Norway Telecommunications Report

Published 04 June 2015

  • 100 pages
  • Instant access to your report online and PDF format through your account library
  • Includes 3 free updated quarterly reports
$1,295.00
Norway Telecommunications Report

BMI View: A change in competitive dynamics is expected in Norway's electronic communications market in 2015. Tele2's subsidiary Network Norway was sold to NetCom and albeit according to the publicised terms NetCom was only due to purchase Tele2's infrastructure it now looks like most customers have also decided to stay. This will significantly boost NetCom's market share and accelerate NetCom's expansion of 4G and mobile broadband coverage. Both NetCom and Telenor are in the process of rolling out LTE-Advanced services, which will create competition for high-value data products. Meanwhile, TDC Norway acquired Get, the country's largest alternative cable broadband operator and placing increased pressure on incumbent Telenor in the converged services arena.

Key Data

  • BMI estimates a total mobile subscription base of 5.952mn at the end of 2014, a very small net decrease year-on-year owing to market saturation and the loss of inactive accounts. Boosted by the changing competitive dynamic and the prospect of lower prices, we forecast the user base to grow to 6.146mn by the end of 2019.

  • The wireline sector is in decline, reaching 1.139mn voice accesses at the end of 2014. BMI forecasts slowing rates of decline through to 2019, reaching 1.014mn accesses by the end of the forecast period. Copper access lines will remain in service, underpinning the broadband market.

Key Trends And Developments

The Norwegian competition and communications market watchdogs approved the sale of Network Norway to TeliaSonera in February 2015. The proposed deal had been altered to dilute the increased market power TeliaSonera would have had in the mobile arena. TeliaSonera will acquire Network Norway's infrastructure, while newcomer ICE will acquire its customers and a nationwide roaming agreement. It is unclear whether ICE will take on Network Norway's consumer customers; its reluctance to commit to participating in upcoming auctions of 900MHz and 1800MHz spectrum - saying it...

BMI Industry View
7
SWOT
9
SWOT Mobile
9
Political
10
Economic
11
Operational Risk
12
Industry Forecast
13
Mobile
13
Table: Telecoms Sector - Historical Data & Forecasts (Norway 2012-2019)
13
ARPU Forecasts
15
Industry Risk Reward Ratings
17
Industry Risk Reward Index
17
Table: Western Europe Telecoms Risk/Rewards Index, Q315
20
Market Overview
21
Mobile
21
Table: Norway Mobile Market Regional Comparisons, 2013
22
Key Developments
22
Market Growth
23
Market Shares
25
Table: Net Additions By Operator ('000), Q412-Q314
27
Table: Net Additions By Operator ('000), Q113-Q414
27
Usage
28
MVNOs
30
Networks
31
Mobile Content
34
Table: Mobile Contract Wins
37
Mobile Operator Data
39
Table: Mobile Market Overview
39
Table: Telenor
39
Table: NetCom
40
Table: Tele2/Network Norway
41
Mobile Content
43
Monetising Footfall
44
Interoperable M-Commerce A Stronger Proposition
45
Positioning Key To M2M Success
47
Regaining Control Of The Bill
50
Wireline
52
Recent Developments
52
Fixed Telephony
52
Fixed Broadband
55
Table: Residential Fixed Broadband Subscriptions By Technology ('000)
56
Table: Business Fixed Broadband Subscriptions By Technology ('000)
56
Converged Operator Data
59
Table: Telenor
59
Table: Telio Norway/NextGenTel
61
Table: Tele2 Norway
62
Industry Trends And Developments
64
Regulatory Development
68
Regulatory Overview
68
Table: Norway: Regulatory Bodies And Their Responsibilities
68
Regulatory Developments
70
Table: MTR Glide Path 2011-2013 (NOK/min)
73
Competitive Landscape
74
Table: Key Players - Norway Telecoms Sector
74
Table: Selected Operator Financial Parameters, 2009-2013
75
Company Profile
76
Telenor ASA
76
TeliaSonera Norway
82
Regional Overview
85
Demographic Forecast
89
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Norway 1990-2025)
90
Table: Key Population Ratios (Norway 1990-2025)
90
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Norway 1990-2025)
91
Table: Population By Age Group (Norway 1990-2025)
91
Table: Population By Age Group % (Norway 1990-2025)
92
Glossary
94
Table: Glossary Of Terms
94
Methodology
96
Industry Forecast Methodology
96
Sources
98
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
98
Table: Risk/Reward Index Indicators
99
Table: Weighting Of Indicators
100

The Norway Telecommunications Report features BMI Research's independent industry forecasts on the future strength of Norway's ICT market, covering the fixed-line, mobile and internet segments and analyses latest regulatory developments and corporate news, including investment activity, mergers and acquisitions, joint ventures and partnerships. Leading operators and manufacturers are fully profiled, highlighting their quarterly financial performance, capital expenditure plans and latest contracts.

BMI's Norway Telecommunications Report provides industry professionals and researchers, operators, equipment suppliers and vendors, corporate and financial services analysts and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the telecoms industry in Norway.

Key Benefits

  • Benchmark BMI's independent telecoms industry forecasts for Norway to test other views - a key input for successful budgeting and strategic business planning in the Norwegian telecoms market.
  • Target business opportunities and risks in Norway's telecoms sector through our reviews of latest industry trends, regulatory changes and major deals, projects and investments in Norway.
  • Assess the activities, strategy and market position of your competitors, partners and clients via our Company Profiles (inc. SWOTs, KPIs and latest activity).

Coverage

BMI Industry View

Summary of BMI’s key industry forecasts and views, covering the ARPU, fixed-line, mobile (including 3G & 4G), internet and broadband markets.

Industry SWOT Analysis

Analysis of the major Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats within the wireline and wireless sectors and within the broader political, economic and business environment.

BMI Industry Forecast Scenario

Historic data series (2010-2013) and forecasts to end-2019 for all key industry indicators, supported by explicit assumptions, plus analysis of key downside risks to the main forecast.

  • Fixed-line Telephony – Telephone lines (‘000); telephone lines/100 inhabitants.
  • Cellular Telephony – Mobile phone subscribers (‘000); mobile phone subscribers/100 inhabitants; and where available, 3G & 4G subscribers (‘000); 3G & 4G subscribers/100 inhabitants; 3G & 4G subscribers as a percentage of overall mobile market.
  • Internet Markets – Internet users (‘000); internet users/100 inhabitants; broadband internet subscribers (‘000); broadband internet subscribers/100 inhabitants.

BMI’s Telecommunications Risk Reward Index

BMI’s Risk Reward Indices provide investors (vendors, operators and suppliers) looking for opportunities in the region with a clear country comparative assessment of a market’s risks and potential rewards. Each of the country markets are scored using a sophisticated model that includes more than 40 industry, economic and demographic data points to provide an Indices of highest to lowest appeal to investors, with each position explained.

Market Data Analysis

Detailed market analysis of the mobile, mobile content, fixed-line and internet segments, broken down into:

  • Market Data – Analysis of market size, operator shares, dominant trends, competitive landscape and key quarterly data.
  • Technology/Service Rollout – Analysis of rollout/adoption of new technology, such as 3G & 4G, WiMAX, IPTV, pay-TV, LTE and valueadded handset services (gaming, music, video, apps etc.).
  • Mobile Content – The latest trends in content and services available and being introduced by mobile operators, including a timeline of all the latest major mobile content developments.
    Company Database – A comprehensive breakdown of KPIs of the leading mobile operators, including subscriber figures by type (pre-paid and post-paid); 3G & 4G subscriber figures; net additions; market share; ARPU; churn rates; minutes of use; voice and non-voice revenue; financial figures (including operating revenues, net profits and EBITDA).

Regulatory Environment

Details of the regulatory bodies and their responsibilities, as well as a special focus on the rules surrounding competition and interconnection. Also covers the latest updates in the market’s development and regulatory rulings.

Company Profiles*

Examines the competitive positioning and short- to medium-term business strategies of key industry players. Strategy is examined within the context of BMI’s industry forecasts, our macroeconomic views and our understanding of the wider competitive landscape to generate Company SWOT analyses. The latest financial and operating statistics and key company developments are also incorporated within the company profiles, enabling a full evaluation of recent company performance and future growth prospects.

Sources

The Telecommunications Reports draw on an extensive network of primary sources, such as multilateral organisations, government departments, industry associations, chambers and company reports.

*Company profiles are not available for every country. Those reports instead contain information on the current activities of prominent companies operating in the market.

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