South Africa Country Risk Report

Providing comprehensive data and in-depth analysis of political, financial and economic risk.

Report includes: BMI's Core Views, 10-year Forecasts, BMI's Economic Risk Index, Political Stability and Risk Index, Long-term Political Outlook, Operational Risk Index, SWOT Analysis and Structural Economic Sections

Why you should buy this report

  • Understand and measure the political, business environment and operational risks to your company
  • Gain insight on emerging trends that could support, strengthen or disrupt your activities in the market
  • Benefit from 10-year macroeconomic forecasts and insight into the structural characteristics of the economy
  • Get the long-term political outlook and explore possible scenarios for change
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South Africa Country Risk Report
Product Price
$1,245.00

Assess your risk exposure in South Africa with our 100% independent forecasts assessing the pace and stability of this key market. Backed by trusted data from BMI Research's 52 million data point economic forecast model, this report will allow you to measure political, economic, business environment and operational risks in South Africa with confidence.

Your subscription service includes:

  • Delivery of the report in print and PDF
  • Online access for 12 months
  • The functionality to translate your online report into your choice of 10 languages - Arabic, Chinese, French, German, Italian, Japanese, Korean, Portuguese, Russian and Spanish
  • The ability to export data and graphs from the online report directly into your workflow
  • The support of a dedicated Account Manager to answer any questions you might have about your subscription
  • Access to our team of leading analysts who will be happy to answer any questions you might have about the data and forecasts included in this report
Executive Summary
5
Core Views
5
Major Forecast Changes
5
Key Risks
5
Chapter 1: Economic Outlook
7
SWOT Analysis
7
BMI Economic Risk Index
7
Economic Growth Outlook
8
Challenging Operating Environment Will Weigh On Growth
8
GDP By Expenditure Outlook
9
TABLE: GDP GROWTH FORECASTS
10
TABLE: PRIVATE CONSUMPTION FORECASTS
10
TABLE: GOVERNMENT CONSUMPTION FORECASTS
10
TABLE: FIXED INVESTMENT FORECASTS
10
TABLE: NET EXPORTS FORECASTS
10
Monetary Policy
11
Cooler Inflation Will Keep Policy Rate On Hold
11
Monetary Policy Framework
11
TABLE: MONETARY POLICY FORECASTS
12
Fiscal Policy And Public Debt Outlook
13
Political Environment Poses Rising Risks To Fiscal Outlook
13
TABLE: LOCAL AND FOREIGN CURRENCY DEBT RATINGS
13
Structural Fiscal Position
15
TABLE: MAIN REVENUE AND EXPENDITURE CATEGORIES
15
TABLE: FISCAL AND PUBLIC DEBT FORECASTS
15
Currency Forecast
16
ZAR: Depreciation Ahead On Inflation And Challenging Operating Environment
16
TABLE: BMI CURRENCY FORECAST
16
Outlook On External Position
18
TABLE: CAPITAL & FINANCIAL ACCOUNT BALANCE
18
TABLE: CURRENT ACCOUNT BALANCE FORECASTS
19
TABLE: TOP-FIVE GOODS IMPORTS IN 2015
19
TABLE: TOP-FIVE GOODS EXPORTS IN 2015
19
Chapter 2: 10-Year Forecast
21
The South African Economy To 2025
21
Underperformance Among EM Peers Ahead
21
TABLE: LONG-TERM MACROECONOMIC FORECASTS
21
Chapter 3: Political Outlook
25
SWOT Analysis
25
BMI Political Risk Index
25
Domestic Politics
26
ANC Election Losses Point To Sclerotic Policymaking Ahead
26
TABLE: POLITICAL OVERVIEW
26
Long-Term Political Outlook
28
Changes To Stability Will Persist
28
Chapter 4: Operational Risk
31
SWOT Analysis
31
Operational Risk Index
31
Operational Risk
32
TABLE: OPERATIONAL RISK
32
Business Crime
33
TABLE: BUSINESS RESPONSE TO RISK IN SOUTH AFRICA
34
Government Intervention
35
TABLE: BUSINESS TAXES
36
TABLE: PERSONAL INCOME TAX
37
Chapter 5: BMI Global Macro Outlook
41
Global Macro Outlook
41
Broad Recovery But Three Notes Of Caution
41
TABLE: GLOBAL FORECASTS, 2015-2020
41
TABLE: DEVELOPED STATES, REAL GDP GROWTH, %
42
TABLE: EMERGING MARKETS, REAL GDP GROWTH, %
43
TABLE: SOUTH AFRICA MACROECONOMIC DATA & FORECASTS
45