BMI View: We maintain a positive longer-term view of Peru's food and drink sector, which will see strong expansion rates and present a number of interesting investment opportunities over the forecast period. Peru's food and drink sector will attract more foreign investment over the coming years, on the back of market fragmentation and increasing household purchasing power. Peru will also look increasingly attractive as key regional markets, such as Brazil and Colombia, experience an economic slowdown.
Headline Industry Data (local currency)
Total food consumption growth year-on-year (y-o-y) in 2015: +9.3%; compound annual growth rate (CAGR) 2014-2019: +9.2%;
Per capita food consumption growth (y-o-y) in 2015: +7.8%; CAGR 2014-2019: +7.8%;
Soft drinks value sales growth (y-o-y) in 2015: +6.9%; CAGR 2014-2019: +7.1%;
Alcoholic drinks value sales growth (y-o-y) in 2015: +6.1%; CAGR 2014-2019: +6.4%;
Total mass grocery retail value sales growth (y-o-y) in 2015: +9.5%; CAGR 2014-2019: +9.4%.
Key Trends And Developments
Peru Targets USD2bn Exports To EU: Peruvian agricultural exports to the EU are expected to rise 10% y-o-y in 2015, surpassing USD2bn by the end of the year according to the chairman of agrifood exporter association Adex. Strong global demand for asparagus and other key products, including cocoa and coffee, are creating new opportunities for Peruvian exporters, Ognio noted. The EU was Peru's main market for organic and pesticide-free products, where it exported USD1.82bn worth of agricultural products in 2014, according to Ognio.
Season Adjustment Key To Avocado Growth: Peru could become the world's leading avocado exporter if it manages to extend its production season from its current six-month span to a full year, according to Jim Donovan of Mission Produce. Planted area continues to increase in the country, being currently around 25,000 hectares, and longer production seasons could help boost exports, according to Donovan, speaking during the VIII World Avocado Congress in Lima.
Coffee Output Expected To Grow 28% In 2015: Production of coffee in Peru is expected to increase 28% y-o-y to 5mn quintals in 2015, according to Jorge Luis Montenegro, deputy minister of Development, Agricultural Infrastructure and Irrigation (Andina). The rise in production would generate USD750mn, compared with USD730mn in 2014, when 3.9mn quintals of coffee were produced, Montenegro stated. According to the minister, production was expected to be higher; however, coffee plantations are still recovering from stripe rust.
Agro-Exports Post Average Annual Growth Of 20% During 2000-2014: Peru's agriculture exports increased 20% annually on average between 2000 and 2014, and the Peruvian Association of Exporters (ADEX) has stated that the trend could continue during 2015 if weather conditions and the prices of traditional products such as coffee remain favourable. Growth in exports will also depend on the status of harvests in other countries, according to ADEX. The group also highlighted 'dynamic growth' in exports of grapes, pomegranates and avocados (Andina).
The Peru Food & Drink Report features BMI Research's market assessment and independent forecasts for food and drink expenditure, consumption, sales, and imports/exports and forecasts for the mass grocery retail sector. The report also includes analyses of major regulatory developments, the background macroeconomic outlook and competitive landscape comparing national and multinational companies by leading products and services, sales, investments, partners and expansion strategies.
BMI's Peru Food & Drink Report provides industry professionals and strategists, sector analysts, business investors, trade associations and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the food and drink industry and the mass grocery retail market in Peru.
- Benchmark BMI's independent food and drink industry forecasts for Peru to test other views - a key input for successful budgeting and strategic business planning in the Peruvian food and drink market.
- Target business opportunities and risks in Peru through our reviews of latest industry trends, regulatory changes and major deals, projects and investments.
- Exploit latest competitive intelligence on your competitors, partners and clients via our Company Profiles (inc. SWOTs, KPIs and latest activity) and Competitive Landscape Tables.
BMI Industry View
Summary of BMI’s key industry forecasts and views, covering food and drink manufacturing and consumption and the mass grocery retail market.
Industry SWOT Analysis
Analysis of the major strengths, weaknesses, opportunities and threats within the food, drink and mass grocery retail sectors and within the broader political, economic and business environment.
BMI’s Food and Drink Risk Reward Index
BMI’s Risk Reward Index provides investors (food and drink manufacturers and mass grocery retailers) looking for opportunities in the region with a clear country-comparative assessment of a market’s risks and potential rewards. Each of the country markets are scored using a sophisticated model that includes more than 40 industry, economic and demographic points. These provide indices of highest to lowest appeal to investors, with each position explained.
BMI’s food chapter is divided into sections such as meat, fish, confectionary, dairy and canned foods, and provides insight into each market’s food industry, centred on a forecast to end-2019 for the sector. The chapter includes the following elements:
- Industry Forecast Scenario: Historical data series and a forecast to end-2019 for growth of key indicators within a market’s food industry. Indicators include food consumption, food consumption as % of GDP, canned food sales, confectionery sales and food and drink imports and exports, among others.
- Industry Developments: A summary of corporate developments, including news on M&As, FDI, expansions, closures and financial results, in addition to analysis and explanation of the latest industry events and how these could influence further investment.
- Market Overview: An overview of the structure of the market, introducing the key players and discussing underlying trends.
Segmented the same way as BMI’s food chapter, the drink section provides insight into each market’s drink industry, centred on a forecast to end-2019 for the sector. Forecast indicators include alcoholic and soft drink sales by value, volume and sub-sector and tea and coffee sales, among others.
Mass Grocery Retail Forecasts
Segmented the same way as BMI’s food and drink chapters, the mass grocery retail section provides insight into each market’s grocery retail industry, centred on a forecast to end-2019 for the sector. Forecast indicators include mass grocery retail sales by format (including supermarkets, hypermarkets, convenience and discount stores) and a breakdown of the organised retail sector versus the traditional sector, among others.
Illustration of the mass grocery retail and food and drink industries via rankings tables comparing revenues, number of outlets and number of employees. This chapter also includes data-rich, in-depth regional analysis of the market position, business strategies and investment potential of the region’s leading mass grocery retail and food and drink operators.
Examines the competitive positioning and short- to medium-term business strategies of key industry players. Strategy is examined within the context of BMI’s industry forecasts, our macroeconomic views and our understanding of the wider competitive landscape to generate company SWOT analyses. The latest financial and operating statistics and key company developments are also incorporated within the company profiles, enabling a full evaluation of recent company performance and future growth prospects.
The Food & Drink reports draw on an extensive network primary sources, such as multilateral organisations, government departments, industry associations, chambers and company reports.
*Company profiles are not available for every country. Those reports instead contain information on the current activities of prominent companies operating in the market.