South Korea Country Risk Report

Providing comprehensive data and in-depth analysis of political, financial and economic risk.

Report includes: BMI's Core Views, 10-year Forecasts, BMI's Economic Risk Index, Political Stability and Risk Index, Long-term Political Outlook, Operational Risk Index, SWOT Analysis and Structural Economic Sections

Why you should buy this report

  • Understand and measure the political, business environment and operational risks to your company
  • Gain insight on emerging trends that could support, strengthen or disrupt your activities in the market
  • Benefit from 10-year macroeconomic forecasts and insight into the structural characteristics of the economy
  • Get the long-term political outlook and explore possible scenarios for change
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South Korea Country Risk Report
Product Price
$1,245.00

Assess your risk exposure in South Korea with our 100% independent forecasts assessing the pace and stability of this key market. Backed by trusted data from BMI Research's 52 million data point economic forecast model, this report will allow you to measure political, economic, business environment and operational risks in South Korea with confidence.

Your subscription service includes:

  • Delivery of the report in print and PDF
  • Online access for 12 months
  • The functionality to translate your online report into your choice of 10 languages - Arabic, Chinese, French, German, Italian, Japanese, Korean, Portuguese, Russian and Spanish
  • The ability to export data and graphs from the online report directly into your workflow
  • The support of a dedicated Account Manager to answer any questions you might have about your subscription
  • Access to our team of leading analysts who will be happy to answer any questions you might have about the data and forecasts included in this report
Executive Summary
5
Core Views
5
Major Forecast Changes
5
Key Risks
5
Chapter 1: Economic Outlook
7
SWOT Analysis
7
BMI Economic Risk Index
7
Economic Growth Outlook
8
Domestic Headwinds To Persist
8
GDP By Expenditure Outlook
10
TABLE: GDP GROWTH FORECASTS
10
TABLE: PRIVATE CONSUMPTION FORECASTS
10
TABLE: GOVERNMENT CONSUMPTION FORECASTS
10
TABLE: FIXED INVESTMENT FORECASTS
10
TABLE: NET EXPORTS FORECASTS
11
Fiscal Policy And Public Debt Outlook
11
2017 Budget: Fiscal Challenges To Persist
11
Structural Fiscal Position
12
TABLE: MAIN SOURCES OF REVENUE & EXPENDITURE
13
TABLE: FISCAL AND PUBLIC DEBT FORECASTS
13
Monetary Policy
13
BoK To Cut Rates In 2017
13
Monetary Policy Framework
15
TABLE: MONETARY POLICY FORECASTS
15
Currency Forecast
16
KRW: Downgrade Amid Poor Technical And Fundamental Picture
16
TABLE: SOUTH KOREA CURRENCY FORECAST
17
Outlook On External Position
18
TABLE: MAIN IMPORTS AND EXPORTS
18
TABLE: MAIN IMPORT AND EXPORT PARTNERS
18
TABLE: CAPITAL & FINANCIAL ACCOUNT BALANCE
18
TABLE: CURRENT ACCOUNT BALANCE FORECASTS
19
Chapter 2: 10-Year Forecast
21
The South Korean Economy To 2025
21
Slower Growth To 2025
21
TABLE: LONG-TERM MACROECONOMIC FORECASTS
21
Chapter 3: Political Outlook
25
SWOT Analysis
25
BMI Political Risk Index
25
South Korea Domestic Politics
26
Constitutional Change Could Boost Stability, But Unlikely To Materialise
26
TABLE: POLITICAL OVERVIEW
26
South Korea Long-Term Political Outlook
28
Constitutional Reform To Improve Governance-
28
North Korea Domestic Politics
30
Trump Presidency: Implications For North And South Korean Security
30
TABLE: MAJOR POLITICAL EVENTS IN NORTH KOREA
31
North Korea Long-Term Political Outlook
33
Status Quo Increasingly Unsustainable
33
Chapter 4: Operational Risk
37
Operational Risk
37
TABLE: OPERATIONAL RISK
37
Business Crime
38
TABLE: BUSINESS RESPONSE TO RISK
38
Government Intervention
42
TABLE: BUSINESSES TAXES
42
TABLE: PERSONAL INCOME TAX RATES
43
Chapter 5: BMI Global Macro Outlook
47
Global Macro Outlook
47
Trumponomics Takes Centre Stage
47
TABLE: GLOBAL ASSUMPTIONS
47
TABLE: DEVELOPED STATES, REAL GDP GROWTH, %
48
TABLE: EMERGING MARKETS, REAL GDP GROWTH, %
49
TABLE: MACROECONOMIC DATA & FORECASTS
51