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Argentina Freight Transport & Shipping Report

Argentina Freight Transport & Shipping Report

BMI View: Argentina's freight transport sector will be negatively impacted by an economic recession in 2016, though elevated government spending will prevent growth turning negative across the freight modes. While currency devaluation will boost the ...
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Argentina Tourism Report

Argentina Tourism Report

BMI View: Argentina's tourism market offers significant growth potential. The country has a broad range of attractions and extensive supporting infrastructure, including a relatively modern hotel market and growing range of international transport connections. ...
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BMI Aluminium Report

BMI Aluminium Report

BMI view: We have revised our aluminium price forecast from USD1,575/tonne to USD1,600/tonne in 2016, as the tightening market provided an earlier than expected floor in Q 116. Aluminium prices will gradually edge higher as ...
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BMI Copper Report

BMI Copper Report

BMI View: We have revised down our average copper price forecast for 2016 to USD4,900/tonne. We expect prices to find a floor over the first half of 2016, and begin to stabilise thereafter, supported by production ...
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BMI Gold Report

BMI Gold Report

BMI View: Gold prices will prove resilient in 2016 due to a dovish shift in global monetary policy and elevated systemic financial sector risks. However, we do not foresee a sustained multi-year recovery and the mining ...
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BMI Lead Report

BMI Lead Report

BMI View: Lead prices will gradually edge higher as the global lead market will shift into deficit by 2017 as production growth will slow over the coming years. BMI Lead Price Forecast Current* 2016f 2017f 2018f 2019 ...
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BMI Nickel Report

BMI Nickel Report

BMI View: Nickel prices will bottom in 2016 as weak production drags the global market into deficit. For instance, we expect Chinese imports of nickel to grow over the coming quarters. Prices will begin 2016 weaker than ...
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BMI Steel Report

BMI Steel Report

BMI View: Global steel prices will remain subdued due to a persistent steel oversupply over the coming quarters. From 2017 onwards, steel prices will gradually edge higher as the global steel surplus will narrow due to ...
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BMI Tin Report

BMI Tin Report

BMI View: Tin prices will be capped by US dollar strength in 2016 , leading us to trim our price forecast to USD14,500/tonne. Beyond 2016, prices will recover gradually as the global tin market posts sustained market ...
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BMI Zinc Report

BMI Zinc Report

BMI View: We maintain our average zinc price forecast for 2016 of USD1,750/tonne. We expect zinc prices to reach a floor over the first half of 2016, and begin to stabilise thereafter, as production cuts shift ...
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Brazil Freight Transport & Shipping Report

Brazil Freight Transport & Shipping Report

BMI View: We anticipate growth across Brazil's freight modes and major container ports in 2016 that will also last over the medium term. Domestic demand will slowly accelerate , prompted by gradual economic recovery , while increasing ...
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Central America Freight Transport & Shipping Report

Central America Freight Transport & Shipping Report

BMI View: Freight growth will differ across Central America ; however, all of the economies in question will benefit from the economic upswing and the improved labour market situation in the United States which will feed ...
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Chile Freight Transport & Shipping Report

Chile Freight Transport & Shipping Report

BMI View: We are positive with regards the Chilean freight transport sector, predicting positive growth of between 2.0% and 7.0% across the country's freight transport modes and at its maritime facilities. The growth will be driven ...
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Costa Rica Infrastructure Report

Costa Rica Infrastructure Report

BMI View: Growth in Costa Rica's construction industry will slow in 2016, as work on the USD1.4bn Reventazon Hydroelectric project concludes, and other major projects are delayed and fail to move through the pipeline. ...
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Costa Rica Insurance Report

Costa Rica Insurance Report

BMI View: We maintain a positive outlook for the Costa Rican insurance segment as a whole. Both the life insurance and non-life segments are poised for r obust growth over the cour se of our ...
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Costa Rica Pharmaceuticals & Healthcare Report

Costa Rica Pharmaceuticals & Healthcare Report

BMI View: The approved loan from the World Bank will help improve the institutional management and organisation of healthcare delivery in Costa Rica's public healthcare sector, as well as enhance the financial sustainability of ...
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El Salvador Infrastructure Report

El Salvador Infrastructure Report

BMI View: El Salvador's construction industry will return to growth in 2016, as an injection official development funding bolsters the sector. However, we highlight sustainability risks due to a dependence on these funds, as the ...
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El Salvador Insurance Report

El Salvador Insurance Report

BMI View: El Salvador's insurance market is under developed even by Central American standards, with both penetration and density currently at low levels. The industry is also quite fragmented , with the non-life market in ...
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El Salvador Pharmaceuticals & Healthcare Report

El Salvador Pharmaceuticals & Healthcare Report

BMI View: El Salvador's pharmaceutical market will remain unattractive in the years ahead. While the government's commitment to healthcare in El Salvador will continue to improve the national healthcare system and increase patients' ...
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Global Recession: A Realistic Scenario

Global Recession: A Realistic Scenario

BMI Research has just published this special report examining the risk of a global recession in 2016. While global recession is not our core scenario, the conditions for a recession are arguably in place, and downside ...
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