Pakistan Power Report

Published 11 May 2015

  • 66 pages
  • Instant access to your report online and PDF format through your account library
  • Includes 3 free updated quarterly reports
 
$1,295.00
Pakistan Power Report

Electricity Generation And Power Generating Capacity

Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Pakistan 2013-2018)
2013e 2014e 2015f 2016f 2017f 2018f
e/f = BMI estimate/forecast. Source: National Sources, BMI
Generation, Total, TWh 99.677 103.205 106.601 110.967 115.508 120.309
Generation, Total, % y-o-y 2.777 3.540 3.290 4.096 4.093 4.156
Generation, Total, KWh per capita 547.244 557.465 566.591 580.439 594.721 609.857
Generation, Thermal, TWh 63.738 65.033 66.789 67.860 70.099 71.532
Generation, Thermal, % y-o-y 0.937 2.031 2.700 1.603 3.300 2.045
Generation, Thermal, KWh per capita 349.936 351.276 354.987 354.957 360.919 362.603
Generation, Thermal, % of total generation 63.945 63.013 62.653 61.153 60.687 59.457
Generation, Coal, TWh 0.112 0.148 1.337 7.554 12.842 19.854
Generation, Coal, % y-o-y 2.000 31.500 805.000 465.000 70.000 54.600
Generation, Coal, KWh per capita 0.617 0.798 7.106 39.514 66.121 100.641
Generation, Coal, % of thermal electricity generation 0.176 0.227 2.002 11.132 18.320 27.755
Generation, Coal, % total electricity generation 0.113 0.143 1.254 6.808 11.118 16.502
Generation, Natural Gas, TWh 31.789 32.889 33.257 31.395 31.410 30.123
Generation, Natural Gas, % y-o-y 2.350 3.460 1.120 -5.600 0.050 -4.100
Generation, Natural Gas, KWh per capita 174.527 177.649 176.764 164.218 161.723 152.694
Generation, Natural Gas, % of thermal electricity generation 49.874 50.573 49.794 46.264 44.809 42.111
Generation, Natural Gas, % of total electricity generation 31.892 31.867 31.198 28.292 27.193 25.038
Generation, Oil, TWh 31.837 31.996 32.195 28.911 25.846 21.556
Generation, Oil, % change y-o-y

Table of Contents

BMI Industry View
7
SWOT
8
Industry Forecast
10
Pakistan Snapshot
10
Table: Country Snapshot: Economic and Demographic Data (Pakistan 2014-2019)
10
Table: Country Snapshot: Economic and Demographic Data (Pakistan 2019-2024)
10
Table: Country Snapshot: Power Sector
10
Pakistan Forecast Scenario
11
Electricity Generation And Power Generating Capacity
11
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Pakistan 2013-2018)
11
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Pakistan 2019-2024)
12
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Pakistan 2013-2018)
13
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Pakistan 2019-2024)
14
Table: Fact Box: 14 Projects Approved By Chinese Government
16
Table: Solar Feed-In Tariff Rates
20
Electricity Consumption
30
Table: Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts (Pakistan 2013-2018)
30
Table: Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts (Pakistan 2019-2024)
30
Transmission And Distribution, Imports And Exports
31
Table: Electric Power T&D Losses Data And Forecasts (Pakistan 2013-2018)
31
Table: Electric Power T&D Losses Data And Forecasts (Pakistan 2019-2024)
32
Table: Trade Data And Forecasts (Pakistan 2013-2018)
32
Table: Trade Data And Forecasts (Pakistan 2019-2024)
32
Industry Risk/Reward Ratings
36
Industry Risk Reward Ratings
36
Pakistan Risk/Reward Index
40
Rewards
40
Risks
40
Market Overview
42
Key Policies And Market Structure
42
Regulation And Competition
42
Pakistan Power Projects Database
44
Table: Pakistan Key Projects database
44
Competitive Landscape
49
Water And Power Development Authority (WAPDA)
49
Karachi Electric Supply Corporation
50
Regional Overview
52
Asia Power: Undisputed Global Powerhouse
52
Glossary
59
Table: Glossary Of Terms
59
Methodology
60
Industry Forecast Methodology
60
Sources
63
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
63
Table: Power Risk/Reward Index Indicators
64
Table: Weighting Of Indicators
65

The Pakistan Power Report features BMI Research's market assessment and independent forecasts covering electricity generation (coal, gas, oil, nuclear, hydro and non-hydro renewables), electricity consumption, trade, transmission and distribution losses and electricity generating capacity.

The Pakistan Power Report also analyses the impact of regulatory changes, recent developments and the background macroeconomic outlook and features competitive landscapes comparing national and multinational operators by sales, market share, investments, projects, partners and expansion strategies.

Key Benefits

  • Use BMI's independent industry forecasts for Pakistan to test other views - a key input for successful budgeting and strategic planning in the power market.
  • Target business opportunities and risks Pakistan's power sector through our reviews of latest power industry trends, regulatory changes, and major deals, projects and investments in Pakistan.
  • Assess the activities, strategy and market position of your competitors, partners and clients via our Competitive Landscape analysis.

Coverage

BMI Industry View

Summary of BMI’s key industry forecasts, views and trend analysis, covering power markets, regulatory changes, major investments, projects and company developments.

Industry SWOT Analysis

Analysis of the major Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats within the power sector and within the broader political, economic and business environment.

BMI’s Power Forecast Scenario

Forecasts to end-2024 for all key indicators, supported by explicit assumptions, plus analysis of key downside risks to the main forecasts:

  • Generation: Electricity generation total, thermal, coal, natural gas, oil, nuclear, hydropower, hydro-electric pumped storage and non-hydropower renewables.
  • Transmission and Distribution Losses: Electric power transmission and distribution losses.
  • Trade: Total imports and exports.
  • Electricity Consumption: Net consumption.
  • Electricity Capacity: Capacity net, conventional thermal, nuclear, hydropower and non-hydroelectric renewables.

BMI’s Power Risk Reward Index

BMI’s Risk Reward Indices provide investors (power companies, service companies and equity investors) looking for opportunities in the region with a clear country-comparative assessment of a market’s risks and potential rewards. Each of the country markets are scored using a sophisticated model that includes more than 40 industry, economic and demographic data points to provide indices of highest to lowest appeal to investors,

Market Overview

Structure, size and value of the industry sector; overview of the industry landscape and key players; an assessment of the business operating environment, sustainable energy policies, pricing and the latest regulatory developments.

Key Projects Database

Details and analysis of all current and planned developments (new ventures, capacity expansion and other investments) across the sector broken down by location, sector type, capacity, value, companies and operational status.

Competitive Landscape

Illustration of the power industry that exploits our data-rich, in-depth analysis of the leading players in the sector and examination of operational results, strategic goals, market position and the potential for investment.

Power Outlook long-Term Forecasts

Regional long-term power forecasts covering electricity generation, consumption and capacity for thermal, hydroelectric and nuclear power. These are supported by a country specific  overview, alongside an analysis of key downside risks to the main forecasts.

Regional Overview

Providing BMI’s near-term economic outlook for the region as a whole, as well as taking a close look at countries of particular interest and the latest trends and developments.

Sources

The Power Market Reports draw on an extensive network of primary sources, such as multilateral organisations, government departments, industry associations, chambers and company reports, including Energy Information Administration (EIA), World Bank (WB) and United Nations (UN).

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Testimonials

'An essential, multi-faceted research tool. BMI’s thorough understanding of the major market players enables an informed – and informative – review of the sector’s actual performance, together with useful insights into current industry issues, which are topped-off with detailed and invaluable forecasts of industry and macroeconomic trends.’

Senior Research Analyst, ABC International Bank plc