Pakistan Country Risk Report

Providing comprehensive data and in-depth analysis of political, financial and economic risk.

Report includes: BMI's Core Views, 10-year Forecasts, BMI's Economic Risk Index, Political Stability and Risk Index, Long-term Political Outlook, Operational Risk Index, SWOT Analysis and Structural Economic Sections

Why you should buy this report

  • Understand and measure the political, business environment and operational risks to your company
  • Gain insight on emerging trends that could support, strengthen or disrupt your activities in the market
  • Benefit from 10-year macroeconomic forecasts and insight into the structural characteristics of the economy
  • Get the long-term political outlook and explore possible scenarios for change
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Pakistan Country Risk Report
Product Price
$1,245.00

Assess your risk exposure in Pakistan with our 100% independent forecasts assessing the pace and stability of this key market. Backed by trusted data from BMI Research's 52 million data point economic forecast model, this report will allow you to measure political, economic, business environment and operational risks in Pakistan with confidence.

Your subscription service includes:

  • Delivery of the report in print and PDF
  • Online access for 12 months
  • The functionality to translate your online report into your choice of 10 languages - Arabic, Chinese, French, German, Italian, Japanese, Korean, Portuguese, Russian and Spanish
  • The ability to export data and graphs from the online report directly into your workflow
  • The support of a dedicated Account Manager to answer any questions you might have about your subscription
  • Access to our team of leading analysts who will be happy to answer any questions you might have about the data and forecasts included in this report
Executive Summary
5
Core Views
5
Major Forecast Changes
5
Key Risks
5
Chapter 1: Economic Outlook
7
SWOT Analysis
7
BMI Economic Risk Index
7
Economic Growth Outlook
8
Growth To Accelerate But Remain Below Potential
8
GDP By Expenditure Outlook
8
TABLE: GDP GROWTH FORECASTS
9
TABLE: PRIVATE CONSUMPTION FORECASTS
9
TABLE: GOVERNMENT CONSUMPTION FORECASTS
9
TABLE: FIXED INVESTMENT FORECASTS
9
TABLE: NET EXPORTS FORECASTS
9
Fiscal Policy And Public Debt Outlook
10
Window Of Opportunity Closing For Privatisation Drive
10
Structural Fiscal Position
10
TABLE: MAIN REVENUE AND EXPENDITURE CATEGORIES (2015)
11
TABLE: FISCAL AND PUBLIC DEBT FORECASTS
11
Currency Forecast
12
PKR: At Risk From A Rise In Oil Prices
12
TABLE: BMI CURRENCY FORECAST
13
Outlook On External Position
13
TABLE: MAIN EXPORT AND IMPORT PARTNERS
13
TABLE: MAIN IMPORT AND EXPORT CATEGORIES (2015)
14
TABLE: CAPITAL & FINANCIAL ACCOUNT BALANCE
14
TABLE: CURRENT ACCOUNT BALANCE FORECASTS
14
Monetary Policy
15
Hints Of Overheating Pressures
15
Monetary Policy Framework
15
TABLE: MONETARY POLICY FORECASTS
16
Chapter 2: 10-Year Forecast
17
The Pakistan Economy To 2025
17
Significant Opportunities For Growth
17
TABLE: LONG-TERM MACROECONOMIC FORECASTS
17
Chapter 3: Political Outlook
21
SWOT Analysis
21
BMI Political Risk Index
21
Domestic Politics
22
Uri Attack Raises The Risk Of Conflict
22
TABLE: POLITICAL OVERVIEW
22
Long-Term Political Outlook
23
Instability To Prevail, But Outright Collapse Unlikely
23
TABLE: SCENARIO MATRIX: EVOLUTION OF STATE
24
TABLE: SCENARIO MATRIX: CENTRIFUGAL VERSUS CENTRIPETAL FORCES
25
Chapter 4: Operational Risk
27
SWOT Analysis
27
Operational Risk Index
27
Operational Risk
28
TABLE: OPERATIONAL RISK
28
Business Crime
29
TABLE: BUSINESS RESPONSE TO RISK IN PAKISTAN
31
Government Intervention
33
TABLE: BUSINESS TAXES
34
TABLE: PERSONAL INCOME TAX
36
Chapter 5: BMI Global Macro Outlook
41
Global Macro Outlook
41
Broad Recovery But Three Notes Of Caution
41
TABLE: GLOBAL FORECASTS, 2015-2020
41
TABLE: DEVELOPED STATES, REAL GDP GROWTH, %
42
TABLE: EMERGING MARKETS, REAL GDP GROWTH, %
43
TABLE: MACROECONOMIC DATA & FORECASTS
45