Oman Telecommunications Report

Published 14 May 2015

  • 79 pages
  • Instant access to your report online and PDF format through your account library
  • Includes 3 free updated quarterly reports
 
$1,295.00
Oman Telecommunications Report

BMI View: Additional competition will help maintain positive subscription growth momentum in Oman's wireline and mobile telecommunications markets through to 2019. Although Oman Broadband Company (OBC) and the yet-to-be-licensed third mobile network operator will provide greater consumer choice and lower prices, their contributions will largely be inorganic; rather, they will mostly cannibalise the existing user bases of their target markets. The broadband market offers the greatest opportunities for growth, owing to a lack of wireline local access infrastructure, but Omantel will be hard to dislodge owing to its entrenched position and ability to leverage its networks in terms of content, services and solutions distribution. The most potent threat to the sector now lies in the services arena, with third party over-the-top (OTT) applications likeliest to disrupt the market .

Key Data

  • MVNO-driven mobile subscription growth exceeded expectations in 2014. There were 6.194mn subscriptions at the end of 2014, a figure that will rise to 6.775mn by 2019.

  • Wireline voice connections also grew strongly in 2014 and our forecasts have been raised in anticipation of there being 407,000 accesses by the end of 2019.

  • Broadband connections will number 2.728mn by the end of 2019, in light of very strong take-up of mobile-based accesses in 2014.

Key Trends And Developments

This quarter, Oman moves up two places to sixth position in BMI's Telecoms Risk/Reward Index for the Middle East and North Africa region. Although the country continues to score poorly in terms of Industry Rewards due to the small, saturated nature of the telecoms sector and the lack of potent competition, it is home to an affluent urban-centric population that will readily engage with new technologies, applications and services. We believe there are considerable opportunities for content and applications specialists willing to develop local-language and culture-orientated products. A...

Table of Contents

BMI Industry View
7
SWOT
8
Political
10
Economic
11
Operational Risk
12
Industry Forecast
14
Industry Forecast - Oman - Q3 2015
14
Table: Telecoms Sector - Historical Data & Forecasts (Oman 2012-2019)
14
Industry Risk Reward Ratings
18
Table: MENA Q215 Risk/Reward Index
21
Market Overview
22
Mobile
22
Regional Perspective
22
Table: Oman Mobile Market Regional Comparison, 2014
23
Key Developments
23
Mobile Growth
23
Subscription Mix
24
Usage
26
Mobile Operator Data
27
Table: Market Overview
27
Table: Omantel
27
Table: Ooredoo (Nawras)
28
Table: Resellers
29
Middle East And North Africa Mobile Content - Q2 2015
30
Wireline
32
Fixed-Line
33
Table: Oman Fixed-Line Growth ('000)
33
Broadband
36
International Bandwidth Capacity
40
Industry Trends And Developments
43
Table: Wireline Contract Wins
44
Table: Mobile Contract Wins
45
Table: VAS Timeline
46
Regulatory Development
48
Table: Oman Regulatory Bodies And Their Responsibilities
48
Competitive Landscape
54
Table: Key Players In Omani Telecoms Sector
54
Table: Omani Financial Indicators
54
Company Profile
55
Omantel
55
Ooredoo Oman
59
Regional Overview
63
Table: Selected Deals And Announcements, 2014-2015
66
Demographic Forecast
68
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Oman 1990-2025)
69
Table: Key Population Ratios (Oman 1990-2025)
69
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Oman 1990-2025)
70
Table: Population By Age Group (Oman 1990-2025)
70
Table: Population By Age Group % (Oman 1990-2025)
71
Glossary
73
Table: Glossary Of Terms
73
Methodology
75
Industry Forecast Methodology
75
Sources
77
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
77
Table: Risk/Reward Index Indicators
78
Table: Weighting Of Indicators
79

The Oman Telecommunications Report features BMI Research's independent industry forecasts on the future strength of Oman's ICT market, covering the fixed-line, mobile and internet segments and analyses latest regulatory developments and corporate news, including investment activity, mergers and acquisitions, joint ventures and partnerships. Leading operators and manufacturers are fully profiled, highlighting their quarterly financial performance, capital expenditure plans and latest contracts.

BMI's Oman Telecommunications Report provides industry professionals and researchers, operators, equipment suppliers and vendors, corporate and financial services analysts and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the telecoms industry in Oman.

Key Benefits

  • Benchmark BMI's independent telecoms industry forecasts for Oman to test other views - a key input for successful budgeting and strategic business planning in the Omani telecoms market.
  • Target business opportunities and risks in Oman's telecoms sector through our reviews of latest industry trends, regulatory changes and major deals, projects and investments in Oman.
  • Assess the activities, strategy and market position of your competitors, partners and clients via our Company Profiles (inc. SWOTs, KPIs and latest activity).

Coverage

BMI Industry View

Summary of BMI’s key industry forecasts and views, covering the ARPU, fixed-line, mobile (including 3G & 4G), internet and broadband markets.

Industry SWOT Analysis

Analysis of the major Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats within the wireline and wireless sectors and within the broader political, economic and business environment.

BMI Industry Forecast Scenario

Historic data series (2010-2013) and forecasts to end-2019 for all key industry indicators, supported by explicit assumptions, plus analysis of key downside risks to the main forecast.

  • Fixed-line Telephony – Telephone lines (‘000); telephone lines/100 inhabitants.
  • Cellular Telephony – Mobile phone subscribers (‘000); mobile phone subscribers/100 inhabitants; and where available, 3G & 4G subscribers (‘000); 3G & 4G subscribers/100 inhabitants; 3G & 4G subscribers as a percentage of overall mobile market.
  • Internet Markets – Internet users (‘000); internet users/100 inhabitants; broadband internet subscribers (‘000); broadband internet subscribers/100 inhabitants.

BMI’s Telecommunications Risk Reward Index

BMI’s Risk Reward Indices provide investors (vendors, operators and suppliers) looking for opportunities in the region with a clear country comparative assessment of a market’s risks and potential rewards. Each of the country markets are scored using a sophisticated model that includes more than 40 industry, economic and demographic data points to provide an Indices of highest to lowest appeal to investors, with each position explained.

Market Data Analysis

Detailed market analysis of the mobile, mobile content, fixed-line and internet segments, broken down into:

  • Market Data – Analysis of market size, operator shares, dominant trends, competitive landscape and key quarterly data.
  • Technology/Service Rollout – Analysis of rollout/adoption of new technology, such as 3G & 4G, WiMAX, IPTV, pay-TV, LTE and valueadded handset services (gaming, music, video, apps etc.).
  • Mobile Content – The latest trends in content and services available and being introduced by mobile operators, including a timeline of all the latest major mobile content developments.
    Company Database – A comprehensive breakdown of KPIs of the leading mobile operators, including subscriber figures by type (pre-paid and post-paid); 3G & 4G subscriber figures; net additions; market share; ARPU; churn rates; minutes of use; voice and non-voice revenue; financial figures (including operating revenues, net profits and EBITDA).

Regulatory Environment

Details of the regulatory bodies and their responsibilities, as well as a special focus on the rules surrounding competition and interconnection. Also covers the latest updates in the market’s development and regulatory rulings.

Company Profiles*

Examines the competitive positioning and short- to medium-term business strategies of key industry players. Strategy is examined within the context of BMI’s industry forecasts, our macroeconomic views and our understanding of the wider competitive landscape to generate Company SWOT analyses. The latest financial and operating statistics and key company developments are also incorporated within the company profiles, enabling a full evaluation of recent company performance and future growth prospects.

Sources

The Telecommunications Reports draw on an extensive network of primary sources, such as multilateral organisations, government departments, industry associations, chambers and company reports.

*Company profiles are not available for every country. Those reports instead contain information on the current activities of prominent companies operating in the market.

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Testimonials

'An essential, multi-faceted research tool. BMI’s thorough understanding of the major market players enables an informed – and informative – review of the sector’s actual performance, together with useful insights into current industry issues, which are topped-off with detailed and invaluable forecasts of industry and macroeconomic trends.’

Senior Research Analyst, ABC International Bank plc