Poland Consumer Electronics Report

Published 26 June 2015

  • 67 pages
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  • Includes 3 free updated quarterly reports
$1,295.00
Poland Consumer Electronics Report

BMI View: We downgraded the forecast for Poland's consumer electronics market in 2015 to reflect our in-house Country Risk team's bearish view for zloty performance against the US dollar, which will see household purchasing power eroded. From 2016 , we expect the mark et to return to growth, driven by underl y ing income growth and the popularity of product categories including smartphones and tablets. Meanwhile, in terms of electronics production, t he domestic scene has a number of strong local players able to create affordable products for the Polish market. Our core scenario is for continued growth in consumer electronics spending, as we forecast a CAGR of 1.2 % over 2015-2019 , with growth over 2016-2019 offset by the decline in 2015 .

Headline Expenditure Projections :

  • Computer Hardware Sales: USD3.86bn in 2014 to USD3.29bn in 2015, -14.6% in US dollar terms. After a contraction in 2015 derived from product cycles and economic conditions, we expect the market to return to a stronger growth trajectory from 2016.

  • AV Sales: USD2.42bn in 2014 to USD2.09bn in 2015, -13.9% in US dollar terms. Big-ticket TV set demand will be hit by zloty depreciation, while further digital camera volume cannibalisation expected in 2015 before stabilisation in the latter years of our forecast.

  • Handset S ales: USD3.28bn in 2014 to USD3.34bn in 2015, +1.9% in US dollar terms. Only segment forecast to grow in US dollar terms in 2015 as deepening smartphone ownership continues to drive value increases.

Key Trends And Developments : BMI expects zloty depreciation will exacerbate unfavourable product trends in the computer hardware market in 2015. Enterprise upgrade demand was brought forward to 2014 by the withdrawal of Microsoft support for the XP operating system in April, while tablet volumes were already forecast to decline in 2015 after a rapid diffusion of ownership among the core user group and a lengthening of replacement cycles in 2014. This...

BMI Industry View
7
SWOT
9
Consumer Electronics Market
9
Political
11
Economic
12
Operational Risk
13
Industry Forecast
15
Table: Consumer Electronics Overview (Poland 2013-2019)
15
Macroeconomic Forecasts
20
Economic Analysis
20
Real GDP By Expenditure Components
20
Table: GDP By Expenditure (Poland 2012-2019)
23
Industry Risk Reward Ratings
24
Industry Risk Reward Index
24
Table: CEE Consumer Electronics Risk/Reward Index - Q3 2015
25
Market Overview
26
Computers
26
Table: PC Sales (Poland 2013-2019)
26
AV Devices
33
Table: AV Sales (Poland 2013-2019)
33
Mobile Devices
37
Table: Mobile Communications (Poland 2013-2019)
37
Competitive Landscape
44
International Companies
44
Table: Dell
44
Table: Jabil Circuit Poland
44
Table: LG Poland
45
Table: Orion Poland
45
Table: Sharp
46
Table: TPV Displays
46
Local Companies
47
Table: Action SA
47
Table: Vobis
48
Industry Trends And Developments
49
Table: Electronics Output, 2012-2019
49
Table: Electronics Trade, 2012-2019
50
Company Profile
54
NTT System
54
Demographic Forecast
57
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Poland 1990-2025)
58
Table: Key Population Ratios (Poland 1990-2025)
58
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Poland 1990-2025)
59
Table: Population By Age Group (Poland 1990-2025)
59
Table: Population By Age Group % (Poland 1990-2025)
60
Methodology
62
Industry Forecast Methodology
62
Sector-Specific Methodology
63
Sources
63
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
64
Sector-Specific Methodology
65
Table: Consumer Electronics Risk/Reward Index Indicators
65
Table: Weighting Of Indicators
66

The Poland Consumer Electronics Report has been researched at source and features latest-available data covering both the manufacture and sale of consumer electronics products, critically analysing - and forecasting - the market dynamics affecting each sub-sector, including audio-visual, computers, mobile handsets, gaming and automotives electronics. Furthermore, the report analyses the domestic and global economic trends driving device demand and provides company rankings and competitive landscapes covering leading multinational and national consumer electronics companies and analysis of latest industry news and trends in Poland.

BMI Research's Poland Consumer Electronics Report provides industry professionals and strategists, sector analysts, business investors, trade associations and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the consumer electronics industry in Poland.

Key Benefits

  • Benchmark BMI's independent consumer electronics industry forecasts for Poland to test other views - a key input for successful budgeting and strategic business planning in the Polish consumer electronics market.
  • Target business opportunities and risks in Poland through our reviews of latest industry trends and major deals, projects and investments.
  • Exploit the latest competitive intelligence with company SWOT analyses.

Coverage

BMI Industry View

Summary of BMI's key industry forecasts, views and trend analysis covering consumer electronics, major investments and projects.

Consumer Electronics Market

Analysis of the size of the domestic market for electronics products, with in-depth assessment and data covering the dynamics driving each sub-sector; audio-visual, computers, mobile phone handsets and gaming devices, as well as demand for automotives electronics.

Electronics Industry

Analysis and data of the domestic electronics manufacturing sector. We assess the regulatory and business operational issues facing manufacturers - including openness to foreign investment, infrastructure, IP issues and the global demand context - and their impact on the production of electronics goods, which is again broken down via market sub-sectors.

Industry Forecast Scenario

Historic data series and forecasts to end-2018 for all key industry and economic indicators (see list below), supported by explicit assumptions, plus analysis of key risks to the main forecast, covering computers, communications and gaming devices. Indicators include:

Industry value (US$bn); population (mn); nominal GDP (US$bn); real GDP growth (%), GDP per capita, industrial production Index (% y-o-y ave.) unemployment % of labour force.

Business Environment Rankings

BMI's Consumer Electronics Business Environment Rankings provide a country-comparative Risk-Reward Rankings index aimed at investors and participants in the regional consumer electronics market. The rankings methodology makes sophisticated use of over 40 industry, economic and demographic data points.

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