Mozambique Power Report

Published 22 June 2015

  • 69 pages
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  • Includes 3 free updated quarterly reports
 
$1,295.00
Mozambique Power Report

BMI View: Mozambique is one of the most attractive markets in Sub-Saharan Africa. The economy is growing rapidly and the government has liberalis ed the country's investment laws, providing an enabling environment for exploiting Mozambique ' s abundant energy resources. However, barriers to investment remain, including high levels of corruption and low-level political instability.

The outlook for Mozambique's power sector is good. After decades of civil war, the political situation has stabilised, the economy and population are growing rapidly, and the government has liberalised the country's investment laws, providing an enabling environment for the development of the power sector. A number of major projects are in the pipeline which will exploit Mozambique's abundant water and coal resources. As a result, power generation will increase by 4.6% year-on-year (y-o-y) in 2015 to 21.4TWh, and to 30.8TWh in 2024. Meanwhile, the government is expanding access to electricity with the help of international donors, which will facilitate a rise in consumption over our ten-year forecast to 2024.

Recent Developments

  • Mozambique is continuing to plug its generating shortfall. In January, the government has applied to purchase electricity from Tanzania. And in February, Electricidade de Mocambique commissioned Aggreko, which specialises fast-track temporary cover, to install 18MW of capacity to in the port of Nacal in northern Mozambique.

  • Efforts continue to expand capacity on a more permanent basis. The Finnish group Wartsila has signed a USD181mn contract with the Ressano Garcia Thermal Plant to build the largest gas-fired power plant in Mozambique. And Ncondezi Energy Ltd raised an initial USD5m towards construction of 300MW power plant project near Tete in northern Mozambique.

  • The north of Mozambique has been experiencing sustained power outages following a severe storm in January which brought down the electricity supply system. The event highlighted the...

Table of Contents

BMI Industry View
7
Recent Developments
7
Key BMI Forecasts
7
SWOT
9
Industry Forecast
11
Mozambique Snapshot
11
Table: Country Snapshot: Economic and Demographic Data (Mozambique 2014-2019)
11
Table: Country Snapshot: Economic and Demographic Data (Mozambique 2019-2024)
11
Table: Country Snapshot: Power Sector
11
Mozambique Power Forecast Scenario
12
Electricity Generation And Power Generating Capacity
12
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Mozambique 2013-2018)
12
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Mozambique 2019-2024)
13
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Mozambique 2013-2018)
14
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Mozambique 2019-2024)
15
Electricity Consumption
24
Table: Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts (Mozambique 2013-2018)
24
Table: Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts (Mozambique 2019-2024)
25
Transmission & Distribution, Imports & Exports
26
Table: Electric Power T&D Losses Data And Forecasts (Mozambique 2013-2018)
26
Table: Electric Power T&D Losses Data And Forecasts (Mozambique 2019-2024)
27
Table: Trade Data And Forecasts (Mozambique 2013-2018)
28
Table: Trade Data And Forecasts (Mozambique 2019-2024)
28
Industry Risk Reward Ratings
29
SSA Power Risk/Reward Index
29
Table: Sub Saharan Africa - Power Risk Reward Index (Scores Out Of 100)
35
Mozambique Power Risk/Reward Index
36
Rewards
36
Risks
36
Market Overview
38
Key Policies And Market Structure
38
Southern Africa Power Projects Database
43
Table: Southern Africa Power Projects Database
43
Competitive Landscape
50
Regional Overview
55
MEA Power Regional Overview
55
Glossary
60
Table: Glossary Of Terms
60
Methodology
61
Industry Forecast Methodology
61
Sources
64
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
64
Table: Power Risk/Reward Index Indicators
65
Table: Weighting Of Indicators
66

The Mozambique Power Report features BMI Research's market assessment and independent forecasts covering electricity generation (coal, gas, oil, nuclear, hydro and non-hydro renewables), electricity consumption, trade, transmission and distribution losses and electricity generating capacity.

The Mozambique Power Report also analyses the impact of regulatory changes, recent developments and the background macroeconomic outlook and features competitive landscapes comparing national and multinational operators by sales, market share, investments, projects, partners and expansion strategies.

Key Benefits

  • Use BMI's independent industry forecasts for Mozambique to test other views - a key input for successful budgeting and strategic planning in the power market.
  • Target business opportunities and risks Mozambique's power sector through our reviews of latest power industry trends, regulatory changes, and major deals, projects and investments in Mozambique.
  • Assess the activities, strategy and market position of your competitors, partners and clients via our Competitive Landscape analysis.

Coverage

BMI Industry View

Summary of BMI’s key industry forecasts, views and trend analysis, covering power markets, regulatory changes, major investments, projects and company developments.

Industry SWOT Analysis

Analysis of the major Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats within the power sector and within the broader political, economic and business environment.

BMI’s Power Forecast Scenario

Forecasts to end-2024 for all key indicators, supported by explicit assumptions, plus analysis of key downside risks to the main forecasts:

  • Generation: Electricity generation total, thermal, coal, natural gas, oil, nuclear, hydropower, hydro-electric pumped storage and non-hydropower renewables.
  • Transmission and Distribution Losses: Electric power transmission and distribution losses.
  • Trade: Total imports and exports.
  • Electricity Consumption: Net consumption.
  • Electricity Capacity: Capacity net, conventional thermal, nuclear, hydropower and non-hydroelectric renewables.

BMI’s Power Risk Reward Index

BMI’s Risk Reward Indices provide investors (power companies, service companies and equity investors) looking for opportunities in the region with a clear country-comparative assessment of a market’s risks and potential rewards. Each of the country markets are scored using a sophisticated model that includes more than 40 industry, economic and demographic data points to provide indices of highest to lowest appeal to investors,

Market Overview

Structure, size and value of the industry sector; overview of the industry landscape and key players; an assessment of the business operating environment, sustainable energy policies, pricing and the latest regulatory developments.

Key Projects Database

Details and analysis of all current and planned developments (new ventures, capacity expansion and other investments) across the sector broken down by location, sector type, capacity, value, companies and operational status.

Competitive Landscape

Illustration of the power industry that exploits our data-rich, in-depth analysis of the leading players in the sector and examination of operational results, strategic goals, market position and the potential for investment.

Power Outlook long-Term Forecasts

Regional long-term power forecasts covering electricity generation, consumption and capacity for thermal, hydroelectric and nuclear power. These are supported by a country specific  overview, alongside an analysis of key downside risks to the main forecasts.

Regional Overview

Providing BMI’s near-term economic outlook for the region as a whole, as well as taking a close look at countries of particular interest and the latest trends and developments.

Sources

The Power Market Reports draw on an extensive network of primary sources, such as multilateral organisations, government departments, industry associations, chambers and company reports, including Energy Information Administration (EIA), World Bank (WB) and United Nations (UN).

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Testimonials

'An essential, multi-faceted research tool. BMI’s thorough understanding of the major market players enables an informed – and informative – review of the sector’s actual performance, together with useful insights into current industry issues, which are topped-off with detailed and invaluable forecasts of industry and macroeconomic trends.’

Senior Research Analyst, ABC International Bank plc