Mexico Country Risk Report

Providing comprehensive data and in-depth analysis of political, financial and economic risk.

Report includes: BMI's Core Views, 10-year Forecasts, BMI's Economic Risk Index, Political Stability and Risk Index, Long-term Political Outlook, Operational Risk Index, SWOT Analysis and Structural Economic Sections

Why you should buy this report

  • Understand and measure the political, business environment and operational risks to your company
  • Gain insight on emerging trends that could support, strengthen or disrupt your activities in the market
  • Benefit from 10-year macroeconomic forecasts and insight into the structural characteristics of the economy
  • Get the long-term political outlook and explore possible scenarios for change
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Mexico Country Risk Report
Product Price
$1,245.00

Assess your risk exposure in Mexico with our 100% independent forecasts assessing the pace and stability of this key market. Backed by trusted data from BMI Research's 52 million data point economic forecast model, this report will allow you to measure political, economic, business environment and operational risks in Mexico with confidence.

Your subscription service includes:

  • Delivery of the report in print and PDF
  • Online access for 12 months
  • The functionality to translate your online report into your choice of 10 languages - Arabic, Chinese, French, German, Italian, Japanese, Korean, Portuguese, Russian and Spanish
  • The ability to export data and graphs from the online report directly into your workflow
  • The support of a dedicated Account Manager to answer any questions you might have about your subscription
  • Access to our team of leading analysts who will be happy to answer any questions you might have about the data and forecasts included in this report
Executive Summary
5
Core Views
5
Major Forecast Changes
5
Key Risks
5
Chapter 1: Economic Outlook
7
SWOT Analysis
7
BMI Economic Risk Index
7
Economic Growth Outlook
8
Growth Outlook Deteriorating
Growth Outlook Deteriorating
Amid Weaker US Manufacturing
8
TABLE: REAL GDP GROWTH FORECASTS
8
GDP By Expenditure Outlook
10
TABLE: GDP GROWTH FORECASTS
11
TABLE: PRIVATE CONSUMPTION FORECASTS
11
TABLE: GOVERNMENT CONSUMPTION FORECASTS
11
TABLE: FIXED INVESTMENT FORECASTS
12
TABLE: NET EXPORTS FORECASTS
12
Fiscal And Public Debt Outlook
12
New Finance Minister Will Push Austerity Agenda Forward
12
Structural Fiscal Position
13
TABLE: MAIN SOURCES OF FEDERAL REVENUE & EXPENDITURE
14
TABLE: FISCAL AND PUBLIC DEBT FORECASTS
14
External Trade And Investment Outlook
16
Trade Deterioration Will Keep Exposure To 'Hot Money' Flows Elevated
16
Outlook On External Position
18
TABLE: TOP 5 GOODS EXPORTS
18
TABLE: TOP 5 GOODS IMPORTS
18
TABLE: CAPITAL & FINANCIAL ACCOUNT BALANCE
19
TABLE: CURRENT ACCOUNT BALANCE FORECASTS
19
Monetary Policy
20
Banxico Decisiveness Will Give Way To More Gradual Tightening In 2017
20
Monetary Policy Framework
21
TABLE: MONETARY POLICY FORECASTS
22
Currency Forecast
23
MXN: Oil Recovery Will Support Appreciation Post-US Election
23
TABLE: BMI CURRENCY FORECAST
23
TABLE: PESO FORECAST AND RELATED INDICATORS
24
US Election Implications
25
The Next President: Implications For Latin America
25
TABLE: CENTRAL AMERICA - PRIVATE FINAL CONSUMPTION CONTRIBUTIONS TO REAL GDP GROWTH, PP
26
Chapter 2: 10-Year Forecast
29
The Mexico Economy To 2025
29
Stronger Growth Ahead Following
Stronger Growth Ahead Following
The Passage Of Key Reforms
29
TABLE: LONG-TERM MACROECONOMIC FORECASTS
29
Chapter 3: Political Outlook
33
SWOT Analysis
33
BMI Political Risk Index
33
Domestic Politics
34
Security And Corruption Will Dominate Policy Agenda
34
TABLE: POLITICAL OVERVIEW
34
Foreign Policy
37
Trump Administration Would Be Negative, But Not Disastrous, For Economy
37
Long-Term Political Outlook
38
Security And Corruption To Remain Key Risks
38
Chapter 4: Operational Risk
41
SWOT Analysis
41
Operational Risk Index
41
Operational Risk
42
TABLE: OPERATIONAL RISK
42
Business Crime
43
TABLE: MAIN ACTIVE CRIMINAL GROUPS IN MEXICO
43
TABLE: BUSINESS RESPONSE TO RISK IN MEXICO
44
Government Intervention
47
TABLE: BUSINESS TAXES
48
TABLE: PERSONAL INCOME TAX
49
Chapter 5: BMI Global Macro Outlook
53
Global Macro Outlook
53
Broad Recovery But Three Notes Of Caution
53
TABLE: GLOBAL FORECASTS, 2015-2020
53
TABLE: DEVELOPED STATES, REAL GDP GROWTH, %
54
TABLE: EMERGING MARKETS, REAL GDP GROWTH, %
55
TABLE: MACROECONOMIC DATA & FORECASTS
57