Pakistan Power Report

Published 05 August 2015

  • 66 pages
  • Instant access to your report online and PDF format through your account library
  • Includes 3 free updated quarterly reports
$1,295.00
Pakistan Power Report

BMI View : A lack of generation capacity, insufficient investment, as well as fuel and water shortages ha ve narrowed the supply/demand margin considerably, negatively impacting economic activity across Pakistan . Supply shortages will be a dominant theme clouding Pakistan's power sector over 2015. Over the medium-to-long term, the incorporation of non-hydro renewables into the electricity mix, the surge in coal-fired power generation - and consequently the significant decline in oil-fired power generation - will be the key market dynamics.

Key Trends And Developments:

  • In May 2015, the Pakistani announced that it was drawing up plans to liberalise the power sector. The Electricity Act 2015 will allow private sector participation in building, maintaining and operating a captive power generation plant as well as dedicated transmission infrastructure.

  • In January, it was announced that the Pakistani government had approved a net metering scheme for solar power, which would allow solar generators to sell excess power they produce back to the national grid. The government has also decided to cut recently imposed import taxes (of 32.5%) on solar panels. These three developments provide a significant boost to the outlook for solar power in Pakistan, driving demand for panels and supporting the continued expansion of the industry.

BMI Industry View
7
SWOT
8
Industry Forecast
10
Pakistan Snapshot
10
Table: Country Snapshot: Economic and Demographic Data (Pakistan 2013-2018)
10
Table: Country Snapshot: Economic and Demographic Data (Pakistan 2019-2024)
10
Table: Country Snapshot: Power Sector
10
Pakistan Forecast Scenario
11
Electricity Generation And Power Generating Capacity
11
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Pakistan 2013-2018)
11
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Pakistan 2019-2024)
12
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Pakistan 2013-2018)
13
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Pakistan 2019-2024)
14
Table: 14 Projects Approved By Chinese Government
16
Table: Solar Feed-In Tariff Rates
20
Electricity Consumption
30
Table: Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts (Pakistan 2013-2018)
30
Table: Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts (Pakistan 2019-2024)
30
Transmission And Distribution, Imports And Exports
31
Table: Electric Power T&D Losses Data And Forecasts (Pakistan 2013-2018)
31
Table: Electric Power T&D Losses Data And Forecasts (Pakistan 2019-2024)
32
Table: Trade Data And Forecasts (Pakistan 2013-2018)
32
Table: Trade Data And Forecasts (Pakistan 2019-2024)
32
Industry Risk/Reward Index
36
Pakistan Risk/Reward Index
36
Rewards
36
Risks
36
Asia Power Risk/Reward Index
37
Table: Asia Power Risk/Reward Index (Scores Out Of 100)
42
Market Overview
43
Key Policies And Market Structure
43
Regulation And Competition
43
Pakistan Power Projects Database
45
Table: Pakistan Power Projects Database
45
Competitive Landscape
50
Water And Power Development Authority (WAPDA)
50
Karachi Electric Supply Corporation
51
Regional Overview
53
Shifting Fuel Dynamics In Asia Power
53
Glossary
59
Table: Glossary Of Terms
59
Methodology
60
Industry Forecast Methodology
60
Sources
63
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
63
Table: Power Risk/Reward Index Indicators
64
Table: Weighting Of Indicators
65

The Pakistan Power Report features BMI Research's market assessment and independent forecasts covering electricity generation (coal, gas, oil, nuclear, hydro and non-hydro renewables), electricity consumption, trade, transmission and distribution losses and electricity generating capacity.

The Pakistan Power Report also analyses the impact of regulatory changes, recent developments and the background macroeconomic outlook and features competitive landscapes comparing national and multinational operators by sales, market share, investments, projects, partners and expansion strategies.

Key Benefits

  • Use BMI's independent industry forecasts for Pakistan to test other views - a key input for successful budgeting and strategic planning in the power market.
  • Target business opportunities and risks Pakistan's power sector through our reviews of latest power industry trends, regulatory changes, and major deals, projects and investments in Pakistan.
  • Assess the activities, strategy and market position of your competitors, partners and clients via our Competitive Landscape analysis.

Coverage

BMI Industry View

Summary of BMI’s key industry forecasts, views and trend analysis, covering power markets, regulatory changes, major investments, projects and company developments.

Industry SWOT Analysis

Analysis of the major Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats within the power sector and within the broader political, economic and business environment.

BMI’s Power Forecast Scenario

Forecasts to end-2024 for all key indicators, supported by explicit assumptions, plus analysis of key downside risks to the main forecasts:

  • Generation: Electricity generation total, thermal, coal, natural gas, oil, nuclear, hydropower, hydro-electric pumped storage and non-hydropower renewables.
  • Transmission and Distribution Losses: Electric power transmission and distribution losses.
  • Trade: Total imports and exports.
  • Electricity Consumption: Net consumption.
  • Electricity Capacity: Capacity net, conventional thermal, nuclear, hydropower and non-hydroelectric renewables.

BMI’s Power Risk Reward Index

BMI’s Risk Reward Indices provide investors (power companies, service companies and equity investors) looking for opportunities in the region with a clear country-comparative assessment of a market’s risks and potential rewards. Each of the country markets are scored using a sophisticated model that includes more than 40 industry, economic and demographic data points to provide indices of highest to lowest appeal to investors,

Market Overview

Structure, size and value of the industry sector; overview of the industry landscape and key players; an assessment of the business operating environment, sustainable energy policies, pricing and the latest regulatory developments.

Key Projects Database

Details and analysis of all current and planned developments (new ventures, capacity expansion and other investments) across the sector broken down by location, sector type, capacity, value, companies and operational status.

Competitive Landscape

Illustration of the power industry that exploits our data-rich, in-depth analysis of the leading players in the sector and examination of operational results, strategic goals, market position and the potential for investment.

Power Outlook long-Term Forecasts

Regional long-term power forecasts covering electricity generation, consumption and capacity for thermal, hydroelectric and nuclear power. These are supported by a country specific  overview, alongside an analysis of key downside risks to the main forecasts.

Regional Overview

Providing BMI’s near-term economic outlook for the region as a whole, as well as taking a close look at countries of particular interest and the latest trends and developments.

Sources

The Power Market Reports draw on an extensive network of primary sources, such as multilateral organisations, government departments, industry associations, chambers and company reports, including Energy Information Administration (EIA), World Bank (WB) and United Nations (UN).

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