Netherlands Petrochemicals Report

Published 23 December 2014

  • 68 pages
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$1,295.00
Netherlands Petrochemicals Report

Although there are considerable downside risks over the short term, Dutch petrochemicals still offer some distinct competitive advantages over the medium-to-long term. Dutch petrochemicals production has several distinct advantages that should help it maintain its regional position: high level of integration, economies of scale and diversity of the product slate, according to BMI's latest Netherlands Petrochemicals report.

In 2014, the Netherlands had capacities of 3.98mn tonnes per annum (tpa) of ethylene, 675,000tpa of polyvinyl chloride, 95,000tpa of polystyrene, 1.9mn tpa of polyethylene, 780,000tpa of polypropylene and 450,000tpa of polyethylene terephthalate.

The rubber and plastic production index recovered strength in 2014 as manufacturing returned to growth with an average of 1.6% growth in 9M 2014, compared to -1.0% in 2013. Chemicals grew 2.1% while rubber and plastic rose 3.7% on average in the January-September period, up from -4.3% and 0.5% in the previous year.

The government's commitment to enhancing the business environment is reflected in its flexibility in modes of taxation on particular business operations. Financial incentives are also provided to promote research and development (R&D) activities, regional development and for environmental protection. As such, Dutch petrochemicals have significant competitive advantages over European countries, such as France and Italy, where capacity has been cut significantly.

However, this has not stopped doubts emerging over the future of Kuwait Petroleum International's Rotterdam refinery with scheduled investment worth USD1.4bn, abandoned in Q1 2014. The company was considering selling the refinery amid the struggle faced by European refiners due to overcapacity and international competition. Some of the alternatives for the refinery include converting the Europoort refinery into a storage terminal or permanently shutting it down, although it claims to be averting a permanent shutdown. A shutdown would...

BMI Industry View
7
SWOT
9
Political
11
Economic
12
Business Environment
13
Industry Forecast
14
Table: Netherlands' Oil & Gas And Petrochemicals Sector, 2011-2019 ('000 Tonnes, Unless Otherwise Stated)
17
Macroeconomic Forecasts
18
Economic Analysis
18
Table: Netherlands - Economic Activity
22
Industry Risk Reward Ratings
23
Europe Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index
23
Table: European Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index (scores out of 100)
27
Netherlands Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Ratings
27
Market Overview
29
Table: Netherlands' Olefins Facilities
30
Table: Netherlands' Aromatics and Intermediates Facilities
30
Industry Trends And Developments
32
Company Profile
34
LyondellBasell Industries
34
Table: LynondellBasell Financial Results (USDmn)
35
Sabic Europe
37
Regional Overview
40
Europe Overview
40
EU Woes Undermined by Declining Export Performance
40
Trouble in the East
41
Declining Capacities
42
Table: European Cracker Capacities, 2013
46
Global Industry Overview
50
China versus the US: feedstock wars
51
Table: Top 10 Ethylene Producers, 2013
55
Demographic Forecast
58
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Netherlands 1990-2025)
59
Table: Key Population Ratios (Netherlands 1990-2025)
59
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Netherlands 1990-2025)
60
Table: Population By Age Group (Netherlands 1990-2025)
60
Table: Population By Age Group % (Netherlands 1990-2025)
61
Glossary
63
Table: Glossary Of Petrochemicals Terms
63
Methodology
64
Industry Forecast Methodology
64
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
66
Table: Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index Indicators
67
Table: Weighting Of Indicators
68

The Netherlands Petrochemicals Report has been researched at source, and features BMI Research's market assessment and independent forecasts for key petrochemicals sub-sectors. The report also analyses the impact of regulatory changes, recent developments and the background macroeconomic outlook and features competitive landscapes comparing companies by products and services, sales, market share, investments, projects, partners and expansion strategies.

BMI's Netherlands Petrochemicals Report provides industry professionals and strategists, sector analysts, trade associations and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the Dutch petrochemicals industry.

Key Benefits

  • Benchmark BMI's independent petrochemicals industry forecasts to test other views - a key input for successful budgetary and planning in the Dutch petrochemicals market.
  • Target business opportunities and risks in the Dutch petrochemicals sector through our reviews of latest industry trends, regulatory changes and major deals, projects and investments in Netherlands.
  • Assess the activities, strategy and market position of your competitors, partners and clients via our Company Profiles (inc. KPIs and latest activity).

Coverage

BMI Industry View

Summary of BMI’s key industry forecasts, views and trend analysis, covering the petrochemicals markets, regulatory changes, major investments, projects and company developments.

Industry SWOT Analysis

Analysis of the major Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats within the petrochemicals sector and within the broader political, economic and business environment.

BMI Industry Forecasts

Historic data series (2009-2013) and forecasts to end-2019 for key industry and economic indicators, supported by explicit assumptions, plus analysis of key risks to the main forecasts. Indicators include:

  • Energy: Oil production (‘000 b/d), oil consumption (‘000 b/d), net oil exports (‘000 b/d), gas production (bcm), gas consumption (bcm), net gas exports (bcm), oil refinery capacity (‘000 b/d).
  • Petrochemicals: Ethylene capacity (‘000 tpa), ethylene production (‘000 tpa), ethylene consumption (‘000 tpa), polyethylene capacity (‘000 tpa), polypropylene capacity (‘000 tpa), polyvinyl chloride capacity (‘000 tpa), polyolefins consumption (‘000 tpa).
  • Oil Products Prices: Price forecasts for all major oil-based products (USD/bbl) at major global energy trading hubs.
  • Economic: Nominal GDP (USDbn), real GDP growth (%), GDP per capita (USD), population (mn), unemployment (%), exchange rate (against USD).

BMI’s Petrochemicals Risk Reward Index

BMI’s Risk Reward Indices provide investors (both corporate and financial) looking for opportunities in the region with a clear country-comparative assessment of a market’s risks and potential rewards. Each of the country markets are scored using a sophisticated model that includes more than 40 industry, economic and demographic data points to provide indices of highest to lowest appeal to investors, with each position explained.

Market Overview

Structure, size and value of the industry sector; overview of the industry landscape and key players; assessment of the business operating environment and the latest regulatory developments.

Industry Trends & Developments

Evaluation of company and sector-wide developments, including key projects (as well as expansion plans), latest company financial details and proposed international ventures.

Company Profiles*

Examines the competitive positioning and short- to medium-term business strategies of key industry players. Strategy is examined within the context of BMI’s industry forecasts, our macroeconomic views and our understanding of the wider competitive landscape. The latest financial and operating statistics and key company developments are also incorporated within the company profiles, enabling a full evaluation of recent company performance and future growth prospects.

Global & Regional Market Overview

Analysis of the key trends driving the global industry, including worldwide output/capacity and demand analysis across ethylene, polyethylene, polyvinyl chloride, polystyrene, polyethylene terephthalate and polypropylene. The regional analysis looks at the implications of local and global trends on specific company activity.

Sub-sectors covered by the Petrochemicals Reports include:

Oil & Gas, Oil Refining, Olefins (ethylene, propylene), Polyolefins (polyethylene, polypropylene), Polyvinyl Chloride, Polystyrene

Please note – not all country Reports cover all sub-sectors – see website for details.

Sources

The Petrochemicals Market Reports are based on a network of primary sources, such as multilateral organisations (ACC, APLA, Cefi c, ICCA, ICMA), national chambers of commerce and industry, national statistical offi ces, government ministries and central banks, and multinational companies.

*Company profiles are not available for every country. Those reports instead contain information on the current activities of prominent companies operating in the market.

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