Iran Shipping Report

Published 05 August 2015

  • 102 pages
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  • Includes 3 free updated quarterly reports
$1,295.00
Iran Shipping Report

BMI View: T he historic deal agreed between Iran and the P5+1 powers in Vienna on July 14 - assuming it passes through parliaments - will see growth return to the Iranian economy and its shipping sector over the coming years. This recovery will not be immediate, and there remain significant challenges to growth in the near term. The general trend is that Brent crude will average considerably less than in recent years - we forecast an average of USD59 per barrel in 2015 - meaning that the economic boost from easing sanctions will be limited. Iranian consumers will continue to be under pressure, and a massive ramp up in containerised goods imports is unlikely. However, as real GDP growth in the country picks up, we expect pent-up demand from the growing middle class in the Middle East's largest population to drive growth in imports of containerised consumer goods.

That said, the removal of port operator Tidewater from sanctions in late 2014 will provide a fundamental boost to the facility as any goods which have been being shipped overland as a result of the embargo will steadily begin to return to transferring through the port.

Headline Industry Data

  • 2015 port of Bandar Abbas throughput forecast to grow by 6.5%, and average growth of 7.0% to 2019.

  • 2019 port of Bandar Abbas throughput expected to reach 2.2mn twenty-foot equivalent units (TEUs) - although this is still insufficient to match 2011 volumes.

  • 2015 total real trade is forecast to contract by 0.4%.

Key Industry Trends

Commercial Trade Revival At Ports As Sanctions Are Relaxed: Commercial trade is showing signs of revival in Iranian ports, as international shipping lines increase port calls on the back of a relaxation of Western sanctions, according to reports in the Iranian media. The US and the EU imposed a trade ban and asset freeze on Iran's largest ports operator - the Tidewater Middle East Maritime Company in 2012, affecting legal trade such as transport of medical supplies. However, the...

BMI Industry View
7
SWOT
9
Shipping
9
Political
11
Economic
13
Operational Risk
14
Industry Forecast
16
Port Of Bandar Abbas Throughput
16
Table: Major Ports Data (Iran 2012-2019)
20
Table: Trade Overview (Iran 2012-2019)
20
Table: Key Trade Indicators (Iran 2012-2019)
20
Table: Main Import Partners, 2006-2013
21
Table: Main Export Destinations, 2006-2013
22
Market Overview
23
Iran Container Shipping Market Overview
23
Company Profile
30
Islamic Republic Of Iran Shipping Lines (IRISL)
30
NITC
33
Shipping - Global Industry View
38
Container Shipping: Three Key Themes
38
Table: Major Beneficiaries
38
Table: Order Book For New Mega Vessel Class
40
Table: Vessel Capacity By Trade Route
43
Global Company Strategy
45
Maersk Line
45
Mediterranean Shipping Company (MSC)
57
CMA CGM
64
Evergreen Line
75
COSCO Container Lines Company (COSCON)
83
Macroeconomic Forecasts
90
Economy To Grow Again On Sanctions Relief
90
Table: Economic Activity (Iran 2010-2019)
96
Table: GDP By Expenditure (Iran 2012-2019)
96
Demographic Forecast
98
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Iran 1990-2025)
99
Table: Key Population Ratios (Iran 1990-2025)
99
Table: Urban/Rural Population And Life Expectancy (Iran 1990-2025)
100
Table: Population By Age Group (Iran 1990-2025)
100
Table: Population By Age Group % (Iran 1990-2025)
101

The Iran Shipping Report has been researched at source and features latest-available data and BMI Research's independent forecasting, critically analysing international transport of dry bulk and containers. The report evaluates the global commodities and trade backdrop, alongside in-depth country-specific analysis of trade prospects. The report also contains company profiles covering leading multinational and national shipping companies and analysis of latest industry news, trends and regulatory developments in Iran.

BMI's Iran Shipping Report provides industry professionals and strategists, sector analysts, business investors, trade associations and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the shipping industry in Iran.

Key Benefits

  • Benchmark BMI's independent shipping industry forecasts for Iran to test other views - a key input for successful budgeting and strategic business planning in the Iranian shipping market.
  • Target business opportunities and risks in Iran through our reviews of latest industry trends, regulatory changes and major deals, projects and investments.
  • Exploit the latest competitive intelligence and company SWOTS on your competitors and peers including multinational and national companies.

Coverage

BMI Industry View

Summary of BMI's key industry forecasts, views and trend analysis covering shipping, major investments and projects and significant multinational and national company developments.

SWOT Analysis

SWOT (Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats) analysis of the state's shipping sector, which carefully evaluates the short- and medium-term issues facing the industry.

Market Overview

Analysis of the capacity, terminals and planned development of the major ports in each country, including data on throughput and total tonnage.

Industry Forecast Scenario

Historic data series (2008-2012) and forecasts to end-2018 for all key industry and macroeconomic indicators (see list below), supported by explicit assumptions, plus analysis of key downside risks to the main forecast, including:

Major port freight throughput (tonnes/teu); overall freight throughput (teu); total imports (US$bn) and exports (US$bn).

Company Profiles

Company profiles include business activities, leading products and services, company strategy, trends and developments and economic performance analysis.

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