Iran Freight Transport Report

Published 17 November 2015

Register for a FREE Executive Summary

Iran Freight Transport Report
Product Price

BMI View: An agreement was reached between Iran and the P5+1 powers in Vienna in July which should see all sanctions against the Middle Eastern country removed in 2016. This is highly positive news for the freight transport sector in Iran, in particular the shipping sector and the country's pipelines, as it will resume oil exports in full. With regards the rest of the freight transport mix, growth will be slow initially as the economy will take some time to recover. Nevertheless, growth will accelerate over the course of our medium-term forecast period to 2020, across all freight modes.

We forecast that total Iranian trade will see a return to real growth in 2016, following four consecutive years of decline from 2012 to 2015, as the effect of sanctions removal takes hold. The removal of almost all sanctions on Iran's economy - which we expect to occur in H116 - will cause a significant uptick in economic growth over the coming years, reaching between 3% and 6%. We expect Iran's economy to emerge from recession as the country complies with demands on its nuclear programme. Iran has huge potential across almost all sectors, not just oil and gas which attracts most of the attention, and we highlight industries related to the consumer - especially autos and food and drink.

Iranian road haulage volumes will undergo relatively strong growth in 2016, as the country begins to feel the benefit of the removal of Western sanctions against it. That said, the growth will be strong only in comparison to recent years, and will remain at around 3.0% over the course of our forecast period to 2020.

According to our forecasts, rail freight volumes in Iran will grow by 1.5% in 2016, and average 2.4% over the course of our medium-term forecast period to 2020. The primary driver of this growth will be the easing of Western sanctions against the country, and this will be bolstered by ongoing investment in the network, and a drive to make Iran a major transit country for the region....

Register for a FREE Executive Summary

BMI Industry View
Freight Transport
Operational Risk
Industry Forecast
Trade Forecast
Table: Trade Overview (Iran 2012-2019)
Table: Key Trade Indicators (Iran 2012-2019)
Table: Main Import Partners
Table: Main Export Partners
Road Freight Forecast
Table: Road Freight (Iran 2012-2019)
Rail Freight Forecast
Table: Rail Freight (Iran 2012-2019)
Air Freight Forecast
Table: Air Freight (Iran 2012-2019)
Market Overview
Company Profile
Iran Air Cargo
Political Outlook
Table: Main Terms Of Iran Nuclear Deal
Table: Iran Nuclear Deal: Winners And Losers
Long Term Political Outlook
Table: Iran - Political Overview
Oil Price Outlook
Europe - Brent On Board For A Bumpy Ride
Macroeconomic Forecasts
Economy To Grow Again On Sanctions Relief
Table: Economic Activity (Iran 2010-2019)
Table: GDP By Expenditure (Iran 2012-2019)
Demographic Forecast
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Iran 1990-2025)
Table: Key Population Ratios (Iran 1990-2025)
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Iran 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group (Iran 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group % (Iran 1990-2025)
Industry Forecast Methodology
Sector-Specific Methodology

The Iran Freight Transport Report has been researched at source, and features latest-available data covering commercial transport and logistics by road, rail, air and water; industry forecasts, company rankings covering leading national and multinational operators; and analysis of latest industry trends, opportunities, projects and regulatory changes.

Business Monitor International (BMI)'s Iran Freight Transport Report provides industry professionals and strategists, sector analysts, investors, trade associations and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the Iranian freight transport and logistics industry.

Key Benefits

  • Benchmark BMI's independent freight transport industry forecasts on Iran to test other views - a key input for successful budgetary and planning in the strategic freight transport market.
  • Target business opportunities and risks in the Iranian freight transport sector through our reviews of latest industry trends, regulatory changes and major deals, projects and investments in Iran.
  • Assess the activities, strategy and market position of your competitors, partners and clients via our Company Profiles (inc. SWOTs, KPIs, and latest activity).


BMI Industry View

Summary of BMI’s key industry forecasts, views and trend analysis covering freight transport and logistics, regulatory changes, major investments and projects and significant national and multinational company developments.

Industry SWOT Analysis

Analysis of the major strengths, weaknesses, opportunities and threats within the freight transport sector and within the broader political, economic and business environment.

BMI Industry Forecasts

Historic data series (2008-2012) and forecasts to end-2019 for all key industry and economic indicators (see list below), supported by explicit assumptions plus analysis of key downside risks to the main forecast including:

  • Transport Sector: Total freight carried by road, rail, inland waterways, maritime, air and pipeline (mn tonnes-km/mn tonnes).
  • Trade: Exports and imports (USDmn) by category of goods (manufactured goods, food, chemicals etc.); top five import and export trade partners (USDmn); imports/exports to each global region (USDmn)
  • Port Data: Throughput (‘000 tonnes) for all major ports in the state.
  • Oil Products Prices: Price forecasts for gasoline and aviation fuel (USD/bbl) at all major global energy trading hubs.
  • Economic Indicators: Nominal GDP (USDbn); real GDP growth (%); GDP per capita (USD); industrial production (%); unemployment (%)

Market Overview

Details of the freight infrastructure in each state by segment (road, rail, air, water and pipelines). Full analysis of the competitive landscape within each segment.

Industry Trends and Developments

Analysis of the latest projects across the freight transport sector (road, rail, air, sea and logistics) including a market overview which provides an outline of the key elements driving development.

Political Outlook

The Freight Transport market reports contain a chapter detailing the political outlook of a given region, examining the domestic politics, long-term outlook and foreign policy, and assessing the impact this could have on freight and transport businesses.

Company Profiles*

Examines the short- to medium-term business strategies of key industry players. Strategy is examined within the context of BMI’s industry forecasts, our macroeconomic views and our understanding of the wider competitive landscape to generate company SWOT analyses.

The latest financial and operating statistics and key company developments are also incorporated within the company profiles, enabling a full evaluation of recent company performance and future growth prospects.


The Freight Transport reports draw on an extensive network of primary sources, such as multilateral organisations, government departments, industry associations, chambers and company reports

*Company profiles are not available for every country. Those reports instead contain information on the current activities of prominent companies operating in the market.