Namibia Infrastructure Report

Providing expert analysis, independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the Infrastructure industry.

Report includes: BMI Industry View, Industry SWOT Analysis, BMI Industry Forecast, BMI's Infrastructure Risk Reward Index, Market Overview and Company Profiles.

Why you should buy this report

  • Gain independent insight into the outlook for the infrastructure industry through BMI's 10 year forecasts
  • Understand the market through analysis of projects , investment plans and key players
  • Understand the threats to your operations and investments and protect your company against future risks
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Namibia Infrastructure Report
Product Price
$1,295.00

BMI View: Growth in Namibia's construction sector will slow after 2016 as the country struggles to attract private investment and battles macroeconomic headwinds in the wake of persistent low commodity prices. The expansion in the short term will be driven by port infrastructure upgrades and the harnessing of renewable energy. Other major projects, mainly in thermal energy and rail infrastructure, remain stalled owing to a lack of funding.

Latest Updates And Structural Trends

  • We forecast growth to slow after recording 10.7% real growth in 2016, averaging 5.9 over our 10-year forecast period.

  • While the budget balance is expected to remain the red until 2020, the government will continue to prioritise infrastructure development under its Medium Term Expenditure Framework. It is eager to establish a framework for public-private partnerships to attract private investment into infrastructure.

  • Delays in the construction of thermal power plants will weigh on growth throughout our forecast period.

Infrastructure - Construction Industry Forecasts (Namibia 2016-2020)
2016f 2017f 2018f 2019f 2020f
f = BMI forecast. Source: BoN, BMI
Construction industry value, NADbn 7.82 8.94 10.22 11.38 12.65
Construction Industry Value, Real Growth, % y-o-y 10.70 8.52 8.25 5.32 4.82
Construction Industry Value, % of GDP 4.7 4.8 4.9 4.9 4.9

Risk/Reward Index

  • Namibia's overall score has improved to 52.6 in our Sub-Saharan Africa RRI, above the regional average of 43. It remains the leader in the 16 markets covered.

  • The government is eager to improve its overall investment climate to attract private financing into infrastructure.

  • High levels of red tape and an underdeveloped financial restrict businesses' ability to raise credit.

Infrastructure Risk Reward Index (Namibia)
Risk/Reward Index Rewards Industry Rewards Country Rewards Risks Industry Risks Country Risks
Source: BMI
52.6 56.3 65.0 40.2 43.9 42.5 44.8
BMI Industry View
5
Table: Infrastructure - Construction Industry Forecasts (Namibia 2016-2020)
5
Table: Infrastructure Risk Reward Index (Namibia)
6
SWOT
7
Infrastructure SWOT
7
Industry Forecast
9
Construction And Infrastructure Forecast Scenario
9
Table: Construction And Infrastructure Industry Data (Namibia 2015-2025)
9
Industry Risk Reward Ratings
14
Namibia - Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index
14
Rewards
14
Risks
14
Sub-Saharan Africa Risk/Reward Index - Stabilisation, But Tough Year In 2016
16
Table: Sub-Saharan Africa - Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index, Q216
21
Methodology
22
Industry Forecast Methodology
22
Sector-Specific Methodology
23
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
27
Sector-Specific Methodology
28
Table: Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index Indicators
28
Table: Weighting Of Indicators
29

The Namibia Infrastructure Report features BMI Research's market assessment and forecasts covering public procurement and spending on all major infrastructure and construction projects, including transportation and logistics by land, sea and air; power plants and utilities, and commercial construction and property development. The report analyses the impact of regulatory changes and the macroeconomic outlook and features competitive intelligence on contractors and suppliers.

BMI's Namibia Infrastructure Report provides industry professionals and strategists, sector analysts, investors, trade associations and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the Namibian infrastructure and construction industry.

Key Benefits

  • Benchmark BMI's independent infrastructure industry forecasts for Namibia to test other views - a key input for successful budgetary and planning in the Namibian infrastructure market.
  • Target business opportunities and risks in the Namibian infrastructure sector through our reviews of latest industry trends, regulatory changes and major deals, projects and investments in Namibia.
  • Assess the activities, strategy and market position of your competitors, partners and clients via our Company Profiles (inc. SWOTs, KPIs and latest activity).

Coverage

BMI Industry View

Summary of BMI’s key industry forecasts, views and trend analysis covering infrastructure and construction, regulatory changes, major investments and projects and significant national and multinational company developments. These are broken down into construction (social, commercial and residential), transport (roads, railways, ports, airports, etc), and energy & utilities (powerplants, pipelines and so on).

Industry SWOT Analysis

Analysis of the major strengths, weaknesses, opportunities and threats within the infrastructure and construction sectors and within the broader political, economic and business environment.

BMI Industry Forecasts

Historic data series (up to 2012) and forecasts to end-2024 for all key industry indicators, supported by explicit assumptions, plus analysis of key developments in the market and risks to the main forecasts. Indicators include:

Construction: Industry value (USDbn); contribution to GDP (%); total capital investment (USDbn); real growth (%).

Construction industry real growth forecasts (%) and industry value (USDbn) forecasts for industry sectors are split into Residential and Non-residential and Infrastructure sectors. Where the data is available for particular countries the infrastructure is further broken down into indicators for the transport subsectors of roads, railways, airports and ports and the energy and utilities sub-sectors of power plants and transmission grids, oil & gas pipelines and water infrastructure. This dataset is unique to the market.

The reports also include analysis of latest projects across the infrastructure sectors (transport, utilities, commercial construction).

BMI’s Infrastructure Risk Reward Index

BMI’s Risk Reward Index provides investors (construction companies, suppliers and partners) looking for opportunities in the region with a clear country-comparative assessment of a market’s risks and potential rewards. Each of the country markets are scored using a sophisticated model that includes more than 40 industry, economic and  demographic data points. These provide indices of highest to lowest appeal to investors, with each position explained.

Market Overview

An assessment of the competitive landscape and key challenges to entering the market. Details of the largest companies active in the sector across the sub-segments of the industry, including the key financial figures from some of the largest players in the sector.

Company Profiles*

Examines the competitive positioning and short- to medium-term business strategies of key industry players. Strategy is examined within the context of BMI’s industry forecasts, our macroeconomic views and our understanding of the wider competitive landscape to generate company SWOT analyses. The latest financial and operating statistics and key company developments are also incorporated within the company profiles, enabling a full evaluation of recent company performance and future growth prospects.

Sources

The Infrastructure reports draw on an extensive network of primary sources, such as multilateral organisations, government departments, industry associations, chambers and company reports.

*Company profiles are not available for every country. Those reports instead contain information on the current activities of prominent companies operating in the market.