Namibia Infrastructure Report

Published 12 August 2015

  • 37 pages
  • Instant access to your report online and PDF format through your account library
  • Includes 3 free updated quarterly reports
$1,295.00
Namibia Infrastructure Report

BMI View: Weakening government stimulus amid lower commodity prices will weigh on infrastructure growth over coming years, with our forecasts seeing a notable slowdown in the construction sector's real growth. However, Namibia's positioning as a regional logistics hub and key export route for landlocked neighbours, as well as ambitions to lower dependence on South Africa for electricity will help maintain growth. Furthermore, we have revised upwards our 2015 sector outlook from 11% growth to 14% this quarter after stronger than expected H115 growth was reported, driven by residential construction, a key element of the current development plan.

The key drivers of Namibia's construction industry growth over the short-term will be the projects awarded during the 2011-2014 Targeted Intervention Programme for Employment and Economic Growth (TIPEEG), as well as the port of Walvis Bay expansion project, the Trans-Kalahari railway (TKR) line and the construction of the Neckartal Dam. Infrastructure surrounding the mining sector will remain a source of opportunity, although slowing demand for key commodities like diamonds and iron ore factor into our lower real growth forecasts for the construction sector.

Key Trends And Developments

  • The Namibia Ports Authority revealed construction on Namibia's port, called Southern Africa Development Community Gateway Port, 5km north of Walvis Bay, will start in 2015. The first phase will include construction of a NAD4bn (USD365.28mn) oil tanker jetty, a 75mn litre oil storage facility and petroleum pipelines. Phases two and three of the port, scheduled to begin in 2030, will include construction of a multi-purpose dry bulk terminal and coal terminal to supply coal shipments of up to 65mn tonnes from Botswana's Mmabula coalfields in five berths.

  • Namport has already reclaimed 1.25mn cu m of land for a NAD3bn (USD241.07mn) container terminal at the port of Walvis Bay. Work on the container terminal is about 25% complete, with more...

BMI Industry View
5
SWOT
7
Infrastructure SWOT
7
Industry Forecast
9
Construction And Infrastructure Forecast Scenario
9
Table: Construction And Infrastructure Industry Data (Namibia 2013-2018)
9
Table: Construction And Infrastructure Industry Data (Namibia 2019-2024)
9
Industry Risk Reward Ratings
15
Namibia - Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index
15
Rewards
15
Risks
16
SSA Infrastructure Challenged By Global Headwinds
17
Table: Sub-Saharan Africa's Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index, Q4 2015
22
Global Infrastructure Overview
23
Global Industry Overview
23
Table: Infrastructure Key Themes 2015
23
Table: Asia: Key Reforms
28
Methodology
30
Industry Forecast Methodology
30
Sector-Specific Methodology
31
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
35
Sector-Specific Methodology
36
Table: Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index Indicators
36
Table: Weighting Of Indicators
37

The Namibia Infrastructure Report features BMI Research's market assessment and forecasts covering public procurement and spending on all major infrastructure and construction projects, including transportation and logistics by land, sea and air; power plants and utilities, and commercial construction and property development. The report analyses the impact of regulatory changes and the macroeconomic outlook and features competitive intelligence on contractors and suppliers.

BMI's Namibia Infrastructure Report provides industry professionals and strategists, sector analysts, investors, trade associations and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the Namibian infrastructure and construction industry.

Key Benefits

  • Benchmark BMI's independent infrastructure industry forecasts for Namibia to test other views - a key input for successful budgetary and planning in the Namibian infrastructure market.
  • Target business opportunities and risks in the Namibian infrastructure sector through our reviews of latest industry trends, regulatory changes and major deals, projects and investments in Namibia.
  • Assess the activities, strategy and market position of your competitors, partners and clients via our Company Profiles (inc. SWOTs, KPIs and latest activity).

Coverage

BMI Industry View

Summary of BMI’s key industry forecasts, views and trend analysis covering infrastructure and construction, regulatory changes, major investments and projects and significant national and multinational company developments. These are broken down into construction (social, commercial and residential), transport (roads, railways, ports, airports, etc), and energy & utilities (powerplants, pipelines and so on).

Industry SWOT Analysis

Analysis of the major strengths, weaknesses, opportunities and threats within the infrastructure and construction sectors and within the broader political, economic and business environment.

BMI Industry Forecasts

Historic data series (up to 2012) and forecasts to end-2024 for all key industry indicators, supported by explicit assumptions, plus analysis of key developments in the market and risks to the main forecasts. Indicators include:

Construction: Industry value (USDbn); contribution to GDP (%); total capital investment (USDbn); real growth (%).

Construction industry real growth forecasts (%) and industry value (USDbn) forecasts for industry sectors are split into Residential and Non-residential and Infrastructure sectors. Where the data is available for particular countries the infrastructure is further broken down into indicators for the transport subsectors of roads, railways, airports and ports and the energy and utilities sub-sectors of power plants and transmission grids, oil & gas pipelines and water infrastructure. This dataset is unique to the market.

The reports also include analysis of latest projects across the infrastructure sectors (transport, utilities, commercial construction).

BMI’s Infrastructure Risk Reward Index

BMI’s Risk Reward Index provides investors (construction companies, suppliers and partners) looking for opportunities in the region with a clear country-comparative assessment of a market’s risks and potential rewards. Each of the country markets are scored using a sophisticated model that includes more than 40 industry, economic and  demographic data points. These provide indices of highest to lowest appeal to investors, with each position explained.

Market Overview

An assessment of the competitive landscape and key challenges to entering the market. Details of the largest companies active in the sector across the sub-segments of the industry, including the key financial figures from some of the largest players in the sector.

Company Profiles*

Examines the competitive positioning and short- to medium-term business strategies of key industry players. Strategy is examined within the context of BMI’s industry forecasts, our macroeconomic views and our understanding of the wider competitive landscape to generate company SWOT analyses. The latest financial and operating statistics and key company developments are also incorporated within the company profiles, enabling a full evaluation of recent company performance and future growth prospects.

Sources

The Infrastructure reports draw on an extensive network of primary sources, such as multilateral organisations, government departments, industry associations, chambers and company reports.

*Company profiles are not available for every country. Those reports instead contain information on the current activities of prominent companies operating in the market.

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