Poland Food & Drink Report

Published 24 June 2015

  • 106 pages
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  • Includes 3 free updated quarterly reports
$1,295.00
Poland Food & Drink Report

BMI View: We hold a positive outlook on the Polish consumer over the next few years, after several years of sluggish growth. We expect real GDP growth of 3.5% in 2015 and 3. 9 % in 2016, which will be fuelled by strong private expenditure growth of 3.0% in 2015 and 4.0% in 2016 . In line with the recovering economic situation, we expect the Polish food market to register increasingly stronger growth rates in absolute and per capita terms over our forecast period 2014-2019. However, Russia's ban on agricultural imports from EU countries will continue to damage fruit and vegetables producers in Poland, wh ich export s much of their produce to Russia. However, a reduction in exports to Russia is likely to drive down food price inflation in Poland , which will be beneficial to consumers.

Headline Industry Data (local currency)

  • 2015 total food consumption growth (local currency): +1.7%; compound annual growth rate (CAGR) 2014-2019: +3.7%.

  • 2015 per capita food consumption growth (local currency): +1.7%; CAGR 2014-2019: +3.7%.

  • 2015 alcoholic drinks volume sales growth: -1.0%; CAGR 2014-2019: -0.5%.

  • 2015 soft drinks volume sales: +1.1%; CAGR 2014-2019: +0.4%.

  • 2015 total MGR sales growth (in local currency terms): +3.8%; CAGR 2014-2019: +4.9%.

Key Industry Trends

Polish Apple Exports Seek New Markets : Only 40% of apple export capacity is being reached in Poland, as shipments are impacted by Russia's ongoing ban on imports. The country's exporters are looking for alternative markets, but this has been proving tough at such short notice, according to the country's agriculture minister, Marek Sawicki. One such market is India, where the first containers of Royal Gala apples from Poland, imported by India-based Yupaa, arrived at the Nhava Sheva port, Maharashtra, on March 28. Polish apples were granted access to the Indian market in 2014, but clearance to begin shipments only came in January 2015 after uncertainty relating to the phytosanitary...

BMI Industry View
7
SWOT
9
Food
9
Drink
11
Mass Grocery Retail
12
Industry Forecast
13
Consumer Outlook
13
Food
15
Food Consumption
15
Table: Food Consumption Indicators - Historical Data & Forecasts (Poland 2012-2019)
16
Confectionery
16
Table: Confectionery Value/Volume Sales, Production & Trade - Historical Data & Forecasts (Poland 2012-2019)
17
Meat
18
Table: Meat Volume Sales, Production & Trade - Historical Data & Forecast (Poland 2012-2019)
18
Fish
19
Table: Fish Volume Sales, Production & Trade - Historical Data & Forecast (Poland 2012-2019)
20
Oils And Fats
20
Table: Oils And Fats Volume Sales, Production & Trade - Historical Data & Forecast (Poland 2012-2019)
21
Frozen Fruit & Vegetables
22
Pasta
22
Table: Pasta Volume Sales, Production & Trade - Historical Data & Forecasts (Poland 2012-2019)
22
Snack Foods
23
Table: Snack Foods Volume Sales, Production & Trade - Historical Data & Forecast (Poland 2012-2019)
23
Dairy
25
Table: Dairy Volume Sales, Production & Trade - Historical Data & Forecasts (Poland 2012-2019)
26
Drink
28
Alcoholic Drinks
28
Table: Alcoholic Drinks Value/Volume Sales, Production & Trade - Historical Data & Forecasts (Poland 2012-2019)
29
Soft Drinks
30
Table: Soft Drinks Value/Volume Sales, Production & Trade - Historical Data & Forecasts (Poland 2012-2019)
31
Hot Drinks
32
Table: Hot Drink Value/Volume Sales, Production & Trade - Historical Data & Forecasts (Poland 2012-2019)
33
Mass Grocery Retail
34
Table: Mass Grocery Retail Sales By Format - Historical Data & Forecasts (Poland 2012-2019)
35
Table: Retail Sales Breakdown By Format Type (as % of total)
36
Trade
36
Table: Trade Balance - Historical Data & Forecasts (Poland 2012-2019)
37
Macroeconomic Forecasts
38
Economic Analysis
38
Real GDP By Expenditure Components
38
Table: GDP By Expenditure (Poland 2012-2019)
41
Industry Risk Reward Index
42
Central And Eastern Europe - Risk/Reward Index
42
Table: Central & Eastern Europe Food & Drink Risk/Reward Index Q315
44
Poland Risk/Reward Index
47
Market Overview
48
Food
48
Food Consumption
48
Food Production
49
Confectionery
50
Meat Processing Industry
51
Dairy Industry
51
Drink
52
Alcoholic Drinks
52
Beer
52
Wine
53
Spirits
53
Soft Drinks
54
Hot Drinks
55
Mass Grocery Retail
55
Leading Retailers
56
Table: Structure Of Mass Grocery Retail Market By Estimated Number of Outlets (Poland 2006-2009)
57
Table: Mass Grocery Retail Sales By Format (Poland 2010-2019)
57
Table: Mass Grocery Retail Sales By Format (Poland 2010-2019)
57
Industry Trends And Developments
58
Food
58
Key Industry Trends And Developments
58
Drink
61
Key Industry Trends And Developments
61
Mass Grocery Retail
63
Key Industry Trends And Developments
63
Competitive Landscape
65
Table: Key Players - Poland's Food Sector
65
Table: Key Players - Poland's Drinks Sector
66
Table: Key Players - Poland's MGR Sector
67
Company Profile
70
Nestl- Polska
70
Agros Nova
72
Danone Polska
74
Makarony Polskie
76
Grupa Zywiec (Heineken)
78
Kofola-Hoop (Kofola Group)
80
Jer-nimo Martins Polska (Biedronka)
82
Tesco Polska
84
Global Industry Overview
86
Table: Food and Drink Core Views - Q115 Roundup
93
Demographic Forecast
95
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Poland 1990-2025)
96
Table: Key Population Ratios (Poland 1990-2025)
96
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Poland 1990-2025)
97
Table: Population By Age Group (Poland 1990-2025)
97
Table: Population By Age Group % (Poland 1990-2025)
98
Glossary
100
Food & Drink
100
Mass Grocery Retail
100
Methodology
102
Industry Forecast Methodology
102
Sector-Specific Methodology
103
Sources
103
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
104
Table: Food & Drink Risk/Reward Index Indicators
105
Table: Weighting
106

The Poland Food & Drink Report features BMI Research's market assessment and independent forecasts for food and drink expenditure, consumption, sales, and imports/exports and forecasts for the mass grocery retail sector. The report also includes analyses of major regulatory developments, the background macroeconomic outlook and competitive landscape comparing national and multinational companies by leading products and services, sales, investments, partners and expansion strategies.

BMI's Poland Food & Drink Report provides industry professionals and strategists, sector analysts, business investors, trade associations and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the food and drink industry and the mass grocery retail market in Poland.

Key Benefits

  • Benchmark BMI's independent food and drink industry forecasts for Poland to test other views - a key input for successful budgeting and strategic business planning in the Polish food and drink market.
  • Target business opportunities and risks in Poland through our reviews of latest industry trends, regulatory changes and major deals, projects and investments.
  • Exploit latest competitive intelligence on your competitors, partners and clients via our Company Profiles (inc. SWOTs, KPIs and latest activity) and Competitive Landscape Tables.

Coverage

BMI Industry View

Summary of BMI’s key industry forecasts and views, covering food and drink manufacturing and consumption and the mass grocery retail market.

Industry SWOT Analysis

Analysis of the major strengths, weaknesses, opportunities and threats within the food, drink and mass grocery retail sectors and within the broader political, economic and business environment.

BMI’s Food and Drink Risk Reward Index

BMI’s Risk Reward Index provides investors (food and drink manufacturers and mass grocery retailers) looking for opportunities in the region with a clear country-comparative assessment of a market’s risks and potential rewards. Each of the country markets are scored using a sophisticated model that includes more than 40 industry, economic and demographic points. These provide indices of highest to lowest appeal to investors, with each position explained.

Food Forecasts

BMI’s food chapter is divided into sections such as meat, fish, confectionary, dairy and canned foods, and provides insight into each market’s food industry, centred on a forecast to end-2019 for the sector. The chapter includes the following elements:

  • Industry Forecast Scenario: Historical data series and a forecast to end-2019 for growth of key indicators within a market’s food industry. Indicators include food consumption, food consumption as % of GDP, canned food sales, confectionery sales and food and drink imports and exports, among others.
  • Industry Developments: A summary of corporate developments, including news on M&As, FDI, expansions, closures and financial results, in addition to analysis and explanation of the latest industry events and how these could influence further investment.
  • Market Overview: An overview of the structure of the market, introducing the key players and discussing underlying trends.

Drink Forecasts

Segmented the same way as BMI’s food chapter, the drink section provides insight into each market’s drink industry, centred on a forecast to end-2019 for the sector. Forecast indicators include alcoholic and soft drink sales by value, volume and sub-sector and tea and coffee sales, among others.

Mass Grocery Retail Forecasts

Segmented the same way as BMI’s food and drink chapters, the mass grocery retail section provides insight into each market’s grocery retail industry, centred on a forecast to end-2019 for the sector. Forecast indicators include mass grocery retail sales by format (including supermarkets, hypermarkets, convenience and discount stores) and a breakdown of the organised retail sector versus the traditional sector, among others.

Competitive Landscape

Illustration of the mass grocery retail and food and drink industries via rankings tables comparing revenues, number of outlets and number of employees. This chapter also includes data-rich, in-depth regional analysis of the market position, business strategies and investment potential of the region’s leading mass grocery retail and food and drink operators.

Company Profiles*

Examines the competitive positioning and short- to medium-term business strategies of key industry players. Strategy is examined within the context of BMI’s industry forecasts, our macroeconomic views and our understanding of the wider competitive landscape to generate company SWOT analyses. The latest financial and operating statistics and key company developments are also incorporated within the company profiles, enabling a full evaluation of recent company performance and future growth prospects.

Sources

The Food & Drink reports draw on an extensive network primary sources, such as multilateral organisations, government departments, industry associations, chambers and company reports.

*Company profiles are not available for every country. Those reports instead contain information on the current activities of prominent companies operating in the market.

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