South Korea Agribusiness Report

Published 02 June 2015

  • 99 pages
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  • Includes 3 free updated quarterly reports
$1,295.00
South Korea Agribusiness Report

BMI View: We believe that any significant changes in the South Korean agricultural industry will be mostly public sector-led due to the strong unions behind the industry. The numerous free trade agreements signed in 2015 , with the Trans Pacific Partnership being the most significant, signal to us that the agriculture industry is truly going through a much-needed transformation that will lead to increasing competitiveness with global agri - players. Other efforts , such as promoting high-value add food and beverages , also support our view.

Government-led efforts will benefit the industry over the longer term and help it to remain relevant. These include: the expansion of education and financial support for farmers to allow them entry into the food processing business; plans to modernise traditional methods of food production; the creation of new agricultural food districts for exporters; and the introduction of state designation of food exporting companies.

Key Forecasts

  • Rice consumption decline to 2018/19: 7.2% to 4.1mn tonnes. As South Koreans substitute their carbohydrate intake with bread instead of rice, consumption of the grain is expected to fall in tandem with the changing diet.

  • Cheese consumption growth to 2019: 1.4% to 81,000 tonnes. As Western food has become more popular in Korea, demand for cheese has expanded rapidly. The majority of cheese is consumed in restaurants and fast food outlets and comes in the form of processed cheese. Exporters with the lowest price, such as the US, have gained a market share in supplying the South Korean cheese industry.

  • Beef production growth to 2018/19: 19.7% to 401,000 tonnes. Even with the anticipated increase in local beef output, the country will remain reliant on imports to meet demand. Indeed, base effects are the key reason for the significant growth rate.

  • 2015 BMI universe agribusiness market value: USD32.1bn (up from USD31.3bn in 2014; forecast to average annual growth of 2.3% to 2019

  • ...

BMI Industry View
7
SWOT
9
Operational Risk
11
Industry Forecast
13
Rice Outlook
13
Table: Rice Production & Consumption (South Korea 2013-2019)
14
Table: Rice Production & Consumption (South Korea 2009-2014)
16
Grains Outlook
18
Table: Wheat Production & Consumption (South Korea 2014-2019)
19
Table: Corn Production & Consumption (South Korea 2014-2019)
19
Table: Corn Production & Consumption (South Korea 2009-2014)
20
Table: Wheat Production & Consumption (South Korea 2009-2014)
20
Dairy Outlook
21
Table: Butter Production & Consumption (South Korea 2014-2019)
22
Table: Cheese Production & Consumption (South Korea 2014-2019)
22
Table: Milk Production & Consumption (South Korea 2014-2019)
22
Table: Butter Production & Consumption (South Korea 2009-2014)
24
Table: Cheese Production & Consumption (South Korea 2009-2014)
25
Table: Milk Production & Consumption (South Korea 2009-2014)
25
Livestock Outlook
26
Table: Beef Production & Consumption (South Korea 2014-2019)
27
Table: Pork Production & Consumption (South Korea 2014-2019)
27
Table: Poultry Production & Consumption (South Korea 2014-2019)
28
Table: Beef Production & Consumption (South Korea 2009-2014)
30
Table: Pork Production & Consumption (South Korea 2009-2014)
30
Table: Poultry Production & Consumption (South Korea 2009-2014)
30
Commodities Forecast
32
Monthly Softs Strategy
32
Table: Select Commodities - Performance & BMI Forecasts
41
Monthly Grains Strategy
42
Table: Select Commodities - Performance & BMI Forecasts
49
Upstream Analysis
50
Asia GM Outlook
50
Table: Selected Countries - GM Crops Use
53
Asia Machinery Outlook
54
Table: Select Countries - Average Size Of Farms, Hectares
55
Asia Fertiliser Outlook
61
Downstream Analysis
67
Food
67
Food Consumption
67
Table: Food Consumption Indicators - Historical Data & Forecasts (South Korea 2012-2019)
68
Canned Food
68
Confectionery
69
Table: Confectionery Value/Volume Sales, Production & Trade - Historical Data & Forecasts (South Korea 2012-2019)
70
Meat
71
Table: Meat Volume Sales, Production & Trade - Historical Data & Forecast (South Korea 2012-2019)
71
Fish
71
Table: Preserved Fish (Other) Volume Sales, Production & Trade - Historical Data & Forecast (South Korea 2012-2019)
72
Oils and Fats
72
Table: Oils and Fats Volume Sales, Production & Trade - Historical Data & Forecast (South Korea 2012-2019)
73
Dairy
74
Table: Dairy Volume Sales, Production & Trade - Historical Data & Forecast (South Korea 2012-2019)
75
Drink
77
Hot Drinks
77
Table: Hot Drink Value/Volume Sales, Production & Trade - Historical Data & Forecasts (South Korea 2012-2019)
77
Alcoholic Drinks
78
Table: Alcoholic Drinks Value/Volume Sales, Production & Trade - Historical Data & Forecasts (South Korea 2012-2019)
79
Soft Drinks
81
Table: Soft Drinks Sales, Production & Trade (South Korea 2012-2019)
82
Mass Grocery Retail
83
Table: Mass Grocery Retail Sales By Format - Historical Data & Forecasts (South Korea 2012-2019)
85
Table: Retail Sales By Format (%)
85
Regional Overview
86
Demographic Forecast
92
Table: Population Headline Indicators (South Korea 1990-2025)
93
Table: Key Population Ratios (South Korea 1990-2025)
93
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (South Korea 1990-2025)
94
Table: Population By Age Group (South Korea 1990-2025)
94
Table: Population By Age Group % (South Korea 1990-2025)
95
Methodology
97
Industry Forecast Methodology
97
Sector-Specific Methodology
98

The South Korea Agribusiness Report features BMI Research's market assessment and independent forecasts for production, consumption and trade across core agricultural commodities.

BMI's South Korea Agribusiness Report includes independent commodity price forecasting and analysis for key agricultural outputs, an overview of the agribusiness competitive landscape and a discussion of the downstream context of agricultural production in relation to country food consumption forecasts and composite food and beverage trade forecasts.

Key Benefits

  • Use BMI's independent industry forecasts to test other views - a key input for successful planning in dynamic agribusiness markets.
  • Apply BMI's medium-term commodity price analysis to assist with budgetary planning and the identification of investment opportunities and potential risks.
  • Assess the activities and market position of your competitors, partners and clients.

Coverage

BMI Industry View

Summary of BMI’s key industry forecasts and views, highlighting recent changes and key risks to the industry outlook.

Industry SWOT Analysis

Analysis of the major strengths, weaknesses, opportunities and threats within the wider agricultural industry.

BMI Supply & Demand Forecasts

Divided into sections based on various diverse sectors in the agriculture market, the chapter provides insight into each market’s agricultural industry, centred on sector forecasts to end-2019 for the consumption, production and trade of key commodities.

  • Consumption Forecasts: Accompanied by a discussion of the main drivers of consumption growth: macroeconomic factors, food processing trends, price movements and increasingly, demand from the non-food sector.
  • Production Forecasts: Examine the trends influencing BMI’s production outlook: global demand, price increases, public and private sector investment and agricultural efficiency improvements.
  • Trade Forecasts: Accompanied by a discussion of the factors influencing a country’s trade in agricultural goods, including domestic demand, global prices and government trade policies.
  • BMI’s Forecasts: Accompanied by a risks-to-outlook assessment, which examines potential factors that could affect our existing forecast picture and the likelihood of their occurrence.

BMI’s Commodity Price Analysis

Fundamental and technical analysis of the short- and medium-term price outlook for eight agricultural commodities based on globally recognised benchmarks.

Downstream Analysis

Analysis of headline food and drink forecasts, including total food consumption, per capita food consumption and total sector trade, which provide important downstream intelligence for primary agricultural producers.

Featured Analysis

Includes relevant articles from BMI’s daily analysis service. These can include: long-term projections on agricultural imports and exports; our perceptions of the impacts of economic slowdown on key companies and subsectors within the Agribusiness industry in a given country; our analysis of fertilizer production; as well as other relevant analysis of recent news and events.

Competitive Landscape

The reports contain information on prominent companies operating in each market.

Key Commodities Covered By The Agribusiness Market

Reports Include: Grains, Dairy, Livestock, Rice, Sugar, Palm Oil, Edible Oils, Coffee, Cocoa, Cotton, Soybean

Please note – not all reports cover all commodities.

Sources

The Agribusiness reports draw on an extensive network of primary sources, such as multilateral organisations, government departments, industry associations, chambers and company reports.

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