Peru Infrastructure Report

Published 12 January 2015

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Peru Infrastructure Report

BMI View: Our 2015 construction industry forecast for Peru stands at a solid 7.1% real growth on the back of a robust project pipeline, high infrastructure demand, and strong government support for infrastructure development. Peru's construction industry will grow by an average of 5.1% over the next five years, which is lower than the double-digit growth registered over the last decade but still strong by regional standards.

A USD20.5bn budget in infrastructure investment between 2011 and 2016 has prompted strong growth in Peru's construction industry as the industry reported annual average growth of 9.5% between 2011 and 2013. High value investment plans to expand Peru's infrastructure over the next few years should continue to drive strong growth; however, cracks in the business environment cannot be ignored and may erode growth potential over the medium term.

Key trends and developments in the industry:

  • We expect the Peruvian government's commitment to infrastructure development to remain solid as the construction industry is highly labour intensive and the creation of jobs is a powerful tool towards improving the popularity of President Ollanta Humala.

  • Considerable investment is being ploughed into Peru's mining sector, putting pressure on the country's existing infrastructure and creating huge demand for new capacity. Mining is typically both electricity- and water-intensive; this is placing a strain on existing infrastructure, which in turn is threatening mining activity. Therefore investment into desalination plants, expanded electricity supply and more reliable transmission and distribution is crucial to the sector, as well as the country's economy.

  • Peru has a large concession pipeline, orchestrated by private investment agency ProInversion. The agency's project pipeline includes ports, airports, power infrastructure and desalination plants. However, continuous delays on the tendering process are affecting investor's confidence in the market.

Table of Contents

BMI Industry View
5
SWOT
6
Infrastructure SWOT
6
Industry Forecast
7
Construction and Infrastructure Forecast Scenario
7
Table: Construction And Infrastructure Industry Data (Peru 2013-2018)
7
Table: Construction And Infrastructure Industry Data (Peru 2019-2024)
8
Transport Infrastructure - Outlook And Overview
12
Table: Transport Infrastructure Industry Data (Peru 2013-2018)
12
Table: Transport Infrastructure Industry Data (Peru 2019-2024)
13
Table: Major Projects Table - Transport
20
Energy And Utilities Infrastructure - Outlook And Overview
24
Table: Energy And Utilities Infrastructure Data (Peru 2013-2018)
24
Table: Energy And Utilities Infrastructure Data (Peru 2019-2024)
25
Table: Major Projects Table - Energy And Utilities
31
Residential/NonResidential Building - Outlook And Overview
37
Table: Residential And Non-Residential Building Industry Data (Peru 2013-2018)
37
Table: Residential And Non-Residential Building Industry Data (Peru 2019-2024)
37
Industry Risk Reward Ratings
42
Peru - Infrastructure Risk/Reward Ratings
42
Latin America - Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index
43
Table: Latin America Risk/Reward Index
46
Market Overview
48
Competitive Landscape
48
Table: Peru EQS Data
48
Company Profile
50
OHL
50
Global Industry Overview
52
Table: Construction Industry Value, Real Terms, % Change
53
Table: BMI's Top 5 Markets
57
Methodology
59
Industry Forecast Methodology
59
Sector-Specific Methodology
60
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
64
Sector-Specific Methodology
65
Table: Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index Indicators
65
Table: Weighting Of Indicators
66

The Peru Infrastructure Report features BMI Research's market assessment and forecasts covering public procurement and spending on all major infrastructure and construction projects, including transportation and logistics by land, sea and air; power plants and utilities, and commercial construction and property development. The report analyses the impact of regulatory changes and the macroeconomic outlook and features competitive intelligence on contractors and suppliers.

BMI's Peru Infrastructure Report provides industry professionals and strategists, sector analysts, investors, trade associations and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the Peruvian infrastructure and construction industry.

Key Benefits

  • Benchmark BMI's independent infrastructure industry forecasts for Peru to test other views - a key input for successful budgetary and planning in the Peruvian infrastructure market.
  • Target business opportunities and risks in the Peruvian infrastructure sector through our reviews of latest industry trends, regulatory changes and major deals, projects and investments in Peru.
  • Assess the activities, strategy and market position of your competitors, partners and clients via our Company Profiles (inc. SWOTs, KPIs and latest activity).

Coverage

BMI Industry View

Summary of BMI’s key industry forecasts, views and trend analysis covering infrastructure and construction, regulatory changes, major investments and projects and significant national and multinational company developments. These are broken down into construction (social, commercial and residential), transport (roads, railways, ports, airports, etc), and energy & utilities (powerplants, pipelines and so on).

Industry SWOT Analysis

Analysis of the major strengths, weaknesses, opportunities and threats within the infrastructure and construction sectors and within the broader political, economic and business environment.

BMI Industry Forecasts

Historic data series (up to 2012) and forecasts to end-2024 for all key industry indicators, supported by explicit assumptions, plus analysis of key developments in the market and risks to the main forecasts. Indicators include:

Construction: Industry value (USDbn); contribution to GDP (%); total capital investment (USDbn); real growth (%).

Construction industry real growth forecasts (%) and industry value (USDbn) forecasts for industry sectors are split into Residential and Non-residential and Infrastructure sectors. Where the data is available for particular countries the infrastructure is further broken down into indicators for the transport subsectors of roads, railways, airports and ports and the energy and utilities sub-sectors of power plants and transmission grids, oil & gas pipelines and water infrastructure. This dataset is unique to the market.

The reports also include analysis of latest projects across the infrastructure sectors (transport, utilities, commercial construction).

BMI’s Infrastructure Risk Reward Index

BMI’s Risk Reward Index provides investors (construction companies, suppliers and partners) looking for opportunities in the region with a clear country-comparative assessment of a market’s risks and potential rewards. Each of the country markets are scored using a sophisticated model that includes more than 40 industry, economic and  demographic data points. These provide indices of highest to lowest appeal to investors, with each position explained.

Market Overview

An assessment of the competitive landscape and key challenges to entering the market. Details of the largest companies active in the sector across the sub-segments of the industry, including the key financial figures from some of the largest players in the sector.

Company Profiles*

Examines the competitive positioning and short- to medium-term business strategies of key industry players. Strategy is examined within the context of BMI’s industry forecasts, our macroeconomic views and our understanding of the wider competitive landscape to generate company SWOT analyses. The latest financial and operating statistics and key company developments are also incorporated within the company profiles, enabling a full evaluation of recent company performance and future growth prospects.

Sources

The Infrastructure reports draw on an extensive network of primary sources, such as multilateral organisations, government departments, industry associations, chambers and company reports.

*Company profiles are not available for every country. Those reports instead contain information on the current activities of prominent companies operating in the market.

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Testimonials

'An essential, multi-faceted research tool. BMI’s thorough understanding of the major market players enables an informed – and informative – review of the sector’s actual performance, together with useful insights into current industry issues, which are topped-off with detailed and invaluable forecasts of industry and macroeconomic trends.’

Senior Research Analyst, ABC International Bank plc