BMI View: Despite the maturity of the market and its relatively small size, positive growth continues to be registered across all sectors of Oman's telecommunications market. The high mobile penetration rate proves no barrier to expansion of both the wireline voice and broadband markets (although we believe apparent growth dynamics in mobile are skewed by the retention of large numbers of inactive subscriptions). Omantel 's investment in VDSL upgrades and fibre serve to boost demand for advanced services, including pay-TV, and this bodes well for the emergence of a new player, Oman Broadband Company (OBC), over the next few years. The opportunities for growth are reflected in our revised forecasts for the mobile and wireline sectors, which have now been extended through to 2019.
MVNO-driven mobile subscription growth exceeded expectations in 2014. There were 6.194mn subscriptions at the end of 2014, a figure that will rise to 6.775mn by 2018.
Wireline voice connections also grew strongly in 2014 and our forecasts have been raised in anticipation of there being 407,000 accesses by the end of 2019.
Broadband connections will number 2.728mn by the end of 2019, in light of very strong take-up of mobile-based accesses in 2014.
Key Trends And Developments
Oman Broadband Company (OBC) will use fibre-optic cables connecting high-voltage pylons of Oman Electricity Transmission Company (OETC) to deliver high-speed internet services to end-users. A pilot project was in Hamam Al Sunub in the Wilayat of Bausher, in January 2015.
Within the pilot, OBC extended fibre cables between the electricity transmission station, mobile base station and Omantel network at a distance of about 440 metres. The station provides 40Mbps internet, versus the 3Mbps typically availed over the Omantel network. The capabilities of the new solution will be refined over time and as OBC moves ahead with its planned roll-out.
The Oman Telecommunications Report features BMI Research's independent industry forecasts on the future strength of Oman's ICT market, covering the fixed-line, mobile and internet segments and analyses latest regulatory developments and corporate news, including investment activity, mergers and acquisitions, joint ventures and partnerships. Leading operators and manufacturers are fully profiled, highlighting their quarterly financial performance, capital expenditure plans and latest contracts.
BMI's Oman Telecommunications Report provides industry professionals and researchers, operators, equipment suppliers and vendors, corporate and financial services analysts and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the telecoms industry in Oman.
- Benchmark BMI's independent telecoms industry forecasts for Oman to test other views - a key input for successful budgeting and strategic business planning in the Omani telecoms market.
- Target business opportunities and risks in Oman's telecoms sector through our reviews of latest industry trends, regulatory changes and major deals, projects and investments in Oman.
- Assess the activities, strategy and market position of your competitors, partners and clients via our Company Profiles (inc. SWOTs, KPIs and latest activity).
BMI Industry View
Summary of BMI’s key industry forecasts and views, covering the ARPU, fixed-line, mobile (including 3G & 4G), internet and broadband markets.
Industry SWOT Analysis
Analysis of the major Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats within the wireline and wireless sectors and within the broader political, economic and business environment.
BMI Industry Forecast Scenario
Historic data series (2010-2013) and forecasts to end-2019 for all key industry indicators, supported by explicit assumptions, plus analysis of key downside risks to the main forecast.
- Fixed-line Telephony – Telephone lines (‘000); telephone lines/100 inhabitants.
- Cellular Telephony – Mobile phone subscribers (‘000); mobile phone subscribers/100 inhabitants; and where available, 3G & 4G subscribers (‘000); 3G & 4G subscribers/100 inhabitants; 3G & 4G subscribers as a percentage of overall mobile market.
- Internet Markets – Internet users (‘000); internet users/100 inhabitants; broadband internet subscribers (‘000); broadband internet subscribers/100 inhabitants.
BMI’s Telecommunications Risk Reward Index
BMI’s Risk Reward Indices provide investors (vendors, operators and suppliers) looking for opportunities in the region with a clear country comparative assessment of a market’s risks and potential rewards. Each of the country markets are scored using a sophisticated model that includes more than 40 industry, economic and demographic data points to provide an Indices of highest to lowest appeal to investors, with each position explained.
Market Data Analysis
Detailed market analysis of the mobile, mobile content, fixed-line and internet segments, broken down into:
- Market Data – Analysis of market size, operator shares, dominant trends, competitive landscape and key quarterly data.
- Technology/Service Rollout – Analysis of rollout/adoption of new technology, such as 3G & 4G, WiMAX, IPTV, pay-TV, LTE and valueadded handset services (gaming, music, video, apps etc.).
- Mobile Content – The latest trends in content and services available and being introduced by mobile operators, including a timeline of all the latest major mobile content developments.
Company Database – A comprehensive breakdown of KPIs of the leading mobile operators, including subscriber figures by type (pre-paid and post-paid); 3G & 4G subscriber figures; net additions; market share; ARPU; churn rates; minutes of use; voice and non-voice revenue; financial figures (including operating revenues, net profits and EBITDA).
Details of the regulatory bodies and their responsibilities, as well as a special focus on the rules surrounding competition and interconnection. Also covers the latest updates in the market’s development and regulatory rulings.
Examines the competitive positioning and short- to medium-term business strategies of key industry players. Strategy is examined within the context of BMI’s industry forecasts, our macroeconomic views and our understanding of the wider competitive landscape to generate Company SWOT analyses. The latest financial and operating statistics and key company developments are also incorporated within the company profiles, enabling a full evaluation of recent company performance and future growth prospects.
The Telecommunications Reports draw on an extensive network of primary sources, such as multilateral organisations, government departments, industry associations, chambers and company reports.
*Company profiles are not available for every country. Those reports instead contain information on the current activities of prominent companies operating in the market.