Pakistan Food & Drink Report

Published 22 May 2015

  • 88 pages
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  • Includes 3 free updated quarterly reports
 
$1,295.00
Pakistan Food & Drink Report

BMI View: Increased co-operation between Islamabad and Beijing, particularly in the area of energy infrastructure, should provide strong support to investment growth in Pakistan over the coming years. Our longer-term domestic demand outlook for Pakistan is looking relatively bright, as declining costs of credit and disinflationary pressure are likely to prove supportive of domestic demand. We have upgraded our real GDP growth forecast for fiscal year 2014/15 (July-June) to 4.2% from 4.0% previously . Per capita food consumption is forecast to experience strong growth, howev er this will be from a low base and consumption is likely to remain significantly lower than other key emerging markets.

Headline Industry Forecasts (local currency):

  • 2015 per capita food consumption growth: +9.9% year-on-year (y-o-y); compound annual growth rate (CAGR) between 2014 and 2019: +9.9%.

  • 2015 soft drinks volume sales growth: +3.1% y-o-y; CAGR between 2014 and 2019: +3.3%.

  • 2015 mass grocery retail sales growth: +8.5% y-o-y; CAGR between 2014 and 2019: +9.8%.

Key Company Trends

Nafas Plans Halal Unit For Exports : In April 2015, it was reported that Malaysia-based Nafas Food Processing and Marketing intended to set up a food processing and halal meat unit in the special economic zone near Islamabad, Pakistan. The company intends to export the products made at the plant to Malaysia. A high-level delegation from the Malaysian company met the chairman of Pakistan's Board of Investment, Miftah Ismail, to discuss and explore the investment opportunities. Pakistan is committed to offer an investment-friendly environment for stakehodlers by proposing lucrative fiscal incentives and creating favourable business conditions, according to Ismail.

Ministry Targets Europe Growth For Mango Exports : In March 2015, Pakistan's Ministry of National Food Security and Research confirmed plans to increase mango exports to Europe in 2015. The government plans to boost mango shipments to...

Table of Contents

BMI Industry View
7
SWOT
9
Food
9
Drink
11
Mass Grocery Retail
13
Industry Forecast
15
Consumer Outlook
15
Food
17
Food Consumption
17
Table: Food Consumption Indicators - Historical Data & Forecasts (Pakistan 2012-2019)
18
Confectionery
18
Fish
18
Dairy
19
Table: Dairy Volume Sales, Production & Trade - Historical Data & Forecasts (Pakistan 2014-2019)
19
Drink
20
Hot Drinks
20
Table: Hot Drink Value/Volume Sales, Production & Trade - Historical Data & Forecasts (Pakistan 2014-2019)
21
Soft Drinks
21
Table: Soft Drinks Sales, Production & Trade (Pakistan 2014-2019)
23
Mass Grocery Retail
25
Table: Mass Grocery Retail Sales By Format - Historical Data & Forecasts (Pakistan 2014-2019)
26
Table: Grocery Retail Sales by Format - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2012-2020
27
Trade
28
Table: Trade Balance - Historical Data & Forecasts (Pakistan 2014-2019)
28
Macroeconomic Forecasts
29
Economic Analysis
29
Industry Risk Reward Index
32
Asia Pacific - Risk/Reward Index
32
Table: Asia Pacific Food & Drink Risk/Reward Index Q315
34
Pakistan Risk/Reward Ratings
37
Market Overview
38
Food
38
Food Processing
38
Leading Players
38
Confectionery
39
Agriculture
39
Dairy
40
Drink
41
Soft Drinks
41
Hot Drinks
41
Alcoholic Drinks
42
Mass Grocery Retail
43
Leading Players
44
Industry Trends And Developments
45
Food
45
Key Industry Trends And Developments
45
Drink
46
Key Industry Trends And Developments
46
Mass Grocery Retail
48
Key Industry Trends And Developments
48
Competitive Landscape
49
Table: Key Players in Pakistan's Food & Drink Sector
49
Table: Key Players in Pakistan's Mass Grocery Retail Industry
50
Company Profile
51
Coca-Cola Beverages Pakistan Limited (CCBPL)
51
Hilal Confectionery
53
Murree Brewery
56
Nestl- Pakistan
59
Tapal Tea
62
Unilever Pakistan
64
Utility Stores Corporation (USC)
66
Global Industry Overview
68
Table: Food and Drink Core Views - Q115 Roundup
75
Demographic Forecast
77
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Pakistan 1990-2025)
78
Table: Key Population Ratios (Pakistan 1990-2025)
78
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Pakistan 1990-2025)
79
Table: Population By Age Group (Pakistan 1990-2025)
79
Table: Population By Age Group % (Pakistan 1990-2025)
80
Glossary
82
Food & Drink
82
Mass Grocery Retail
82
Methodology
84
Industry Forecast Methodology
84
Sector-Specific Methodology
85
Sources
85
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
86
Table: Food & Drink Risk/Reward Index Indicators
87
Table: Weighting
88

The Pakistan Food & Drink Report features BMI Research's market assessment and independent forecasts for food and drink expenditure, consumption, sales, and imports/exports and forecasts for the mass grocery retail sector. The report also includes analyses of major regulatory developments, the background macroeconomic outlook and competitive landscape comparing national and multinational companies by leading products and services, sales, investments, partners and expansion strategies.

BMI's Pakistan Food & Drink Report provides industry professionals and strategists, sector analysts, business investors, trade associations and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the food and drink industry and the mass grocery retail market in Pakistan.

Key Benefits

  • Benchmark BMI's independent food and drink industry forecasts for Pakistan to test other views - a key input for successful budgeting and strategic business planning in the Pakistani food and drink market.
  • Target business opportunities and risks in Pakistan through our reviews of latest industry trends, regulatory changes and major deals, projects and investments.
  • Exploit latest competitive intelligence on your competitors, partners and clients via our Company Profiles (inc. SWOTs, KPIs and latest activity) and Competitive Landscape Tables.

Coverage

BMI Industry View

Summary of BMI’s key industry forecasts and views, covering food and drink manufacturing and consumption and the mass grocery retail market.

Industry SWOT Analysis

Analysis of the major strengths, weaknesses, opportunities and threats within the food, drink and mass grocery retail sectors and within the broader political, economic and business environment.

BMI’s Food and Drink Risk Reward Index

BMI’s Risk Reward Index provides investors (food and drink manufacturers and mass grocery retailers) looking for opportunities in the region with a clear country-comparative assessment of a market’s risks and potential rewards. Each of the country markets are scored using a sophisticated model that includes more than 40 industry, economic and demographic points. These provide indices of highest to lowest appeal to investors, with each position explained.

Food Forecasts

BMI’s food chapter is divided into sections such as meat, fish, confectionary, dairy and canned foods, and provides insight into each market’s food industry, centred on a forecast to end-2019 for the sector. The chapter includes the following elements:

  • Industry Forecast Scenario: Historical data series and a forecast to end-2019 for growth of key indicators within a market’s food industry. Indicators include food consumption, food consumption as % of GDP, canned food sales, confectionery sales and food and drink imports and exports, among others.
  • Industry Developments: A summary of corporate developments, including news on M&As, FDI, expansions, closures and financial results, in addition to analysis and explanation of the latest industry events and how these could influence further investment.
  • Market Overview: An overview of the structure of the market, introducing the key players and discussing underlying trends.

Drink Forecasts

Segmented the same way as BMI’s food chapter, the drink section provides insight into each market’s drink industry, centred on a forecast to end-2019 for the sector. Forecast indicators include alcoholic and soft drink sales by value, volume and sub-sector and tea and coffee sales, among others.

Mass Grocery Retail Forecasts

Segmented the same way as BMI’s food and drink chapters, the mass grocery retail section provides insight into each market’s grocery retail industry, centred on a forecast to end-2019 for the sector. Forecast indicators include mass grocery retail sales by format (including supermarkets, hypermarkets, convenience and discount stores) and a breakdown of the organised retail sector versus the traditional sector, among others.

Competitive Landscape

Illustration of the mass grocery retail and food and drink industries via rankings tables comparing revenues, number of outlets and number of employees. This chapter also includes data-rich, in-depth regional analysis of the market position, business strategies and investment potential of the region’s leading mass grocery retail and food and drink operators.

Company Profiles*

Examines the competitive positioning and short- to medium-term business strategies of key industry players. Strategy is examined within the context of BMI’s industry forecasts, our macroeconomic views and our understanding of the wider competitive landscape to generate company SWOT analyses. The latest financial and operating statistics and key company developments are also incorporated within the company profiles, enabling a full evaluation of recent company performance and future growth prospects.

Sources

The Food & Drink reports draw on an extensive network primary sources, such as multilateral organisations, government departments, industry associations, chambers and company reports.

*Company profiles are not available for every country. Those reports instead contain information on the current activities of prominent companies operating in the market.

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Testimonials

'An essential, multi-faceted research tool. BMI’s thorough understanding of the major market players enables an informed – and informative – review of the sector’s actual performance, together with useful insights into current industry issues, which are topped-off with detailed and invaluable forecasts of industry and macroeconomic trends.’

Senior Research Analyst, ABC International Bank plc