Japan Country Risk Report

Providing comprehensive data and in-depth analysis of political, financial and economic risk.

Report includes: BMI's Core Views, 10-year Forecasts, BMI's Economic Risk Index, Political Stability and Risk Index, Long-term Political Outlook, Operational Risk Index, SWOT Analysis and Structural Economic Sections

Why you should buy this report

  • Understand and measure the political, business environment and operational risks to your company
  • Gain insight on emerging trends that could support, strengthen or disrupt your activities in the market
  • Benefit from 10-year macroeconomic forecasts and insight into the structural characteristics of the economy
  • Get the long-term political outlook and explore possible scenarios for change
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Japan Country Risk Report
Product Price
$1,245.00

Assess your risk exposure in Japan with our 100% independent forecasts assessing the pace and stability of this key market. Backed by trusted data from BMI Research's 52 million data point economic forecast model, this report will allow you to measure political, economic, business environment and operational risks in Japan with confidence.

Your subscription service includes:

  • Delivery of the report in print and PDF
  • Online access for 12 months
  • The functionality to translate your online report into your choice of 10 languages - Arabic, Chinese, French, German, Italian, Japanese, Korean, Portuguese, Russian and Spanish
  • The ability to export data and graphs from the online report directly into your workflow
  • The support of a dedicated Account Manager to answer any questions you might have about your subscription
  • Access to our team of leading analysts who will be happy to answer any questions you might have about the data and forecasts included in this report
Executive Summary
5
Core Views
5
Major Forecast Changes
5
Key Risks
5
Chapter 1: Economic Outlook
7
SWOT Analysis
7
BMI Economic Risk Index
7
Economic Growth Outlook
8
GDP Beat To Prove Temporary
8
TABLE: GDP GROWTH FORECASTS
10
TABLE: PRIVATE CONSUMPTION FORECASTS
10
TABLE: GOVERNMENT CONSUMPTION FORECASTS
10
TABLE: FIXED INVESTMENT FORECASTS
10
Fiscal Policy And Public Debt Outlook
11
Sales Tax Delay Another Blow To Economic Outlook
11
TABLE: NET EXPORTS FORECASTS
11
Structural Fiscal Position
13
TABLE: MAIN REVENUE AND EXPENDITURE CATEGORIES
13
External Trade And Investment Outlook
14
Declining Competitiveness No Major Threat To Current Account Surplus
14
TABLE: FISCAL AND PUBLIC DEBT FORECASTS
14
Outlook On External Position
15
TABLE: MAIN EXPORT AND IMPORT PARTNERS
15
TABLE: MAIN IMPORT AND EXPORTS
15
TABLE: CAPITAL & FINANCIAL ACCOUNT BALANCE
15
TABLE: CURRENT ACCOUNT BALANCE FORECASTS
16
Monetary Policy
17
Declining Inflation Expectations Unlikely To Last
17
Monetary Policy Framework
18
TABLE: MONETARY POLICY FORECASTS
18
Currency Forecast
19
JPY: Safe Haven But For How Much Longer-
19
TABLE: BMI CURRENCY FORECAST
19
Chapter 2: 10-Year Forecast
21
The Japanese Economy To 2025
21
Abenomics Hangover Only Just Beginning
21
TABLE: LONG-TERM MACROECONOMIC FORECASTS
21
Chapter 3: Political Outlook
25
SWOT Analysis
25
BMI Political Risk Index
25
Domestic Politics
26
Upper House Elections Crucial For Abenomics
26
TABLE: POLITICAL OVERVIEW
26
Long-Term Political Outlook
28
Abe And LDP Face Colossal Long-Term Challenges
28
Chapter 4: Operational Risk
33
SWOT Analysis
33
Operational Risk Index
33
Operational Risk
34
Labour Market Risk
34
TABLE: DEVELOPED STATES - LABOUR MARKET RISK
34
Logistics Risk
37
TABLE: DEVELOPED STATES - LOGISTICS RISK
38
Crime And Security Risk
40
TABLE: DEVELOPED STATES - CRIME AND SECURITY RISK
41
Trade And Investment Risk
42
TABLE: DEVELOPED STATES - TRADE AND INVESTMENT RISK
43
Chapter 5:BMI Global Macro Outlook
45
Global Macro Outlook
45
Brexit Risk Casts A Long Shadow
45
TABLE: GLOBAL ASSUMPTIONS
45
TABLE: DEVELOPED STATES, REAL GDP GROWTH, %
46
TABLE: EMERGING MARKETS, REAL GDP GROWTH, %
47
MACROECONOMIC FORECAST
49
TABLE: MACROECONOMIC DATA & FORECASTS
49