Kazakhstan & Uzbekistan Petrochemicals Report

Published 26 October 2015

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Quarterly report providing expert analysis, independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the petrochemicals.

Report includes: BMI Industry View, Industry SWOT Analysis, Industry Forecasts, BMI's Petrochemicals Risk Reward Index, Economic Forecasts, Company Profiles and Global, Regional and Country Industry Overviews.

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  • Gain insight on emerging trends that could support, strengthen or disrupt your activities in the market
  • Get a full view of the competitive landscape to assess your market position

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Kazakhstan & Uzbekistan Petrochemicals Report
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While Uzbekistan and Kazakhstan are set to open new petrochemicals facilities, there are strong downside risks associated with depressed export markets, uncompetitive feedstock prices and sluggish domestic demand. Investment decisions are being postponed and plant construction is being delayed due to ongoing problems facing the Central Asian economies.

In 2015, Central Asia's petrochemicals capacities include 240,000 tonnes per annum (tpa) ethylene, 125,000tpa polyethylene (PE) and 120,000tpa polypropylene (PP). The size of the industry was far less than the size of just one world-scale petrochemicals complex in the Middle East, yet Central Asia is only just leveraging its significant potential in terms of feedstock due to massive upstream resources.

  • Uzbekistan should begin commercial operations in 2016 at an ethane cracker with capacity to produce 400,000tpa of ethylene as well as downstream units with capacity for 400,000tpa HDPE and 100,000tpa PP.

  • Kazakhstan is set to see the completed construction of a major petrochemicals complex in the Atyrau region that is designed to produce polypropylene (PP) from 2016. The first two stages of the complex will create a 500,000tpa propylene capacity as well as a 800,000tpa PP facility. A third complex stage, planned for 2016, is set to produce butadiene using feedstock from two other major Kazakh oil fields, Karachaganak in the country's north west and Kashagan field in the Caspian Sea. However, with delays in start-up at Kashagan, the third stage may not be completed until 2018.

  • By 2020, Central Asia will be producing at capacities including 1.48mn tpa ethylene, with polymers production consisting of 1.33mn tpa PE, 1.02mn tpa PP and 100,000tpa polyvinyl chloride (PVC).

Changes in energy prices have a profound impact both on the economic performance of Kazakhstan and Uzbekistan and on the state of their petrochemicals industries. A decline in oil and gas revenues undermines domestic demand. Moreover, the relative...

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BMI Industry View
Industry Forecast
Table: Combined Uzbekistan and Kazakhstan Petrochemicals Industry - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2012-2020 (000tpa)
Macroeconomic Forecasts
Currency Forecast
Economic Analysis
Table: Economic Activity (Uzbekistan 2010-2019)
Market Overview
Table: Central Asia Petrochemicals Facilities
Industry Trends And Developments
Company Profile
Regional Overview
Energy Prices And Greek Crisis Will Determine Margins
Delays and Mothballing in the East
Global Industry Overview
Feedstock Differentials: Respite for Europe
2016 Feedstock Outlook
Could US Gas Run out-
Market Outlook: Chinese Downturn
Long-term Outlook
Europe - Brent On Board For A Bumpy Ride
Demographic Forecast
Demographic Outlook
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Kazakhstan 1990-2025)
Table: Key Population Ratios (Kazakhstan 1990-2025)
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Kazakhstan 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group (Kazakhstan 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group % (Kazakhstan 1990-2025)
Demographic Forecast
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Uzbekistan 1990-2025)
Table: Key Population Ratios (Uzbekistan 1990-2025)
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Uzbekistan 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group (Uzbekistan 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group % (Uzbekistan 1990-2025)
Table: Glossary Of Petrochemicals Terms
Industry Forecast Methodology
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
Table: Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index Indicators
Table: Weighting Of Indicators

The Kazakhstan & Uzbekistan Petrochemicals Report has been researched at source, and features BMI Research's market assessment and independent forecasts for key petrochemicals sub-sectors. The report also analyses the impact of regulatory changes, recent developments and the background macroeconomic outlook and features competitive landscapes comparing companies by products and services, sales, market share, investments, projects, partners and expansion strategies.

BMI's Kazakhstan & Uzbekistan Petrochemicals Report provides industry professionals and strategists, sector analysts, trade associations and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the Kazakhstani, Uzbekistani petrochemicals industry.

Key Benefits

  • Benchmark BMI's independent petrochemicals industry forecasts to test other views - a key input for successful budgetary and planning in the Kazakhstani, Uzbekistani petrochemicals market.
  • Target business opportunities and risks in the Kazakhstani, Uzbekistani petrochemicals sector through our reviews of latest industry trends, regulatory changes and major deals, projects and investments in Kazakhstan, Uzbekistan.
  • Assess the activities, strategy and market position of your competitors, partners and clients via our Company Profiles (inc. KPIs and latest activity).


BMI Industry View

Summary of BMI’s key industry forecasts, views and trend analysis, covering the petrochemicals markets, regulatory changes, major investments, projects and company developments.

Industry SWOT Analysis

Analysis of the major Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats within the petrochemicals sector and within the broader political, economic and business environment.

BMI Industry Forecasts

Historic data series (2009-2013) and forecasts to end-2019 for key industry and economic indicators, supported by explicit assumptions, plus analysis of key risks to the main forecasts. Indicators include:

  • Energy: Oil production (‘000 b/d), oil consumption (‘000 b/d), net oil exports (‘000 b/d), gas production (bcm), gas consumption (bcm), net gas exports (bcm), oil refinery capacity (‘000 b/d).
  • Petrochemicals: Ethylene capacity (‘000 tpa), ethylene production (‘000 tpa), ethylene consumption (‘000 tpa), polyethylene capacity (‘000 tpa), polypropylene capacity (‘000 tpa), polyvinyl chloride capacity (‘000 tpa), polyolefins consumption (‘000 tpa).
  • Oil Products Prices: Price forecasts for all major oil-based products (USD/bbl) at major global energy trading hubs.
  • Economic: Nominal GDP (USDbn), real GDP growth (%), GDP per capita (USD), population (mn), unemployment (%), exchange rate (against USD).

BMI’s Petrochemicals Risk Reward Index

BMI’s Risk Reward Indices provide investors (both corporate and financial) looking for opportunities in the region with a clear country-comparative assessment of a market’s risks and potential rewards. Each of the country markets are scored using a sophisticated model that includes more than 40 industry, economic and demographic data points to provide indices of highest to lowest appeal to investors, with each position explained.

Market Overview

Structure, size and value of the industry sector; overview of the industry landscape and key players; assessment of the business operating environment and the latest regulatory developments.

Industry Trends & Developments

Evaluation of company and sector-wide developments, including key projects (as well as expansion plans), latest company financial details and proposed international ventures.

Company Profiles*

Examines the competitive positioning and short- to medium-term business strategies of key industry players. Strategy is examined within the context of BMI’s industry forecasts, our macroeconomic views and our understanding of the wider competitive landscape. The latest financial and operating statistics and key company developments are also incorporated within the company profiles, enabling a full evaluation of recent company performance and future growth prospects.

Global & Regional Market Overview

Analysis of the key trends driving the global industry, including worldwide output/capacity and demand analysis across ethylene, polyethylene, polyvinyl chloride, polystyrene, polyethylene terephthalate and polypropylene. The regional analysis looks at the implications of local and global trends on specific company activity.

Sub-sectors covered by the Petrochemicals Reports include:

Oil & Gas, Oil Refining, Olefins (ethylene, propylene), Polyolefins (polyethylene, polypropylene), Polyvinyl Chloride, Polystyrene

Please note – not all country Reports cover all sub-sectors – see website for details.


The Petrochemicals Market Reports are based on a network of primary sources, such as multilateral organisations (ACC, APLA, Cefi c, ICCA, ICMA), national chambers of commerce and industry, national statistical offi ces, government ministries and central banks, and multinational companies.

*Company profiles are not available for every country. Those reports instead contain information on the current activities of prominent companies operating in the market.