Nigeria Country Risk Report

Providing comprehensive data and in-depth analysis of political, financial and economic risk.

Report includes: BMI's Core Views, 10-year Forecasts, BMI's Economic Risk Index, Political Stability and Risk Index, Long-term Political Outlook, Operational Risk Index, SWOT Analysis and Structural Economic Sections

Why you should buy this report

  • Understand and measure the political, business environment and operational risks to your company
  • Gain insight on emerging trends that could support, strengthen or disrupt your activities in the market
  • Benefit from 10-year macroeconomic forecasts and insight into the structural characteristics of the economy
  • Get the long-term political outlook and explore possible scenarios for change
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Nigeria Country Risk Report
Product Price
$1,245.00

Assess your risk exposure in Nigeria with our 100% independent forecasts assessing the pace and stability of this key market. Backed by trusted data from BMI Research's 52 million data point economic forecast model, this report will allow you to measure political, economic, business environment and operational risks in Nigeria with confidence.

Your subscription service includes:

  • Delivery of the report in print and PDF
  • Online access for 12 months
  • The functionality to translate your online report into your choice of 10 languages - Arabic, Chinese, French, German, Italian, Japanese, Korean, Portuguese, Russian and Spanish
  • The ability to export data and graphs from the online report directly into your workflow
  • The support of a dedicated Account Manager to answer any questions you might have about your subscription
  • Access to our team of leading analysts who will be happy to answer any questions you might have about the data and forecasts included in this report
Executive Summary
5
Core Views
5
Key Risks
5
Chapter 1: Economic Outlook
7
SWOT Analysis
7
BMI Economic Risk Index
7
Economic Growth Outlook
8
Oil-Driven Recovery Will Be Muted
8
GDP By Expenditure Outlook
10
TABLE: GDP GROWTH FORECASTS
10
TABLE: PRIVATE CONSUMPTION FORECASTS
10
TABLE: GOVERNMENT CONSUMPTION FORECASTS
10
TABLE: FIXED INVESTMENT FORECASTS
10
TABLE: NET EXPORTS FORECASTS
10
Fiscal Policy And Public Debt Outlook
11
Ambitious Spending Plans Will Not Be Realised
11
Structural Fiscal Position
12
TABLE: MAIN REVENUE AND EXPENDITURE CATEGORIES
13
External Trade And Investment Outlook
14
Stronger Oil Sector Will Drive Current Account Recovery
14
Outlook On External Position
15
TABLE: CAPITAL & FINANCIAL ACCOUNT BALANCE
15
TABLE: TOP 5 GOODS EXPORTS
16
TABLE: TOP 5 GOODS IMPORTS
16
Monetary Policy
17
Three Scenarios For Monetary Policy
17
Monetary Policy Framework
19
Currency Forecast
20
NGN: Further Devaluation By Year-End
20
TABLE: BMI CURRENCY FORECAST
20
Contents
Contents
Chapter 2: 10-Year Forecast
23
The Nigerian Economy To 2025
23
Power Sector Key For Long-Term Productivity
23
TABLE: LONG-TERM MACROECONOMIC FORECASTS
23
Chapter 3: Political Outlook
29
SWOT Analysis
29
BMI Political Risk Index
29
Domestic Politics
30
Waning Support Will Limit President Buhari's Effectiveness
30
TABLE: POLITICAL OVERVIEW
30
Long-Term Political Outlook
31
Inequality, Corruption And Militancy Pose Long-Term Challenges
31
Chapter 4: Operational Risk
35
Operational Risk
35
TABLE: OPERATIONAL RISK
35
Business Crime
36
TABLE: BUSINESS RESPONSE TO RISK
38
Government Intervention
40
TABLE: BUSINESS TAXES
40
TABLE: PERSONAL INCOME TAX
41
Chapter 5: BMI Global Macro Outlook
45
Global Macro Outlook
45
Austerity Has Peaked, But Populism Is Not Yet Policy
45
TABLE: GLOBAL ASSUMPTIONS
45
TABLE: DEVELOPED STATES, REAL GDP GROWTH, %
46
TABLE: EMERGING MARKETS, REAL GDP GROWTH, %
47
TABLE: MACROECONOMIC DATA & FORECASTS
49