Pakistan Infrastructure Report

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Providing expert analysis, independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the Infrastructure industry.

Report includes: BMI Industry View, Industry SWOT Analysis, BMI Industry Forecast, BMI's Infrastructure Risk Reward Index, Market Overview and Company Profiles.

Why you should buy this report

  • Gain independent insight into the outlook for the infrastructure industry through BMI's 10 year forecasts
  • Understand the market through analysis of projects , investment plans and key players
  • Understand the threats to your operations and investments and protect your company against future risks
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Pakistan Infrastructure Report
Product Price
$1,295.00

BMI View: Pakistan's construction sector continues to face major headwinds. Widespread corruption, lack of protection for property owners and limited government spending are all hampering growth, as is the worsening security situation which continues to deter potential foreign investors. The country's growth potential is substantial - transport, utilities and social/residential infrastructure are suffering from years of underinvestment and Pakistan's large labour pool and extensive natural resources mean that, should the investment environment improve, growth could be rapid. At present, however, this potential is unlikely to be realised and growth will remain subdued.

Forecasts and Latest Updates

  • Chinese President Xi Jinping has signed an agreement with Pakistan promising investments worth USD46bn. The investments will be focused on building the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor, which will be a network of railways, roads and pipelines between the two nations. The economic corridor will run 3,000km from Gwadar, Pakistan to the western Xinjiang region in China.

  • Transport and utilities are the main focus of investment, with a large number of projects under way in both sectors. Both are benefiting from regional financing: the Asian Development Bank (ADB) is providing USD800mn of loans to strengthen the country's power sector infrastructure as well as co-funding the USD327mn Hassanabdal-Havelian Expressway (E-35) project.

  • Pakistan's construction sector saw growth of an estimated 3.59% in 2015, down from 5.82% growth in 2014. Over the remainder of the forecast period we expect to see annual growth of around 4% in construction industry value which, although positive, falls far short of Pakistan's potential growth.

Infrastructure - Construction Industry Forecasts (Pakistan 2015-2021)
2015f 2016f 2017f 2018f 2019f 2020f 2021f
f = BMI forecast. Source: Pakistan Bureau of Statistics, BMI
Construction Industry Value, Real Growth, % y-o-y 3.59 3.74 3.82 3.82 3.89 3.98 4.08
Construction Industry Value, % of GDP 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.2 2.3
Construction industry value, PKRbn 611.36 661.76 726.74 798.10 876.99 964.55 1,061.80

Risk/Reward Index

  • Pakistan has a weak overall score of 37.5 out of 100 on the Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index and the country ranks 15 th out of 17 countries in the Asia region, ahead only of Myanmar and Cambodia.

  • The country's score is held back by a poor performance in the Rewards section, where slow growth is a result of limited public spending capacity and lack of private investor interest.

  • The Risks performance, although slightly more positive, is still subpar due to widespread corruption and the underdeveloped nature of the construction sector.

Infrastructure Risk Reward Index (Pakistan 2015-2015)
Risk/Reward Index Rewards Industry Rewards Country Rewards Risks Industry Risks Country Risks
Source: BMI
37.5 33.1 27.5 43.6 47.6 35.0 56.0
BMI Industry View
7
SWOT
8
Industry Forecast
10
Construction and Infrastructure Forecast Scenario
10
Table: Construction And Infrastructure Industry Data (Pakistan 2013-2018)
10
Table: Construction And Infrastructure Industry Data (Pakistan 2019-2024)
11
Transport Infrastructure - Outlook And Overview
21
Table: Competitiveness Of Pakistan's Infrastructure
21
Major Projects - Transport
27
Table: Major Projects - Transport
27
Energy And Utilities Infrastructure - Outlook And Overview
31
Major Projects - Energy & Utilities
42
Table: Major Projects - Energy And Utilities
42
Residential/Non-Residential Building - Outlook And Overview
47
Major Projects - Residential/Non-Residential Construction And Social Infrastructure
48
Table: Major Projects - Residential/Non-Residential Construction And Social Infrastructure
48
Industry Risk Reward Ratings
49
Pakistan Risk/Reward Index
49
Rewards
49
Risks
49
Asia Pacific Infrastructure Index
50
Developed Markets: Favoured
52
Giants Of Asia: Rewards Sizeable, Risks Sizeable
53
South East Asia: Environment Deteriorating Slightly
55
Table: Asia Pacific Infrastructure Risk Reward Index
57
Market Overview
58
Competitive Landscape
58
Table: EQS DATA
59
Company Profile
60
National Construction
60
Global Infrastructure Overview
62
Global Industry Overview
62
Table: Construction Industry Value, Real Terms, % Change
63
Table: BMI's Top 5 Markets
67
Methodology
69
Industry Forecast Methodology
69
Sector-Specific Methodology
70
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
74
Sector-Specific Methodology
75
Table: Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index Indicators
75
Table: Weighting Of Indicators
76

The Pakistan Infrastructure Report features BMI Research's market assessment and forecasts covering public procurement and spending on all major infrastructure and construction projects, including transportation and logistics by land, sea and air; power plants and utilities, and commercial construction and property development. The report analyses the impact of regulatory changes and the macroeconomic outlook and features competitive intelligence on contractors and suppliers.

BMI's Pakistan Infrastructure Report provides industry professionals and strategists, sector analysts, investors, trade associations and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the Pakistani infrastructure and construction industry.

Key Benefits

  • Benchmark BMI's independent infrastructure industry forecasts for Pakistan to test other views - a key input for successful budgetary and planning in the Pakistani infrastructure market.
  • Target business opportunities and risks in the Pakistani infrastructure sector through our reviews of latest industry trends, regulatory changes and major deals, projects and investments in Pakistan.
  • Assess the activities, strategy and market position of your competitors, partners and clients via our Company Profiles (inc. SWOTs, KPIs and latest activity).

Coverage

BMI Industry View

Summary of BMI’s key industry forecasts, views and trend analysis covering infrastructure and construction, regulatory changes, major investments and projects and significant national and multinational company developments. These are broken down into construction (social, commercial and residential), transport (roads, railways, ports, airports, etc), and energy & utilities (powerplants, pipelines and so on).

Industry SWOT Analysis

Analysis of the major strengths, weaknesses, opportunities and threats within the infrastructure and construction sectors and within the broader political, economic and business environment.

BMI Industry Forecasts

Historic data series (up to 2012) and forecasts to end-2024 for all key industry indicators, supported by explicit assumptions, plus analysis of key developments in the market and risks to the main forecasts. Indicators include:

Construction: Industry value (USDbn); contribution to GDP (%); total capital investment (USDbn); real growth (%).

Construction industry real growth forecasts (%) and industry value (USDbn) forecasts for industry sectors are split into Residential and Non-residential and Infrastructure sectors. Where the data is available for particular countries the infrastructure is further broken down into indicators for the transport subsectors of roads, railways, airports and ports and the energy and utilities sub-sectors of power plants and transmission grids, oil & gas pipelines and water infrastructure. This dataset is unique to the market.

The reports also include analysis of latest projects across the infrastructure sectors (transport, utilities, commercial construction).

BMI’s Infrastructure Risk Reward Index

BMI’s Risk Reward Index provides investors (construction companies, suppliers and partners) looking for opportunities in the region with a clear country-comparative assessment of a market’s risks and potential rewards. Each of the country markets are scored using a sophisticated model that includes more than 40 industry, economic and  demographic data points. These provide indices of highest to lowest appeal to investors, with each position explained.

Market Overview

An assessment of the competitive landscape and key challenges to entering the market. Details of the largest companies active in the sector across the sub-segments of the industry, including the key financial figures from some of the largest players in the sector.

Company Profiles*

Examines the competitive positioning and short- to medium-term business strategies of key industry players. Strategy is examined within the context of BMI’s industry forecasts, our macroeconomic views and our understanding of the wider competitive landscape to generate company SWOT analyses. The latest financial and operating statistics and key company developments are also incorporated within the company profiles, enabling a full evaluation of recent company performance and future growth prospects.

Sources

The Infrastructure reports draw on an extensive network of primary sources, such as multilateral organisations, government departments, industry associations, chambers and company reports.

*Company profiles are not available for every country. Those reports instead contain information on the current activities of prominent companies operating in the market.