South Korea Country Risk Report

Providing comprehensive data and in-depth analysis of political, financial and economic risk.

Report includes: BMI's Core Views, 10-year Forecasts, BMI's Economic Risk Index, Political Stability and Risk Index, Long-term Political Outlook, Operational Risk Index, SWOT Analysis and Structural Economic Sections

Why you should buy this report

  • Understand and measure the political, business environment and operational risks to your company
  • Gain insight on emerging trends that could support, strengthen or disrupt your activities in the market
  • Benefit from 10-year macroeconomic forecasts and insight into the structural characteristics of the economy
  • Get the long-term political outlook and explore possible scenarios for change
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South Korea Country Risk Report
Product Price
$1,245.00

Assess your risk exposure in South Korea with our 100% independent forecasts assessing the pace and stability of this key market. Backed by trusted data from BMI Research's 52 million data point economic forecast model, this report will allow you to measure political, economic, business environment and operational risks in South Korea with confidence.

Your subscription service includes:

  • Delivery of the report in print and PDF
  • Online access for 12 months
  • The functionality to translate your online report into your choice of 10 languages - Arabic, Chinese, French, German, Italian, Japanese, Korean, Portuguese, Russian and Spanish
  • The ability to export data and graphs from the online report directly into your workflow
  • The support of a dedicated Account Manager to answer any questions you might have about your subscription
  • Access to our team of leading analysts who will be happy to answer any questions you might have about the data and forecasts included in this report
Executive Summary
5
Core Views
5
Major Forecast Changes
5
Key Risks
5
Chapter 1: Economic Outlook
7
SWOT Analysis
7
BMI Economic Risk Index
7
Economic Growth Outlook
8
Economic Growth To Remain Subdued
8
GDP By Expenditure Outlook
10
TABLE: GDP GROWTH FORECASTS
10
TABLE: PRIVATE CONSUMPTION FORECASTS
10
TABLE: GOVERNMENT CONSUMPTION FORECASTS
10
TABLE: FIXED INVESTMENT FORECASTS
10
TABLE: NET EXPORTS FORECASTS
11
Fiscal Policy And Public Debt Outlook
11
Tax Crackdown To Provide Slight Revenue Boost
11
Structural Fiscal Position
12
TABLE: MAIN SOURCES OF REVENUE & EXPENDITURE
13
Monetary Policy
13
Rate Cut A Matter Of Time
13
Monetary Policy Framework
15
Currency Forecast
15
KRW: Neutral Short-Term, Appreciatory Bias Thereafter
15
TABLE: SOUTH KOREA CURRENCY FORECAST
16
Outlook On External Position
17
TABLE: MAIN IMPORTS AND EXPORTS
17
TABLE: MAIN IMPORT AND EXPORT PARTNERS
17
TABLE: CAPITAL & FINANCIAL ACCOUNT BALANCE
17
Chapter 2: 10-Year Forecast
19
The South Korean Economy To 2025
19
Slower Growth To 2025
19
TABLE: LONG-TERM MACROECONOMIC FORECASTS
19
Chapter 3: Political Outlook
23
SWOT Analysis
23
BMI Political Risk Index
23
South Korea Domestic Politics
24
Divided Parliament Will Be Negative For Growth
24
TABLE: POLITICAL OVERVIEW
24
South Korea Long-Term Political Outlook
27
Constitutional Reform To Improve Governance-
27
North Korea Domestic Politics
29
Defections Jump In Q1; Sustained Rise Would Be Destabilising
29
TABLE: NORTH KOREAN DEFECTORS SINCE 2001
29
North Korea Sort-Term Political Outlook
30
Party Congress Signals Continuity Over Rapid Reform
30
North Korea Long-Term Political Outlook
32
Status Quo Increasingly Unsustainable
32
Chapter 4: Operational Risk
37
SWOT Analysis
37
Operational Risk Index
37
Operational Risk
38
TABLE: OPERATIONAL RISK
38
Economic Openness
39
TABLE: TOP 5 TRADE PARTNERS - PRODUCT IMPORTS, USDMN (2010-2014)
39
TABLE: FREE TRADE AGREEMENTS
40
TABLE: FREE TRADE ZONES AND INVESTMENT INCENTIVES
41
Availability Of Labour
45
TABLE: AVAILABILITY OF LABOUR RISK
46
TABLE: LABOUR FORCE EMPLOYMENT BY SECTOR ('000), 2009-2013
47
TABLE: TOP 10 MIGRANT SOURCES BY COUNTRY
48
Chapter 5: BMI Global Macro Outlook
51
Global Macro Outlook
51
Summer Of Risk
51
TABLE: GLOBAL ASSUMPTIONS
51
TABLE: DEVELOPED STATES, REAL GDP GROWTH, %
52
TABLE: EMERGING MARKETS, REAL GDP GROWTH, %
53
TABLE: MACROECONOMIC DATA & FORECASTS
55