Malaysia Agribusiness Report

Published 09 June 2015

  • 97 pages
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  • Includes 3 free updated quarterly reports
 
$1,295.00
Malaysia Agribusiness Report

BMI View: Strong growth prospects, opportunities for increased exports and government support will be the key factors driving growth in the Malaysian agribusiness sector. Palm oil will remain the key agribusiness sector for Malaysia, although production growth will slow down in the coming years. The next challenge for the country resides in the upcoming economic integration within the ASEAN region. The ASEAN Economic Community will present some opportunities , for example in terms of poultry exports . However, it also poses risks to the future of the sugar refining sector.

Key Forecasts

  • Palm oil production growth to 2018/19: 7.6% to 21.7mn tonnes. Growth will be supported as companies replant mature estates and yields improve on the back of better technology.

  • Sugar consumption growth to 2019: 13.7% to 1.8mn tonnes. The dominance and continued expansionary activities of market players F&N, Permanis and Yeo Hiap Seng have fuelled considerable growth in the Malaysian soft drinks sector, a significant factor fuelling demand for sugar.

  • Poultry production growth to 2018/19: 18.2% to 1.6mn tonnes. More investment in the sector - as outlined in the 10th Malaysia Economic Plan - is expected to drive growth.

  • 2015 BMI universe agribusiness market value: 5.1% year-on-year (y-o-y) increase to USD30.1bn, forecast to grow by 5.9% annually from 2015 to 2019.

  • 2015 real GDP growth: 4.2% (down from 5.8% in 2014, forecast to average 4.3% from 2015 to 2019).

  • 2015 consumer price inflation: 3.1% (down from 3.2% estimated in 2014, forecast to average 2.4% from 2015 to 2019).

  • 2015 central bank policy rate: 3.25% eop (same as 2014, forecast to average 3.45% from 2015 to 2019).

Palm Oil, King Commodity
Malaysia - BMI Agribusiness Market Value By Commodity (% of total)

Key Developments

The recent increase in biodiesel production subsidies in Indonesia and the rollout of the B7 mandate in Malaysia show that the two countries remain committed to the pursuit...

Table of Contents

BMI Industry View
7
SWOT
10
Agribusiness
10
Operational Risk
12
Industry Forecast
14
Palm Oil Outlook
14
Table: Palm Oil Production & Consumption (Malaysia 2014-2019)
15
Table: Select Companies - Land Bank, Tree Age Profile & Performance, 2013
19
Table: Palm Oil Production & Consumption (Malaysia 2009-2014)
20
Sugar Outlook
22
Table: Sugar Production & Consumption (Malaysia 2014-2019)
22
Table: Sugar Production & Consumption (Malaysia 2009-2014)
27
Cocoa Outlook
29
Table: Cocoa Production & Consumption (Malaysia 2013-2019)
30
Table: Cocoa Production & Consumption (Malaysia 2009-2014)
35
Livestock Outlook
37
Table: Beef Production & Consumption (Malaysia 2014-2019)
38
Table: Pork Production & Consumption (Malaysia 2014-2019)
38
Table: Poultry Production & Consumption (Malaysia 2014-2019)
38
Table: Beef Production & Consumption (Malaysia 2009-2014)
41
Table: Pork Production & Consumption (Malaysia 2009-2014)
42
Table: Poultry Production & Consumption (Malaysia 2009-2014)
42
Commodity Price Analysis
44
Commodity Strategy
44
Table: Impact Of El Ni-o On Crops
44
Upstream Analysis
49
Asia GM Outlook
49
Table: Selected Countries - GM Crops Use
51
Asia Machinery Outlook
52
Table: Select Countries - Average Size Of Farms, Hectares
53
Asia Fertiliser Outlook
59
Downstream Analysis
64
Mass Grocery Retail
64
Table: Mass Grocery Retail Sales By Format - Historical Data & Forecasts (Malaysia 2012-2019)
66
Table: Grocery Retail Sales By Type, Historical Data & Forecast (%)
66
Food
67
Table: Food Consumption Indicators - Historical Data & Forecasts (Malaysia 2012-2019)
68
Confectionery
69
Table: Confectionery Value/Volume Sales, Production & Trade - Historical Data & Forecasts (Malaysia 2012-2019)
70
Fish
70
Oils And Fats
71
Dairy
72
Table: Dairy Volume Sales, Production & Trade - Historical Data & Forecasts (Malaysia 2012-2019)
72
Drink
74
Hot Drinks
74
Table: Hot Drink Value/Volume Sales, Production & Trade - Historical Data & Forecasts (Malaysia 2012-2019)
75
Alcoholic Drinks
76
Table: Alcoholic Drinks Value/Volume Sales, Production & Trade - Historical Data & Forecasts (Malaysia 2012-2019)
77
Soft Drinks
78
Table: Soft Drinks Sales, Production & Trade - Historical Data & Forecasts (Malaysia 2012-2019)
79
Regional Overview
82
Competitive Landscape
88
Table: Main Agribusiness Players
88
Demographic Forecast
90
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Malaysia 1990-2025)
91
Table: Key Population Ratios (Malaysia 1990-2025)
91
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Malaysia 1990-2025)
92
Table: Population By Age Group (Malaysia 1990-2025)
92
Table: Population By Age Group % (Malaysia 1990-2025)
93
Methodology
95
Industry Forecast Methodology
95
Sector-Specific Methodology
96

The Malaysia Agribusiness Report features BMI Research's market assessment and independent forecasts for production, consumption and trade across core agricultural commodities.

BMI's Malaysia Agribusiness Report includes independent commodity price forecasting and analysis for key agricultural outputs, an overview of the agribusiness competitive landscape and a discussion of the downstream context of agricultural production in relation to country food consumption forecasts and composite food and beverage trade forecasts.

Key Benefits

  • Use BMI's independent industry forecasts to test other views - a key input for successful planning in dynamic agribusiness markets.
  • Apply BMI's medium-term commodity price analysis to assist with budgetary planning and the identification of investment opportunities and potential risks.
  • Assess the activities and market position of your competitors, partners and clients.

Coverage

BMI Industry View

Summary of BMI’s key industry forecasts and views, highlighting recent changes and key risks to the industry outlook.

Industry SWOT Analysis

Analysis of the major strengths, weaknesses, opportunities and threats within the wider agricultural industry.

BMI Supply & Demand Forecasts

Divided into sections based on various diverse sectors in the agriculture market, the chapter provides insight into each market’s agricultural industry, centred on sector forecasts to end-2019 for the consumption, production and trade of key commodities.

  • Consumption Forecasts: Accompanied by a discussion of the main drivers of consumption growth: macroeconomic factors, food processing trends, price movements and increasingly, demand from the non-food sector.
  • Production Forecasts: Examine the trends influencing BMI’s production outlook: global demand, price increases, public and private sector investment and agricultural efficiency improvements.
  • Trade Forecasts: Accompanied by a discussion of the factors influencing a country’s trade in agricultural goods, including domestic demand, global prices and government trade policies.
  • BMI’s Forecasts: Accompanied by a risks-to-outlook assessment, which examines potential factors that could affect our existing forecast picture and the likelihood of their occurrence.

BMI’s Commodity Price Analysis

Fundamental and technical analysis of the short- and medium-term price outlook for eight agricultural commodities based on globally recognised benchmarks.

Downstream Analysis

Analysis of headline food and drink forecasts, including total food consumption, per capita food consumption and total sector trade, which provide important downstream intelligence for primary agricultural producers.

Featured Analysis

Includes relevant articles from BMI’s daily analysis service. These can include: long-term projections on agricultural imports and exports; our perceptions of the impacts of economic slowdown on key companies and subsectors within the Agribusiness industry in a given country; our analysis of fertilizer production; as well as other relevant analysis of recent news and events.

Competitive Landscape

The reports contain information on prominent companies operating in each market.

Key Commodities Covered By The Agribusiness Market

Reports Include: Grains, Dairy, Livestock, Rice, Sugar, Palm Oil, Edible Oils, Coffee, Cocoa, Cotton, Soybean

Please note – not all reports cover all commodities.

Sources

The Agribusiness reports draw on an extensive network of primary sources, such as multilateral organisations, government departments, industry associations, chambers and company reports.

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Testimonials

'An essential, multi-faceted research tool. BMI’s thorough understanding of the major market players enables an informed – and informative – review of the sector’s actual performance, together with useful insights into current industry issues, which are topped-off with detailed and invaluable forecasts of industry and macroeconomic trends.’

Senior Research Analyst, ABC International Bank plc