Pakistan Shipping Report

Published 06 May 2015

  • 89 pages
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$1,295.00
Pakistan Shipping Report

Good Port Growth Expected

We continue to forecast moderate-to-strong throughput growth at Pakistan's main ports in the fiscal year ending June 2015, with volumes growing by 3-8%. Growth will be marginally down on the previous year, reflecting a slowdown in foreign trade expansion.

In headline terms, Pakistan's economy currently has two factors working in its favour and one against. Positive momentum is provided first, by lower international oil prices, and second by the process of economic reforms. The negative factor remains the poor security and high political risk environment, which continues to cause concern among investors. Despite a degree of political turmoil the economy has remained firm. Prime Minister Nawaz Sharif's popularity remains strong. This suggests the reform process will continue, supporting accelerating real GDP growth. Indeed, the Pakistan Muslim League party nearly doubled its seat total in a Senate election in early March, increasing Sharif's ability to pass legislation in a bid to strengthen the reform process. We are upgrading our real GDP growth forecast for fiscal year 2014/15 (July-June) to 4.2% from 4.0% previously, and from 4.1% in FY2013/14.

Headline Industry Data

  • 2014/15-tonnage throughput at the port of Karachi is forecast by BMI to grow by 4.9% to 43.376mn tonnes.

  • 2014/15-container throughput growth at the port of Karachi forecast to increase by 4.0% to 1.654mn twenty-foot equivalent units (TEUs).

  • 2014/15-tonnage throughput at the port of Muhammad Bin Qasim forecast to grow by 3.0% to 26.553mn tonnes.

  • 2014/15-container throughput at the port of Muhammad Bin Qasim forecast to grow by 7.6% to 918,904TEUs.

  • Pakistan's total trade forecast to see real growth cooling to reach 4.0% in 2014/15, down from an estimated 8.0% in the preceding year.

Key Industry Trends

Xi Confirms Port and Transport Investments: On an official visit to Pakistan in April, China's President Xi Jinping announced investments of approximately...

Table of Contents

BMI Industry View
5
SWOT
7
Shipping
7
Political
8
Economic
10
Operational Risk
11
Industry Forecast
13
Port Of Karachi Throughput
13
Port Of Qasim Throughput
17
Table: Major Ports Data (Pakistan 2012-2019)
21
Table: Trade Overview (Pakistan 2012-2019)
22
Table: Key Trade Indicators (Pakistan 2012-2019)
22
Table: Pakistan's Major Import Partners, 2006-2013 (USDmn)
23
Table: Pakistan's Major Export Destinations, 2006-2013 (USDmn)
24
Market Overview
25
Pakistan Container Shipping Market Overview
25
Company Profile
31
Pakistan National Shipping Corporation (PNSC)
31
Shipping - Global Industry View
33
Three Container Routes To Watch In 2015
33
Global Company Strategy
40
Maersk Line
40
Mediterranean Shipping Company (MSC)
51
CMA CGM
57
Evergreen Line
66
COSCO Container Lines Company (COSCON)
74
Macroeconomic Forecasts
82
Economic Analysis
82
Demographic Forecast
85
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Pakistan 1990-2025)
86
Table: Key Population Ratios (Pakistan 1990-2025)
86
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Pakistan 1990-2025)
87
Table: Population By Age Group (Pakistan 1990-2025)
87
Table: Population By Age Group % (Pakistan 1990-2025)
88

The Pakistan Shipping Report has been researched at source and features latest-available data and BMI Research's independent forecasting, critically analysing international transport of dry bulk and containers. The report evaluates the global commodities and trade backdrop, alongside in-depth country-specific analysis of trade prospects. The report also contains company profiles covering leading multinational and national shipping companies and analysis of latest industry news, trends and regulatory developments in Pakistan.

BMI's Pakistan Shipping Report provides industry professionals and strategists, sector analysts, business investors, trade associations and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the shipping industry in Pakistan.

Key Benefits

  • Benchmark BMI's independent shipping industry forecasts for Pakistan to test other views - a key input for successful budgeting and strategic business planning in the Pakistani shipping market.
  • Target business opportunities and risks in Pakistan through our reviews of latest industry trends, regulatory changes and major deals, projects and investments.
  • Exploit the latest competitive intelligence and company SWOTS on your competitors and peers including multinational and national companies.

Coverage

BMI Industry View

Summary of BMI's key industry forecasts, views and trend analysis covering shipping, major investments and projects and significant multinational and national company developments.

SWOT Analysis

SWOT (Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats) analysis of the state's shipping sector, which carefully evaluates the short- and medium-term issues facing the industry.

Market Overview

Analysis of the capacity, terminals and planned development of the major ports in each country, including data on throughput and total tonnage.

Industry Forecast Scenario

Historic data series (2008-2012) and forecasts to end-2018 for all key industry and macroeconomic indicators (see list below), supported by explicit assumptions, plus analysis of key downside risks to the main forecast, including:

Major port freight throughput (tonnes/teu); overall freight throughput (teu); total imports (US$bn) and exports (US$bn).

Company Profiles

Company profiles include business activities, leading products and services, company strategy, trends and developments and economic performance analysis.

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Testimonials

'An essential, multi-faceted research tool. BMI’s thorough understanding of the major market players enables an informed – and informative – review of the sector’s actual performance, together with useful insights into current industry issues, which are topped-off with detailed and invaluable forecasts of industry and macroeconomic trends.’

Senior Research Analyst, ABC International Bank plc