North Africa Telecommunications Report

Providing expert analysis, independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the telecommunications industry.

Report includes: BMI Industry View, Industry SWOT Analysis, BMI Industry Forecast Scenario, Telecommunications Risk Reward Index, Market Overview, Regulatory Environment, Company Profiles and Competitive

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  • Benefit from the latest market opportunities
  • Understand the threats to your operations and investments and protect your company against future risks
  • Gain insight on emerging trends that could support, strengthen or disrupt your activities in the market
  • Get a full view of the competitive landscape to assess your market position.
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North Africa Telecommunications Report
Product Price
$1,295.00

BMI View : North African telecommunications markets are rapidly evolving from voice-centric markets towards ones driven by data consumption, with mobile broadband being one of the core drivers in all markets. 3G services have been launched with success in Morocco, Algeria and Tunisia, and the licensing and rollout of 4G services is on track. Success is dependent on the overall macroeconomic situation, with higher purchasing power helping with the development of the telecoms market, while the security situation is always at the forefront in the region. All markets have a mix of public and private operators, though liberalisation is not present in all sectors, and the competition has always driven greater uptake in the region.

Latest Updates & Industry Developments

  • The ADSL market grew above 1mn in Morocco, with total 3G subscriptions growing above 10mn

  • Currency depreciations had a negative impact for international operators present in Algeria and Tunisia, as USD-denominated ARPU declined

  • The Moroccan market posted strong growth in Q3 2015 and the Tunisian market posted modest gains in Q2 2015.

Regional Perspective

Morocco is North Africa's outperformer in terms of our regional Risk/Reward Index, the only country to score above MENA's regional average of 47.7. Morocco, Tunisia and Algeria are in the middle of the pack, ranked eighth, 11th and 12th respectively, with Libya in 14th spot. Both Morocco and Tunisia performed better this quarter, thanks to an increase in their Country Risk scores, highlighting greater perspective in terms of private consumption, but Algeria underperformed for opposite reasons, as its reliance on oil turns us more bearish.

A Tale Of Two Markets
2013-2019
e/f = BMI estimate/forecast. Source: BMI
BMI Industry View
7
SWOT
9
Telecoms
9
Industry Forecast
11
Algeria
11
Table: Telecoms Sector - Historical Data & Forecasts (Algeria 2012-2019)
11
Libya
14
Table: Telecoms Sector - Historical Data & Forecasts (Libya 2012-2019)
14
Morocco
17
Table: Telecoms Sector - Historical Data & Forecasts (Morocco 2012-2019)
17
Tunisia
20
Table: Telecoms Sector - Historical Data & Forecasts (Tunisia 2012-2019)
20
Industry Risk Reward Ratings
23
Middle East And North Africa Risk Reward Index
23
Table: MENA Telecoms Risk/Reward Index - Q415
26
Market Overview
27
Algeria
27
Mobile
27
Table: Algeria - Mobile Blended ARPUs, 2013-2015 (USD)
29
3G
29
Table: 3G Market Data, November 2014
30
Mobile Operator Data
31
Table: Mobilis
31
Table: Djezzy
31
Table: Ooredoo
33
Fixed Line
33
Table: Growth Of Fixed Lines By Technology, 2005-2013 ('000)
34
Broadband
34
Libya
36
Mobile
36
Table: Libya Mobile Market, Q414
37
A Third Operator
37
Fixed Line
38
Broadband
38
Morocco
40
Mobile
40
Data Services
42
Mobile Operator Data
45
Table: Maroc T-l-com
45
Table: M-ditel
46
Table: Wana
46
Fixed Line
47
Table: Fixed-Line Market, 2013-2015
47
Broadband
48
Tunisia
50
Mobile
50
Mobile Operator Data
52
Table: Tunisie T-l-com
52
Table: Ooredoo
53
Table: Orange Tunisia
54
Fixed Line
54
Table: Fixed Line Market, 2014-2015
55
Broadband
55
Table: Tunisian Internet Market, 2013-2015
55
Regulatory Development
56
Table: North African Regulatory Environment
56
Algeria
56
Table: Key Developments
57
Libya
58
Morocco
60
Table: Key Developments
61
Tunisia
61
Competitive Landscape
63
Table: Key Players - North Africa Telecoms Sector
63
Company Profile
64
Alg-rie T-l-com
64
Maroc T-l-com
68
Tunisie T-l-com
72
Orascom Telecom
75
Ooredoo (Tunisiana)
78
Demographic Forecast
81
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Algeria 1990-2025)
82
Table: Key Population Ratios (Algeria 1990-2025)
82
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Algeria 1990-2025)
83
Table: Population By Age Group (Algeria 1990-2025)
83
Table: Population By Age Group % (Algeria 1990-2025)
84
Demographic Forecast
86
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Libya 1990-2025)
87
Table: Key Population Ratios (Libya 1990-2025)
87
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Libya 1990-2025)
88
Table: Population By Age Group (Libya 1990-2025)
88
Table: Population By Age Group % (Libya 1990-2025)
89
Demographic Outlook
91
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Morocco 1990-2025)
92
Table: Key Population Ratios (Morocco 1990-2025)
92
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Morocco 1990-2025)
93
Table: Population By Age Group (Morocco 1990-2025)
93
Table: Population By Age Group % (Morocco 1990-2025)
94
Demographic Forecast
96
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Tunisia 1990-2025)
97
Table: Key Population Ratios (Tunisia 1990-2025)
97
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Tunisia 1990-2025)
98
Table: Population By Age Group (Tunisia 1990-2025)
98
Table: Population By Age Group % (Tunisia 1990-2025)
99
Glossary
101
Table: Glossary Of Terms
101
Methodology
103
Industry Forecast Methodology
103
Sources
105
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
105
Table: Risk/Reward Index Indicators
106
Table: Weighting Of Indicators
107

The North Africa Telecommunications Report features BMI Research's independent industry forecasts on the future strength of Algeria, Libya, Morocco, Tunisia's ICT market, covering the fixed-line, mobile and internet segments and analyses latest regulatory developments and corporate news, including investment activity, mergers and acquisitions, joint ventures and partnerships. Leading operators and manufacturers are fully profiled, highlighting their quarterly financial performance, capital expenditure plans and latest contracts.

BMI's North Africa Telecommunications Report provides industry professionals and researchers, operators, equipment suppliers and vendors, corporate and financial services analysts and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the telecoms industry in Algeria, Libya, Morocco, Tunisia.

Key Benefits

  • Benchmark BMI's independent telecoms industry forecasts for Algeria, Libya, Morocco, Tunisia to test other views - a key input for successful budgeting and strategic business planning in the Algerian, Libyan, Moroccan, Tunisian telecoms market.
  • Target business opportunities and risks in Algeria, Libya, Morocco, Tunisia's telecoms sector through our reviews of latest industry trends, regulatory changes and major deals, projects and investments in Algeria, Libya, Morocco, Tunisia.
  • Assess the activities, strategy and market position of your competitors, partners and clients via our Company Profiles (inc. SWOTs, KPIs and latest activity).

Coverage

BMI Industry View

Summary of BMI’s key industry forecasts and views, covering the ARPU, fixed-line, mobile (including 3G & 4G), internet and broadband markets.

Industry SWOT Analysis

Analysis of the major Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats within the wireline and wireless sectors and within the broader political, economic and business environment.

BMI Industry Forecast Scenario

Historic data series (2010-2013) and forecasts to end-2019 for all key industry indicators, supported by explicit assumptions, plus analysis of key downside risks to the main forecast.

  • Fixed-line Telephony – Telephone lines (‘000); telephone lines/100 inhabitants.
  • Cellular Telephony – Mobile phone subscribers (‘000); mobile phone subscribers/100 inhabitants; and where available, 3G & 4G subscribers (‘000); 3G & 4G subscribers/100 inhabitants; 3G & 4G subscribers as a percentage of overall mobile market.
  • Internet Markets – Internet users (‘000); internet users/100 inhabitants; broadband internet subscribers (‘000); broadband internet subscribers/100 inhabitants.

BMI’s Telecommunications Risk Reward Index

BMI’s Risk Reward Indices provide investors (vendors, operators and suppliers) looking for opportunities in the region with a clear country comparative assessment of a market’s risks and potential rewards. Each of the country markets are scored using a sophisticated model that includes more than 40 industry, economic and demographic data points to provide an Indices of highest to lowest appeal to investors, with each position explained.

Market Data Analysis

Detailed market analysis of the mobile, mobile content, fixed-line and internet segments, broken down into:

  • Market Data – Analysis of market size, operator shares, dominant trends, competitive landscape and key quarterly data.
  • Technology/Service Rollout – Analysis of rollout/adoption of new technology, such as 3G & 4G, WiMAX, IPTV, pay-TV, LTE and valueadded handset services (gaming, music, video, apps etc.).
  • Mobile Content – The latest trends in content and services available and being introduced by mobile operators, including a timeline of all the latest major mobile content developments.
    Company Database – A comprehensive breakdown of KPIs of the leading mobile operators, including subscriber figures by type (pre-paid and post-paid); 3G & 4G subscriber figures; net additions; market share; ARPU; churn rates; minutes of use; voice and non-voice revenue; financial figures (including operating revenues, net profits and EBITDA).

Regulatory Environment

Details of the regulatory bodies and their responsibilities, as well as a special focus on the rules surrounding competition and interconnection. Also covers the latest updates in the market’s development and regulatory rulings.

Company Profiles*

Examines the competitive positioning and short- to medium-term business strategies of key industry players. Strategy is examined within the context of BMI’s industry forecasts, our macroeconomic views and our understanding of the wider competitive landscape to generate Company SWOT analyses. The latest financial and operating statistics and key company developments are also incorporated within the company profiles, enabling a full evaluation of recent company performance and future growth prospects.

Sources

The Telecommunications Reports draw on an extensive network of primary sources, such as multilateral organisations, government departments, industry associations, chambers and company reports.

*Company profiles are not available for every country. Those reports instead contain information on the current activities of prominent companies operating in the market.