-enabled devices could have the effect of increasing production cos ts and, consequently, the price of smartphones.

Operators Will Focus On Driving VAS Usage
Indonesia Mobile Market Forecasts
e/f = BMI estimate/forecast. Source: BMI, operators

Latest Updates & Industry Developments

  • Total subscriptions in the mobile sector grew to 318.44mn in Q315, for a penetration of 124.5%. Amid market saturation, mobile operators will aim to reverse downward trending ARPUs by migrating subscribers on to postpaid plans and higher value services.

  • Fixed broadband subscribers will grow by 18.3% in 2016 to reach 9.00mn, and this number is expected to rise to 15.76mn in 2020. However, penetration will still remain low at 5.8% as costs and topological factors limit expansion speed.

BMI Industry View
7
SWOT
9
Industry SWOT
9
Political
10
Economic
12
Operational Risk
14
Industry Forecast
16
Latest Updates
16
Structural Trends
16
Wireline Voice And Broadband
18
Table: Telecoms Sector - Historical Data & Forecasts (Indonesia 2012-2019)
20
Industry Risk Reward Index
21
Table: Asia Pacific Telecoms Risk-Reward Index - Q116
23
Market Overview
25
Recent Developments
25
Mobile
26
Table: Indonesia Prepaid And Postpaid ARPU By Operator (IDR)
29
Wireline Voice & Broadband
31
Table: Telkom Key Submarine Cable Developments
35
Pay TV
35
Regulatory Development
37
Regulatory Overview
37
Table: Indonesia: Regulatory Bodies And Their Responsibilities
37
Regulatory Developments
38
Competitive Landscape
41
Table: Key Operator Revenues (USDmn)
41
Table: Spectrum Holdings For Top 5 Cellular Operators, 2015
41
Table: Mobile Market Overview
41
Table: Indonesian Mobile Operator Minutes Of Use (MOU per Subscriber)
42
Table: Indosat
42
Table: Telkomsel
44
Table: XL Axiata
45
Company Profile
48
Indosat
48
Telkom
53
Telkomsel
59
XL Axiata
63
Demographic Forecast
67
Demographic Outlook
67
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Indonesia 1990-2025)
68
Table: Key Population Ratios (Indonesia 1990-2025)
68
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Indonesia 1990-2025)
69
Table: Population By Age Group (Indonesia 1990-2025)
69
Table: Population By Age Group % (Indonesia 1990-2025)
70
Glossary
72
Table: Glossary Of Terms
72
Methodology
74
Industry Forecast Methodology
74
Sources
76
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
76
Table: Risk/Reward Index Indicators
77
Table: Weighting Of Indicators
78

The Indonesia Telecommunications Report features BMI Research's independent industry forecasts on the future strength of Indonesia's ICT market, covering the fixed-line, mobile and internet segments and analyses latest regulatory developments and corporate news, including investment activity, mergers and acquisitions, joint ventures and partnerships. Leading operators and manufacturers are fully profiled, highlighting their quarterly financial performance, capital expenditure plans and latest contracts.

BMI's Indonesia Telecommunications Report provides industry professionals and researchers, operators, equipment suppliers and vendors, corporate and financial services analysts and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the telecoms industry in Indonesia.

Key Benefits

  • Benchmark BMI's independent telecoms industry forecasts for Indonesia to test other views - a key input for successful budgeting and strategic business planning in the Indonesian telecoms market.
  • Target business opportunities and risks in Indonesia's telecoms sector through our reviews of latest industry trends, regulatory changes and major deals, projects and investments in Indonesia.
  • Assess the activities, strategy and market position of your competitors, partners and clients via our Company Profiles (inc. SWOTs, KPIs and latest activity).

Coverage

BMI Industry View

Summary of BMI’s key industry forecasts and views, covering the ARPU, fixed-line, mobile (including 3G & 4G), internet and broadband markets.

Industry SWOT Analysis

Analysis of the major Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats within the wireline and wireless sectors and within the broader political, economic and business environment.

BMI Industry Forecast Scenario

Historic data series (2010-2013) and forecasts to end-2019 for all key industry indicators, supported by explicit assumptions, plus analysis of key downside risks to the main forecast.

  • Fixed-line Telephony – Telephone lines (‘000); telephone lines/100 inhabitants.
  • Cellular Telephony – Mobile phone subscribers (‘000); mobile phone subscribers/100 inhabitants; and where available, 3G & 4G subscribers (‘000); 3G & 4G subscribers/100 inhabitants; 3G & 4G subscribers as a percentage of overall mobile market.
  • Internet Markets – Internet users (‘000); internet users/100 inhabitants; broadband internet subscribers (‘000); broadband internet subscribers/100 inhabitants.

BMI’s Telecommunications Risk Reward Index

BMI’s Risk Reward Indices provide investors (vendors, operators and suppliers) looking for opportunities in the region with a clear country comparative assessment of a market’s risks and potential rewards. Each of the country markets are scored using a sophisticated model that includes more than 40 industry, economic and demographic data points to provide an Indices of highest to lowest appeal to investors, with each position explained.

Market Data Analysis

Detailed market analysis of the mobile, mobile content, fixed-line and internet segments, broken down into:

  • Market Data – Analysis of market size, operator shares, dominant trends, competitive landscape and key quarterly data.
  • Technology/Service Rollout – Analysis of rollout/adoption of new technology, such as 3G & 4G, WiMAX, IPTV, pay-TV, LTE and valueadded handset services (gaming, music, video, apps etc.).
  • Mobile Content – The latest trends in content and services available and being introduced by mobile operators, including a timeline of all the latest major mobile content developments.
    Company Database – A comprehensive breakdown of KPIs of the leading mobile operators, including subscriber figures by type (pre-paid and post-paid); 3G & 4G subscriber figures; net additions; market share; ARPU; churn rates; minutes of use; voice and non-voice revenue; financial figures (including operating revenues, net profits and EBITDA).

Regulatory Environment

Details of the regulatory bodies and their responsibilities, as well as a special focus on the rules surrounding competition and interconnection. Also covers the latest updates in the market’s development and regulatory rulings.

Company Profiles*

Examines the competitive positioning and short- to medium-term business strategies of key industry players. Strategy is examined within the context of BMI’s industry forecasts, our macroeconomic views and our understanding of the wider competitive landscape to generate Company SWOT analyses. The latest financial and operating statistics and key company developments are also incorporated within the company profiles, enabling a full evaluation of recent company performance and future growth prospects.

Sources

The Telecommunications Reports draw on an extensive network of primary sources, such as multilateral organisations, government departments, industry associations, chambers and company reports.

*Company profiles are not available for every country. Those reports instead contain information on the current activities of prominent companies operating in the market.