Lebanon and Syria Country Risk Report

Providing comprehensive data and in-depth analysis of political, financial and economic risk.

Report includes: BMI's Core Views, 10-year Forecasts, BMI's Economic Risk Index, Political Stability and Risk Index, Long-term Political Outlook, Operational Risk Index, SWOT Analysis and Structural Economic Sections

Why you should buy this report

  • Understand and measure the political, business environment and operational risks to your company
  • Gain insight on emerging trends that could support, strengthen or disrupt your activities in the market
  • Benefit from 10-year macroeconomic forecasts and insight into the structural characteristics of the economy
  • Get the long-term political outlook and explore possible scenarios for change
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Lebanon and Syria Country Risk Report
Product Price
$1,245.00

Assess your risk exposure in Syria, Lebanon with our 100% independent forecasts assessing the pace and stability of this key market. Backed by trusted data from BMI Research's 52 million data point economic forecast model, this report will allow you to measure political, economic, business environment and operational risks in Syria, Lebanon with confidence.

Your subscription service includes:

  • Delivery of the report in print and PDF
  • Online access for 12 months
  • The functionality to translate your online report into your choice of 10 languages - Arabic, Chinese, French, German, Italian, Japanese, Korean, Portuguese, Russian and Spanish
  • The ability to export data and graphs from the online report directly into your workflow
  • The support of a dedicated Account Manager to answer any questions you might have about your subscription
  • Access to our team of leading analysts who will be happy to answer any questions you might have about the data and forecasts included in this report
BMI Index
6
BMI Risk Index - Lebanon
6
BMI Risk Index - Syria
7
Executive Summary - Lebanon
11
Core Views
11
Key Risks
11
Chapter 1
13
SWOT Analysis
13
Economic Growth Outlook
14
Weak Business Sentiment To Hamper Economic Recovery
14
GDP By Expenditure Outlook
15
TABLE: GDP GROWTH FORECASTS
16
TABLE: GOVERNMENT CONSUMPTION FORECASTS
16
TABLE: PRIVATE CONSUMPTION FORECASTS
16
TABLE: FIXED INVESTMENT FORECASTS
16
TABLE: NET EXPORTS FORECASTS
16
Fiscal Policy And Public Debt Outlook
17
High Deficits The Norm Amid Lack Of Structural Reforms
17
Structural Fiscal Position
18
TABLE: MAIN REVENUE & EXPENDITURE CATEGORIES
19
TABLE: FISCAL AND PUBLIC DEBT FORECASTS
19
External Trade And Investment Outlook
20
C/A Improvements Off The Cards Amid Struggling Exports
20
Outlook On External Position
21
TABLE: CAPITAL & FINANCIAL ACCOUNT BALANCE
22
TABLE: TOP 5 GOODS IMPORTS
23
TABLE: TOP 5 GOODS EXPORTS
23
TABLE: CURRENT ACCOUNT BALANCE FORECASTS
23
Chapter 1
25
The Lebanese Economy To 2025
25
Slow Growth As Willingness For Reform Lags
25
TABLE: LONG-TERM MACROECONOMIC FORECASTS
25
Chapter 1
27
SWOT Analysis
27
Domestic Politics
28
Aoun's Election A Positive Step In Institutional Deadlock
28
TABLE: POLITICAL OVERVIEW
28
Long-Term Political Outlook
30
Muddling Through A Plethora Of Challenges
30
Executive Summary - Syria
33
Core Views
33
Key Risk
33
Chapter 2
35
SWOT Analysis
35
Economic Growth Outlook
36
Economy Still Shrinking In 2017, As Fighting Continues
36
GDP By Expenditure Outlook
37
TABLE: GDP GROWTH FORECASTS
37
TABLE: GOVERNMENT CONSUMPTION FORECASTS
37
TABLE: PRIVATE CONSUMPTION FORECASTS
38
TABLE: FIXED INVESTMENT FORECASTS
38
TABLE: NET EXPORTS FORECASTS
38
Chapter 2
41
The Syrian Economy To 2025
41
Long-Term Damage Of Civil War
41
TABLE: LONG-TERM MACROECONOMIC FORECASTS
41
Chapter 2
45
SWOT Analysis
45
Domestic Politics
46
Trump Election A Game Changer
46
TABLE: POLITICAL OVERVIEW
46
Long-Term Political Outlook
48
Three Scenarios For The Civil War
48
TABLE: LONG-TERM SCENARIOS
47
Chapter 3: BMI Global Macro Outlook
53
Global Macro Outlook
53
Trumponomics Takes Centre Stage
53
TABLE: GLOBAL ASSUMPTIONS
53
TABLE: DEVELOPED STATES, REAL GDP GROWTH, %
54
TABLE: EMERGING MARKETS, REAL GDP GROWTH, %
55
TABLE: LEBANON - MACROECONOMIC DATA & FORECASTS
57
TABLE: SYRIA - MACROECONOMIC DATA & FORECASTS
57