Kazakhstan Freight Transport Report

Published 03 December 2014

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Kazakhstan Freight Transport Report

Following a year that saw increasing volumes across all modes of Kazakhstan's freight transport sector, BMI believes 2015 will signal further growth in line with the country's macroeconomic outlook.

Total trade is projected to pick up with our Country Risk desk forecasting a year-on-year (y-o-y) increase of 6.4% in 2015 following an estimated growth of 5% in 2014.

The most potential for growth and development in Kazakhstan's freight transport sector remains in the country's rail freight market. The country's exports are concentrated on the freighting of bulk products, namely oil and grain. The country's rail freight sector has developed to cater for these needs and will continue to do so in the longer term, as both commodities look set to continue dominating Kazakhstan's trade sector.

Rail freight is also in high demand as Kazakhstan develops its role as a conduit for freight shipped by land between Asia and Europe. The country is playing a role in the development of the Asia-Europe landbridge, a route linking China to Europe via rail.

Road freight is to continue to dominate the sector and is projected to grow by 11% in 2015.  

Headline Industry Data

  • 2015 Air freight tonnage is expected to grow by 5.5%

  • 2015 Rail freight is forecast to grow by 4.0%

  • 2015 Road freight is forecast to grow by 10.7%

  • 2015 Inland waterway freight is forecast to grow by 2.9%

  • 2015 Total real trade growth is forecast at 6.4%.

Key Industry Trends  

Kazakh Rail Freight Steams Ahead With Two New Lines: The launch of two new railway lines in Kazakhstan supports our view that rail transport will be the key driver of growth and development in the country's freight transport sector. Moreover, the new railway lines will significantly boost the country's role as a conduit for regional trade. It is a significant development for the country's transport network, increasing the total length by 1,200km and reducing transit times to neighbouring states, with around 1,000km cut from the...

Table of Contents

BMI Industry View
SWOT Analysis
Kazakhstan Freight Transport SWOT
Industry Trends And Developments
Rail Freight
Road Freight
Air Freight
Market Overview
Industry Forecast
Air Freight: In Recovery
Table: Air Freight, 2010-2017
Rail Freight: Upside Risk To Bullish Forecasts
Table: Rail Freight, 2010-2017
Road Freight: Potential Asia-Europe Link Role Beckons
Table: Road Freight, 2010-2017
Inland Waterway: Growth Potential
Table: Inland Waterway Freight, 2010-2017
Table: Trade Overview, 2010-2017
Table: Key Trade Indicators, 2010-2017
Table: Main Import Partners (US$mn), 2002-2009
Table: Main Export Partners (US$mn), 2002-2009
Global Oil Products Price Outlook
Table: BMI's Refined Products Forecasts, 2010-2016
Table: Middle East Outperforms In Terms of Passenger Growth
Political Outlook
Domestic Politics
Macroeconomic Outlook
Table: Kazakhstan - Economic Activity, 2011-2016
Company Profiles
Kaztransservis (KTC)
Air Astana Cargo
Country Snapshot
Table: Kazakhstan's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 ('000)
Table: Kazakhstan's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of total)
Table: Kazakhstan's Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020
Table: Kazakhstan's Rural And Urban Population, 1990-2020
BMI Methodology
How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts
Transport Industry

The Kazakhstan Freight Transport Report has been researched at source, and features latest-available data covering commercial transport and logistics by road, rail, air and water; industry forecasts, company rankings covering leading national and multinational operators; and analysis of latest industry trends, opportunities, projects and regulatory changes.

BMI Research's Kazakhstan Freight Transport Report provides industry professionals and strategists, sector analysts, investors, trade associations and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the Kazakhstani freight transport and logistics industry.

Key Benefits

  • Benchmark BMI's independent freight transport industry forecasts on Kazakhstan to test other views - a key input for successful budgetary and planning in the strategic freight transport market.
  • Target business opportunities and risks in the Kazakhstani freight transport sector through our reviews of latest industry trends, regulatory changes and major deals, projects and investments in Kazakhstan.
  • Assess the activities, strategy and market position of your competitors, partners and clients via our Company Profiles (inc. SWOTs, KPIs, and latest activity).


BMI Industry View

Summary of BMI’s key industry forecasts, views and trend analysis covering freight transport and logistics, regulatory changes, major investments and projects and significant national and multinational company developments.

Industry SWOT Analysis

Analysis of the major strengths, weaknesses, opportunities and threats within the freight transport sector and within the broader political, economic and business environment.

BMI Industry Forecasts

Historic data series (2008-2012) and forecasts to end-2019 for all key industry and economic indicators (see list below), supported by explicit assumptions plus analysis of key downside risks to the main forecast including:

  • Transport Sector: Total freight carried by road, rail, inland waterways, maritime, air and pipeline (mn tonnes-km/mn tonnes).
  • Trade: Exports and imports (USDmn) by category of goods (manufactured goods, food, chemicals etc.); top five import and export trade partners (USDmn); imports/exports to each global region (USDmn)
  • Port Data: Throughput (‘000 tonnes) for all major ports in the state.
  • Oil Products Prices: Price forecasts for gasoline and aviation fuel (USD/bbl) at all major global energy trading hubs.
  • Economic Indicators: Nominal GDP (USDbn); real GDP growth (%); GDP per capita (USD); industrial production (%); unemployment (%)

Market Overview

Details of the freight infrastructure in each state by segment (road, rail, air, water and pipelines). Full analysis of the competitive landscape within each segment.

Industry Trends and Developments

Analysis of the latest projects across the freight transport sector (road, rail, air, sea and logistics) including a market overview which provides an outline of the key elements driving development.

Political Outlook

The Freight Transport market reports contain a chapter detailing the political outlook of a given region, examining the domestic politics, long-term outlook and foreign policy, and assessing the impact this could have on freight and transport businesses.

Company Profiles*

Examines the short- to medium-term business strategies of key industry players. Strategy is examined within the context of BMI’s industry forecasts, our macroeconomic views and our understanding of the wider competitive landscape to generate company SWOT analyses.

The latest financial and operating statistics and key company developments are also incorporated within the company profiles, enabling a full evaluation of recent company performance and future growth prospects.


The Freight Transport reports draw on an extensive network of primary sources, such as multilateral organisations, government departments, industry associations, chambers and company reports

*Company profiles are not available for every country. Those reports instead contain information on the current activities of prominent companies operating in the market.

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'An essential, multi-faceted research tool. BMI’s thorough understanding of the major market players enables an informed – and informative – review of the sector’s actual performance, together with useful insights into current industry issues, which are topped-off with detailed and invaluable forecasts of industry and macroeconomic trends.’

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