Slovenia Food & Drink Report

Published 25 February 2015

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Slovenia Food & Drink Report

BMI view: After two consecutive years of contraction, the Slovenian food and drink market recorded modest growth in 2014. While we expect the positive trends in the Slovenian economy to persist over the coming years, the recovery will be slow and modest. As a result, we forecast weak growth in the Slovenian food and drink market with sales figures accelerating towards the second half of our forecast period.

Headline Industry Data

  • Food consumption (local currency) growth (year-on-year, y-o-y) in 2015: +0.4%; compound annual growth rate (CAGR) 2014-2019: +1.0%.

  • Per capita food consumption (local currency) growth (y-o-y) in 2015: +0.2%; CAGR 2014-2019: +0.9%.

  • Alcoholic drinks value (local currency) sales growth (y-o-y) in 2015: 0.0%; CAGR 2014-2019: +1.9%.

  • Soft drinks value (local currency) sales growth (y-o-y) in 2015: +0.9%; CAGR 2014-2019: +2.5%.

  • Total mass grocery retail value (local currency) sales growth (y-o-y) in 2015: +4.0%; CAGR 2014-2019: +4.8%.

Key Company Trends

Rastoder & Agrokor Enter Cooperation Deal: In June 2014, Slovenia-based fruit and vegetable processor Rastoder entered a cooperation deal worth between EUR70mn (USD95mn) and EUR100mn (USD135mn) with Croatian retailer Agrokor. Under the terms of the agreement, Rastoder's high-quality products will be made available for the same or lesser price to Agrokor customers.

Agrokor Completes Purchase Of Mercator : Agrokor confirmed on its website in June 2014 that it had completed the majority purchase of Slovenia's largest retailer, Mercator. The purchase was valued at a total of EUR 544m; Agrokor purchased around 53% of shares in the company for EUR324mn, while an extra EUR220mn was set aside for other investments associated with the purchase. Prior to the takeover, Agrokor reached an arrangement with banks to refinance up to EUR1bn of debt and achieved regulatory approval. Agrokor stated that the two companies would generate EUR7bn of annual revenues and employ more than 64,000...

Table of Contents

BMI Industry View
7
SWOT Analysis
8
Slovenia Food Industry SWOT
8
Slovenia Drink Industry SWOT
9
Slovenia Mass Grocery Retail Industry SWOT
10
Business Environment
11
BMI's Core Global Industry Views
11
Table: Core Views
17
CEE Food & Drink Risk/Reward Ratings
18
Table: Central & Eastern Europe Food & Drink Risk/Reward Ratings Q213
19
Table: Central & Eastern Europe Food and Drink Risk/Reward Ratings Sub-components Q213 (out of 10)
22
Slovenia's Food & Drink Risk/Reward Rating
23
Macroeconomic Outlook
24
Table: Economic Activity
25
Industry Forecast Scenario
26
Consumer Outlook
26
Food
27
Food Consumption
27
Table: Food Consumption Indicators - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2010-2017
27
Confectionery
28
Table: Confectionery Value/Volume Sales - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2010-2017
29
Canned Food
31
Table: Canned Food Volume/Value Sales - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2010-2017
31
Pasta
32
Table: Pasta Volume Sales, Production & Trade - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2010-2017
32
Meat
34
Table: Meat Volume Sales, Production & Trade - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2010-2017
34
Dairy
36
Table: Dairy Volume Sales, Production & Trade - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2010-2017
36
Drink
38
Alcoholic Drinks
38
Table: Alcoholic Drinks Volume/Value Sales - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2010-2017
39
Soft Drinks
40
Table: Soft Drinks Volume/Value Sales - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2010-2017
41
Hot Drinks
43
Table: Hot Drinks Volume/Value Sales - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2010-2017
44
Trade
44
Table: Trade Indicators - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2010-2017
45
Mass Grocery Retail
46
Table: Mass Grocery Retail Sales By Format - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2010-2017
47
Table: Retail Sales Breakdown By Format Type (as % of total)
47
Food
48
Key Industry Trends And Developments
48
Lactalis Acquires Slovenian Dairy Firm
48
Israeli Frutarom Continues Europe Expansion
48
Regional And Domestic Consolidation Continues
48
Market Overview
49
Food Production
49
Food Consumption
51
Confectionery
52
Canned Food
52
Trade
52
Agriculture
53
Drink
55
Key Industry Trends And Developments
55
Leading Brewer Cutting Losses
55
Serbian Nectar Taking Over Slovenian Fructal
55
Increased Focus On Foreign Sales
56
Market Overview
56
Alcoholic Drinks
56
Beer
57
Wine
58
Spirits
58
Soft Drinks
59
Hot Drinks
61
Mass Grocery Retail
62
Key Industry Trends and Developments
62
Mercator To Cut Costs, Seek Buyers
62
Mercator Expanding Regionally
62
Tu- Divesting Serbian Business To Pay Debts
64
Market Overview
64
Leading Retailers
66
Table: Structure Of Mass Grocery Retail Market By Number Of Outlets
68
Table: Structure Of Mass Retail Grocery Market By Value
68
Table: Estimated Value Of Sales Per Outlet Format (2012)
69
Competitive Landscape
70
Table: Key Players - Slovenia's Food Market
70
Table: Key Players - Slovenia's Drink Market
71
Table: Key Players - Slovenia's Mass Retail Grocery Market
72
Company Monitor
73
Food
73
Panvita
75
Perutnina Ptuj
77
Droga Kolinska (Atlantic Grupa)
78
Ljubljanske mlekarne
80
ETA -ivilska industrija d
82
Drink
83
Fructal
83
Coca-Cola HBC Slovenia
85
Pivovarna La-ko
86
Mass Grocery Retail
88
Mercator
88
SPAR Slovenija
91
Engrotu-
92
Demographic Outlook
94
Table: Slovenia's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020, 1990-2020 ('000)
95
Table: Slovenia's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of total)
96
Table: Slovenia's Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020
97
Table: Slovenia's Rural And Urban Population, 1990-2020
97
BMI Risk/Reward Ratings Methodology
98
Table: Rewards
98
Table: Risks
99
Weighting
99
Table: Weighting
99
BMI Food & Drink Industry Glossary
100
Food & Drink
100
Mass Grocery Retail
100
BMI Food & Drink Forecasting & Sourcing
102
How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts
102
Sourcing
103

The Slovenia Food & Drink Report features BMI Research's market assessment and independent forecasts for food and drink expenditure, consumption, sales, and imports/exports and forecasts for the mass grocery retail sector. The report also includes analyses of major regulatory developments, the background macroeconomic outlook and competitive landscape comparing national and multinational companies by leading products and services, sales, investments, partners and expansion strategies.

BMI's Slovenia Food & Drink Report provides industry professionals and strategists, sector analysts, business investors, trade associations and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the food and drink industry and the mass grocery retail market in Slovenia.

Key Benefits

  • Benchmark BMI's independent food and drink industry forecasts for Slovenia to test other views - a key input for successful budgeting and strategic business planning in the Slovenian food and drink market.
  • Target business opportunities and risks in Slovenia through our reviews of latest industry trends, regulatory changes and major deals, projects and investments.
  • Exploit latest competitive intelligence on your competitors, partners and clients via our Company Profiles (inc. SWOTs, KPIs and latest activity) and Competitive Landscape Tables.

Coverage

BMI Industry View

Summary of BMI’s key industry forecasts and views, covering food and drink manufacturing and consumption and the mass grocery retail market.

Industry SWOT Analysis

Analysis of the major strengths, weaknesses, opportunities and threats within the food, drink and mass grocery retail sectors and within the broader political, economic and business environment.

BMI’s Food and Drink Risk Reward Index

BMI’s Risk Reward Index provides investors (food and drink manufacturers and mass grocery retailers) looking for opportunities in the region with a clear country-comparative assessment of a market’s risks and potential rewards. Each of the country markets are scored using a sophisticated model that includes more than 40 industry, economic and demographic points. These provide indices of highest to lowest appeal to investors, with each position explained.

Food Forecasts

BMI’s food chapter is divided into sections such as meat, fish, confectionary, dairy and canned foods, and provides insight into each market’s food industry, centred on a forecast to end-2019 for the sector. The chapter includes the following elements:

  • Industry Forecast Scenario: Historical data series and a forecast to end-2019 for growth of key indicators within a market’s food industry. Indicators include food consumption, food consumption as % of GDP, canned food sales, confectionery sales and food and drink imports and exports, among others.
  • Industry Developments: A summary of corporate developments, including news on M&As, FDI, expansions, closures and financial results, in addition to analysis and explanation of the latest industry events and how these could influence further investment.
  • Market Overview: An overview of the structure of the market, introducing the key players and discussing underlying trends.

Drink Forecasts

Segmented the same way as BMI’s food chapter, the drink section provides insight into each market’s drink industry, centred on a forecast to end-2019 for the sector. Forecast indicators include alcoholic and soft drink sales by value, volume and sub-sector and tea and coffee sales, among others.

Mass Grocery Retail Forecasts

Segmented the same way as BMI’s food and drink chapters, the mass grocery retail section provides insight into each market’s grocery retail industry, centred on a forecast to end-2019 for the sector. Forecast indicators include mass grocery retail sales by format (including supermarkets, hypermarkets, convenience and discount stores) and a breakdown of the organised retail sector versus the traditional sector, among others.

Competitive Landscape

Illustration of the mass grocery retail and food and drink industries via rankings tables comparing revenues, number of outlets and number of employees. This chapter also includes data-rich, in-depth regional analysis of the market position, business strategies and investment potential of the region’s leading mass grocery retail and food and drink operators.

Company Profiles*

Examines the competitive positioning and short- to medium-term business strategies of key industry players. Strategy is examined within the context of BMI’s industry forecasts, our macroeconomic views and our understanding of the wider competitive landscape to generate company SWOT analyses. The latest financial and operating statistics and key company developments are also incorporated within the company profiles, enabling a full evaluation of recent company performance and future growth prospects.

Sources

The Food & Drink reports draw on an extensive network primary sources, such as multilateral organisations, government departments, industry associations, chambers and company reports.

*Company profiles are not available for every country. Those reports instead contain information on the current activities of prominent companies operating in the market.

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Testimonials

'An essential, multi-faceted research tool. BMI’s thorough understanding of the major market players enables an informed – and informative – review of the sector’s actual performance, together with useful insights into current industry issues, which are topped-off with detailed and invaluable forecasts of industry and macroeconomic trends.’

Senior Research Analyst, ABC International Bank plc