BMI View: Slovenia continues to display relative economic stability as it recovers from crisis in 2013 and expands faster than the EU average. With real wages and household income still benefitting from near zero inflation, private consumption will increase by 2.0% in 2016 and 2.4% in 2017 . C onsumer confidence has trended up since March and is conver ging with the regional average, bod ing well for improved food consumption spending . However, growth opportunities in higher value categories will remain limited.
Slovenia is positioned towards the top end of our Central & Eastern Europe (CEE) Food & Drink/Risk Reward Index for Q1 2017, ranked in third place behind Austria and the Czech Republic. The overall score of 51.6 is above the regional average of 46.2. The country's high ranking is primarily attributed to its strong risk profile, although this quarter sees the country move from second to third position out of the 18 countries surveyed. However, Slovenia scores more poorly in the rewards section due to its small population, subdued growth prospects and high level of market maturity.
|Food and Drink Spending|
|f = BMI forecast. Source: National statistics, BMI|
Latest Updates & Industry Developments
In summer 2016, Slovenian dairies were given the go ahead to start exporting milk and dairy products to China. Ljubljanske Mlekarne is expecting to export UHT milk to the vast Chinese market. Milk contributed 15% to Slovenia's total national agricultural production to 2015.
In summer 2016 Tus Group started on a process of 'preventive restructuring', with the rescheduling of its financial liabilities until 2020. The company will have to divest EUR100mn of assets, focusing on its core retail activities, and repay an additional EUR30mn from operating profits.
In autumn 2016 Spar Slovenia opened its first franchised store in the country and two months later introduced a new modernised store concept, which is to be rolled out nationwide.
In summer 2016 Mercator opened a renovated and refurbished Mercator Siska store in Ljubljana, describing it as 'one of the most modern stores in the region'.
The Slovenia Food & Drink Report features BMI Research's market assessment and independent forecasts for food and drink expenditure, consumption, sales, and imports/exports and forecasts for the mass grocery retail sector. The report also includes analyses of major regulatory developments, the background macroeconomic outlook and competitive landscape comparing national and multinational companies by leading products and services, sales, investments, partners and expansion strategies.
BMI's Slovenia Food & Drink Report provides industry professionals and strategists, sector analysts, business investors, trade associations and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the food and drink industry and the mass grocery retail market in Slovenia.
- Benchmark BMI's independent food and drink industry forecasts for Slovenia to test other views - a key input for successful budgeting and strategic business planning in the Slovenian food and drink market.
- Target business opportunities and risks in Slovenia through our reviews of latest industry trends, regulatory changes and major deals, projects and investments.
- Exploit latest competitive intelligence on your competitors, partners and clients via our Company Profiles (inc. SWOTs, KPIs and latest activity) and Competitive Landscape Tables.
BMI Industry View
Summary of BMI’s key industry forecasts and views, covering food and drink manufacturing and consumption and the mass grocery retail market.
Industry SWOT Analysis
Analysis of the major strengths, weaknesses, opportunities and threats within the food, drink and mass grocery retail sectors and within the broader political, economic and business environment.
BMI’s Food and Drink Risk Reward Index
BMI’s Risk Reward Index provides investors (food and drink manufacturers and mass grocery retailers) looking for opportunities in the region with a clear country-comparative assessment of a market’s risks and potential rewards. Each of the country markets are scored using a sophisticated model that includes more than 40 industry, economic and demographic points. These provide indices of highest to lowest appeal to investors, with each position explained.
BMI’s food chapter is divided into sections such as meat, fish, confectionary, dairy and canned foods, and provides insight into each market’s food industry, centred on a forecast to end-2019 for the sector. The chapter includes the following elements:
- Industry Forecast Scenario: Historical data series and a forecast to end-2019 for growth of key indicators within a market’s food industry. Indicators include food consumption, food consumption as % of GDP, canned food sales, confectionery sales and food and drink imports and exports, among others.
- Industry Developments: A summary of corporate developments, including news on M&As, FDI, expansions, closures and financial results, in addition to analysis and explanation of the latest industry events and how these could influence further investment.
- Market Overview: An overview of the structure of the market, introducing the key players and discussing underlying trends.
Segmented the same way as BMI’s food chapter, the drink section provides insight into each market’s drink industry, centred on a forecast to end-2019 for the sector. Forecast indicators include alcoholic and soft drink sales by value, volume and sub-sector and tea and coffee sales, among others.
Mass Grocery Retail Forecasts
Segmented the same way as BMI’s food and drink chapters, the mass grocery retail section provides insight into each market’s grocery retail industry, centred on a forecast to end-2019 for the sector. Forecast indicators include mass grocery retail sales by format (including supermarkets, hypermarkets, convenience and discount stores) and a breakdown of the organised retail sector versus the traditional sector, among others.
Illustration of the mass grocery retail and food and drink industries via rankings tables comparing revenues, number of outlets and number of employees. This chapter also includes data-rich, in-depth regional analysis of the market position, business strategies and investment potential of the region’s leading mass grocery retail and food and drink operators.
Examines the competitive positioning and short- to medium-term business strategies of key industry players. Strategy is examined within the context of BMI’s industry forecasts, our macroeconomic views and our understanding of the wider competitive landscape to generate company SWOT analyses. The latest financial and operating statistics and key company developments are also incorporated within the company profiles, enabling a full evaluation of recent company performance and future growth prospects.
The Food & Drink reports draw on an extensive network primary sources, such as multilateral organisations, government departments, industry associations, chambers and company reports.
*Company profiles are not available for every country. Those reports instead contain information on the current activities of prominent companies operating in the market.