Netherlands Petrochemicals Report

Providing expert analysis, independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the petrochemicals.

Report includes: BMI Industry View, Industry SWOT Analysis, Industry Forecasts, BMI's Petrochemicals Risk Reward Index, Economic Forecasts, Company Profiles and Global, Regional and Country Industry Overviews.

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Netherlands Petrochemicals Report
Product Price
$1,295.00

Dutch petrochemicals production is set for strong growth in 2016 following a disappointing 2015 when chemicals output fell 5.4% due in part to the shut-down of the Moerdijk cracker and associated butadiene production. The unit's resumption of activities should see it raise output to full operational capacity in 2016.

Although there are considerable downside risks over the short term, Dutch petrochemicals still offer some distinct competitive advantages over the medium-to-long term. Dutch petrochemicals production has several distinct advantages that should help it maintain its regional position: high level of integration, economies of scale and diversity of the product slate.

The government's commitment to enhancing the business environment is reflected in its flexibility in modes of taxation on particular business operations. Financial incentives are also provided to promote research and development (R&D) activities, regional development and for environmental protection. As such, Dutch petrochemicals have significant competitive advantages over European countries, such as France and Italy, where capacity has been cut significantly.

  • The upside to the Dutch petrochemicals industry is Indorama's increase in purified terephthalic acid (PTA) by 250,000tpa to 600,000tpa at its Rotterdam plant, providing feedstock to its European polyethylene terephthale (PET) operations. The expansion was due to be finished by end-2015 and should contribute to strong petrochemicals growth in 2016

  • Naphtha feedstock prices are forecast to remain stable in 2016, which will support margins in the short-term. Due to its high level of integration, the Dutch petrochemicals industry is in a strong enough position to withstand any downward pressure on prices posed by global over-supply as a result of a Chinese market slump and surging US ethane-based petrochemicals capacity.

  • With 73.2 points, the Netherlands is in joint second place with the UK in BMI's Risk/Reward Index for the European petrochemicals industry, down 0.4 points since last year due to a decline in its country risk score. It is 1.0 point ahead of Belgium and 8.3 points behind Germany. The Netherlands scores close to the Western European average in petrochemicals-related scores and its risk scores are still above the regional average, marking it out as a prime investment destination.

BMI Industry View
7
SWOT
8
Political
10
Economic
11
Operational Risk
12
Industry Forecast
13
Table: Netherlands' Oil & Gas And Petrochemicals Sector, 2012-2020
17
Macroeconomic Forecasts
18
Economic Analysis
18
Table: Economic Activity (Netherlands 2010-2019)
23
Industry Risk Reward Ratings
24
Europe Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index
24
Russia and Ukraine Under Pressure
27
Table: European Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index (scores out of 100)
28
Netherlands Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Ratings
29
Market Overview
30
Table: Netherlands' Olefins Facilities
31
Table: Netherlands' Aromatics and Intermediates Facilities
32
Industry Trends And Developments
33
Company Profile
35
LyondellBasell Industries
35
Table: LynondellBasell Financial Results (USDmn)
36
Sabic Europe
38
Regional Overview
41
Energy Prices And Greek Crisis Will Determine Margins
41
Delays and Mothballing in the East
43
Global Industry Overview
49
Feedstock Differentials: Respite for Europe
49
2016 Feedstock Outlook
51
Could US Gas Run out-
52
Market Outlook: Chinese Downturn
53
Long-term Outlook
53
Europe - Brent On Board For A Bumpy Ride
57
Demographic Forecast
58
Demographic Outlook
58
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Netherlands 1990-2025)
59
Table: Key Population Ratios (Netherlands 1990-2025)
59
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Netherlands 1990-2025)
60
Table: Population By Age Group (Netherlands 1990-2025)
60
Table: Population By Age Group % (Netherlands 1990-2025)
61
Glossary
63
Table: Glossary Of Petrochemicals Terms
63
Methodology
64
Industry Forecast Methodology
64
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
66
Table: Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index Indicators
67
Table: Weighting Of Indicators
68

The Netherlands Petrochemicals Report has been researched at source, and features BMI Research's market assessment and independent forecasts for key petrochemicals sub-sectors. The report also analyses the impact of regulatory changes, recent developments and the background macroeconomic outlook and features competitive landscapes comparing companies by products and services, sales, market share, investments, projects, partners and expansion strategies.

BMI's Netherlands Petrochemicals Report provides industry professionals and strategists, sector analysts, trade associations and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the Dutch petrochemicals industry.

Key Benefits

  • Benchmark BMI's independent petrochemicals industry forecasts to test other views - a key input for successful budgetary and planning in the Dutch petrochemicals market.
  • Target business opportunities and risks in the Dutch petrochemicals sector through our reviews of latest industry trends, regulatory changes and major deals, projects and investments in Netherlands.
  • Assess the activities, strategy and market position of your competitors, partners and clients via our Company Profiles (inc. KPIs and latest activity).

Coverage

BMI Industry View

Summary of BMI’s key industry forecasts, views and trend analysis, covering the petrochemicals markets, regulatory changes, major investments, projects and company developments.

Industry SWOT Analysis

Analysis of the major Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats within the petrochemicals sector and within the broader political, economic and business environment.

BMI Industry Forecasts

Historic data series (2009-2013) and forecasts to end-2019 for key industry and economic indicators, supported by explicit assumptions, plus analysis of key risks to the main forecasts. Indicators include:

  • Energy: Oil production (‘000 b/d), oil consumption (‘000 b/d), net oil exports (‘000 b/d), gas production (bcm), gas consumption (bcm), net gas exports (bcm), oil refinery capacity (‘000 b/d).
  • Petrochemicals: Ethylene capacity (‘000 tpa), ethylene production (‘000 tpa), ethylene consumption (‘000 tpa), polyethylene capacity (‘000 tpa), polypropylene capacity (‘000 tpa), polyvinyl chloride capacity (‘000 tpa), polyolefins consumption (‘000 tpa).
  • Oil Products Prices: Price forecasts for all major oil-based products (USD/bbl) at major global energy trading hubs.
  • Economic: Nominal GDP (USDbn), real GDP growth (%), GDP per capita (USD), population (mn), unemployment (%), exchange rate (against USD).

BMI’s Petrochemicals Risk Reward Index

BMI’s Risk Reward Indices provide investors (both corporate and financial) looking for opportunities in the region with a clear country-comparative assessment of a market’s risks and potential rewards. Each of the country markets are scored using a sophisticated model that includes more than 40 industry, economic and demographic data points to provide indices of highest to lowest appeal to investors, with each position explained.

Market Overview

Structure, size and value of the industry sector; overview of the industry landscape and key players; assessment of the business operating environment and the latest regulatory developments.

Industry Trends & Developments

Evaluation of company and sector-wide developments, including key projects (as well as expansion plans), latest company financial details and proposed international ventures.

Company Profiles*

Examines the competitive positioning and short- to medium-term business strategies of key industry players. Strategy is examined within the context of BMI’s industry forecasts, our macroeconomic views and our understanding of the wider competitive landscape. The latest financial and operating statistics and key company developments are also incorporated within the company profiles, enabling a full evaluation of recent company performance and future growth prospects.

Global & Regional Market Overview

Analysis of the key trends driving the global industry, including worldwide output/capacity and demand analysis across ethylene, polyethylene, polyvinyl chloride, polystyrene, polyethylene terephthalate and polypropylene. The regional analysis looks at the implications of local and global trends on specific company activity.

Sub-sectors covered by the Petrochemicals Reports include:

Oil & Gas, Oil Refining, Olefins (ethylene, propylene), Polyolefins (polyethylene, polypropylene), Polyvinyl Chloride, Polystyrene

Please note – not all country Reports cover all sub-sectors – see website for details.

Sources

The Petrochemicals Market Reports are based on a network of primary sources, such as multilateral organisations (ACC, APLA, Cefi c, ICCA, ICMA), national chambers of commerce and industry, national statistical offi ces, government ministries and central banks, and multinational companies.

*Company profiles are not available for every country. Those reports instead contain information on the current activities of prominent companies operating in the market.