South Africa Renewables Report

Providing expert analysis, independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the Renewables industry.

Report includes: BMI Industry View, Industry SWOT Analysis, BMI Industry Forecast, BM's Renewables Risk Reward Index, Market Overview, Business Environment Rankings and Competitive Landscape.

Why you should buy this report

  • Benchmark BMI's independent renewables industry forecasts to test other views
  • Understand the threats to your operations and investments and protect your company against future risks
  • Gain insight on emerging trends that could support, strengthen or disrupt your activities in the market
  • Get a full view of the competitive landscape to assess your market position.
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South Africa Renewables Report
Product Price
$1,295.00

BMI View: South Africa ' s strong regulatory framework for renewable energy has proved extremely successful - with high levels of investor interest in the market and significant levels of financing being committed to the sector. We forecast non-hydro renewables capacity to reach 9.3GW by the end of our forecast period in 2025.

South Africa - Headline Renewables Forecast
2015e 2016f 2017f 2018f 2019f 2020f 2021f 2022f 2023f 2024f 2025f
e/f = BMI estimate/forecast. Source: EIA, BMI
Generation, Non-Hydropower Renewables, TWh 5.090 6.645 7.701 8.758 9.813 10.869 11.926 12.982 14.038 15.094 16.137
Generation, Non-Hydropower Renewables, % y-o-y 81.986 30.548 15.883 13.733 12.047 10.759 9.720 8.858 8.136 7.522 6.905
Capacity, Non-Hydroelectric Renewables, MW 3,027.5 3,897.5 4,485.0 5,097.5 5,697.7 6,298.2 6,899.2 7,500.5 8,102.3 8,704.5 9,299.5
Capacity, Non-Hydroelectric Renewables, % y-o-y 60.2 28.7 15.1 13.7 11.8 10.5 9.5 8.7 8.0 7.4 6.8

Latest Updates And Structural Trends

  • French power producer Engie has arranged loans worth ZAR9.2bn (USD588mn) for the 100MW Kathu Solar Park project in the South African province of Northern Cape. The facility is expected to start operating before end-2018.

  • In June 2016, Enel Green Power RSA has completed and connected to the grid the 66MW Tom Burke PV plant in the province of Limpopo. The facility's output will be sold to local electric utility Eskom under a 20-year PPA.

  • Irish energy developer Mainstream Renewable Power has completed the foundations for all 61 wind turbines at the 140MW Loeriesfontein wind farm in July 2016.

  • Microgrids will be increasingly deployed in South Africa, as convenience and the growing competitiveness of off-grid systems drive uptake. This view is playing out - evidenced by the announcement in late June 2016 that ABB has commissioned a solar-diesel microgrid facility in South Africa.

BMI Industry View
7
Table: South Africa - Headline Renewables Forecast
7
SWOT
8
Industry Forecast
9
South Africa Renewables Forecast Scenario
9
Latest Updates
9
Structural Trends
11
Table: Ambitious Targets
12
Table: South Africa Non-Hydro Renewables Generation Forecasts, 2014-2019
17
Table: South Africa Non-Hydro Renewables Generation Forecasts, 2020-2025
17
Table: South Africa Non-Hydro Renewables Capacity, 2014-2020
18
Table: South Africa Non-Hydro Renewables Capacity, 2020-2025
19
South Africa Renewables Projects Database
20
Table: South Africa - Top Renewables Projects By Capacity (MW)
20
Industry Risk Reward Index
21
South Africa Renewables Risk/Reward Index
21
Rewards
21
Risks
21
Market Overview
23
Sustainable Energy Policy And Infrastructure
23
Targets
23
Table: Ambitious Targets To Drive Growth
24
Subsidies
24
Infrastructure
25
Competitive Landscape
26
Eskom
26
Vestas
27
-lectricit- de France
27
Enel Green Power
27
Tata Power
27
Glossary
29
Table: Glossary Of Terms
29
Methodology
30
Methodology And Sources
30
Industry Forecast Methodology
30
Sources
32
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
32
Table: Renewables Risk/Reward Index Indicators
34
Table: Weighting Indicators
35

The South Africa Renewables Report researched at source contains BMI Research's assessment of the current renewables market in South Africa. The report also contains historical data together with forecasts to end-2018 covering electricity generation (TWh) and electricity capacity (MW).

The renewables sectors covered in the report include Wind, Solar, Geothermal, Tidal and Wave, and Biomass (See Table of Contents for exact coverage). The report also features details on government green energy agendas and funding opportunities, as well as presenting a detailed list of key renewables projects currently being planned or undertaken in South Africa, their capacity, the timeframe of construction and their current status.

The report discusses the various energy policies currently in force, including targets, subsidies and the relevant infrastructure developments or limitations which might impact on renewables growth, analysing the potential effects of regulatory changes in conjunction with the background macroeconomic outlook. Finally, there is a general overview of the competitive landscape in South Africa, together with a detailed summary of the main utilities and manufacturers present and their business operations.

BMI's South Africa Renewables Report provides industry professionals and strategists, sector analysts, investors, trade associations and regulatory bodies with unique independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the South Africa renewables industry.

Key Benefits

  • Benchmark BMI's independent renewables industry forecasts for South Africa to test other views - a key input for successful budgeting and planning in the renewables market.
  • Target business opportunities and risks in the South Africa renewables sector through our reviews of latest industry trends, regulatory changes and major deals, projects and investments in the country.

Coverage

BMI Industry View

Summary of BMI's key industry forecasts, views and trend analysis covering the renewables market in South Africa, regulatory changes, major investments and projects and significant multinational and national company developments.

Industry SWOT Analysis

Analysis of the major Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats within the renewables sector and within the broader political, economic and business environment.

BMI Industry Forecasts

Historic data series (2010-2012) and forecasts to end-2018 for electricity generation (TWh) and electricity generating capacity (MW) for each individual renewables sector present in the country.

These in turn are broken down into:

Electricity Generation: Overall capacity (TWh), growth % change year-on-year, KWh per capita, % of Total Non-Hydropower renewables generation, % of total electricity generation.

Electricity Capacity: Overall capacity (MW), growth % change year-on-year, % of non-hydroelectric renewables capacity and % of total capacity.

These forecasts are in turn supported by explicit assumptions, in conjunction with analysis of the key risks to the main forecast.

Business Environment Rankings

BMI's Renewables Business Environment Rankings provide fully comparable Risk-Reward Rankings aimed at investors in the regional renewables market.

The rankings methodology makes sophisticated use of various industry, economic and demographic data point.