Norway Telecommunications Report

Published 13 February 2015

  • 105 pages
  • Instant access to your report online and PDF format through your account library
  • Includes 3 free updated quarterly reports
 
$1,295.00
Norway Telecommunications Report

BMI View: A change in competitive dynamics is expected in Norway's electronic communications market in 2015. Firstly, Tele2 -backed Network Norway is to be sold to NetCom , accelerating the expansion of the latter's 4G and mobile broadband coverage; new entrant ICE will acquire Network Norway's customers, giving it a head start in developing its mobile business. Meanwhile, TDC Norway acquired Get , the country's largest alternative cable broadband operator and placing increased pressure on incumbent Telenor in the converged services arena. Finally, the national regulatory authority was restructured in January 2015 and its powers and duties refined. The coming months may see it take more direct action to bring down prices for consumers, which would impact players large and small.

Key Data

  • BMI estimates a total mobile subscription base of 5.953mn at the end of 2014, a very small net increase y-o-y owing to market saturation and the loss of inactive accounts. Boosted by the changing competitive dynamic and the prospect of lower prices, we forecast the user base to grow to 6.146mn by the end of 2019.

  • The wireline sector is in decline, reaching 1.139mn voice accesses at the end of 2014. BMI forecasts slowing rates of decline through to 2019, reaching 1.014mn accesses by the end of the forecast period. Copper access lines will remain in service, underpinning the broadband market.

Key Trends And Developments

The Norwegian competition and communications market watchdogs approved the sale of Network Norway to TeliaSonera in February 2015. The proposed deal had been altered to dilute the increased market power TeliaSonera would have had in the mobile arena. TeliaSonera will acquire Network Norway's infrastructure while newcomer ICE will acquire its customers and a nationwide roaming agreement. It is unclear whether ICE will take on Network Norway's consumer customers; its reluctance to commit to participating in upcoming auctions of 900MHz...

Table of Contents

BMI Industry View
7
SWOT
8
SWOT
9
Political
10
Economic
11
Business Environment
12
Industry Forecast
13
Mobile
13
Table: Telecoms Sector - Mobile - Historical Data & Forecasts
13
ARPU Forecasts
14
Fixed-Line
16
Table: Telecoms Sector - Wireline - Historical Data & Forecasts
16
Industry Risk Reward Ratings
18
Changes At The Top
18
Table: Western Europe Telecoms - Risk/Rewards Ratings, Q314
21
Market Overview
23
Mobile
23
Table: Norway Mobile Market Regional Comparisons, 2013
24
Key Developments
24
Market Growth
26
Market Shares
27
Table: Net Additions By Operator ('000), Q212-Q114
29
Usage
30
MVNOs
32
Networks
32
Mobile Content
36
Table: Mobile Contract Wins
39
Mobile Operator Data
40
Table: Mobile Market Overview
40
Table: Telenor
40
Table: NetCom
41
Table: Tele2/Network Norway
42
Western Europe Mobile Content
44
Monetising Footfall
45
Interoperable M-Commerce A Stronger Proposition
46
Positioning Key To M2M Success
47
Regaining Control Of The Bill
49
Wireline
51
Recent Developments
51
Fixed Telephony
51
Fixed Broadband
53
Table: Residential Fixed Broadband Subscriptions By Technology ('000)
54
Table: Business Fixed Broadband Subscriptions By Technology ('000)
54
Converged Operator Data
56
Table: Telenor
56
Table: Telio Norway/NextGenTel
58
Table: Tele2 Norway
59
Industry Trends And Developments
61
Regulatory Development
65
Regulatory Overview
65
Table: Norway: Regulatory Bodies And Their Responsibilities
65
Regulatory Developments
67
Table: MTR Glide Path 2011-2013 (NOK/min)
70
Competitive Landscape
71
Table: Key Players - Norway Telecoms Sector
71
Table: Selected Operator Financial Parameters, 2009-2013
72
Company Profile
73
Telenor ASA
73
Telenor Mobil
78
TeliaSonera Norway
82
Regional Overview
86
INSIDE Secure: New Strategy, New Deals
86
Revenue Growth Momentum Recovers In Q413
87
Table: INSIDE Secure - Key Performance Indicators (USD '000)
88
Strengthening Mobile Security Proposition
89
Acquisition Bolsters Security Capabilities
89
New Licensing Deal With Intel Offsets Exposure To BlackBerry
90
Demographic Forecast
92
Table: Norway's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 ('000)
93
Table: Norway's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of total)
94
Table: Norway's Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020
95
Table: Norway's Rural And Urban Population, 1990-2020
95
Glossary
96
Table: Glossary Of Terms
96
Methodology
98
Industry Forecast Methodology
98
Sources
99
Risk/Reward Ratings Methodology
100
Table: Risk/Reward Ratings Indicators
101
Table: Weighting Of Indicators
102

The Norway Telecommunications Report features Business Monitor International (BMI)'s independent industry forecasts on the future strength of Norway's ICT market, covering the fixed-line, mobile and internet segments and analyses latest regulatory developments and corporate news, including investment activity, mergers and acquisitions, joint ventures and partnerships. Leading operators and manufacturers are fully profiled, highlighting their quarterly financial performance, capital expenditure plans and latest contracts.

BMI's Norway Telecommunications Report provides industry professionals and researchers, operators, equipment suppliers and vendors, corporate and financial services analysts and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the telecoms industry in Norway.

Key Benefits

  • Benchmark BMI's independent telecoms industry forecasts for Norway to test other views - a key input for successful budgeting and strategic business planning in the Norwegian telecoms market.
  • Target business opportunities and risks in Norway's telecoms sector through our reviews of latest industry trends, regulatory changes and major deals, projects and investments in Norway.
  • Assess the activities, strategy and market position of your competitors, partners and clients via our Company Profiles (inc. SWOTs, KPIs and latest activity).

Coverage

BMI Industry View

Summary of BMI’s key industry forecasts and views, covering the ARPU, fi xed-line, mobile (including 3G & 4G ), internet and broadband markets.

Industry SWOT Analysis

Analysis of the major Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats within the wireline and wireless sectors and within the broader political, economic and business environment.

BMI Industry Forecast Scenario

Historic data series (2010-2013) and forecasts to end-2019 for all key industry indicators, supported by explicit assumptions, plus analysis of key downside risks to the main forecast.

  • Fixed-line Telephony – Telephone lines (‘000); telephone lines/100 inhabitants.
  • Cellular Telephony – Mobile phone subscribers (‘000); mobile phone subscribers/100 inhabitants; and where available, 3G & 4G subscribers (‘000); 3G & 4G subscribers/100 inhabitants; 3G & 4G subscribers as a percentage of overall mobile market.
  • Internet Markets – Internet users (‘000); internet users/100 inhabitants; broadband internet subscribers (‘000); broadband internet subscribers/100 inhabitants.

BMI’s Telecommunications Risk Reward Index

BMI’s Risk Reward Indices provide investors (vendors, operators and suppliers) looking for opportunities in the region with a clear country comparative assessment of a market’s risks and potential rewards. Each of the country markets are scored using a sophisticated model that includes more than 40 industry, economic and demographic data points to provide an Indices of highest to lowest appeal to investors, with each position explained.

Market Data Analysis

Detailed market analysis of the mobile, mobile content, fixed-line and internet segments, broken down into:

  • Market Data – Analysis of market size, operator shares, dominant trends, competitive landscape and key quarterly data.
  • Technology/Service Rollout – Analysis of rollout/adoption of new technology, such as 3G & 4G, WiMAX, IPTV, pay-TV, LTE and valueadded handset services (gaming, music, video, apps etc.).
  • Mobile Content – The latest trends in content and services available and being introduced by mobile operators, including a timeline of all the latest major mobile content developments.
    Company Database – A comprehensive breakdown of KPIs of the leading mobile operators, including subscriber figures by type (pre-paid and post-paid); 3G & 4G subscriber figures; net additions; market share; ARPU; churn rates; minutes of use; voice and non-voice revenue; financial figures (including operating revenues, net profits and EBITDA).

Regulatory Environment

Details of the regulatory bodies and their responsibilities, as well as a special focus on the rules surrounding competition and interconnection. Also covers the latest updates in the market’s development and regulatory rulings.

Company Profiles*

Examines the competitive positioning and short- to medium-term business strategies of key industry players. Strategy is examined within the context of BMI’s industry forecasts, our macroeconomic views and our understanding of the wider competitive landscape to generate Company SWOT analyses. The latest financial and operating statistics and key company developments are also incorporated within the company profiles, enabling a full evaluation of recent company performance and future growth prospects.

Sources

The Telecommunications Reports draw on an extensive network of primary sources, such as multilateral organisations, government departments, industry associations, chambers and company reports.

*Company profiles are not available for every country. Those reports instead contain information on the current activities of prominent companies operating in the market.

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Testimonials

'An essential, multi-faceted research tool. BMI’s thorough understanding of the major market players enables an informed – and informative – review of the sector’s actual performance, together with useful insights into current industry issues, which are topped-off with detailed and invaluable forecasts of industry and macroeconomic trends.’

Senior Research Analyst, ABC International Bank plc