Poland Renewables Report

Published 28 January 2015

  • 42 pages
  • Instant access to your report online and PDF format through your account library
  • Includes 3 free updated quarterly reports
 
$1,295.00
Poland Renewables Report

BMI View: Poland's reluctance to adopt stringent EU emissions targets for 2030 sends warning signals to potential investors in the country's renewables industry. Poland's wavering support for renewable energy and - by extension - the uncertain regulatory environment has long been a key concern, undermining the long-term growth prospects of the sector. This uncertainty is reflected in what was believed to be, in April 2014 the final approval by the Polish government of the RES law: on the contrary, in October 2014, the Ministry of the Economy submitted to parliament a set of additional proposed amendments currently under discussion leading to another slippage in the law's final parliamentary approval.

Poland aims to derive 15% of its energy production from renewable sources by 2020, and we expect the wind and biomass segments to drive growth in the renewables industry. However, Poland remains at odds with the European Commission (EC) amid concerns that implementing green energy policies will destroy Poland's coal mining industry and harm the economy. We did not expect the approach to EU energy policy to change under new Prime Minister Ewa Kopacz, who has adopted a similar tone to her predecessor Donald Tusk (now President of the European Council). In fact, in her first speech to parliament on October 1, Kopacz reiterated the strategic importance of coal and stated that she would not condone any policy that risked spiking electricity prices. Clearly, this indicated that Poland would maintain its broad opposition to EU 2030 energy and climate targets when member states met to discuss them at the end of October 2014. As we expected, during the summit Poland was granted major concessions and will continue to receive free carbon trading permits under the European Emissions Trading Scheme (ETS) - enabling the country to continue burning cheap coal to keep electricity prices relatively low. This is no surprise; coal-fired generation accounts for 82% of total...

Table of Contents

BMI Industry View
5
SWOT
6
Industry Forecast
8
Poland Renewables Forecast Scenario
8
Table: Poland Total Electricity Generation Data & Forecasts, 2012-2017
8
Table: Poland Total Electricity Generation Long-Term Forecasts, 2018-2023
9
Table: Poland Electricity Generating Capacity Data & Forecasts, 2012-2017
11
Table: Poland Electricity Generating Capacity Long-Term Forecasts, 2018-2023
12
Poland Renewables Projects Database
21
Table: Poland Key Projects - Renewables
21
Industry Risk/Reward Ratings
22
Poland Renewables Risk/Reward Ratings
22
Rewards
22
Risks
23
Market Overview
24
Sustainable Energy Policy and Infrastructure
24
Targets (Renewables And Emissions)
24
Subsidies
25
Infrastructure
26
Competitive Landscape
27
Tauron Polska Energia
27
PGE/PSE
27
ENEA
28
Energa
28
RWE/STOEN
28
Glossary
30
Table: Glossary Of Terms
30
Methodology
31
Methodology And Sources
31
Industry Forecast Methodology
31
Sources
33
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
33
Table: Renewables Risk/Reward Index Indicators
35
Table: Weighting Indicators
37

The Poland Renewables Report researched at source contains BMI Research's assessment of the current renewables market in Poland. The report also contains historical data together with forecasts to end-2018 covering electricity generation (TWh) and electricity capacity (MW).

The renewables sectors covered in the report include Wind, Solar, Geothermal, Tidal and Wave, and Biomass (See Table of Contents for exact coverage). The report also features details on government green energy agendas and funding opportunities, as well as presenting a detailed list of key renewables projects currently being planned or undertaken in Poland, their capacity, the timeframe of construction and their current status.

The report discusses the various energy policies currently in force, including targets, subsidies and the relevant infrastructure developments or limitations which might impact on renewables growth, analysing the potential effects of regulatory changes in conjunction with the background macroeconomic outlook. Finally, there is a general overview of the competitive landscape in Poland, together with a detailed summary of the main utilities and manufacturers present and their business operations.

BMI's Poland Renewables Report provides industry professionals and strategists, sector analysts, investors, trade associations and regulatory bodies with unique independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the Poland renewables industry.

Key Benefits

  • Benchmark BMI's independent renewables industry forecasts for Poland to test other views - a key input for successful budgeting and planning in the renewables market.
  • Target business opportunities and risks in the Poland renewables sector through our reviews of latest industry trends, regulatory changes and major deals, projects and investments in the country.

Coverage

BMI Industry View

Summary of BMI's key industry forecasts, views and trend analysis covering the renewables market in Poland, regulatory changes, major investments and projects and significant multinational and national company developments.

Industry SWOT Analysis

Analysis of the major Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats within the renewables sector and within the broader political, economic and business environment.

BMI Industry Forecasts

Historic data series (2010-2012) and forecasts to end-2018 for electricity generation (TWh) and electricity generating capacity (MW) for each individual renewables sector present in the country.

These in turn are broken down into:

Electricity Generation: Overall capacity (TWh), growth % change year-on-year, KWh per capita, % of Total Non-Hydropower renewables generation, % of total electricity generation.

Electricity Capacity: Overall capacity (MW), growth % change year-on-year, % of non-hydroelectric renewables capacity and % of total capacity.

These forecasts are in turn supported by explicit assumptions, in conjunction with analysis of the key risks to the main forecast.

Business Environment Rankings

BMI's Renewables Business Environment Rankings provide fully comparable Risk-Reward Rankings aimed at investors in the regional renewables market.

The rankings methodology makes sophisticated use of various industry, economic and demographic data point.

secure
Benefit from discounts when you add multiple products to your basket
2 Products SAVE 10%
3 Products SAVE 15%
4 Products SAVE 20%
5 Products SAVE 25%
6 Products SAVE 30%
7 - 20 Products SAVE 35%
21 Products or more SAVE 40%

Testimonials

'An essential, multi-faceted research tool. BMI’s thorough understanding of the major market players enables an informed – and informative – review of the sector’s actual performance, together with useful insights into current industry issues, which are topped-off with detailed and invaluable forecasts of industry and macroeconomic trends.’

Senior Research Analyst, ABC International Bank plc