Kazakhstan & Uzbekistan Petrochemicals Report

Providing expert analysis, independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the petrochemicals.

Report includes: BMI Industry View, Industry SWOT Analysis, Industry Forecasts, BMI's Petrochemicals Risk Reward Index, Economic Forecasts, Company Profiles and Global, Regional and Country Industry Overviews.

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  • Get a full view of the competitive landscape to assess your market position
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Kazakhstan & Uzbekistan Petrochemicals Report
Product Price
$1,295.00

Low oil prices have had a deleterious effect on Central Asia's petrochemicals potential. With ethane the main feedstock, petrochemicals production looks less attractive. The region is therefore set to remain a net importer of polymers and other derivatives.

Uzbekistan began commercial operations at the new Surgil petrochemicals complex in 2016 with capacities of 400,000 tonnes per annum (tpa) tpa ethylene, 400,000tpa high density polyethylene and 100,000tpa polypropylene (PP). This raised regional petrochemicals capacities to 640,000tpa ethylene, 525,000tpa polyethylene and 220,000tpa PP. In global terms, Central Asian producers remain minnows in the industry, in spite of the region's considerable energy resources. Petrochemicals consumption is also low, making the region a poorly developed market.

  • In 2016, South Korea's LG Chem cancelled its plans to build a USD4.2bn petrochemical complex in a joint venture with Kazakhstan Petrochemical Industries. It was to produce 840,000tpa of ethylene, 400,000tpa of low density polyethylene (LDPE) and 400,000tpa of linear low density polyethylene (LLDPE). As a result, the complex has been removed from our forecasts.

  • Plans for a new PP facility in Kazakhstan have also been mothballed following the withdrawal of Chinese partner, removing 500,000tpa of PP from our forecasts.

  • Uzbekistan is set to be the most dynamic market for petrochemicals in Central Asia as its industrial performance outclasses the rest of the region. However, petrochemicals consumption will still be negligible in world terms.

BMI Industry View
7
Key Views
7
SWOT
9
Industry Forecast
11
Table: Historical Data And Forecasts
11
Latest Developments
11
Kazakhstan - Sales
11
Kazakhstan - Production
12
Kazakhstan - Trade
13
Uzbekistan - Sales
14
Table: Historical Data And Forecasts
14
Uzbekistan - Trade
16
Passenger Cars
17
Table: Historical Data And Forecasts
17
Latest Developments - Kazakhstan
17
Table: Kazakhstan, Top-Selling Light Vehicle Brands, 10M15
17
Table: Historical Data And Forecasts
18
Latest Developments - Uzbekistan
18
Commercial Vehicles
19
Table: Historical Data And Forecasts
19
Latest Developments
19
Table: Kazakhstan, Top-Selling CV Brands, 10M15
20
Industry Risk Reward Ratings
21
Europe - Risk/Reward Index
21
Russia Too Risky To Realise Potential
21
Developed States Show Signs Of Risk
22
Trouble Spots Marked By High Risk Position
22
Company Profile
23
GM Uzbekistan
23
AziaAVTO
24
Regional Overview
25
Table: Emerging Europe - Autos Production Investment
25
Demographic Forecast
28
Demographic Outlook
28
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Kazakhstan 1990-2025)
29
Table: Key Population Ratios (Kazakhstan 1990-2025)
29
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Kazakhstan 1990-2025)
30
Table: Population By Age Group (Kazakhstan 1990-2025)
30
Table: Population By Age Group % (Kazakhstan 1990-2025)
31
Methodology
33
Industry Forecasts
33
Sector-Specific Methodology
34
Sources
34
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
35
Table: Automotive Risk/Reward Index Indicators And Weighting Of Indicators
36

The Kazakhstan & Uzbekistan Petrochemicals Report has been researched at source, and features BMI Research's market assessment and independent forecasts for key petrochemicals sub-sectors. The report also analyses the impact of regulatory changes, recent developments and the background macroeconomic outlook and features competitive landscapes comparing companies by products and services, sales, market share, investments, projects, partners and expansion strategies.

BMI's Kazakhstan & Uzbekistan Petrochemicals Report provides industry professionals and strategists, sector analysts, trade associations and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the Kazakhstani, Uzbekistani petrochemicals industry.

Key Benefits

  • Benchmark BMI's independent petrochemicals industry forecasts to test other views - a key input for successful budgetary and planning in the Kazakhstani, Uzbekistani petrochemicals market.
  • Target business opportunities and risks in the Kazakhstani, Uzbekistani petrochemicals sector through our reviews of latest industry trends, regulatory changes and major deals, projects and investments in Kazakhstan, Uzbekistan.
  • Assess the activities, strategy and market position of your competitors, partners and clients via our Company Profiles (inc. KPIs and latest activity).

Coverage

BMI Industry View

Summary of BMI’s key industry forecasts, views and trend analysis, covering the petrochemicals markets, regulatory changes, major investments, projects and company developments.

Industry SWOT Analysis

Analysis of the major Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats within the petrochemicals sector and within the broader political, economic and business environment.

BMI Industry Forecasts

Historic data series (2009-2013) and forecasts to end-2019 for key industry and economic indicators, supported by explicit assumptions, plus analysis of key risks to the main forecasts. Indicators include:

  • Energy: Oil production (‘000 b/d), oil consumption (‘000 b/d), net oil exports (‘000 b/d), gas production (bcm), gas consumption (bcm), net gas exports (bcm), oil refinery capacity (‘000 b/d).
  • Petrochemicals: Ethylene capacity (‘000 tpa), ethylene production (‘000 tpa), ethylene consumption (‘000 tpa), polyethylene capacity (‘000 tpa), polypropylene capacity (‘000 tpa), polyvinyl chloride capacity (‘000 tpa), polyolefins consumption (‘000 tpa).
  • Oil Products Prices: Price forecasts for all major oil-based products (USD/bbl) at major global energy trading hubs.
  • Economic: Nominal GDP (USDbn), real GDP growth (%), GDP per capita (USD), population (mn), unemployment (%), exchange rate (against USD).

BMI’s Petrochemicals Risk Reward Index

BMI’s Risk Reward Indices provide investors (both corporate and financial) looking for opportunities in the region with a clear country-comparative assessment of a market’s risks and potential rewards. Each of the country markets are scored using a sophisticated model that includes more than 40 industry, economic and demographic data points to provide indices of highest to lowest appeal to investors, with each position explained.

Market Overview

Structure, size and value of the industry sector; overview of the industry landscape and key players; assessment of the business operating environment and the latest regulatory developments.

Industry Trends & Developments

Evaluation of company and sector-wide developments, including key projects (as well as expansion plans), latest company financial details and proposed international ventures.

Company Profiles*

Examines the competitive positioning and short- to medium-term business strategies of key industry players. Strategy is examined within the context of BMI’s industry forecasts, our macroeconomic views and our understanding of the wider competitive landscape. The latest financial and operating statistics and key company developments are also incorporated within the company profiles, enabling a full evaluation of recent company performance and future growth prospects.

Global & Regional Market Overview

Analysis of the key trends driving the global industry, including worldwide output/capacity and demand analysis across ethylene, polyethylene, polyvinyl chloride, polystyrene, polyethylene terephthalate and polypropylene. The regional analysis looks at the implications of local and global trends on specific company activity.

Sub-sectors covered by the Petrochemicals Reports include:

Oil & Gas, Oil Refining, Olefins (ethylene, propylene), Polyolefins (polyethylene, polypropylene), Polyvinyl Chloride, Polystyrene

Please note – not all country Reports cover all sub-sectors – see website for details.

Sources

The Petrochemicals Market Reports are based on a network of primary sources, such as multilateral organisations (ACC, APLA, Cefi c, ICCA, ICMA), national chambers of commerce and industry, national statistical offi ces, government ministries and central banks, and multinational companies.

*Company profiles are not available for every country. Those reports instead contain information on the current activities of prominent companies operating in the market.