Romania Commercial Banking Report

Published 30 June 2015

  • 69 pages
  • Instant access to your report online and PDF format through your account library
  • Includes 3 free updated quarterly reports
$1,295.00
Romania Commercial Banking Report
Commercial Banking Sector Indicators
Date Total assets Client loans Bond portfolio Other Liabilities and capital Capital Client deposits Other
Source: BMI; Central banks; Regulators
April 2014, RONbn 399.4 286.4 73.3 39.7 399.4 80.8 301.4 17.2
April 2015, RONbn 400.9 282.8 77.6 40.5 400.9 74.5 308.6 17.8
% change y-o-y 0.4% -1.3% 6.0% 1.9% 0.4% -7.7% 2.4% 3.5%
April 2014, USDbn 124.8 89.5 22.9 12.4 124.8 25.2 94.2 5.4
April 2015, USDbn 101.8 71.8 19.7 10.3 101.8 18.9 78.4 4.5
% change y-o-y -18.4% -19.7% -13.8% -17.2% -18.4% -25.0% -16.8% -15.8%
Commercial Banking Sector Key Ratios, April 2015
Loan/deposit ratio Loan/asset ratio Loan/GDP ratio GDP Per Capita, USD Deposits per capita, USD
Source: BMI; Central banks; Regulators
91.65% 70.54% 42.6% 7,962.9 3,625.9
Rising Rising Rising n.a. n.a.
Annual Growth Rate Projections 2014-2019 (%)
Assets Loans Deposits
Source: BMI; Central banks; Regulators
Annual Growth Rate 9 9 8
CAGR 7 7 6
Ranking 44 44 49
Ranking Out Of 73 Countries Reviewed In 2015
Loan/deposit ratio Loan/asset ratio Loan/GDP ratio
Source: BMI; Central banks; Regulators
38 8 51
Local currency asset growth Local currency loan growth Local currency deposit growth
55 57 59
Commercial Banking Sector Indicators, 2012-2019
2012 2013 2014 2015f 2016f 2017f 2018f 2019f
e/f = estimate/forecast. Source: BMI; Central banks; Regulators
Total assets, RONbn 404.8 408.5 405.5 420.1 441.1 474.2 516.9 563.4
Total assets, USDbn 120.2 125.8 109.5 93.8 105.4 116.2 131.5 147.6...
BMI Industry View
7
Table: Commercial Banking Sector Indicators
7
Table: Commercial Banking Sector Key Ratios, April 2015
7
Table: Annual Growth Rate Projections 2014-2019 (%)
7
Table: Ranking Out Of 73 Countries Reviewed In 2015
8
Table: Commercial Banking Sector Indicators, 2012-2019
8
SWOT
9
Commercial Banking
9
Political
10
Economic
11
Operational Risk
12
Industry Forecast
14
Industry Risk Reward Ratings
21
Emerging Europe Commercial Banking Risk/Reward Index
21
Table: Emerging Europe Commercial Banking Risk/Reward Index
22
Market Overview
23
Emerging Europe Commercial Banking Outlook
23
Table: Banks' Bond Portfolios, 2013
23
Table: Comparison Of Loan/Deposit & Loan/Asset & Loan/GDP Ratios, 2015
24
Table: Comparison Of Total Assets & Client Loans & Client Deposits (USDbn)
25
Table: Comparison Of USD Per Capita Deposits, 2015
26
Economic Analysis
27
Table: Economic Activity (Romania 2010-2019)
34
Table: Real GDP By Expenditure Breakdown
34
Competitive Landscape
35
Market Structure
35
Protagonists
35
Table: Protagonists In Romania's Commercial Banking Sector
35
Definition Of The Commercial Banking Universe
35
List of Banks
36
Table: Banks within Romania
36
Company Profile
38
Banca Comerciala Romana
38
Table: Stock Market Indicators
39
Table: Balance Sheet (RONmn)
40
Table: Balance Sheet (USDmn)
40
Table: Key Ratios (%)
40
Banca Transilvania
41
Table: Stock Market Indicators
42
Table: Balance Sheet (RONmn)
43
Table: Balance Sheet (USDmn)
43
Table: Key Ratios (%)
43
Bancpost
44
BRD-Groupe Soci-t- G-n-rale
46
Table: Stock Market Indicators
47
Table: Balance Sheet (RONmn)
48
Table: Balance Sheet (USDmn)
48
Table: Key Ratios (%)
48
Raiffeisen Bank
49
Regional Overview
51
Industry Forecast
51
Elevated Risk:
51
Declining Risk:
53
Limited Risk:
54
Global Industry Overview
55
Global Commercial Banking Outlook
55
US And Eurozone Banking Outlook
55
Emerging Market Regional Outlooks
56
Demographic Forecast
60
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Romania 1990-2025)
61
Table: Key Population Ratios (Romania 1990-2025)
61
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Romania 1990-2025)
62
Table: Population By Age Group (Romania 1990-2025)
62
Table: Population By Age Group % (Romania 1990-2025)
63
Methodology
65
Industry Forecast Methodology
65
Sector-Specific Methodology
66
Risk/Reward Ratings Methodology
67
Table: Commercial Banking Risk/Reward Rating Indicators
68
Table: Weighting Of Indicators
69

The Romania Commercial Banking Report has been researched at source and features BMI Research's independent assessment and forecasts for the commercial banking sector in Romania. It examines key drivers of growth and future prospects, including the macroeconomic situation, the level of development and potential for growth of the banking sector, the commercial initiatives of major players, government policy and the regulatory environment. Leading banks are profiled, covering total assets, liabilities, client deposits, lending, bond holdings, main products and services, competitive positioning and ownership structure.

BMI's Romania Commercial Banking Report provides industry professionals and strategists, sector analysts, business investors, trade associations and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the commercial banking industry in Romania.

Key Benefits

  • Benchmark BMI's independent commercial banking industry forecasts for Romania to test other views - a key input for successful budgeting and strategic business planning in the Romanian commercial banking market.
  • Target business opportunities and risks in Romania through our reviews of latest industry trends, regulatory changes, and major deals, investments and macroeconomic developments.
  • Exploit latest competitive intelligence on your competitors, partners and clients via our Company Profiles (inc. SWOTs, KPIs and latest activity) and Competitive Landscape Analysis.

Coverage

BMI Industry View

Key insights into the commercial banking market, covering industry trends, key players and the regulatory environment, plus snapshots of assets, liabilities, client loans and client deposits in local currency and USD.

Industry SWOT Analysis

Analysis of the major strengths, weaknesses, opportunities and threats within the commercial banking sector and within the broader political, economic and business environment.

BMI’s Commercial Banking Risk Reward Index

BMI’s Risk Reward Index provides investors and participants looking for opportunities in the region with a clear country-comparative assessment of a market’s risks and potential rewards. Each of the country markets are scored using a sophisticated model that includes more than 40 industry, economic and demographic points. These provide indices of highest to lowest appeal to investors, with each position explained.

Global, Regional and Country Industry Overviews

In-depth analysis of the major global and regional developments in the market, which can be linked with the country industry overview, providing cross-country investment, product and financing trends that will affect each market, supported by BMI’s global and regional industry forecasts.

BMI Economic Forecasts

BMI forecasts to end-2019 for all headline macroeconomic indicators, including real GDP growth, inflation, fiscal balance, trade balance, current account and external debt.

  • Competitive Landscape Market Data: Analysis of market size, dominant trends, competitive landscape and key annual and quarterly data.
  • Company Database: A comprehensive breakdown of KPIs of the leading commercial banks, including assets and liabilities, client loans, client deposits, capital, bond holdings, loan-deposit ratio, tier 1 capital, return on assets, earnings per share and market capitalisation.

Company Profiles and SWOTs

Examines the competitive positioning and short- to medium-term business strategies of key industry players. Strategy is examined within the context of BMI’s industry forecasts, our macroeconomic views and our understanding of the wider competitive landscape to generate company SWOT analyses.

The latest financial and operating statistics and key company developments are also incorporated within the company profiles, enabling a full evaluation of recent company performance and future growth prospects.

Sources

The Commercial Banking reports draw on a network of primary sources, such as multilateral organisations, government departments, industry associations, chambers and company reports.

*Company profiles are not available for every country. Those reports instead contain information on the current activities of prominent companies operating in the market.

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