Romania Commercial Banking Report

Providing expert analysis, independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the commercial banking industry.

Report includes: BMI Industry View, Industry SWOT Analysis, Commercial Banking Risk Reward Index, Economic Forecasts, Global, Regional and Country Industry Overviews and Company Profiles.

Why you should buy this report

  • Benefit from the latest market opportunities
  • Understand the threats to your operations and investments and protect your company against future risks
  • Gain insight on emerging trends that could support, strengthen or disrupt your activities in the market
  • Get a full view of the competitive landscape to assess your market position
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Romania Commercial Banking Report
Product Price
$1,295.00
Commercial Banking Sector Indicators
Date Total assets Client loans Bond portfolio Other Liabilities and capital Capital Client deposits Other
Source: BMI; Central banks; Regulators
July 2015, RONbn 471.5 208.7 75.7 187.1 471.5 73.4 307.2 90.9
July 2016, RONbn 512.2 210.9 81.9 219.3 512.2 68.2 324.7 119.4
% change y-o-y 8.6% 1.0% 8.3% 17.2% 8.6% -7.1% 5.7% 31.4%
July 2015, USDbn 117.5 52.0 18.9 46.6 117.5 18.3 76.6 22.6
July 2016, USDbn 128.3 52.8 20.5 55.0 128.3 17.1 81.3 29.9
% change y-o-y 9.2% 1.6% 8.9% 17.8% 9.2% -6.6% 6.2% 32.0%
Commercial Banking Sector Key Ratios, July 2016
Loan/deposit ratio Loan/asset ratio Loan/GDP ratio GDP Per Capita, USD Deposits per capita, USD
Source: BMI; Central banks; Regulators
64.95% 41.17% 29.34% 8,447.4 4,186.3
Rising Falling Falling na na
Annual Growth Rate Projections 2015-2020 (%)
Assets Loans Deposits
Source: BMI; Central banks; Regulators
Annual Growth Rate 9 5 8
CAGR 8 4 7
Ranking 34 52 41
Ranking Out Of 75 Countries Reviewed In 2016
Loan/deposit ratio Loan/asset ratio Loan/GDP ratio
Source: BMI; Central banks; Regulators
69 61 63
Local currency asset growth Local currency loan growth Local currency deposit growth
34 51 51
Commercial Banking Sector Indicators, 2013-2020
2013 2014 2015e 2016f 2017f 2018f 2019f 2020f
e/f = estimate/forecast. Source: BMI; Central banks; Regulators
Total assets, RONbn 476.6 482.8 496.4 531.1 568.3 613.8 662.9 724.7
Total assets, USDbn 147.1 130.3 119.3 118.0 133.7 171.3 178.7 191.6
Client loans, RONbn 215.6 207.6 212.8 219.2 227.9 239.3 251.3 263.9
Client loans, USDbn 66.5 56.0 51.2 48.7 53.6 66.8 67.8 69.7
Client deposits, RONbn 313.2 316.6 327.7 340.8 363.0 390.2 419.4 453.7
Client deposits, USDbn 96.7 85.5 78.8 75.7 85.4 108.9 113.1 119.9
BMI Industry View
7
Table: Commercial Banking Sector Indicators
7
Table: Commercial Banking Sector Key Ratios, January 2016
7
Table: Annual Growth Rate Projections 2015-2020 (%)
7
Table: Ranking Out Of 75 Countries Reviewed In 2016
8
Table: Commercial Banking Sector Indicators, 2013-2020
8
SWOT
9
Commercial Banking
9
Political
10
Economic
11
Operational Risk
12
Industry Forecast
14
Commercial Banking Risk/Reward Index
18
Emerging Europe Commercial Banking Risk/Reward Index
18
Table: Emerging Europe Commercial Banking Risk/Reward Index
19
Market Overview
20
Economic Analysis
20
Emerging Europe Commercial Banking Outlook
25
Table: Banks' Bond Portfolios, 2014
25
Table: Comparison Of Loan/Deposit & Loan/Asset & Loan/GDP Ratios, 2016
26
Table: Comparison Of Total Assets & Client Loans & Client Deposits (USDbn)
27
Table: Comparison Of USD Per Capita Deposits, 2016
28
Competitive Landscape
29
Market Structure
29
Protagonists
29
Table: Protagonists In Romania's Commercial Banking Sector
29
Definition Of The Commercial Banking Universe
29
List Of Banks
30
Table: Banks Within Romania
30
Company Profile
32
Banca Comerciala Romana
32
Table: Stock Market Indicators
33
Table: Balance Sheet (RONmn)
34
Table: Balance Sheet (USDmn)
34
Table: Key Ratios (%)
34
Banca Transilvania
35
Table: Stock Market Indicators
36
Table: Balance Sheet (RONmn)
37
Table: Balance Sheet (USDmn)
37
Table: Key Ratios (%)
37
Bancpost
38
BRD-Groupe Soci-t- G-n-rale
40
Table: Stock Market Indicators
41
Table: Balance Sheet (RONmn)
42
Table: Balance Sheet (USDmn)
42
Table: Key Ratios (%)
42
Raiffeisen Bank
43
Regional Overview
45
Emerging Europe Overview
45
Global Industry Overview
52
Industry Forecast
52
The Reserves Penalty
52
Mixed Results So Far
55
Not Far Enough, Or Too Far Already-
60
In The End, Negative Rates Unlikely To Become Much More Prevalent
61
Table: Negative Interest Rates - Summary
63
Demographic Forecast
64
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Romania 1990-2025)
65
Table: Key Population Ratios (Romania 1990-2025)
65
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Romania 1990-2025)
66
Table: Population By Age Group (Romania 1990-2025)
66
Table: Population By Age Group % (Romania 1990-2025)
67
Methodology
69
Industry Forecast Methodology
69
Sector-Specific Methodology
70
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
71
Table: Commercial Banking Risk/Reward Index Indicators
72
Table: Weighting Of Indicators
73

The Romania Commercial Banking Report has been researched at source and features BMI Research's independent assessment and forecasts for the commercial banking sector in Romania. It examines key drivers of growth and future prospects, including the macroeconomic situation, the level of development and potential for growth of the banking sector, the commercial initiatives of major players, government policy and the regulatory environment. Leading banks are profiled, covering total assets, liabilities, client deposits, lending, bond holdings, main products and services, competitive positioning and ownership structure.

BMI's Romania Commercial Banking Report provides industry professionals and strategists, sector analysts, business investors, trade associations and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the commercial banking industry in Romania.

Key Benefits

  • Benchmark BMI's independent commercial banking industry forecasts for Romania to test other views - a key input for successful budgeting and strategic business planning in the Romanian commercial banking market.
  • Target business opportunities and risks in Romania through our reviews of latest industry trends, regulatory changes, and major deals, investments and macroeconomic developments.
  • Exploit latest competitive intelligence on your competitors, partners and clients via our Company Profiles (inc. SWOTs, KPIs and latest activity) and Competitive Landscape Analysis.

Coverage

BMI Industry View

Key insights into the commercial banking market, covering industry trends, key players and the regulatory environment, plus snapshots of assets, liabilities, client loans and client deposits in local currency and USD.

Industry SWOT Analysis

Analysis of the major strengths, weaknesses, opportunities and threats within the commercial banking sector and within the broader political, economic and business environment.

BMI’s Commercial Banking Risk Reward Index

BMI’s Risk Reward Index provides investors and participants looking for opportunities in the region with a clear country-comparative assessment of a market’s risks and potential rewards. Each of the country markets are scored using a sophisticated model that includes more than 40 industry, economic and demographic points. These provide indices of highest to lowest appeal to investors, with each position explained.

Global, Regional and Country Industry Overviews

In-depth analysis of the major global and regional developments in the market, which can be linked with the country industry overview, providing cross-country investment, product and financing trends that will affect each market, supported by BMI’s global and regional industry forecasts.

BMI Economic Forecasts

BMI forecasts to end-2019 for all headline macroeconomic indicators, including real GDP growth, inflation, fiscal balance, trade balance, current account and external debt.

  • Competitive Landscape Market Data: Analysis of market size, dominant trends, competitive landscape and key annual and quarterly data.
  • Company Database: A comprehensive breakdown of KPIs of the leading commercial banks, including assets and liabilities, client loans, client deposits, capital, bond holdings, loan-deposit ratio, tier 1 capital, return on assets, earnings per share and market capitalisation.

Company Profiles and SWOTs

Examines the competitive positioning and short- to medium-term business strategies of key industry players. Strategy is examined within the context of BMI’s industry forecasts, our macroeconomic views and our understanding of the wider competitive landscape to generate company SWOT analyses.

The latest financial and operating statistics and key company developments are also incorporated within the company profiles, enabling a full evaluation of recent company performance and future growth prospects.

Sources

The Commercial Banking reports draw on a network of primary sources, such as multilateral organisations, government departments, industry associations, chambers and company reports.

*Company profiles are not available for every country. Those reports instead contain information on the current activities of prominent companies operating in the market.