BMI View: We maintain our construction industry growth forecast for Oman in 2015 at 4.4% in light of weak oil prices and their impact on Oman's economy. This reflects our view that weaker crude prices will have a moderate impact on infrastructure investment in Oman, given its centrality to the government's objectives. Should oil prices remain low over a sustained period of time, we would consider a further downward revision to our medium-to-long term forecasts.
K ey Trends And Developments
We forecast gross fixed capital formation (GFCF) to average 6.0% in the next five years , compared to the 7.9% in the last five years. This difference reflects our more moderate construction industry growth forecast in the short term, on the back of weak oil prices.
In addition to the government's USD78bn five-year (2011-2015) spending plan, the government announced in October 2013 that the country will spend over USD50bn in infrastructure projects over the next 15 years. From this budget, USD20bn is earmarked for the transport sector - including Oman National Railway - which is where we see the strongest pipeline of projects.
We expect Oman's transport infrastructure sector to continue experiencing a significant expansion over our 10-year forecast period, particularly surrounding the development of the country's road and railway network. Spending allocations for new road ventures in Oman were set at OMR1.7bn (USD4.4bn) as part of the wider government five-year spending plan (2011-2015) and as such has enjoyed considerable activity over the past few years.
The Omani government has earmarked tourism as one of the key sectors that will drive its economic diversification strategy. To this end, the government established OMRAN - a company to deliver major tourism projects and manage assets and investment in the sector.
Oman's economy is highly dependent on hydrocarbons, but revenue from oil and gas have started to decline. The weakening in hydrocarbons revenue is a...
The Oman Infrastructure Report features BMI Research's market assessment and forecasts covering public procurement and spending on all major infrastructure and construction projects, including transportation and logistics by land, sea and air; power plants and utilities, and commercial construction and property development. The report analyses the impact of regulatory changes and the macroeconomic outlook and features competitive intelligence on contractors and suppliers.
BMI's Oman Infrastructure Report provides industry professionals and strategists, sector analysts, investors, trade associations and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the Omani infrastructure and construction industry.
- Benchmark BMI's independent infrastructure industry forecasts for Oman to test other views - a key input for successful budgetary and planning in the Omani infrastructure market.
- Target business opportunities and risks in the Omani infrastructure sector through our reviews of latest industry trends, regulatory changes and major deals, projects and investments in Oman.
- Assess the activities, strategy and market position of your competitors, partners and clients via our Company Profiles (inc. SWOTs, KPIs and latest activity).
BMI Industry View
Summary of BMI’s key industry forecasts, views and trend analysis covering infrastructure and construction, regulatory changes, major investments and projects and significant national and multinational company developments. These are broken down into construction (social, commercial and residential), transport (roads, railways, ports, airports, etc), and energy & utilities (powerplants, pipelines and so on).
Industry SWOT Analysis
Analysis of the major strengths, weaknesses, opportunities and threats within the infrastructure and construction sectors and within the broader political, economic and business environment.
BMI Industry Forecasts
Historic data series (up to 2012) and forecasts to end-2024 for all key industry indicators, supported by explicit assumptions, plus analysis of key developments in the market and risks to the main forecasts. Indicators include:
Construction: Industry value (USDbn); contribution to GDP (%); total capital investment (USDbn); real growth (%).
Construction industry real growth forecasts (%) and industry value (USDbn) forecasts for industry sectors are split into Residential and Non-residential and Infrastructure sectors. Where the data is available for particular countries the infrastructure is further broken down into indicators for the transport subsectors of roads, railways, airports and ports and the energy and utilities sub-sectors of power plants and transmission grids, oil & gas pipelines and water infrastructure. This dataset is unique to the market.
The reports also include analysis of latest projects across the infrastructure sectors (transport, utilities, commercial construction).
BMI’s Infrastructure Risk Reward Index
BMI’s Risk Reward Index provides investors (construction companies, suppliers and partners) looking for opportunities in the region with a clear country-comparative assessment of a market’s risks and potential rewards. Each of the country markets are scored using a sophisticated model that includes more than 40 industry, economic and demographic data points. These provide indices of highest to lowest appeal to investors, with each position explained.
An assessment of the competitive landscape and key challenges to entering the market. Details of the largest companies active in the sector across the sub-segments of the industry, including the key financial figures from some of the largest players in the sector.
Examines the competitive positioning and short- to medium-term business strategies of key industry players. Strategy is examined within the context of BMI’s industry forecasts, our macroeconomic views and our understanding of the wider competitive landscape to generate company SWOT analyses. The latest financial and operating statistics and key company developments are also incorporated within the company profiles, enabling a full evaluation of recent company performance and future growth prospects.
The Infrastructure reports draw on an extensive network of primary sources, such as multilateral organisations, government departments, industry associations, chambers and company reports.
*Company profiles are not available for every country. Those reports instead contain information on the current activities of prominent companies operating in the market.