Pakistan Food & Drink Report

Providing expert analysis, independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the food & drink industry.

Report includes: BMI Industry View, Industry SWOT Analysis, Industry Forecasts, BMI’s Food and Drink Risk Reward Index, Mass Grocery Retail Forecasts, Company Profiles and Global, Regional and Country Industry Overviews.

Why you should buy this report

  • Benefit from the latest market opportunities
  • Understand the threats to your operations and investments and protect your company against future risks
  • Gain insight on emerging trends that could support, strengthen or disrupt your activities in the market
  • Get a full view of the competitive landscape to assess your market position
×

Sign up to download the Pakistan Food & Drink Report

By submitting this form you are acknowledging that you have read and understood our Privacy Policy.

Thank you for your interest

You will shortly receive your free executive summary by email.

Pakistan Food & Drink Report
Product Price
$1,295.00

BMI View: The consumer outlook for Pakistan will be supported by a very positive demographic profile. However, an uncertain political outlook casts a dark cloud over the economy, which may affect its ability to perform well over the coming years , and therefore informs our relatively weak annual real GDP growth forecast of 4.1% over the next decade. Although the consumer story has substantial potential, it could be weighed down significantly by a weak economic outlook. Per capita food consumption is fore cast to experience strong growth - however, this will be from a low base , and consumption is likely to remain significantly lower than other key emerging markets.

Headline Industry Forecasts (local currency):

  • 2015 per capita food consumption growth: +9.9% year-on-year (y-o-y); compound annual growth rate (CAGR) between 2014 and 2019: +9.9%.

  • 2015 soft drinks volume sales growth: +3.1% y-o-y; CAGR between 2014 and 2019: +3.2%.

  • 2015 mass grocery retail sales growth: +9.5% y-o-y; CAGR between 2014 and 2019: +10.5%.

Key Company Trends

Coca-Cola Sets Out Investment in Pakistan: In October 2015 Coca-Cola unveiled plans to invest about USD350mn in Pakistan. The company is establishing three new plants in Karachi, Multan and Islamabad. The new plants will enable job creation and boost economic development in the regions. Coca-Cola is also focusing on increasing production, marketing and other commercial activities in the country, according to president for the company's Eurasia and Africa Group, Nathan Kalumbu.

Mars Pledges Sustainable Rice Standard: In autumn 2015 Mars Inc pledged to sustainably source 100% of its rice by 2020, announcing what it called the 'first global standard for sustainable rice'. Mars plans to use the standard as a benchmark against which to assess its rice supply chains: identifying where there are gaps and developing strategies to improve sustainability. It has already begun piloting implementation of the standard with rice farmers in Pakistan and India.

Key Risks to Outlook

The recent improvement in the security situation, as shown by the sharp drop in civilian casualties since the start of 2015, poses an upside risk to the economic outlook. While it is too early to tell whether the reduction in casualties will be sustained, an improved security situation would certainly encourage increased investment inflows. From an economic perspective, failure of the privatisation drive to gain traction, potentially due to a rise in union opposition to such reforms or a flare-up in terrorist activity, could deliver a huge blow to the government's efforts to improve the efficiency of its state-run enterprises and improve its overall fiscal picture.

BMI Industry View
7
SWOT
9
Food, Drink, MGR
9
Industry Forecast
12
Consumer Outlook
12
Food
15
Food Consumption
16
Table: Food Consumption Indicators - Historical Data & Forecasts (Pakistan 2012-2019)
16
Confectionary
17
Dairy
17
Table: Dairy Volume Sales, Production & Trade - Historical Data & Forecasts (Pakistan 2014-2019)
17
Drink
18
Hot Drinks
18
Table: Hot Drink Value/Volume Sales, Production & Trade - Historical Data & Forecasts (Pakistan 2014-2019)
20
Soft Drinks
20
Table: Soft Drinks Sales, Production & Trade (Pakistan 2014-2019)
22
Mass Grocery Retail
24
Table: Mass Grocery Retail Sales By Format - Historical Data & Forecasts (Pakistan 2014-2019)
25
Table: Grocery Retail Sales by Format - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2012-2020
26
Macroeconomic Forecasts
27
Economic Analysis
27
Industry Risk/Reward Index
32
Asia Pacific - Risk/Reward Index
32
Table: Asia Pacific Food & Drink Risk/Reward Index Q116
33
Pakistan - Risk/Reward Index
37
Market Overview
38
Food
38
Food Processing
38
Confectionery
39
Agriculture
39
Dairy
40
Drink
41
Soft Drinks
41
Hot Drinks
42
Alcoholic Drinks
42
Mass Grocery Retail
43
Competitive Landscape
45
Table: Key Players in Pakistan's Food & Drink Sector
45
Table: Key Players in Pakistan's Mass Grocery Retail Industry
46
Company Profile
47
Coca-Cola Beverages Pakistan Limited (CCBPL)
47
Hilal Confectionery
49
Murree Brewery
52
Nestl- Pakistan
54
Tapal Tea
57
Unilever Pakistan
59
Utility Stores Corporation (USC)
61
Global Industry Overview
63
Table: Selected Markets - Selected Industry and Macroeconomic Indicators - Historical and Forecast
70
Table: Australia, Uk And Usa Estimated Herfindahl-Hirschman Index Scores - Food Retail Industry
79
Table: UAE Food Retail Sales By Format - Historical & Forecast
80
Table: Food and Drink Core Views - Q315 Roundup
83
Demographic Forecast
85
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Pakistan 1990-2025)
86
Table: Key Population Ratios (Pakistan 1990-2025)
86
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Pakistan 1990-2025)
87
Table: Population By Age Group (Pakistan 1990-2025)
87
Table: Population By Age Group % (Pakistan 1990-2025)
88
Glossary
90
Food & Drink
90
Mass Grocery Retail
90
Methodology
92
Industry Forecast Methodology
92
Sector-Specific Methodology
93
Sources
93
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
94
Table: Food & Drink Risk/Reward Index Indicators
95
Table: Weighting
96

The Pakistan Food & Drink Report features BMI Research's market assessment and independent forecasts for food and drink expenditure, consumption, sales, and imports/exports and forecasts for the mass grocery retail sector. The report also includes analyses of major regulatory developments, the background macroeconomic outlook and competitive landscape comparing national and multinational companies by leading products and services, sales, investments, partners and expansion strategies.

BMI's Pakistan Food & Drink Report provides industry professionals and strategists, sector analysts, business investors, trade associations and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the food and drink industry and the mass grocery retail market in Pakistan.

Key Benefits

  • Benchmark BMI's independent food and drink industry forecasts for Pakistan to test other views - a key input for successful budgeting and strategic business planning in the Pakistani food and drink market.
  • Target business opportunities and risks in Pakistan through our reviews of latest industry trends, regulatory changes and major deals, projects and investments.
  • Exploit latest competitive intelligence on your competitors, partners and clients via our Company Profiles (inc. SWOTs, KPIs and latest activity) and Competitive Landscape Tables.

Coverage

BMI Industry View

Summary of BMI’s key industry forecasts and views, covering food and drink manufacturing and consumption and the mass grocery retail market.

Industry SWOT Analysis

Analysis of the major strengths, weaknesses, opportunities and threats within the food, drink and mass grocery retail sectors and within the broader political, economic and business environment.

BMI’s Food and Drink Risk Reward Index

BMI’s Risk Reward Index provides investors (food and drink manufacturers and mass grocery retailers) looking for opportunities in the region with a clear country-comparative assessment of a market’s risks and potential rewards. Each of the country markets are scored using a sophisticated model that includes more than 40 industry, economic and demographic points. These provide indices of highest to lowest appeal to investors, with each position explained.

Food Forecasts

BMI’s food chapter is divided into sections such as meat, fish, confectionary, dairy and canned foods, and provides insight into each market’s food industry, centred on a forecast to end-2019 for the sector. The chapter includes the following elements:

  • Industry Forecast Scenario: Historical data series and a forecast to end-2019 for growth of key indicators within a market’s food industry. Indicators include food consumption, food consumption as % of GDP, canned food sales, confectionery sales and food and drink imports and exports, among others.
  • Industry Developments: A summary of corporate developments, including news on M&As, FDI, expansions, closures and financial results, in addition to analysis and explanation of the latest industry events and how these could influence further investment.
  • Market Overview: An overview of the structure of the market, introducing the key players and discussing underlying trends.

Drink Forecasts

Segmented the same way as BMI’s food chapter, the drink section provides insight into each market’s drink industry, centred on a forecast to end-2019 for the sector. Forecast indicators include alcoholic and soft drink sales by value, volume and sub-sector and tea and coffee sales, among others.

Mass Grocery Retail Forecasts

Segmented the same way as BMI’s food and drink chapters, the mass grocery retail section provides insight into each market’s grocery retail industry, centred on a forecast to end-2019 for the sector. Forecast indicators include mass grocery retail sales by format (including supermarkets, hypermarkets, convenience and discount stores) and a breakdown of the organised retail sector versus the traditional sector, among others.

Competitive Landscape

Illustration of the mass grocery retail and food and drink industries via rankings tables comparing revenues, number of outlets and number of employees. This chapter also includes data-rich, in-depth regional analysis of the market position, business strategies and investment potential of the region’s leading mass grocery retail and food and drink operators.

Company Profiles*

Examines the competitive positioning and short- to medium-term business strategies of key industry players. Strategy is examined within the context of BMI’s industry forecasts, our macroeconomic views and our understanding of the wider competitive landscape to generate company SWOT analyses. The latest financial and operating statistics and key company developments are also incorporated within the company profiles, enabling a full evaluation of recent company performance and future growth prospects.

Sources

The Food & Drink reports draw on an extensive network primary sources, such as multilateral organisations, government departments, industry associations, chambers and company reports.

*Company profiles are not available for every country. Those reports instead contain information on the current activities of prominent companies operating in the market.