Iran Country Risk Report

Providing comprehensive data and in-depth analysis of political, financial and economic risk.

Report includes: BMI's Core Views, 10-year Forecasts, BMI's Economic Risk Index, Political Stability and Risk Index, Long-term Political Outlook, Operational Risk Index, SWOT Analysis and Structural Economic Sections

Why you should buy this report

  • Understand and measure the political, business environment and operational risks to your company
  • Gain insight on emerging trends that could support, strengthen or disrupt your activities in the market
  • Benefit from 10-year macroeconomic forecasts and insight into the structural characteristics of the economy
  • Get the long-term political outlook and explore possible scenarios for change
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Iran Country Risk Report
Product Price
$1,245.00

Assess your risk exposure in Iran with our 100% independent forecasts assessing the pace and stability of this key market. Backed by trusted data from BMI Research's 52 million data point economic forecast model, this report will allow you to measure political, economic, business environment and operational risks in Iran with confidence.

Your subscription service includes:

  • Delivery of the report in print and PDF
  • Online access for 12 months
  • The functionality to translate your online report into your choice of 10 languages - Arabic, Chinese, French, German, Italian, Japanese, Korean, Portuguese, Russian and Spanish
  • The ability to export data and graphs from the online report directly into your workflow
  • The support of a dedicated Account Manager to answer any questions you might have about your subscription
  • Access to our team of leading analysts who will be happy to answer any questions you might have about the data and forecasts included in this report
Executive Summary
5
Core Views
5
Key Risks
5
Chapter 1: Economic Outlook
7
SWOT Analysis
7
BMI Economic Risk Index
7
Economic Growth Outlook
8
Iran After Sanctions: Still Waiting For The Boom
8
GDP By Expenditure Outlook
10
TABLE: GDP GROWTH FORECASTS
11
TABLE: PRIVATE CONSUMPTION FORECASTS
11
TABLE: GOVERNMENT CONSUMPTION FORECASTS
11
TABLE: FIXED INVESTMENT FORECASTS
12
TABLE: NET EXPORTS FORECASTS
12
Monetary Policy
12
Jump In Inflation Before Heading Lower
12
Monetary Policy Framework
14
TABLE: MONETARY POLICY
13
Fiscal Policy And Public Debt Outlook
14
Sustained, But Manageable Deficits
14
Structural Fiscal Position
15
TABLE: FISCAL POLICY
15
Currency Forecast
15
IRR - Depreciation Now Over
15
TABLE: BMI CURRENCY FORECAST
16
Chapter 2: 10-Year Forecast
17
The Iranian Economy To 2025
17
Range Of Problems To Mitigate Impact Of Nuclear Deal
17
TABLE: LONG-TERM MACROECONOMIC FORECASTS
17
Chapter 3: Political Outlook
19
SWOT Analysis
19
BMI Political Risk Index
19
Domestic Politics
20
The Next Supreme Leader: Assessing Potential Successors
20
TABLE: POLITICAL OVERVIEW
20
TABLE: POSSIBLE SUCCESSORS TO SUPREME LEADER
21
Long-Term Political Outlook
22
Hardliners To Maintain Control, But Power Struggle Likely
22
Chapter 4: Operational Risk
27
SWOT Analysis
27
Operational Risk Index
27
Operational Risk
28
TABLE: OPERATIONAL RISK
28
Business Crime
29
TABLE: BUSINESS RESPONSE TO RISK
30
Government Intervention
33
TABLE: BUSINESS TAXES
34
TABLE: PERSONAL INCOME TAX
35
Chapter 5: BMI Global Macro Outlook
39
Global Macro Outlook
39
Broad Recovery But Three Notes Of Caution
39
TABLE: GLOBAL FORECASTS, 2015-2020
39
TABLE: DEVELOPED STATES, REAL GDP GROWTH, %
40
TABLE: EMERGING MARKETS, REAL GDP GROWTH, %
41
TABLE: MACROECONOMIC DATA & FORECASTS
43