BMI View: Growth on Israel's freight transport network will be positive in 2015. This is an improvement on recent years, when the sector has seen declining volumes on air planes and at the country's major ports, thanks to sluggish economic growth - both domestically and in major trade partner Europe - and political instability on its borders with other states, and with Gaza. Nevertheless, this growth will be sluggish in some sectors, thanks in part to their developed nature, and the fact that they are geared almost exclusively towards domestic demand . The outperformer will be rail freight, where investment in the sector's infrastructure and rolling stock will ensure strong growth over the coming years.
Israel's trade will experience positive real growth over the coming years, despite an expected decline in nominal trade in 2015, thanks to falling oil prices and a depreciating shekel. This will support the freight transport sector's growth.
We forecast fairly lacklustre growth in Israeli road haulage volumes in 2015, predicting a 1.6% expansion which if realised would take the year-end figure to 24.60mn tonnes. If our forecasts are borne out, road freight will be the laggard in the Israeli freight transport sector, with growth in both air freight (1.7%) and rail freight volumes (4.0%) expected to outpace it, according to our projections. Growth in road freight will pick up moderately in 2016, when we forecast a 1.7% expansion.
We forecast that rail freight will be the outperforming freight transport mode in Israel in 2015 and over our medium-term forecast period to 2019. Although Israel's road and air freight sectors are both fairly well developed, there is still large-scale investment going on in rail freight, which will support continued growth in the sector. In 2015, we forecast that rail freight volumes will expand by 4.0%, compared to a forecast 1.6% in road freight and 1.7% in air freight. If realised, our forecast would result in 7.24mn tonnes being...
The Israel Freight Transport Report has been researched at source, and features latest-available data covering commercial transport and logistics by road, rail, air and water; industry forecasts, company rankings covering leading national and multinational operators; and analysis of latest industry trends, opportunities, projects and regulatory changes.
BMI Research's Israel Freight Transport Report provides industry professionals and strategists, sector analysts, investors, trade associations and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the Israeli freight transport and logistics industry.
- Benchmark BMI's independent freight transport industry forecasts on Israel to test other views - a key input for successful budgetary and planning in the strategic freight transport market.
- Target business opportunities and risks in the Israeli freight transport sector through our reviews of latest industry trends, regulatory changes and major deals, projects and investments in Israel.
- Assess the activities, strategy and market position of your competitors, partners and clients via our Company Profiles (inc. SWOTs, KPIs, and latest activity).
BMI Industry View
Summary of BMI’s key industry forecasts, views and trend analysis covering freight transport and logistics, regulatory changes, major investments and projects and significant national and multinational company developments.
Industry SWOT Analysis
Analysis of the major strengths, weaknesses, opportunities and threats within the freight transport sector and within the broader political, economic and business environment.
BMI Industry Forecasts
Historic data series (2008-2012) and forecasts to end-2019 for all key industry and economic indicators (see list below), supported by explicit assumptions plus analysis of key downside risks to the main forecast including:
- Transport Sector: Total freight carried by road, rail, inland waterways, maritime, air and pipeline (mn tonnes-km/mn tonnes).
- Trade: Exports and imports (USDmn) by category of goods (manufactured goods, food, chemicals etc.); top five import and export trade partners (USDmn); imports/exports to each global region (USDmn)
- Port Data: Throughput (‘000 tonnes) for all major ports in the state.
- Oil Products Prices: Price forecasts for gasoline and aviation fuel (USD/bbl) at all major global energy trading hubs.
- Economic Indicators: Nominal GDP (USDbn); real GDP growth (%); GDP per capita (USD); industrial production (%); unemployment (%)
Details of the freight infrastructure in each state by segment (road, rail, air, water and pipelines). Full analysis of the competitive landscape within each segment.
Industry Trends and Developments
Analysis of the latest projects across the freight transport sector (road, rail, air, sea and logistics) including a market overview which provides an outline of the key elements driving development.
The Freight Transport market reports contain a chapter detailing the political outlook of a given region, examining the domestic politics, long-term outlook and foreign policy, and assessing the impact this could have on freight and transport businesses.
Examines the short- to medium-term business strategies of key industry players. Strategy is examined within the context of BMI’s industry forecasts, our macroeconomic views and our understanding of the wider competitive landscape to generate company SWOT analyses.
The latest financial and operating statistics and key company developments are also incorporated within the company profiles, enabling a full evaluation of recent company performance and future growth prospects.
The Freight Transport reports draw on an extensive network of primary sources, such as multilateral organisations, government departments, industry associations, chambers and company reports
*Company profiles are not available for every country. Those reports instead contain information on the current activities of prominent companies operating in the market.