BMI View: In 2015 , Qatar's mobile market continued to experience robust growth, outperforming our initial forecasts. Key factors contributing to the expanding subscriber base include the growth of the migrant population, which is associated with major infrastructure and economic development projects - including those related to the upcoming 2022 FIFA World Cup. Although positive subscriber growth will continue for the duration of our forecast, we expect it slow significantly in the later forecast years. Qatar's telecoms market benefits from a wealthy population and this drives demand for advanced data services. High ARPU is underpinned by the uptake of LTE and fibre services in the country, as well as multiple-SIM ownership through multiple-device ownership (smartphone, tablet, dongle) .
Latest Updates & Industry Developments
Qatar's mobile subscriber base expanded by 9.7% in 2015. This was down only slightly from the growth of 10.8% recorded in 2014. Growth was fuelled by a variety of social and economic factors, including continued migrant worker growth and infrastructure projects related to the upcoming 2022 FIFA World Cup. We now estimate that the market will end 2016 with 4.86mn mobile subscribers, rising to 5.42mn at the end of our forecast period in 2020.
We maintain our prediction that broadband subscriber numbers will grow steadily from an estimated 527,000 at the end of 2015 to more than 803,000 by the end of 2020. This will be equivalent to a penetration rate of 32.7%, up from 23.6% in 2015.
Qatar ranks third in BMI's latest Risk/Reward Index for the Middle East and North Africa, with a score of 60.3 compared to a regional average of 46.2. The primary economic threat for Qatar is lower energy prices. With the economy reliant on oil and gas exports, the ongoing slump in global energy prices could eventually pose downside risks to the country's growth outlook.
|Robust Mobile Market Growth Set To Decelerate|
|Qatar - Mobile Market Forecast 2013-2020|
|Source: Vodafone, Ooredo o , BMI|
The Qatar Telecommunications Report features BMI Research's independent industry forecasts on the future strength of Qatar's ICT market, covering the fixed-line, mobile and internet segments and analyses latest regulatory developments and corporate news, including investment activity, mergers and acquisitions, joint ventures and partnerships. Leading operators and manufacturers are fully profiled, highlighting their quarterly financial performance, capital expenditure plans and latest contracts.
BMI's Qatar Telecommunications Report provides industry professionals and researchers, operators, equipment suppliers and vendors, corporate and financial services analysts and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the telecoms industry in Qatar.
- Benchmark BMI's independent telecoms industry forecasts for Qatar to test other views - a key input for successful budgeting and strategic business planning in the Qatari telecoms market.
- Target business opportunities and risks in Qatar's telecoms sector through our reviews of latest industry trends, regulatory changes and major deals, projects and investments in Qatar.
- Assess the activities, strategy and market position of your competitors, partners and clients via our Company Profiles (inc. SWOTs, KPIs and latest activity).
BMI Industry View
Summary of BMI’s key industry forecasts and views, covering the ARPU, fixed-line, mobile (including 3G & 4G), internet and broadband markets.
Industry SWOT Analysis
Analysis of the major Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats within the wireline and wireless sectors and within the broader political, economic and business environment.
BMI Industry Forecast Scenario
Historic data series (2010-2013) and forecasts to end-2019 for all key industry indicators, supported by explicit assumptions, plus analysis of key downside risks to the main forecast.
- Fixed-line Telephony – Telephone lines (‘000); telephone lines/100 inhabitants.
- Cellular Telephony – Mobile phone subscribers (‘000); mobile phone subscribers/100 inhabitants; and where available, 3G & 4G subscribers (‘000); 3G & 4G subscribers/100 inhabitants; 3G & 4G subscribers as a percentage of overall mobile market.
- Internet Markets – Internet users (‘000); internet users/100 inhabitants; broadband internet subscribers (‘000); broadband internet subscribers/100 inhabitants.
BMI’s Telecommunications Risk Reward Index
BMI’s Risk Reward Indices provide investors (vendors, operators and suppliers) looking for opportunities in the region with a clear country comparative assessment of a market’s risks and potential rewards. Each of the country markets are scored using a sophisticated model that includes more than 40 industry, economic and demographic data points to provide an Indices of highest to lowest appeal to investors, with each position explained.
Market Data Analysis
Detailed market analysis of the mobile, mobile content, fixed-line and internet segments, broken down into:
- Market Data – Analysis of market size, operator shares, dominant trends, competitive landscape and key quarterly data.
- Technology/Service Rollout – Analysis of rollout/adoption of new technology, such as 3G & 4G, WiMAX, IPTV, pay-TV, LTE and valueadded handset services (gaming, music, video, apps etc.).
- Mobile Content – The latest trends in content and services available and being introduced by mobile operators, including a timeline of all the latest major mobile content developments.
Company Database – A comprehensive breakdown of KPIs of the leading mobile operators, including subscriber figures by type (pre-paid and post-paid); 3G & 4G subscriber figures; net additions; market share; ARPU; churn rates; minutes of use; voice and non-voice revenue; financial figures (including operating revenues, net profits and EBITDA).
Details of the regulatory bodies and their responsibilities, as well as a special focus on the rules surrounding competition and interconnection. Also covers the latest updates in the market’s development and regulatory rulings.
Examines the competitive positioning and short- to medium-term business strategies of key industry players. Strategy is examined within the context of BMI’s industry forecasts, our macroeconomic views and our understanding of the wider competitive landscape to generate Company SWOT analyses. The latest financial and operating statistics and key company developments are also incorporated within the company profiles, enabling a full evaluation of recent company performance and future growth prospects.
The Telecommunications Reports draw on an extensive network of primary sources, such as multilateral organisations, government departments, industry associations, chambers and company reports.
*Company profiles are not available for every country. Those reports instead contain information on the current activities of prominent companies operating in the market.