Japan Autos Report

Providing expert analysis, independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the automotive industry.

Report includes: BMI Industry View, Industry SWOT Analysis, Industry Forecasts, BMI's Autos Risk Reward Index, Economic Forecasts, Company Profiles and Global, Regional and Country Industry Overviews.

Why you should buy this report

  • Benefit from the latest market opportunities
  • Understand the threats to your operations and investments and protect your company against future risks
  • Gain insight on emerging trends that could support, strengthen or disrupt your activities in the market
  • Get a full view of the competitive landscape to assess your market position
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Japan Autos Report
Product Price
$1,295.00

BMI View: Car sales will return to positive growth in 2016 due to increased demand for vehicles ahead of an increase in the national sales tax and the implementation of a new tax system in 2017. The increase in production will be stronger based on company export strategies.

Heavy Taxation Weighing On Vehicle Market
Vehicle Sales (2014-2020)
f= BMI forecast. Source: BMI, JAMA
Key Views
Source: BMI
  • Vehicle sales will grow 1.8% in 2016.

  • Mini car tax will continue to drag on overall car sales growth in 2016.

  • Vehicle demand will rise ahead of a planned increase in the national sales tax and introduction of new variable tax on vehicles in 2017.

  • Car production forecast to increase 3.0% in 2016 as major OEMs look to export more models to North America.

  • Commercial vehicle sales growth will be constrained by a contraction in the construction sector.

BMI Industry View
7
SWOT
8
Political
10
Economic
11
Operational Risk
12
Industry Forecast
14
Table: Autos Total Market - Historical Data And Forecasts (Japan 2013-2019)
16
Table: Vehicle Production By Company
19
Table: Vehicle Sales By Company
20
Industry Developments
21
Passenger Cars
23
Table: Passenger Car Market - Historical Data And Forecasts (Japan 2013-2019)
23
Table: Passenger Car Sales By Company
24
Commercial Vehicles
25
Table: Commercial Vehicle Market - Historical Data And Forecasts (Japan 2013-2019)
25
Table: Commercial Vehicle Sales By Company
26
Motorcycles
27
Table: Motorcycle Market - Historical Data And Forecasts (Japan 2013-2019)
27
Table: Motorcycle Sales By Engine Displacement
28
Table: Motorcycle Production By Engine Displacement
29
Suppliers
30
Macroeconomic Forecasts
35
Economic Analysis
35
Table: Economic Activity (Japan 2010-2019)
40
Industry Risk Reward Ratings
41
Developed States Still Lead
41
Frontier Markets Are A Risky Bet
42
On The Bubble
42
Company Profile
43
Toyota Motor
43
Nissan Motor
46
E-Bus Boom Carrying BYD To New Heights
47
Regional Overview
50
Industry Trend Analysis
50
Replacement Cycle Aids Growth
50
Bigger Markets Lagging
51
Smaller Markets Have Untapped Potential
52
Global Industry Overview
54
1
54
2
55
3
56
4
57
Demographic Forecast
59
Demographic Outlook
59
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Japan 1990-2025)
60
Table: Key Population Ratios (Japan 1990-2025)
60
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Japan 1990-2025)
61
Table: Population By Age Group (Japan 1990-2025)
61
Table: Population By Age Group % (Japan 1990-2025)
62
Methodology
64
Industry Forecasts
64
Sector-Specific Methodology
65
Sources
65
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
66
Table: Automotive Risk/Reward Index Indicators And Weighting Of Indicators
67

The Japan Autos Report features the latest data and forecasts covering production, sales, imports and exports.

BMI Research's Japan Autos Report provides industry professionals and strategists, corporate analysts, auto associations, government departments and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the automotives market in Japan.

Key Benefits

  • Benchmark BMI's independent automotives industry forecasts on Japan to test other views - a key input for successful budgetary and planning in the Japanese automotives market.
  • Target business opportunities and risks in the Japanese automotives sector through our reviews of latest industry trends, regulatory changes and major deals, projects and investments in Japan.
  • Assess the activities and market position of your competitors, partners and clients via our Competitive Landscape Analysis.

Coverage

BMI Industry View

Summary of BMI’s key industry forecasts and views, covering production, sales and the introduction of new technology or products.

Industry SWOT Analysis

Analysis of the major Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats within the autos sector and within the broader political, economic and business environment.

BMI Industry Forecasts

Historic data series and forecasts to end- 2019 for all key industry indicators (see list below), supported by explicit assumptions plus analysis of key downside risks to the main forecast, including:

Sales and production of motorcycles in units; total production of units; production by vehicle type (including cars, commercial vehicles, trucks and buses); total vehicle fleet size in units; sales by vehicle type, including passenger cars and commercial vehicles; fleet size by vehicle type, including passenger car, commercial vehicles and motorcycles; total vehicle trade balance in units; vehicle trade balance by vehicle type, including passenger car, commercial vehicle and motorcycle; car ownership measured as car density per 1,000 people.

BMI’s Autos Risk Reward Index

BMI’s Risk Reward Index provides investors (manufacturers, suppliers and dealers) looking for opportunities in the region with a clear country-comparative assessment of a market’s risks and potential rewards. Each of the country markets are scored using a sophisticated model that includes more than 40 industry, economic and demographic data points. These provide indices of highest to lowest appeal to investors, with each indices explained.

BMI Economic Forecasts

BMI forecasts to end-2019 for all headline macroeconomic indicators, including real GDP growth, inflation, fiscal balance, trade balance, current account and external debt.

Company Profiles*

Examines the competitive positioning and short- to medium-term business strategies of key industry players. Strategy is examined within the context of BMI’s industry forecasts, our macroeconomic views and our understanding of the wider competitive landscape. The latest financial and operating statistics and key company  developments are also incorporated within the company profiles, enabling a full evaluation of recent company performance and future growth prospects.

Global, Regional and Country Industry Overviews

In-depth analysis of the major global and regional developments in the market, which can be linked with the country industry overview, providing cross-country  investment, product and financing trends that will affect each market, supported by BMI’s global and regional industry forecasts.

Sources

The Autos reports draw on an extensive network of primary sources, such as manufacturing associations, statistical bureaus, government transport ministries, national chambers of commerce and industry, national statistical offices, government ministries and central banks and multinational companies.

*Company profiles are not available for every country. Those reports instead contain information on the current activities of prominent companies operating in the market.