Jordan Telecommunications Report

Published 28 May 2015

  • 73 pages
  • Instant access to your report online and PDF format through your account library
  • Includes 3 free updated quarterly reports
$1,295.00
Jordan Telecommunications Report

BMI View: Jordan 's telecoms market suffered a tough year in 2014, with declines in both mobile and fixed voice subscriptions. While the fixed voice decrease is part of an overall global trend, the one in mobile came from a saturated market with a majority of prepaid subscriptions, many being discounted as inactive after stronger regulatory pressure on registration. We do not expect strong growth in the market, and believe that operators will look to deepen and not widen their customer base. This means they will look to retain their current base, stabilising the losses that occurred in 2014, and upsell them with new services to improve revenues and profitability. The launch of 4G services, and the potential move towards converged plans, ha s the potential to drive revenues upwards, though competition will remain strong.

Key Data

  • Jordan's mobile market contracted in 2014, declining 3.4% year-on-year (y-o-y) to reach 9.82mn subscribers

  • The fixed voice market also went down, declining 1.2% y-o-y to reach 375,483 connections

  • However, the broadband market expanded, going up 18.5% to 1.78mn, thanks to strong growth amongst mobile broadband subscriptions

Risk/Reward Index

Jordan moved up to tenth (out of 18 countries) in our latest Risk-Reward Index for the Middle East and North Africa, with a telecoms score of 47, just below the regional average of 47.7. Its core went up in the latest quarter from 46.7, with the increased due to a higher score in the Country Risks ratings, as all other categories were unchanged; the increase was due to ease was due to a more bullish forecast in terms of private consumption, as Jordan benefits from being lower oil prices. This should increase disposable income, which could be spent on telecoms services, with operators hoping their launch of 4G services will offset revenue decline from legacy services.

BMI Industry View
7
SWOT
8
Telecoms SWOT
8
Political
10
Economic
11
Operational Risk
12
Industry Forecast
14
Table: Telecoms Sector - Historical Data & Forecasts (Jordan 2012-2019)
14
Industry Risk/Rewards Ratings
18
Industry Risk Reward Index
18
Table: MENA Q215 Risk/Reward Index
21
Market Overview
22
Mobile
22
Regional Perspective
22
Table: Jordan Mobile Market Regional Comparison, 2014
23
Market Developments
23
Table: Jordan Mobile Market ('000)
25
Operator Tables
29
Table: Market Overview
29
Table: Orange Jordan
29
Table: Zain
30
Table: Umniah
30
Middle East And North Africa Mobile Content - Q2 2015
31
Wireline
33
Table: Jordan Fixed-Line Subscriptions
34
Table: Jordan Internet Subscriptions By Technologies
37
Industry Trends And Developments
38
Regulatory Development
41
Table: Jordan: Regulatory Bodies And Their Responsibilities
41
Latest Developments
44
Competitive Landscape
46
Table: Key Players - Jordan Telecoms Markets
46
Table: Selected Operators Financial Indicators (USDmn)
46
Company Profile
47
Orange Jordan
47
Zain Jordan
51
Jordan Telecommunications Report Q3 2015
Jordan Telecommunications Report Q3 2015
- Business Monitor International Ltd Page 4
- Business Monitor International Ltd Page 4
Umniah
54
Regional Overview
57
Table: Selected Deals And Announcements, 2014-2015
60
Demographic Forecast
62
Jordan Demographic Forecast
62
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Jordan 1990-2025)
63
Table: Key Population Ratios (Jordan 1990-2025)
63
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Jordan 1990-2025)
64
Table: Population By Age Group (Jordan 1990-2025)
64
Table: Population By Age Group % (Jordan 1990-2025)
65
Glossary
67
Table: Glossary Of Terms
67
Methodology
69
Industry Forecast Methodology
69
Sources
71
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
71
Table: Risk/Reward Index Indicators
72
Table: Weighting Of Indicators
73

The Jordan Telecommunications Report features BMI Research's independent industry forecasts on the future strength of Jordan's ICT market, covering the fixed-line, mobile and internet segments and analyses latest regulatory developments and corporate news, including investment activity, mergers and acquisitions, joint ventures and partnerships. Leading operators and manufacturers are fully profiled, highlighting their quarterly financial performance, capital expenditure plans and latest contracts.

BMI's Jordan Telecommunications Report provides industry professionals and researchers, operators, equipment suppliers and vendors, corporate and financial services analysts and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the telecoms industry in Jordan.

Key Benefits

  • Benchmark BMI's independent telecoms industry forecasts for Jordan to test other views - a key input for successful budgeting and strategic business planning in the Jordanian telecoms market.
  • Target business opportunities and risks in Jordan's telecoms sector through our reviews of latest industry trends, regulatory changes and major deals, projects and investments in Jordan.
  • Assess the activities, strategy and market position of your competitors, partners and clients via our Company Profiles (inc. SWOTs, KPIs and latest activity).

Coverage

BMI Industry View

Summary of BMI’s key industry forecasts and views, covering the ARPU, fixed-line, mobile (including 3G & 4G), internet and broadband markets.

Industry SWOT Analysis

Analysis of the major Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats within the wireline and wireless sectors and within the broader political, economic and business environment.

BMI Industry Forecast Scenario

Historic data series (2010-2013) and forecasts to end-2019 for all key industry indicators, supported by explicit assumptions, plus analysis of key downside risks to the main forecast.

  • Fixed-line Telephony – Telephone lines (‘000); telephone lines/100 inhabitants.
  • Cellular Telephony – Mobile phone subscribers (‘000); mobile phone subscribers/100 inhabitants; and where available, 3G & 4G subscribers (‘000); 3G & 4G subscribers/100 inhabitants; 3G & 4G subscribers as a percentage of overall mobile market.
  • Internet Markets – Internet users (‘000); internet users/100 inhabitants; broadband internet subscribers (‘000); broadband internet subscribers/100 inhabitants.

BMI’s Telecommunications Risk Reward Index

BMI’s Risk Reward Indices provide investors (vendors, operators and suppliers) looking for opportunities in the region with a clear country comparative assessment of a market’s risks and potential rewards. Each of the country markets are scored using a sophisticated model that includes more than 40 industry, economic and demographic data points to provide an Indices of highest to lowest appeal to investors, with each position explained.

Market Data Analysis

Detailed market analysis of the mobile, mobile content, fixed-line and internet segments, broken down into:

  • Market Data – Analysis of market size, operator shares, dominant trends, competitive landscape and key quarterly data.
  • Technology/Service Rollout – Analysis of rollout/adoption of new technology, such as 3G & 4G, WiMAX, IPTV, pay-TV, LTE and valueadded handset services (gaming, music, video, apps etc.).
  • Mobile Content – The latest trends in content and services available and being introduced by mobile operators, including a timeline of all the latest major mobile content developments.
    Company Database – A comprehensive breakdown of KPIs of the leading mobile operators, including subscriber figures by type (pre-paid and post-paid); 3G & 4G subscriber figures; net additions; market share; ARPU; churn rates; minutes of use; voice and non-voice revenue; financial figures (including operating revenues, net profits and EBITDA).

Regulatory Environment

Details of the regulatory bodies and their responsibilities, as well as a special focus on the rules surrounding competition and interconnection. Also covers the latest updates in the market’s development and regulatory rulings.

Company Profiles*

Examines the competitive positioning and short- to medium-term business strategies of key industry players. Strategy is examined within the context of BMI’s industry forecasts, our macroeconomic views and our understanding of the wider competitive landscape to generate Company SWOT analyses. The latest financial and operating statistics and key company developments are also incorporated within the company profiles, enabling a full evaluation of recent company performance and future growth prospects.

Sources

The Telecommunications Reports draw on an extensive network of primary sources, such as multilateral organisations, government departments, industry associations, chambers and company reports.

*Company profiles are not available for every country. Those reports instead contain information on the current activities of prominent companies operating in the market.

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