New Zealand Country Risk Report

Providing comprehensive data and in-depth analysis of political, financial and economic risk.

Report includes: BMI's Core Views, 10-year Forecasts, BMI's Economic Risk Index, Political Stability and Risk Index, Long-term Political Outlook, Operational Risk Index, SWOT Analysis and Structural Economic Sections

Why you should buy this report

  • Understand and measure the political, business environment and operational risks to your company
  • Gain insight on emerging trends that could support, strengthen or disrupt your activities in the market
  • Benefit from 10-year macroeconomic forecasts and insight into the structural characteristics of the economy
  • Get the long-term political outlook and explore possible scenarios for change
×

Sign up to download the New Zealand Country Risk Report

By submitting this form you are acknowledging that you have read and understood our Privacy Policy.

Thank you for your interest

You will shortly receive your free executive summary by email.

New Zealand Country Risk Report
Product Price
$1,245.00

Assess your risk exposure in New Zealand with our 100% independent forecasts assessing the pace and stability of this key market. Backed by trusted data from BMI Research's 52 million data point economic forecast model, this report will allow you to measure political, economic, business environment and operational risks in New Zealand with confidence.

Your subscription service includes:

  • Delivery of the report in print and PDF
  • Online access for 12 months
  • The functionality to translate your online report into your choice of 10 languages - Arabic, Chinese, French, German, Italian, Japanese, Korean, Portuguese, Russian and Spanish
  • The ability to export data and graphs from the online report directly into your workflow
  • The support of a dedicated Account Manager to answer any questions you might have about your subscription
  • Access to our team of leading analysts who will be happy to answer any questions you might have about the data and forecasts included in this report
Executive Summary
5
Core Views
5
Key Risks
5
Chapter 1: Economic Outlook
7
SWOT Analysis
7
BMI Economic Risk Index
7
Economic Growth Outlook
8
Strong GDP Growth Unlikely To Last
8
GDP By Expenditure Outlook
9
TABLE: GDP GROWTH FORECASTS
9
TABLE: PRIVATE CONSUMPTION FORECASTS
10
TABLE: GOVERNMENT CONSUMPTION FORECASTS
10
TABLE: FIXED INVESTMENT FORECASTS
10
TABLE: NET EXPORTS FORECASTS
10
Fiscal Policy And Public Debt Outlook
10
Surplus To Be Maintained Amid Fiscal Discipline
10
Structural Fiscal Position
12
TABLE: MAIN REVENUE AND EXPENDITURE CATEGORIES
12
Currency Forecast
13
NZD: Downside Forces Still In Play
13
TABLE: BMI CURRENCY FORECAST
14
Outlook On External Position
15
TABLE: MAIN EXPORT AND IMPORT PARTNERS
16
TABLE: MAIN EXPORTS AND IMPORTS
16
TABLE: CAPITAL & FINANCIAL ACCOUNT BALANCE
16
Monetary Policy
17
Steady OCR Unlikely To Last Long
17
Monetary Policy Framework
18
Chapter 2: 10-Year Forecast
21
The New Zealand Economy To 2025
21
Deleveraging Will Weigh On Growth
21
TABLE: LONG-TERM MACROECONOMIC FORECASTS
21
Chapter 3: Political Outlook
23
SWOT Analysis
23
BMI Political Risk Index
23
Domestic Politics
24
Panama Papers No Blow To Business Environment
24
TABLE: POLITICAL OVERVIEW
24
Long-Term Political Outlook
25
Stability To Prevail, But Not Without Challenges
25
Chapter 4: Operational Risk
29
SWOT Analysis
29
Operational Risk Index
29
Operational Risk
30
TABLE: DEVELOPED STATES - LABOUR MARKET RISK
30
TABLE: DEVELOPED STATES - LOGISTICS RISK
34
TABLE: DEVELOPED STATES - CRIME AND SECURITY RISK
37
TABLE: DEVELOPED STATES - TRADE AND INVESTMENT RISK
39
Chapter 5: BMI Global Macro Outlook
41
Global Macro Outlook
41
Summer Of Risk
41
TABLE: GLOBAL ASSUMPTIONS
41
TABLE: DEVELOPED STATES, REAL GDP GROWTH, %
42
TABLE: EMERGING MARKETS, REAL GDP GROWTH, %
43
TABLE: MACROECONOMIC DATA & FORECASTS
45