Israel Petrochemicals Report

Published 11 August 2015

  • 71 pages
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  • Includes 3 free updated quarterly reports
Israel Petrochemicals Report

BMI View: Growth in Israel's petrochemicals capacity is unlikely over the medium-term, particularly in light of lacklustre, below trend growth in chemicals, rubbers and plastics production. Producers will be banking on stronger economic growth in 2016, but BMI foresees sustained stagnation in the sector.

In, the first four months of 2015 chemicals output grew by just 0.3% y-o-y while rubber and plastic production rose 1.2%. This was well below the 4.2% overall manufacturing growth in Israel and demonstrates the sectors weaknesses and its inability to generate growth in spite of more favourable economic circumstances and lower feedstock costs.

At issue are the sector's ageing plants, which are under investigation for environmental crimes with calls for closure due to the effects of operations on residents. The efficiency of the plants brings into question their long-term competitiveness. While BMI does not envisage an imminent closure, long-term stagnation is likely.

  • Economic growth is unlikely to stimulate output. From 2016, we expect the economy to strengthen with growth of 3.4%, compared to 3.1%. Yet, if this does not give a boost to polymer processing, the impact on production volumes is not likely to be significant.

  • Israel's petrochemicals capacities are likely to remain unchanged over the next five years with 450,000 tonnes per annum (tpa) ethylene, 345,000tpa propylene, 125,000tpa benzene, 230,000tpa xylenes, 165,000tpa polyethylene (PE), 450,000tpa polypropylene (PP), 160,000tpa polyvinyl chloride (PVC) and 60,000tpa of methanol.

  • In BMI's MEA Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index (RRIs) matrix, Israel remains in sixth place and its score stays at 56.3 points this quarter. It retains the Middle East's best country risk score. Israel lies 2.8 points behind Kuwait and 6.0 points ahead of South Africa in the regional petrochemicals matrix. It is unlikely that Israel will see movement in its ranking in the foreseeable future.

BMI Industry View
Operational Risk
Industry Forecast
Table: Israel's Petrochemicals Sector, 2011-2019 ('000 tpa, unless otherwise stated)
Macroeconomic Forecasts
Economic Analysis
Expenditure Breakdown
Table: Economic Activity (Israel 2010-2019)
Industry Risk Reward Ratings
MEA Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index
Table: MEA Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index - Q4 2015
Israel Risk/Reward Index
Market Overview
Industry Trends And Developments
Company Profile
Oil Refineries Ltd (ORL)
Israel Chemicals Ltd (ICL)
Regional Overview
Middle East And Africa Overview
Feedstock Pricing Concerns
Tightening Ethane Supplies
Diversification Is The Long-Term Focus
Africa Falls Behind
Global Industry Overview
Could US Gas Run out-
Project Curtailments
Medium-term Outlook
Global - Crude Oil, Refined Fuels And Natural Gas Prices, 10-Year Forecasts
Table: Energy Price Forecasts (Global 2013-2018)
Table: Energy Price Forecasts (Global 2019-2024)
Demographic Forecast
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Israel 1990-2025)
Table: Key Population Ratios (Israel 1990-2025)
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Israel 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group (Israel 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group % (Israel 1990-2025)
Table: Glossary Of Petrochemicals Terms
Industry Forecast Methodology
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
Table: Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index Indicators
Table: Weighting Of Indicators

The Israel Petrochemicals Report has been researched at source, and features BMI Research's market assessment and independent forecasts for key petrochemicals sub-sectors. The report also analyses the impact of regulatory changes, recent developments and the background macroeconomic outlook and features competitive landscapes comparing companies by products and services, sales, market share, investments, projects, partners and expansion strategies.

BMI's Israel Petrochemicals Report provides industry professionals and strategists, sector analysts, trade associations and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the Israeli petrochemicals industry.

Key Benefits

  • Benchmark BMI's independent petrochemicals industry forecasts to test other views - a key input for successful budgetary and planning in the Israeli petrochemicals market.
  • Target business opportunities and risks in the Israeli petrochemicals sector through our reviews of latest industry trends, regulatory changes and major deals, projects and investments in Israel.
  • Assess the activities, strategy and market position of your competitors, partners and clients via our Company Profiles (inc. KPIs and latest activity).


BMI Industry View

Summary of BMI’s key industry forecasts, views and trend analysis, covering the petrochemicals markets, regulatory changes, major investments, projects and company developments.

Industry SWOT Analysis

Analysis of the major Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats within the petrochemicals sector and within the broader political, economic and business environment.

BMI Industry Forecasts

Historic data series (2009-2013) and forecasts to end-2019 for key industry and economic indicators, supported by explicit assumptions, plus analysis of key risks to the main forecasts. Indicators include:

  • Energy: Oil production (‘000 b/d), oil consumption (‘000 b/d), net oil exports (‘000 b/d), gas production (bcm), gas consumption (bcm), net gas exports (bcm), oil refinery capacity (‘000 b/d).
  • Petrochemicals: Ethylene capacity (‘000 tpa), ethylene production (‘000 tpa), ethylene consumption (‘000 tpa), polyethylene capacity (‘000 tpa), polypropylene capacity (‘000 tpa), polyvinyl chloride capacity (‘000 tpa), polyolefins consumption (‘000 tpa).
  • Oil Products Prices: Price forecasts for all major oil-based products (USD/bbl) at major global energy trading hubs.
  • Economic: Nominal GDP (USDbn), real GDP growth (%), GDP per capita (USD), population (mn), unemployment (%), exchange rate (against USD).

BMI’s Petrochemicals Risk Reward Index

BMI’s Risk Reward Indices provide investors (both corporate and financial) looking for opportunities in the region with a clear country-comparative assessment of a market’s risks and potential rewards. Each of the country markets are scored using a sophisticated model that includes more than 40 industry, economic and demographic data points to provide indices of highest to lowest appeal to investors, with each position explained.

Market Overview

Structure, size and value of the industry sector; overview of the industry landscape and key players; assessment of the business operating environment and the latest regulatory developments.

Industry Trends & Developments

Evaluation of company and sector-wide developments, including key projects (as well as expansion plans), latest company financial details and proposed international ventures.

Company Profiles*

Examines the competitive positioning and short- to medium-term business strategies of key industry players. Strategy is examined within the context of BMI’s industry forecasts, our macroeconomic views and our understanding of the wider competitive landscape. The latest financial and operating statistics and key company developments are also incorporated within the company profiles, enabling a full evaluation of recent company performance and future growth prospects.

Global & Regional Market Overview

Analysis of the key trends driving the global industry, including worldwide output/capacity and demand analysis across ethylene, polyethylene, polyvinyl chloride, polystyrene, polyethylene terephthalate and polypropylene. The regional analysis looks at the implications of local and global trends on specific company activity.

Sub-sectors covered by the Petrochemicals Reports include:

Oil & Gas, Oil Refining, Olefins (ethylene, propylene), Polyolefins (polyethylene, polypropylene), Polyvinyl Chloride, Polystyrene

Please note – not all country Reports cover all sub-sectors – see website for details.


The Petrochemicals Market Reports are based on a network of primary sources, such as multilateral organisations (ACC, APLA, Cefi c, ICCA, ICMA), national chambers of commerce and industry, national statistical offi ces, government ministries and central banks, and multinational companies.

*Company profiles are not available for every country. Those reports instead contain information on the current activities of prominent companies operating in the market.

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