Lebanon and Syria Country Risk Report

Providing comprehensive data and in-depth analysis of political, financial and economic risk.

Report includes: BMI's Core Views, 10-year Forecasts, BMI's Economic Risk Index, Political Stability and Risk Index, Long-term Political Outlook, Operational Risk Index, SWOT Analysis and Structural Economic Sections

Why you should buy this report

  • Understand and measure the political, business environment and operational risks to your company
  • Gain insight on emerging trends that could support, strengthen or disrupt your activities in the market
  • Benefit from 10-year macroeconomic forecasts and insight into the structural characteristics of the economy
  • Get the long-term political outlook and explore possible scenarios for change
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Lebanon and Syria Country Risk Report
Product Price
$1,245.00

Assess your risk exposure in Syria, Lebanon with our 100% independent forecasts assessing the pace and stability of this key market. Backed by trusted data from BMI Research's 52 million data point economic forecast model, this report will allow you to measure political, economic, business environment and operational risks in Syria, Lebanon with confidence.

Your subscription service includes:

  • Delivery of the report in print and PDF
  • Online access for 12 months
  • The functionality to translate your online report into your choice of 10 languages - Arabic, Chinese, French, German, Italian, Japanese, Korean, Portuguese, Russian and Spanish
  • The ability to export data and graphs from the online report directly into your workflow
  • The support of a dedicated Account Manager to answer any questions you might have about your subscription
  • Access to our team of leading analysts who will be happy to answer any questions you might have about the data and forecasts included in this report
BMI Index
BMI Index
BMI Risk Index - Lebanon
6
BMI Risk Index - Syria
7
Executive Summary - Lebanon
11
Core Views
11
Key Risks
11
Chapter 1
13
SWOT Analysis
13
Economic Growth Outlook
14
Political Paralysis Among Major Impediments To Growth
14
GDP By Expenditure Outlook
15
TABLE: COMPONENTS OF GDP (% OF TOTAL)
16
TABLE: GOVERNMENT CONSUMPTION FORECASTS
16
TABLE: PRIVATE CONSUMPTION FORECASTS
16
TABLE: FIXED INVESTMENT FORECASTS
17
TABLE: NET EXPORTS FORECASTS
17
TABLE: GDP GROWTH FORECASTS
17
Monetary Policy
18
Deflation To End By 2016
18
TABLE: MONETARY POLICY
18
External Trade And Investment Outlook
19
Lebanese Exporters: No Recovery In Sight
19
Outlook On External Position
20
TABLE: CAPITAL & FINANCIAL ACCOUNT BALANCE
20
TABLE: TOP 5 GOODS IMPORTS (2014)
21
TABLE: TOP 5 GOODS EXPORTS (2014)
21
Chapter 1
23
The Lebanese Economy To 2025
23
Slow Growth As Willingness For Reform Lags
23
TABLE: LONG-TERM MACROECONOMIC FORECASTS
23
Chapter 1
25
SWOT Analysis
25
Domestic Politics
26
Facing A Perfect Storm Of Political Challenges
26
TABLE: POLITICAL OVERVIEW
26
Long-Term Political Outlook
27
Muddling Through A Plethora Of Challenges
27
Chapter 1
31
SWOT Analysis
31
Executive Summary - Syria
33
Core Views
33
Key Risk
33
Chapter 2
35
SWOT Analysis
35
Economic Growth Outlook
36
Further Contraction Ahead In Regime-Controlled Areas
36
GDP By Expenditure Outlook
37
TABLE: COMPONENTS OF GDP (% OF TOTAL)
37
TABLE: GOVERNMENT CONSUMPTION FORECASTS
37
TABLE: PRIVATE CONSUMPTION FORECASTS
38
TABLE: FIXED INVESTMENT FORECASTS
38
TABLE: NET EXPORTS FORECASTS
38
TABLE: GDP GROWTH FORECASTS
38
Chapter 2
41
The Syrian Economy To 2025
41
Long-Term Damage Of Protracted Civil War
41
TABLE: LONG-TERM MACROECONOMIC FORECASTS
41
Chapter 2
45
SWOT Analysis
45
Domestic Politics
46
Peace Talks At A Stalemate, Fighting To Continue
46
TABLE: POLITICAL OVERVIEW
46
TABLE: PEACE PROCESS - RECENT DEVELOPMENTS
47
Long-Term Political Outlook
48
Conflict Scenarios Point To Turbulent Decade Ahead
48
TABLE: LONG-TERM SCENARIOS
49
Chapter 2
51
SWOT Analysis
51
Chapter 3: BMI Global Macro Outlook
53
Global Macro Outlook
53
Summer Of Risk
53
TABLE: GLOBAL ASSUMPTIONS
53
TABLE: DEVELOPED STATES, REAL GDP GROWTH, %
54
TABLE: EMERGING MARKETS, REAL GDP GROWTH, %
55
TABLE: LEBANON - MACROECONOMIC DATA & FORECASTS
57
TABLE: SYRIA - MACROECONOMIC DATA & FORECASTS
57