Slovakia Telecommunications Report

Published 28 January 2015

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Slovakia Telecommunications Report

Executive Summary

BMI View: The broadband sector is witnessing strong growth on the back of investments in next generation wireless and wireline networks and the demand for multiplay services. This will lead to the outperformance of telecoms service providers offering convergence services in v o lume and value terms.

Key Data

  • The mobile sector grew by 1.3% in 9M14, compared to a contraction of 0.8% during the same period in 2013.

  • The market weighted average ARPU fell by 1.4% in 9M14.

  • The fixed-line sector contracted by 2.4% in H114.

  • Mobile and fixed broadband subscriptions grew by 4.2% and 3.7% respectively in H114.

Risk/Reward Ratings (RRRs)

Slovakia is in fourth position in BMI's Q115 RRR table. The country scores above the regional average in all four categories of ratings, although its best score is in the Industry Risks category which reflects steady progress towards the alignment of its telecoms policies with wider EU policies. Slovakia's lowest score is in the Industry Rewards category, where its favourable rating for relatively high ARPUs and strong subscriber mix is counterbalanced by weak subscriptions growth and declining EBITDA figures.

Key Trends

In January 2015, Slovakia's telecoms regulator, the Office for Electronic Communications & Postal Services (TU SR), launched an auction for three nationwide blocks of wireless broadband spectrum in the 3.5GHz band. The regulator is selling off two 8×5MHz blocks suitable for either frequency or time division duplexing (FDD or TDD) technology, plus one 4×5MHz TDD block. The first two blocks have a reserve price of EUR600,000 (USD695,000), while the TDD tranche has a reserve price of EUR300,000. Bidders are allowed to acquire a maximum of 40MHz, while the deadline for bids was set at February 18 2015.

Slovak Telekom (ST), which is part of the Deutsche Telekom (DT) group, completed its transition to an all-IP network, with all fixed services now offered via an IP platform, in December 2014....

BMI Industry View
7
SWOT
9
SWOT
11
Politics
13
Economic
14
Operational Risk
15
Industry Forecast
17
Mobile
17
Table: Telecoms Sector - Mobile - Historical Data & Forecasts (Slovakia 2011-2018)
17
Wireline
19
Table: Telecoms Sector - Wireline - Historical Data & Forecasts (Slovakia 2011-2018)
19
Industry Risk Reward Ratings
22
Table: Central & Eastern Europe Telecoms Risk/Reward Index, Q115
26
Market Overview
28
Mobile
28
Table: Regional Perspective
29
Table: Slovakia Mobile Market Overview
37
Table: Orange
38
Table: T-Mobile
39
Table: O2
40
Central And Eastern Europe Mobile Content
41
Wireline
45
Table: Fixed Broadband Connections By Technology
49
Industry Trends And Developments
55
Regulatory Development
56
Table: Regulatory Bodies And Their Responsibilities
56
Table: Allocation Results Of Spectrum Allocation, December 2013
60
Competitive Landscape
61
Table: Key Players - Slovakia Telecoms Market
61
Table: Selected Operators Financial Indicators
61
Company Profile
62
T-Com (Slovak Telecom)
62
Orange Slovakia
66
T-Mobile Slovakia
69
Regional Overview
72
Demographic Forecast
78
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Slovakia 1990-2025)
79
Table: Key Population Ratios (Slovakia 1990-2025)
79
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Slovakia 1990-2025)
80
Table: Population By Age Group (Slovakia 1990-2025)
80
Table: Population By Age Group % (Slovakia 1990-2025)
81
Glossary
83
Table: Glossary Of Terms
83
Methodology
85
Industry Forecast Methodology
85
Sources
87
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
87
Table: Risk/Reward Index Indicators
88
Table: Weighting Of Indicators
89

The Slovakia Telecommunications Report features BMI Research's independent industry forecasts on the future strength of Slovakia's ICT market, covering the fixed-line, mobile and internet segments and analyses latest regulatory developments and corporate news, including investment activity, mergers and acquisitions, joint ventures and partnerships. Leading operators and manufacturers are fully profiled, highlighting their quarterly financial performance, capital expenditure plans and latest contracts.

BMI's Slovakia Telecommunications Report provides industry professionals and researchers, operators, equipment suppliers and vendors, corporate and financial services analysts and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the telecoms industry in Slovakia.

Key Benefits

  • Benchmark BMI's independent telecoms industry forecasts for Slovakia to test other views - a key input for successful budgeting and strategic business planning in the Slovak telecoms market.
  • Target business opportunities and risks in Slovakia's telecoms sector through our reviews of latest industry trends, regulatory changes and major deals, projects and investments in Slovakia.
  • Assess the activities, strategy and market position of your competitors, partners and clients via our Company Profiles (inc. SWOTs, KPIs and latest activity).

Coverage

BMI Industry View

Summary of BMI’s key industry forecasts and views, covering the ARPU, fixed-line, mobile (including 3G & 4G), internet and broadband markets.

Industry SWOT Analysis

Analysis of the major Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats within the wireline and wireless sectors and within the broader political, economic and business environment.

BMI Industry Forecast Scenario

Historic data series (2010-2013) and forecasts to end-2019 for all key industry indicators, supported by explicit assumptions, plus analysis of key downside risks to the main forecast.

  • Fixed-line Telephony – Telephone lines (‘000); telephone lines/100 inhabitants.
  • Cellular Telephony – Mobile phone subscribers (‘000); mobile phone subscribers/100 inhabitants; and where available, 3G & 4G subscribers (‘000); 3G & 4G subscribers/100 inhabitants; 3G & 4G subscribers as a percentage of overall mobile market.
  • Internet Markets – Internet users (‘000); internet users/100 inhabitants; broadband internet subscribers (‘000); broadband internet subscribers/100 inhabitants.

BMI’s Telecommunications Risk Reward Index

BMI’s Risk Reward Indices provide investors (vendors, operators and suppliers) looking for opportunities in the region with a clear country comparative assessment of a market’s risks and potential rewards. Each of the country markets are scored using a sophisticated model that includes more than 40 industry, economic and demographic data points to provide an Indices of highest to lowest appeal to investors, with each position explained.

Market Data Analysis

Detailed market analysis of the mobile, mobile content, fixed-line and internet segments, broken down into:

  • Market Data – Analysis of market size, operator shares, dominant trends, competitive landscape and key quarterly data.
  • Technology/Service Rollout – Analysis of rollout/adoption of new technology, such as 3G & 4G, WiMAX, IPTV, pay-TV, LTE and valueadded handset services (gaming, music, video, apps etc.).
  • Mobile Content – The latest trends in content and services available and being introduced by mobile operators, including a timeline of all the latest major mobile content developments.
    Company Database – A comprehensive breakdown of KPIs of the leading mobile operators, including subscriber figures by type (pre-paid and post-paid); 3G & 4G subscriber figures; net additions; market share; ARPU; churn rates; minutes of use; voice and non-voice revenue; financial figures (including operating revenues, net profits and EBITDA).

Regulatory Environment

Details of the regulatory bodies and their responsibilities, as well as a special focus on the rules surrounding competition and interconnection. Also covers the latest updates in the market’s development and regulatory rulings.

Company Profiles*

Examines the competitive positioning and short- to medium-term business strategies of key industry players. Strategy is examined within the context of BMI’s industry forecasts, our macroeconomic views and our understanding of the wider competitive landscape to generate Company SWOT analyses. The latest financial and operating statistics and key company developments are also incorporated within the company profiles, enabling a full evaluation of recent company performance and future growth prospects.

Sources

The Telecommunications Reports draw on an extensive network of primary sources, such as multilateral organisations, government departments, industry associations, chambers and company reports.

*Company profiles are not available for every country. Those reports instead contain information on the current activities of prominent companies operating in the market.

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