Poland Renewables Report

Providing expert analysis, independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the Renewables industry.

Report includes: BMI Industry View, Industry SWOT Analysis, BMI Industry Forecast, BM's Renewables Risk Reward Index, Market Overview, Business Environment Rankings and Competitive Landscape.

Why you should buy this report

  • Benchmark BMI's independent renewables industry forecasts to test other views
  • Understand the threats to your operations and investments and protect your company against future risks
  • Gain insight on emerging trends that could support, strengthen or disrupt your activities in the market
  • Get a full view of the competitive landscape to assess your market position.
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Poland Renewables Report
Product Price
$1,295.00

Latest Updates and Structural Trends

  • We maintain our forecast that non-hydro renewables' contribution to Poland's total electricity generation mix will remain fairly limited, rising from 14% in 2014 to 18% in 2024.

  • Biomass sector will remain the largest generator of renewable energy in Poland, accounting for 58% of the total non-hydro renewables generation in 2024 (down from 65% in 2014).

  • We believe that Poland's largest opposition party, Law and Justice (PiS) will be best positioned to form the next Polish government following the October 2015 parliamentary election. The party's hostility to wind power would prompt a downwards revision to our wind power forecasts, should it be successful in forming a government.

  • The introduction of a competitive bidding system in 2016 will raise the threshold for entry into the wind sector, slowing down wind growth as Poland cuts its incentives for wind.

Renewables Headline Forecasts (Poland 2014-2024)
2014e 2015f 2016f 2017f 2018f 2019f 2020f 2021f 2022f 2023f 2024f
e/f = BMI estimate/forecast. Source: National Sources/BMI
Generation, Non-Hydropower Renewables, TWh 20.896 22.106 23.561 24.899 26.346 27.749 29.084 30.267 31.307 32.524 33.933
Generation, Non-Hydropower Renewables, % y-o-y 6.149 5.787 6.582 5.681 5.810 5.325 4.813 4.068 3.437 3.886 4.333
Capacity, Non-Hydroelectric Renewables, MW 4,400.8 4,842.6 5,253.0 5,605.9 6,078.9 6,581.9 7,122.2 7,422.7 7,717.5 8,027.3 8,353.9
Capacity, Non-Hydroelectric Renewables, % y-o-y 12.8 10.0 8.5 6.7 8.4 8.3 8.2 4.2 4.0 4.0 4.1
BMI Industry View
7
Table: Renewables Headline Forecasts (Poland 2014-2024)
7
SWOT
8
Industry Forecast
10
Poland Renewables Forecast Scenario
10
Latest Updates
10
Structural Trends
10
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Poland 2013-2018)
18
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Poland 2019-2024)
19
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Poland 2013-2018)
20
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Poland 2019-2024)
21
Poland Renewables Projects Database
22
Table: Poland - Top 10 Renewables Projects By Capacity (MW)
22
Industry Risk/Reward Index
23
Poland Renewables Risk/Reward Index
23
Rewards
23
Risks
24
Market Overview
25
Sustainable Energy Policy and Infrastructure
25
Targets
25
Subsidies
26
Infrastructure
27
Competitive Landscape
28
Tauron Polska Energia
29
PGE/PSE
29
ENEA
30
Energa
30
RWE/STOEN
31
Glossary
32
Table: Glossary Of Terms
32
Methodology
33
Methodology And Sources
33
Industry Forecast Methodology
33
Sources
35
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
35
Table: Renewables Risk/Reward Index Indicators
37
Table: Weighting Indicators
38

The Poland Renewables Report researched at source contains BMI Research's assessment of the current renewables market in Poland. The report also contains historical data together with forecasts to end-2018 covering electricity generation (TWh) and electricity capacity (MW).

The renewables sectors covered in the report include Wind, Solar, Geothermal, Tidal and Wave, and Biomass (See Table of Contents for exact coverage). The report also features details on government green energy agendas and funding opportunities, as well as presenting a detailed list of key renewables projects currently being planned or undertaken in Poland, their capacity, the timeframe of construction and their current status.

The report discusses the various energy policies currently in force, including targets, subsidies and the relevant infrastructure developments or limitations which might impact on renewables growth, analysing the potential effects of regulatory changes in conjunction with the background macroeconomic outlook. Finally, there is a general overview of the competitive landscape in Poland, together with a detailed summary of the main utilities and manufacturers present and their business operations.

BMI's Poland Renewables Report provides industry professionals and strategists, sector analysts, investors, trade associations and regulatory bodies with unique independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the Poland renewables industry.

Key Benefits

  • Benchmark BMI's independent renewables industry forecasts for Poland to test other views - a key input for successful budgeting and planning in the renewables market.
  • Target business opportunities and risks in the Poland renewables sector through our reviews of latest industry trends, regulatory changes and major deals, projects and investments in the country.

Coverage

BMI Industry View

Summary of BMI's key industry forecasts, views and trend analysis covering the renewables market in Poland, regulatory changes, major investments and projects and significant multinational and national company developments.

Industry SWOT Analysis

Analysis of the major Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats within the renewables sector and within the broader political, economic and business environment.

BMI Industry Forecasts

Historic data series (2010-2012) and forecasts to end-2018 for electricity generation (TWh) and electricity generating capacity (MW) for each individual renewables sector present in the country.

These in turn are broken down into:

Electricity Generation: Overall capacity (TWh), growth % change year-on-year, KWh per capita, % of Total Non-Hydropower renewables generation, % of total electricity generation.

Electricity Capacity: Overall capacity (MW), growth % change year-on-year, % of non-hydroelectric renewables capacity and % of total capacity.

These forecasts are in turn supported by explicit assumptions, in conjunction with analysis of the key risks to the main forecast.

Business Environment Rankings

BMI's Renewables Business Environment Rankings provide fully comparable Risk-Reward Rankings aimed at investors in the regional renewables market.

The rankings methodology makes sophisticated use of various industry, economic and demographic data point.