Philippines Country Risk Report

Providing comprehensive data and in-depth analysis of political, financial and economic risk.

Report includes: BMI's Core Views, 10-year Forecasts, BMI's Economic Risk Index, Political Stability and Risk Index, Long-term Political Outlook, Operational Risk Index, SWOT Analysis and Structural Economic Sections

Why you should buy this report

  • Understand and measure the political, business environment and operational risks to your company
  • Gain insight on emerging trends that could support, strengthen or disrupt your activities in the market
  • Benefit from 10-year macroeconomic forecasts and insight into the structural characteristics of the economy
  • Get the long-term political outlook and explore possible scenarios for change
×

Sign up to download the Philippines Country Risk Report

By submitting this form you are acknowledging that you have read and understood our Privacy Policy.

Thank you for your interest

You will shortly receive your free executive summary by email.

Philippines Country Risk Report
Product Price
$1,245.00

Assess your risk exposure in Philippines with our 100% independent forecasts assessing the pace and stability of this key market. Backed by trusted data from BMI Research's 52 million data point economic forecast model, this report will allow you to measure political, economic, business environment and operational risks in Philippines with confidence.

Your subscription service includes:

  • Delivery of the report in print and PDF
  • Online access for 12 months
  • The functionality to translate your online report into your choice of 10 languages - Arabic, Chinese, French, German, Italian, Japanese, Korean, Portuguese, Russian and Spanish
  • The ability to export data and graphs from the online report directly into your workflow
  • The support of a dedicated Account Manager to answer any questions you might have about your subscription
  • Access to our team of leading analysts who will be happy to answer any questions you might have about the data and forecasts included in this report
Executive Summary
5
Core Views
5
Major Forecast Changes
5
Key Risks
5
Chapter 1: Economic Outlook
7
SWOT Analysis
7
BMI Economic Risk Index
7
Economic Growth Outlook
8
Duterte Risks Keep GDP Forecast Anchored Despite Strong Q116
8
GDP By Expenditure Outlook
9
TABLE: ECONOMIC ACTIVITY
9
TABLE: PRIVATE CONSUMPTION FORECASTS
9
TABLE: GOVERNMENT CONSUMPTION FORECASTS
9
TABLE: FIXED INVESTMENT FORECASTS
10
TABLE: NET EXPORTS FORECASTS
10
Fiscal Policy And Public Debt Outlook
10
Expansionary Fiscal Plans Could Yield Dividends
10
TABLE: MACROECONOMIC FORECASTS
11
Structural Fiscal Position
12
TABLE: MAIN REVENUE AND EXPENDITURE CATEGORIES
12
TABLE: FISCAL AND PUBLIC DEBT FORECASTS
12
External Trade & Investment Outlook
13
Export Outlook Subdued, But External Surplus Intact
13
Outlook On External Position
15
TABLE: CURRENT ACCOUNT BALANCE FORECASTS
15
TABLE: MAIN IMPORT AND EXPORT PARTNERS
15
TABLE: CAPITAL & FINANCIAL ACCOUNT BALANCE
16
TABLE: MAIN IMPORTS AND EXPORTS
16
Monetary Policy
16
Potential To Ease RRR Following Introduction Of Interest Rate Corridor
16
Monetary Policy Framework
17
TABLE: MONETARY POLICY FORECASTS
17
Currency Forecast
18
Technicals, External Volatility To Weigh On Peso
18
TABLE: BMI CURRENCY FORECAST
18
Chapter 2: 10-Year Forecast
21
The Philippine Economy To 2025
21
Potential For Higher Investment Rate To Sustain Economic Growth
21
TABLE: LONG-TERM MACROECONOMIC FORECASTS
21
Chapter 3: Political Outlook
25
SWOT Analysis
25
BMI Political Risk Index
25
Domestic Politics
26
The Bull Case For A Strongman Presidency
26
TABLE: POLITICAL OVERVIEW
26
Long-Term Political Outlook
27
Stable Politics For Now, But Political Challenges Remain
27
Chapter 4: Operational Risk
31
SWOT Analysis
31
Operational Risk Index
31
Operational Risk
32
TABLE: OPERATIONAL RISK SCORE
32
Market Size And Utilities
33
TABLE: ASIA - MARKET SIZE AND UTILITIES
34
Labour Costs
37
TABLE: LABOUR REGULATIONS GOVERNING FLEXIBILITY OF WORKFORCE
37
Chapter 5: BMI Global Macro Outlook
41
Global Macro Outlook
41
Brexit Risk Casts A Long Shadow
41
TABLE: GLOBAL ASSUMPTIONS
41
TABLE: DEVELOPED STATES, REAL GDP GROWTH, %
42
TABLE: EMERGING MARKETS, REAL GDP GROWTH, %
43
TABLE: MACROECONOMIC DATA & FORECASTS
45