Pakistan Country Risk Report

Providing comprehensive data and in-depth analysis of political, financial and economic risk.

Report includes: BMI's Core Views, 10-year Forecasts, BMI's Economic Risk Index, Political Stability and Risk Index, Long-term Political Outlook, Operational Risk Index, SWOT Analysis and Structural Economic Sections

Why you should buy this report

  • Understand and measure the political, business environment and operational risks to your company
  • Gain insight on emerging trends that could support, strengthen or disrupt your activities in the market
  • Benefit from 10-year macroeconomic forecasts and insight into the structural characteristics of the economy
  • Get the long-term political outlook and explore possible scenarios for change
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Pakistan Country Risk Report
Product Price
$1,245.00

Assess your risk exposure in Pakistan with our 100% independent forecasts assessing the pace and stability of this key market. Backed by trusted data from BMI Research's 52 million data point economic forecast model, this report will allow you to measure political, economic, business environment and operational risks in Pakistan with confidence.

Your subscription service includes:

  • Delivery of the report in print and PDF
  • Online access for 12 months
  • The functionality to translate your online report into your choice of 10 languages - Arabic, Chinese, French, German, Italian, Japanese, Korean, Portuguese, Russian and Spanish
  • The ability to export data and graphs from the online report directly into your workflow
  • The support of a dedicated Account Manager to answer any questions you might have about your subscription
  • Access to our team of leading analysts who will be happy to answer any questions you might have about the data and forecasts included in this report
Executive Summary
5
Core Views
5
Major Forecast Changes
5
Key Risks
5
Chapter 1: Economic Outlook
7
SWOT Analysis
7
BMI Economic Risk Index
7
Economic Growth Outlook
8
Solid Growth Ahead
8
GDP By Expenditure Outlook
9
TABLE: GDP GROWTH FORECASTS
9
TABLE: PRIVATE CONSUMPTION FORECASTS
9
TABLE: GOVERNMENT CONSUMPTION FORECASTS
9
Fiscal Policy And Public Debt Outlook
10
Continued Progress Despite Privatisation Setbacks
10
TABLE: FIXED INVESTMENT FORECASTS
10
TABLE: NET EXPORTS FORECASTS
10
Structural Fiscal Position
11
TABLE: MAIN SOURCES OF REVENUE & EXPENDITURE
11
TABLE: FISCAL AND PUBLIC DEBT FORECASTS
11
External Trade And Investment Outlook
12
Entry Into MSCI EM Index A Boost To Economic Stability
12
Outlook On External Position
13
TABLE: MAIN EXPORT DESTINATIONS & IMPORT SOURCES
13
TABLE: MAIN EXPORT AND IMPORT PRODUCTS
13
TABLE: CAPITAL & FINANCIAL ACCOUNT BALANCE
14
TABLE: CURRENT ACCOUNT BALANCE
14
Monetary Policy
15
Next Move To Be A Hike
15
Monetary Policy Framework
15
Currency Forecast
16
PKR: Peg To Remain In Place
16
TABLE: MONETARY POLICY FORECASTS
16
TABLE: BMI CURRENCY FORECAST
17
Chapter 2: 10-Year Forecast
19
The Pakistan Economy To 2025
19
Significant Opportunities For Growth
19
TABLE: LONG-TERM MACROECONOMIC FORECASTS
19
Chapter 3: Political Outlook
23
SWOT Analysis
23
BMI Political Risk Index
23
Domestic Politics
24
Losing The Fight Against Islamic Fundamentalism
24
TABLE: POLITICAL OVERVIEW
24
Long-Term Political Outlook
25
Instability To Prevail, But Outright Collapse Unlikely
25
TABLE: SCENARIO MATRIX: EVOLUTION OF STATE
26
TABLE: SCENARIO MATRIX: CENTRIFUGAL VERSUS CENTRIPETAL FORCES
26
Chapter 4: Operational Risk
29
SWOT Analysis
29
Operational Risk Index
29
Operational Risk
30
TABLE: OPERATIONAL RISK
30
Market Size and Utilities
31
TABLE: ASIA - MARKET SIZE AND UTILITIES RISK
32
Labour Costs
37
TABLE: LABOUR REGULATIONS GOVERNING FLEXIBILITY OF WORKFORCE
38
Chapter 5:BMI Global Macro Outlook
41
Global Macro Outlook
41
Brexit Risk Casts A Long Shadow
41
TABLE: GLOBAL ASSUMPTIONS
41
TABLE: DEVELOPED STATES, REAL GDP GROWTH, %
42
TABLE: EMERGING MARKETS, REAL GDP GROWTH, %
43
MACROECONOMIC FORECAST
45
MACROECONOMIC INDICATORS (PAKISTAN 2015-2025)
45