Kenya Renewables Report

Published 20 July 2015

  • 47 pages
  • Instant access to your report online and PDF format through your account library
  • Includes 3 free updated quarterly reports
$1,295.00
Kenya Renewables Report

BMI View: The Kenyan government's push to improve electrification rates, expand renewable energy, improve electricity trade links and reduce its reliance on hydropower and diesel are strategically sound moves that will benefit the country both economically and socially over the coming decade. We hold a particularly optimistic outlook towards the country's geothermal industry, as capacity comes online and the government continues to invite proposals for the construction of new geothermal power plants. On the other hand construction at the Lake Turkana wind power plant provides a significant boost for the Kenyan wind sector, and marks a major milestone for the flagship wind project. That said, we have factored in the completion of the project into our 2018 forecasts - a delay of one year - in light of the numerous risks facing the construction phase of the project.

Kenya's energy policy and efforts to promote renewable technology reflect the need to diversify the country's electricity mix away from expensive imported oil and unreliable hydropower. Kenya has the potential to generate electricity from almost all types of renewable energy resources - including geothermal, wind and solar power. We are witnessing positive developments across the renewables segment, with large-scale geothermal plants and wind projects under way and small-scale decentralised rural renewables projects also gaining traction.

Large-scale investments in geothermal energy in Kenya have gradually started delivering results, according to data released by the National Bureau of Statistics. Recent power generation figures indicate that the country's future electricity demand will be increasingly met by geothermal energy resources, as opposed to the rapidly dwindling hydro-electricity supply. Kenya now boasts adequate electricity supply, as opposed to many other Sub-Saharan African countries, who struggle with severe power shortages and frequent blackouts.

The Kenyan government's push to...

BMI Industry View
5
SWOT
9
Industry Forecast
12
Kenya Renewables Forecast Scenario
12
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Kenya 2013-2018)
12
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Kenya 2019-2024)
13
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Kenya 2013-2018)
14
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Kenya 2019-2024)
15
Table: Kenya Geothermal Sites
22
Kenya Renewables Projects Database
29
Table: Kenya Renewables Projects
29
Industry Risk Reward Index
31
Kenya Renewables Risk/Reward Index
31
Rewards
31
Risks
32
Market Overview
33
Sustainable Energy Policy And Infrastructure
33
Targets (Renewables And Emissions)
33
Subsidies
34
Table: Renewable Feed-In Tariffs In Kenya, 2012
34
Infrastructure
35
Competitive Landscape
37
Glossary
40
Table: Glossary Of Terms
40
Methodology
41
Methodology And Sources
41
Industry Forecast Methodology
41
Sources
43
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
43
Table: Renewables Risk/Reward Index Indicators
45
Table: Weighting Indicators
46

The Kenya Renewables Report researched at source contains BMI Research's assessment of the current renewables market in Kenya. The report also contains historical data together with forecasts to end-2018 covering electricity generation (TWh) and electricity capacity (MW).

The renewables sectors covered in the report include Wind, Solar, Geothermal, Tidal and Wave, and Biomass (See Table of Contents for exact coverage). The report also features details on government green energy agendas and funding opportunities, as well as presenting a detailed list of key renewables projects currently being planned or undertaken in Kenya, their capacity, the timeframe of construction and their current status.

The report discusses the various energy policies currently in force, including targets, subsidies and the relevant infrastructure developments or limitations which might impact on renewables growth, analysing the potential effects of regulatory changes in conjunction with the background macroeconomic outlook. Finally, there is a general overview of the competitive landscape in Kenya, together with a detailed summary of the main utilities and manufacturers present and their business operations.

BMI's Kenya Renewables Report provides industry professionals and strategists, sector analysts, investors, trade associations and regulatory bodies with unique independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the Kenya renewables industry.

Key Benefits

  • Benchmark BMI's independent renewables industry forecasts for Kenya to test other views - a key input for successful budgeting and planning in the renewables market.
  • Target business opportunities and risks in the Kenya renewables sector through our reviews of latest industry trends, regulatory changes and major deals, projects and investments in the country.

Coverage

BMI Industry View

Summary of BMI's key industry forecasts, views and trend analysis covering the renewables market in Kenya, regulatory changes, major investments and projects and significant multinational and national company developments.

Industry SWOT Analysis

Analysis of the major Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats within the renewables sector and within the broader political, economic and business environment.

BMI Industry Forecasts

Historic data series (2010-2012) and forecasts to end-2018 for electricity generation (TWh) and electricity generating capacity (MW) for each individual renewables sector present in the country.

These in turn are broken down into:

Electricity Generation: Overall capacity (TWh), growth % change year-on-year, KWh per capita, % of Total Non-Hydropower renewables generation, % of total electricity generation.

Electricity Capacity: Overall capacity (MW), growth % change year-on-year, % of non-hydroelectric renewables capacity and % of total capacity.

These forecasts are in turn supported by explicit assumptions, in conjunction with analysis of the key risks to the main forecast.

Business Environment Rankings

BMI's Renewables Business Environment Rankings provide fully comparable Risk-Reward Rankings aimed at investors in the regional renewables market.

The rankings methodology makes sophisticated use of various industry, economic and demographic data point.

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