Mexico Food & Drink Report

Providing expert analysis, independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the food & drink industry.

Report includes: BMI Industry View, Industry SWOT Analysis, Industry Forecasts, BMI’s Food and Drink Risk Reward Index, Mass Grocery Retail Forecasts, Company Profiles and Global, Regional and Country Industry Overviews.

Why you should buy this report

  • Benefit from the latest market opportunities
  • Understand the threats to your operations and investments and protect your company against future risks
  • Gain insight on emerging trends that could support, strengthen or disrupt your activities in the market
  • Get a full view of the competitive landscape to assess your market position
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Mexico Food & Drink Report
Product Price
$1,295.00

BMI View: Mexico remains our favourite consumer market in Latin America, despite headwinds to consumer spending in early 2016. Improving consumer confidence and favourable demographic dynamics will fuel the development of the food and drink sector. The expansion of the upper- middle class will drive sales of branded and premium items, whi le there are also opportunities in grocery retai l to penetrate suburban and rural areas. On the other hand, sugary drinks sales will continue to be affected by the tax on unhealthy food and drinks products .

Food & Drink Spending
(2013-2020)
f = BMI forecast. Source: BMI, national statistics

Latest Updates & Industry Developments

  • Despite headwinds to consumer spending in early 2016, Mexico is still our favourite consumer market in Latin America. We expect the upper-middle class to expand at a very strong pace over the next five years, creating demand for premium and innovative food products.

  • We hold a positive outlook for Mexico's drinks industry, with the exception of the carbonated soft drinks segment. Rising incomes will increase consumer spending and fuel dynamism in the industry. The carbonated soft drinks segment will be a major loser, as sales continue to be impacted by the tax on sugary drinks introduced in 2014. Major Coke bottlers - Coca-Cola Femsa and Arca Continental - will seek to gain exposure to non-carbonates categories and expand their presence outside Mexico.

  • The formalised food retail sector will remain dominated by Walmex, which is by some distance the leading retailer in the country. Expansion opportunities will be concentrated in smaller cities and rural areas, as the food retail landscape gets close to saturation in Mexico City.

BMI Industry View
7
SWOT
9
Food & Drink
9
Industry Forecast
11
Consumer Outlook
11
Latest Updates
11
Structural Trends
11
Food
13
Latest Updates
13
Structural Trends
14
Table: Food Sales (Mexico 2013-2020)
15
Drink
18
Latest Updates
18
Structural Trends
18
Table: Non-Alcoholic Drink Sales (Mexico 2013-2020)
20
Mass Grocery Retail
21
Latest Updates
21
Structural Trends
21
Industry Risk Reward Index
22
Latin America - Risk/Reward Index
22
Table: Latin America Food & Drink Risk/Reward Index Q216
25
Table: Latin America Food & Drink Risk/Reward Sub-Factor Index Q216 (scores out of 10)
27
Mexico - Risk/Reward Index
29
Market Overview
30
Food
30
Drink
34
Mass Grocery Retail
38
Competitive Landscape
40
Table: Key Players In Mexico's Food Sector
40
Table: Key Players In Mexico's Drink Sector
42
Table: Key Players In Mexico's Mass Grocery Retail Sector
44
Company Profile
46
Industrias Bachoco
46
Grupo Herdez
48
Gruma
52
Grupo Bimbo
54
Grupo Modelo
57
Arca Continental
60
FEMSA
63
Walmart De M-xico
66
Soriana
68
Demographic Forecast
70
Demographic Outlook
70
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Mexico 1990-2025)
71
Table: Key Population Ratios (Mexico 1990-2025)
71
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Mexico 1990-2025)
72
Table: Population By Age Group (Mexico 1990-2025)
72
Table: Population By Age Group % (Mexico 1990-2025)
73
Glossary
75
Food & Drink
75
Mass Grocery Retail
75
Methodology
77
Industry Forecast Methodology
77
Sector-Specific Methodology
78
Sources
78
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
79
Table: Food & Drink Risk/Reward Index Indicators
80
Table: Weighting
81

The Mexico Food & Drink Report features BMI Research's market assessment and independent forecasts for food and drink expenditure, consumption, sales, and imports/exports and forecasts for the mass grocery retail sector. The report also includes analyses of major regulatory developments, the background macroeconomic outlook and competitive landscape comparing national and multinational companies by leading products and services, sales, investments, partners and expansion strategies.

BMI's Mexico Food & Drink Report provides industry professionals and strategists, sector analysts, business investors, trade associations and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the food and drink industry and the mass grocery retail market in Mexico.

Key Benefits

  • Benchmark BMI's independent food and drink industry forecasts for Mexico to test other views - a key input for successful budgeting and strategic business planning in the Mexican food and drink market.
  • Target business opportunities and risks in Mexico through our reviews of latest industry trends, regulatory changes and major deals, projects and investments.
  • Exploit latest competitive intelligence on your competitors, partners and clients via our Company Profiles (inc. SWOTs, KPIs and latest activity) and Competitive Landscape Tables.

Coverage

BMI Industry View

Summary of BMI’s key industry forecasts and views, covering food and drink manufacturing and consumption and the mass grocery retail market.

Industry SWOT Analysis

Analysis of the major strengths, weaknesses, opportunities and threats within the food, drink and mass grocery retail sectors and within the broader political, economic and business environment.

BMI’s Food and Drink Risk Reward Index

BMI’s Risk Reward Index provides investors (food and drink manufacturers and mass grocery retailers) looking for opportunities in the region with a clear country-comparative assessment of a market’s risks and potential rewards. Each of the country markets are scored using a sophisticated model that includes more than 40 industry, economic and demographic points. These provide indices of highest to lowest appeal to investors, with each position explained.

Food Forecasts

BMI’s food chapter is divided into sections such as meat, fish, confectionary, dairy and canned foods, and provides insight into each market’s food industry, centred on a forecast to end-2019 for the sector. The chapter includes the following elements:

  • Industry Forecast Scenario: Historical data series and a forecast to end-2019 for growth of key indicators within a market’s food industry. Indicators include food consumption, food consumption as % of GDP, canned food sales, confectionery sales and food and drink imports and exports, among others.
  • Industry Developments: A summary of corporate developments, including news on M&As, FDI, expansions, closures and financial results, in addition to analysis and explanation of the latest industry events and how these could influence further investment.
  • Market Overview: An overview of the structure of the market, introducing the key players and discussing underlying trends.

Drink Forecasts

Segmented the same way as BMI’s food chapter, the drink section provides insight into each market’s drink industry, centred on a forecast to end-2019 for the sector. Forecast indicators include alcoholic and soft drink sales by value, volume and sub-sector and tea and coffee sales, among others.

Mass Grocery Retail Forecasts

Segmented the same way as BMI’s food and drink chapters, the mass grocery retail section provides insight into each market’s grocery retail industry, centred on a forecast to end-2019 for the sector. Forecast indicators include mass grocery retail sales by format (including supermarkets, hypermarkets, convenience and discount stores) and a breakdown of the organised retail sector versus the traditional sector, among others.

Competitive Landscape

Illustration of the mass grocery retail and food and drink industries via rankings tables comparing revenues, number of outlets and number of employees. This chapter also includes data-rich, in-depth regional analysis of the market position, business strategies and investment potential of the region’s leading mass grocery retail and food and drink operators.

Company Profiles*

Examines the competitive positioning and short- to medium-term business strategies of key industry players. Strategy is examined within the context of BMI’s industry forecasts, our macroeconomic views and our understanding of the wider competitive landscape to generate company SWOT analyses. The latest financial and operating statistics and key company developments are also incorporated within the company profiles, enabling a full evaluation of recent company performance and future growth prospects.

Sources

The Food & Drink reports draw on an extensive network primary sources, such as multilateral organisations, government departments, industry associations, chambers and company reports.

*Company profiles are not available for every country. Those reports instead contain information on the current activities of prominent companies operating in the market.