Russia Country Risk Report

Providing comprehensive data and in-depth analysis of political, financial and economic risk.

Report includes: BMI's Core Views, 10-year Forecasts, BMI's Economic Risk Index, Political Stability and Risk Index, Long-term Political Outlook, Operational Risk Index, SWOT Analysis and Structural Economic Sections

Why you should buy this report

  • Understand and measure the political, business environment and operational risks to your company
  • Gain insight on emerging trends that could support, strengthen or disrupt your activities in the market
  • Benefit from 10-year macroeconomic forecasts and insight into the structural characteristics of the economy
  • Get the long-term political outlook and explore possible scenarios for change
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Russia Country Risk Report
Product Price
$1,245.00

Assess your risk exposure in Russia with our 100% independent forecasts assessing the pace and stability of this key market. Backed by trusted data from BMI Research's 52 million data point economic forecast model, this report will allow you to measure political, economic, business environment and operational risks in Russia with confidence.

Your subscription service includes:

  • Delivery of the report in print and PDF
  • Online access for 12 months
  • The functionality to translate your online report into your choice of 10 languages - Arabic, Chinese, French, German, Italian, Japanese, Korean, Portuguese, Russian and Spanish
  • The ability to export data and graphs from the online report directly into your workflow
  • The support of a dedicated Account Manager to answer any questions you might have about your subscription
  • Access to our team of leading analysts who will be happy to answer any questions you might have about the data and forecasts included in this report
Executive Summary
5
Core Views
5
Major Forecast Changes
5
Key Risks
5
Chapter 1: Economic Outlook
7
SWOT Analysis
7
BMI Economic Risk Index
7
Economic Growth Outlook
8
Recovery Taking Hold But Upside Limited By Lack Of Reform
8
GDP By Expenditure Outlook
10
TABLE: GDP GROWTH FORECASTS
10
TABLE: PRIVATE CONSUMPTION FORECASTS
11
TABLE: GOVERNMENT CONSUMPTION FORECASTS
11
TABLE: FIXED INVESTMENT FORECASTS
11
TABLE: NET EXPORTS FORECASTS
11
Fiscal Policy And Public Debt Outlook
12
Progress Towards Fiscal Consolidation
12
Structural Fiscal Position
13
TABLE: MAIN REVENUE & EXPENDITURE CATEGORIES
14
TABLE: FISCAL AND PUBLIC DEBT FORECASTS
14
External Trade And Investment Outlook
15
Strong External Position Despite Rising Uncertainty
15
Outlook On External Position
17
TABLE: CAPITAL & FINANCIAL ACCOUNT BALANCE
17
TABLE: CURRENT ACCOUNT BALANCE FORECASTS
18
TABLE: TOP FIVE GOODS IMPORTS
18
TABLE: TOP FIVE GOODS EXPORTS
18
Currency Forecast
19
RUB: Strong Fundamentals, But Upside Limited
19
TABLE: BMI CURRENCY FORECAST
20
Monetary Policy
22
CBR's Hawkish Policy Not Enough To Hit Inflation Target
22
Monetary Policy Framework
23
TABLE: MONETARY POLICY FORECASTS
23
Chapter 2: 10-Year Forecast
25
The Russian Economy To 2025
25
Long-Term Economic Stagnation Without Reforms
25
TABLE: LONG-TERM MACROECONOMIC FORECASTS
25
Chapter 3: Political Outlook
29
SWOT Analysis
29
BMI Political Risk Index
29
Domestic Politics
30
Focus To Shift To 2018 Presidential Election
30
TABLE: POLITICAL OVERVIEW
30
Foreign Policy
31
Trump Presidency: Implications For Russia And NATO
31
Long-Term Political Outlook
33
Putin Facing Far Greater Challenges Over 2017-2026
33
Chapter 4: Operational Risk
37
Operational Risk
37
TABLE: OPERATIONAL RISK
37
Business Crime
38
TABLE: BUSINESS RESPONSE TO RISK IN RUSSIA
39
Government Intervention
41
TABLE: BUSINESS TAXES
42
Chapter 5: BMI Global Macro Outlook
47
Global Macro Outlook
47
Austerity Has Peaked, But Populism Is Not Yet Policy
47
TABLE: GLOBAL ASSUMPTIONS
47
TABLE: DEVELOPED STATES, REAL GDP GROWTH, %
48
TABLE: EMERGING MARKETS, REAL GDP GROWTH, %
49
TABLE: MACROECONOMIC DATA & FORECASTS
51